An integrated approach to system dynamics and data envelopment analysis for determining efficient policies and forecasting travel demand in an urban transport system

References

• Abbas, K. A., and M. G. Bell. 1994. “System Dynamics Applicability to Transportation Modeling.” Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice 28 (5): 373–390.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Al-Refaie, A., R. H. Fouad, M. H. Li, and M. Shurrab. 2014. “Applying Simulation and DEA to Improve Performance of Emergency Department in a Jordanian Hospital.” Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory 41: 59–72.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Aslani, N., and J. Zhang. 2014. “Integration of Simulation and DEA to Determine the Most Efficient Patient Appointment Scheduling Model for a Specific Healthcare Setting.” Journal of Industrial Engineering and Management (JIEM) 7 (4): 785–815.
   Google Scholar
• ASTRA. 1999. “Design and Specification of a System Dynamics Model”, ASTRA Deliverable 2.
   Google Scholar
• Azadeh, A., M. Anvari, B. Ziaei, and K. Sadeghi. 2010. “An Integrated Fuzzy DEA–fuzzy C-means–simulation for Optimization of Operator Allocation in Cellular Manufacturing Systems.” The International Journal of Advanced Manufacturing Technology 46 (1–4): 361–375.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Azadeh, A., S. F. Ghaderi, and H. Izadbakhsh. 2008. “Integration of DEA and AHP with Computer Simulation for Railway System Improvement and Optimization.” Applied Mathematics and Computation 195 (2): 775–785.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Azadeh, A., V. Salehi, and M. Kianpour. 2018. “Performance Evaluation of Rail Transportation Systems by considering Resilience Engineering Factors: Tehran Railway Electrification System.” Transportation Letters 10 (1): 12–25.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Banker, R. D., A. Charnes, and W. W. Cooper. 1984. “Some Models for Estimating Technical and Scale Inefficiencies in Data Envelopment Analysis.” Management Science 30 (9): 1078–1092.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Barisa, A., and M. Rosa. 2018. “A System Dynamics Model for CO2 Emission Mitigation Policy Design in Road Transport Sector.” Energy Procedia 147: 419–427.
   Google Scholar
• Carrese, S., E. Cipriani, L. Mannini, and M. Nigro. 2017. “Dynamic Demand Estimation and Prediction for Traffic Urban Networks Adopting New Data Sources.” Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies 81: 83–98.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Charnes, A., W. W. Cooper, and E. Rhodes. 1978. “Measuring the Efficiency of Decision Making Units.” European Journal of Operational Research 2 (6): 429–444.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Ebrahimnejad, A., M. Tavana, and F. J. Santos-Arteaga. 2016. “An Integrated Data Envelopment Analysis and Simulation Method for Group Consensus Ranking.” Mathematics and Computers in Simulation 119: 1–17.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Egilmez, G., and O. Tatari. 2012. “A Dynamic Modeling Approach to Highway Sustainability: Strategies to Reduce Overall Impact.” Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice 46 (7): 1086–1096.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Eriksson, L., M. Friman, D. Ettema, S. Fujii, and T. Gärling. 2010. “Experimental Simulation of Car Users‘ Switching to Public Transport.” Transportation Letters 2 (3): 145–155. doi:https://doi.org/10.3328/TL.2010.02.03.145-155.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Ertay, T., and D. Ruan. 2005. “Data Envelopment Analysis Based Decision Model for Optimal Operator Allocation in CMS.” European Journal of Operational Research 164 (3): 800–810.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Färe, R., and S. Grosskopf. 2004. “Modeling Undesirable Factors in Efficiency Evaluation: Comment.” European Journal of Operational Research 157 (1): 242–245.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Farrell, M. J. 1957. “The Measurement of Productive Efficiency.” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (General) 120 (3): 253–281.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Fontoura, W. B., G. D. L. D. Chaves, and G. M. Ribeiro. 2019. “The Brazilian Urban Mobility Policy: The Impact in São Paulo Transport System Using System Dynamics.” Transport Policy 73: 51–61.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Forrester, J. W. 1969. Urban Dynamics. Waltham, MT, USA: Pegasus Communications.
   Google Scholar
• Haghshenas, H., M. Vaziri, and A. Gholamialam. 2015. “Evaluation of Sustainable Policy in Urban Transportation Using System Dynamics and World Cities Data: A Case Study in Isfahan.” Cities 45: 104–115.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Janelle, D. G., and A. Gillespie. 2004. “Space–time Constructs for Linking Information and Communication Technologies with Issues in Sustainable Transportation.” Transport Reviews 24 (6): 665–677. doi:https://doi.org/10.1080/0144164042000292452.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Jifeng, W. A. N. G., L. U. Huapu, and P. E. N. G. Hu. 2008. “System Dynamics Model of Urban Transportation System and Its Application.” Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology 8 (3): 83–89.
