1,274
Views
0
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Research Article

Consideration of climate change impacts will improve the efficiency of protected areas on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau

, , , , , , , & show all
Article: 2117089 | Received 01 Mar 2022, Accepted 19 Aug 2022, Published online: 20 Sep 2022

References

  • Aiello‐lammens, M. E., R. A. Boria, A. Radosavljevic, B. Vilela, and R. P. Anderson. 2015. “spThin: An R Package for Spatial Thinning of Species Occurrence Records for Use in Ecological Niche Models.” Ecography 38 (5): 1–13.
  • Baotian, P., and L. Jijun. 1996. “Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau: A Driver and Amplifier of the Global Climatic Change── III. The Effects of the Uplift of Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau on Climatic Changes.” Journal of Lanzhou University.
  • Bauer, S., and B. J. Hoye. 2014. “Migratory Animals Couple Biodiversity and Ecosystem Functioning Worldwide.” Science 344 (6179): 1242552. doi:10.1126/science.1242552.
  • Behdarvand, N., M. Kaboli, M. Ahmadi, E. Nourani, A. Salman Mahini, and M. Asadi Aghbolaghi. 2014. “Spatial Risk Model and Mitigation Implications for Wolf–human Conflict in a Highly Modified Agroecosystem in Western Iran.” Biological Conservation 177: 156–164. doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2014.06.024.
  • Cazalis, V., K. Princé, J.-B. Mihoub, J. Kelly, S. H. Butchart, and A. S. Rodrigues. 2020. “Effectiveness of Protected Areas in Conserving Tropical Forest Birds.” Nature Communications 11 (1): 1–8.
  • Cox, G. W. 2010. Bird Migration and Global Change. Washington DC: Island Press, 5–6 .
  • Di Marco, M., J. E. Watson, H. P. Possingham, and O. Venter. 2017. “Limitations and Trade‐offs in the Use of Species Distribution Maps for Protected Area Planning.” The Journal of Applied Ecology 54 (2): 402–411.
  • Dingle, H. 2014. Migration: The Biology of Life on the Move. USA: Oxford University Press.
  • Dorfman, D. D., K. S. Berbaum, and C. E. Metz. 1992. “Receiver Operating Characteristic Rating Analysis: Generalization to the Population of Readers and Patients with the Jackknife Method.” Investigative Radiology 27 (9): 723–731. doi:10.1097/00004424-199209000-00015.
  • Elith, J., S. J. Phillips, T. Hastie, M. Dudík, Y. E. Chee, and C. J. Yates. 2011. “A Statistical Explanation of MaxEnt for Ecologists.” Diversity & Distributions 17 (1): 43–57. doi:10.1111/j.1472-4642.2010.00725.x.
  • Fick, S. E., and R. J. Hijmans. 2017. “WorldClim 2: New 1‐km Spatial Resolution Climate Surfaces for Global Land Areas.” International Journal of Climatology 37 (12): 4302–4315.
  • Fjeldså, J., R. C. K. Bowie, and C. Rahbek. 2012. “The Role of Mountain Ranges in the Diversification of Birds.” Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics 43 (1): 249–265. doi:10.1146/annurev-ecolsys-102710-145113.
  • Gao, Y., L. Cuo, and Y. Zhang. 2014. “Changes in Moisture Flux Over the Tibetan Plateau During 1979–2011 and Possible Mechanisms.” Journal of Climate 27 (5): 1876–1893. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00321.1.
  • Gilg, O., and N. G. Yoccoz. 2010. “Explaining Bird Migration.” Science 327 (5963): 276–277. doi:10.1126/science.1184964.
  • Gross, J., J. Watson, S. Woodley, L. Welling, and D. Harmon. 2015. Responding to Climate Change: Guidance for Protected Area Managers and Planners. Gland, Switzerland: IUCN, 2–8.
  • Han, X., Y. Guo, C. Mi, F. Huettmann, and L. Wen. 2017. “Machine Learning Model Analysis of Breeding Habitats for the Black-Necked Crane in Central Asian Uplands Under Anthropogenic Pressures.” Scientific Reports 7 (1): 6114. doi:10.1038/s41598-017-06167-2.
