Good times, bad times: A study of the future path of U. S. fertility

References

• Ahlburg , D. A. 1982 . “ The new Kuznets Cycle: A test of the Easterlin‐Wachter‐Wachter hypothesis ” . In Research in population economics , Edited by: Simon , J. L. and Lindert , P. H. Vol. IV , Greenwich , Conn. : JAI Press . 1982
   Google Scholar
• Ahlburg , D. A. , Crimmins , E. M. and Easterlin , R. A. 1981 . The outlook for higher education: A cohort size model of enrollment of the college age population, 1948–2000 . Rev. Publ. Data Use. , 9 November : 211 – 227 .
   Google Scholar
• Anderson , J. M. 1977 . “ An economic‐demographic model of the United States labor market ” . Cambridge , Mass. : Harvard University . Ph.D. dissertation
   Google Scholar
• Butz , W. P. and Ward , M. P. 1979 . The emergence of countercyclical, U.S. fertility . Amer. Econ. Rev., , 69 : 318 – 328 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Easterlin , R. A. 1961 . The American baby boom in historical perspective . Amer. Econ. Rev. , 60 : 869 – 911 .
   Google Scholar
• _____ . 1968 . Population, labor force and long swings in economic growth: The American experience , New York : Columbia Univ. Press .
   Google Scholar
• _____ . 1973 . “ Relative economic status and the American fertility swing ” . In Family economic behavior: Problems and prospects , Edited by: Sheldon , E. B. 170 – 223 . Philadelphia : J. B. Lippincott .
   Google Scholar
• _____ . 1980 . Birth and fortune: The impact of numbers on personal welfare , New York : Basic Books .
   Google Scholar
• Easterlin , R. A. , Wachter , M. L. and Wachter , S. M. The passing of the Kuznets Cycle: Is there life after death? . Paper presented to the American Economic Association . New York .
   Google Scholar
• _____ . 1978 . The changing impact of population swings on the American economy . Proc. Amer. Phil. Soc. , 122 : 119 – 130 .
   Google Scholar
• Ermisch , J. 1979 . The relevance of the “Easterlin Hypothesis” and the “New home economics” to fertility movements in Great Britain . Pop. Stud. , 33 : 39 – 58 .
   Google Scholar
• Espenshade , T. J. and Serow , W. J. 1978 . The economic consequences of slowing population growth , New York : Academic Press .
   Google Scholar
• Glass , D. V. 1937 . The population problem and the future . Eugen. Rev. , 29 : 39 – 47 .
   PubMedGoogle Scholar
• Hajnal , J. 1955 . The prospects for population forecasts . Amer. Statist. Assoc. , 50 : 309 – 322 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• _____ . 1980 . An exchange . J. Human Resources. , 15 : 99 – 142 .
   Google Scholar
• Keyfitz , N. 1978 . The impending crisis in American graduate schools . The Public Interest , 52 : 85 – 97 .
   Google Scholar
• Keynes , J. M. 1937 . Some economic consequences of a declining population . Eugen. Rev. , 29 : 13 – 17 .
   PubMedGoogle Scholar
• Lee , R. D. 1974a . The formal dynamics of controlled populations and the echo, the boom and the bust . Demography , 11 : 563 – 585 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• _____ . 1974b . Forecasting births in a post‐transition population: Stochastic renewal with serially correlated errors . Amer. Statist. Assoc. , 69 : 607 – 617 .
   PubMedGoogle Scholar
• _____ . 1976 . Demographic forecasting and the Easterlin Hypothesis . Pop. Develop. Rev. , 2 : 459 – 468 .
   Google Scholar
• Samuelson , P. A. 1976 . An economist's nonlinear model of self‐generating fertility waves . Pop. Stud. , 30 : 243 – 247 .
   Google Scholar
• Smith , J. P. and Welch , F. 1981 . No time to be young: The economic prospects for large cohorts in the United States . Pop. Develop. Rev. , 7 : 71 – 83 .
   Google Scholar
• Spengler , J. J. 1940 . Some effects of changes in the age‐composition of the labor force . Southern Econ. J. , 8 : 157 – 175 .
   Google Scholar
• _____ . 1975 . Stationary populations: Economic and educational implications . Canad. Stud. Pop. , 2 : 1 – 14 .
   Google Scholar
• Ward , M. P. and Butz , W. P. 1980 . Completed fertility and its timing . J. Polit. Econ. , 88 : 917 – 940 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Wachter , M. L. 1975 . A time‐series fertility equation: The potential for a baby boom in the 1980's . Internat. Econ. Rev. , 16 : 609 – 624 .
   Google Scholar
• Westoff , C. F. 1978 . Some speculations on the future of marriage and fertility . 19 : 79 – 82 .
   Google Scholar