Advanced search
Publication Cover
Journal of Biological Dynamics Volume 15, 2021 - Issue 1
Submit an article Journal homepage
2,066
Views
2
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Research Article

Estimating the risk of pandemic avian influenza

Amita Tripathia Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, IndiaCorrespondence[email protected]
View further author information
,
Harish Chandra Dhakalb Birendra Multiple Campus, Tribhuvan University, Bharatpur, Nepal;e Western University, London, CanadaCorrespondence[email protected]
View further author information
,
Khagendra Adhikaric Amrit Science Campus, Tribhuvan University, Kathmandu, NepalCorrespondence[email protected]
View further author information
,
Ramesh Chandra Timsinad Patan Multiple Campus, Tribhuvan University, Patan, NepalCorrespondence[email protected]
View further author information
&
Lindi M. Wahle Western University, London, CanadaCorrespondence[email protected]
View further author information
Pages 327-341 | Received 18 Sep 2019, Accepted 21 May 2021, Published online: 18 Jun 2021

References

  • T.Y. Aditama, G. Samaan, R. Kusriastuti, O.D. Sampurno, W. Purba, Misriyah, H. Santoso, A.Bratasena, A. Maruf, E. Sariwati, V. Setiawaty, K. Glass, K. Lokuge, P.M. Kelly, and I.N. Kandun, Avian influenza H5N1 transmission in households, Indonesia, PLoS ONE 7 (2012), pp. e29971.
  • L.J.S. Allen, V.L. Brown, C.B. Jonsson, S.L. Klein, S.M. Laverty, K. Magwedere, J.C. Owen, and P.van den Driessche, Mathematical modeling of viral zoonoses in wildlife, Natural Resource Modeling 25 (2012), pp. 5–51.
  • L.J.S. Allen, An Introduction to Stochastic Processes with Applications to Biology, 2nd ed., CRC Press, Hoboken, NJ, 2010.
  • R. Antia, R.R. Regoes, J.C. Koella, and C.T. Bergstrom, The role of evolution in the emergence of infectious diseases, Nature 426 (2003), pp. 658–661.
  • H. Chabas, S. Lion, A. Nicot, S. Meaden, S. van Houte, S. Moineau, L.M. Wahl, E.R. Westra, and S. Gandon, Evolutionary emergence of infectious diseases in heterogeneous host populations, PLoS Biology 16 (2018), pp. e2006738.
  • S. Herfst, E.J.A. Schrauwen, M. Linster, S. Chutinimitkul, E. de Wit, V.J. Munster, E.M. Sorrell, T.M.Bestebroer, D.F. Burke, D.J. Smith, G.F. Rimmelzwaan, A.D.M.E. Osterhaus, and R.A.M. Fouchier, Airborne transmission of influenza A/H5N1 virus between ferrets, Science 336 (2012), pp. 1534–1541.
  • M. Imai, T. Watanabe, M. Hatta, S.C. Das, M. Ozawa, K. Shinya, G. Zhong, A. Hanson, H. Katsura, S. Watanabe, C. Li, E. Kawakami, S. Yamada, M. Kiso, Y. Suzuki, E.A. Maher, G. Neumann, and Y.Kawaoka, Experimental adaptation of an influenza H5 HA confers respiratory droplet transmission to a reassortant H5 HA/H1N1 virus in ferrets, Nature 486 (2012), pp. 420–428.
  • Y. Iwasa, F. Michor, and M.A. Nowak, Evolutionary dynamics of escape from biomedical intervention, Proc. R. Soc. London B Biolog. Sci. 270 (2003), pp. 2573–2578.
  • M. Lipsitch, W. Barclay, R. Raman, C.J. Russell, J.A. Belser, S. Cobey, P.M. Kasson, J.O.Lloyd-Smith, S. Maurer-Stroh, S. Riley, C.A. Beauchemin, T. Bedford, T.C. Friedrich, A. Handel, S.Herfst, P.R. Murcia, B. Roche, C.O. Wilke, and C.A. Russell, Viral factors in influenza pandemic risk assessment, eLife 5(2016), pp. e18491.
  • J.O. Lloyd-Smith, D. George, K.M. Pepin, V.E. Pitzer, J.R.C. Pulliam, A.P. Dobson, P.J. Hudson, and B.T. Grenfell, Epidemic dynamics at the human-animal interface, Science 326 (2009), pp. 1362–1367.
  • J.S.M. Peiris, M.D. de Jong, and Y. Guan, Avian influenza virus (H5N1): a threat to human health, Clinical Microbiology Reviews 20 (2007), pp. 243–267.
  • C.A. Russell, J.M. Fonville, A.E.X. Brown, D.F. Burke, D.L. Smith, S.L. James, S. Herfst, S. van Boheemen, M. Linster, E.J. Schrauwen, L. Katzelnick, A. Mosterín, T. Kuiken, E. Maher, G.Neumann, A.D.M.E. Osterhaus, Y. Kawaoka, R.A.M. Fouchier, and D.J. Smith, The potential for respiratory droplet-transmissible A/H5N1 influenza virus to evolve in a mammalian host, Science 336 (2012), pp. 1541–1547.
  • D. Sigal, J.N.S. Reid, and L.M. Wahl, Effects of transmission bottlenecks on the diversity of influenza A virus, Genetics 210 (2018), pp. 1075–1088.
  • M. van Boven, M. Koopmans, M.D.R. van Beest Holle, A. Meijer, D. Klinkenberg, C.A. Donnelly, and H.J.A.P. Heesterbeek, Detecting emerging transmissibility of avian influenza virus in human households, PLoS Computational Biology 3(2007), pp.e145
  • D.M. Weinreich, N.F. Delaney, M.A. DePristo, and D.L. Hartl, Darwinian evolution can follow only very few mutational paths to fitter proteins, Science 312 (2006), pp. 111–114.
  • World Health Organization, Cumulative number of confirmed human cases for avian influenza A(H5N1) reported to WHO, 2003-2019, Accessed: December 12, 2019. Available at https://www.who.int/influenza/human_animal_interface/2019_11_25_tableH5N1.pdf.
  • World Health Organization, Information on avian influenza A (H5N1) identified in human in Nepal, Accessed: June 15, 2019. Available at http://www.searo.who.int/nepal/documents/emergencies/Avian_Influenza_A_In_Human/en/.
  • Y. Yang, M.E. Halloran, J.D. Sugimoto, and I.M. Longini, Detecting human-to-human transmission of avian influenza A (H5N1), Emerging Infectious Diseases 13 (2007), pp. 1348–1353.
  • L. Zhou, E. Chen, C. Bao, N. Xiang, J. Wu, S. Wu, J. Shi, X. Wang, Y. Zheng, Y. Zhang, R. Ren, C.M. Greene, F. Havers, A.D. Iuliano, Y. Song, C. Li, T. Chen, Y. Wang, D. Li, D. Ni, Y. Zhang, Z.Feng, T.M. Uyeki, and Q. Li, Clusters of human infection and human-to-human transmission of avian influenza A(H7N9) virus, 2013–2017, Emerging Infectious Diseases 24 (2018), pp. 397–400.

Related research

People also read lists articles that other readers of this article have read.

Recommended articles lists articles that we recommend and is powered by our AI driven recommendation engine.

Cited by lists all citing articles based on Crossref citations.
Articles with the Crossref icon will open in a new tab.