   Google Scholar
• Lacagnina, V., and D. Provenzano. 2009. “An Optimized System Dynamics Approach for a Hotel Chain Management.” In Advances in Tourism Economics, 35–49. Physica-Verlag HD.
   Google Scholar
• Lovell, C. K., and J. T. Pastor. 1999. “Radial DEA Models without Inputs or without Outputs.” European Journal of Operational Research 118 (1): 46–51.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Lu, Q., T. Tettamanti, D. Hörcher, and I. Varga. 2019. “The Impact of Autonomous Vehicles on Urban Traffic Network Capacity: An Experimental Analysis by Microscopic Traffic Simulation.” Transportation Letters 1–10.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Najmi, A., T. H. Rashidi, J. Vaughan, and E. J. Miller. 2019. “Calibration of Large-scale Transport Planning Models: A Structured Approach.” Transportation 1–39.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Norouzian-Maleki, S., S. Bell, S.-B. Hosseini, M. Faizi, and B. Saleh-Sedghpour. 2018. “A Comparison of Neighbourhood Liveability as Perceived by Two Groups of Residents: Tehran, Iran and Tartu, Estonia.” Urban Forestry & Urban Greening 35: 8–20. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ufug.2018.08.004.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Nüñez, F., F. Reyes, P. Grube, and A. Cipriano. 2010. “Simulating Railway and Metropolitan Rail Networks: From Planning to On-line Control.” IEEE Intelligent Transportation Systems Magazine 2 (4): 18–30. doi:https://doi.org/10.1109/MITS.2010.939923.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Radzicki, M. J., and R. A. Taylor. 2008. “Origin of System Dynamics: Jay W. Forrester and the History of System Dynamics.” In US Department of Energy’s Introduction to System Dynamics.
   Google Scholar
• Ratrout, N. T., U. Gazder, and K. J. Assi. 2018. “Effect of Public Transportation in Reducing Passenger Car Trips to Schools in Al-Khobar–Dhahran Metropolitan Area, Saudi Arabia.” Transportation Letters 10 (1): 43–51. doi:https://doi.org/10.1080/19427867.2016.1223927.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Rezaee, M. J., H. Izadbakhsh, and S. Yousefi. 2016. “An Improvement Approach Based on DEA-game Theory for Comparison of Operational and Spatial Efficiencies in Urban Transportation Systems.” KSCE Journal of Civil Engineering 20 (4): 1526–1531.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Saberi, M., H. S. Mahmassani, D. Brockmann, and A. Hosseini. 2017. “A Complex Network Perspective for Characterizing Urban Travel Demand Patterns: Graph Theoretical Analysis of Large-scale Origin–destination Demand Networks.” Transportation 44 (6): 1383–1402.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Sayyadi, R., and A. Awasthi. 2020. “An Integrated Approach Based on System Dynamics and ANP for Evaluating Sustainable Transportation Policies.” International Journal of Systems Science: Operations & Logistics 7 (2): 182–191.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Shepherd, S. P. 2014. “A Review of System Dynamics Models Applied in Transportation.” Transportmetrica B: Transport Dynamics 2 (2): 83–105.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Statistical Centre of Iran. 2015. “Iran Statistical Year Book.” www.amar.org
   Google Scholar
• Sterman, J. 2002. System Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World.
   Google Scholar
• Suryani, E., S. Y. Chou, and C. H. Chen. 2010. “Air Passenger Demand Forecasting and Passenger Terminal Capacity Expansion: A System Dynamics Framework.” Expert Systems with Applications 37 (3): 2324–2339.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Suryani, E., S. Y. Chou, and C. H. Chen. 2012. “Dynamic Simulation Model of Air Cargo Demand Forecast and Terminal Capacity Planning.” Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory 28: 27–41.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Thompson, R. G., F. D. Singleton Jr, R. M. Thrall, and B. A. Smith. 1986. “Comparative Site Evaluations for Locating a High-energy Physics Lab in Texas.” interfaces 16 (6): 35–49.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Toole, J. L., S. Colak, B. Sturt, L. P. Alexander, A. Evsukoff, and M. C. González. 2015. “The Path Most Traveled: Travel Demand Estimation Using Big Data Resources.” Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies 58: 162–177.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Vafa-Arani, H., S. Jahani, H. Dashti, J. Heydari, and S. Moazen. 2014. “A System Dynamics Modeling for Urban Air Pollution: A Case Study of Tehran, Iran.” Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment 31: 21–36.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Vaneman, W. K., and K. Trianfis 2001, July. “Planning for Technology Implementation: An SD (DEA) Approach.” In PICMET’01. Portland International Conference on Management of Engineering and Technology. Proceedings Vol. 1: Book of Summaries (IEEE Cat. No. 01CH37199) (pp. 375–383). IEEE.
   Google Scholar
• Zhang, C., J. He, L. Xing, H. Zhang, and Z. Liu. 2017. A System Dynamics Approach to Parking Pricing Optimization Based on A CBD Parking Survey (No. 17-01325).
   Google Scholar