  • Han, X., F. Huettmann, Y. Guo, C. Mi, and L. Wen. 2018. “Conservation Prioritization with Machine Learning Predictions for the Black-Necked Crane Grus Nigricollis, a Flagship Species on the Tibetan Plateau for 2070.” Regional Environmental Change 18 (7): 2173–2182. doi:10.1007/s10113-018-1336-4.
  • Henden, J.-A., R. A. Ims, E. Fuglei, and Å. Ø. Pedersen. 2017. ”Changed Arctic-Alpine Food Web Interactions Under Rapid Climate Warming: Implication for Ptarmigan Research.” Wildlife Biology 2017, SP1 , 1–11 .
  • Hu, G., K. S. Lim, N. Horvitz, S. J. Clark, D. R. Reynolds, N. Sapir, and J. W. Chapman. 2016. “Mass Seasonal Bioflows of High-Flying Insect Migrants.” Science 354 (6319): 1584–1587. doi:10.1126/science.aah4379.
  • IUCN. 2020. ”The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species.” Redlist. doi:10.2305/IUCN.UK.2020-3.RLTS.T22692162A180030167.en.
  • Knudsen, E., A. Lindén, C. Both, N. Jonzén, F. Pulido, N. Saino, W. J. Sutherland, L. A. Bach, T. Coppack, and T. Ergon. 2011. “Challenging Claims in the Study of Migratory Birds and Climate Change.” Biological Reviews 86 (4): 928–946. doi:10.1111/j.1469-185X.2011.00179.x.
  • Lei, F.-M., Y.-H. Qu, J.-L. Lu, Y. Liu, and Z.-H. Yin. 2003. “Conservation on Diversity and Distribution Patterns of Endemic Birds in China.” Biodiversity & Conservation 12 (2): 239–254. doi:10.1023/A:1021928801558.
  • Lhendup, P., and E. L. Webb. 2009. “Black-Necked Cranes Grus Nigricollis in Bhutan: Migration Routes, Threats and Conservation Prospects.” Forktail 25 (2009): 125–129.
  • Li, L., S. Yang, Z. Wang, X. Zhu, and H. Tang. 2010. “Evidence of Warming and Wetting Climate Over the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.” Arctic, Antarctic, and Alpine Research 42 (4): 449–457. doi:10.1657/1938-4246-42.4.449.
  • Li, S., H. Zhang, X. Zhou, H. Yu, and W. Li. 2020. “Enhancing Protected Areas for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services in the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau.” Ecosystem Services 43: 101090. doi:10.1016/j.ecoser.2020.101090.
  • Linshan, L., Z. Zhilong, Z. Yili, and W. Xue. 2017. “Using MaxEnt Model to Predict Suitable Habitat Changes for Key Protected Species in Koshi Basin, Central Himalayas.” Journal of Resources and Ecology 8 (1): 77–87. doi:10.5814/j.issn.1674-764x.2017.01.010.
  • Long, Y., Y. Zhang, and Q. Ma. 2016. “A Merging Framework for Rainfall Estimation at High Spatiotemporal Resolution for Distributed Hydrological Modeling in a Data-Scarce Area.” Remote Sensing 8 (7): 599. doi:10.3390/rs8070599.
  • Lu, X. 2018. Birds of the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau, China. Wild birds in China. Changsha: Hunan Science and Technology Press, 1–4.
  • Ma, Z., Z. Shi, Y. Zhou, J. Xu, W. Yu, and Y. Yang. 2017. “A Spatial Data Mining Algorithm for Downscaling Tmpa 3b43 V7 Data Over the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau with the Effects of Systematic Anomalies Removed.” Remote Sensing of Environment 200: 378–395. doi:10.1016/j.rse.2017.08.023.
  • Mackenzie, C. A. 2012. “Accruing Benefit or Loss from a Protected Area: Location Matters.” Ecological Economics 76: 119–129. doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2012.02.013.
  • Meng, N., Y.-Z. Yang, H. Zheng, and R.-N. Li. 2021. “Climate Change Indirectly Enhances Sandstorm Prevention Services by Altering Ecosystem Patterns on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.” Journal of Mountain Science 18 (7): 1711–1724. doi:10.1007/s11629-020-6526-0.
  • Merow, C., B. S. Maitner, H. L. Owens, J. M. Kass, B. J. Enquist, W. Jetz, and R. Guralnick. 2019. “Species’ Range Model Metadata Standards: RMMS.” Global Ecology and Biogeography 28 (12): 1912–1924.
  • Merow, C., M. J. Smith, and J. A. Silander. 2013. “A Practical Guide to MaxEnt for Modeling Species’ Distributions: What It Does, and Why Inputs and Settings Matter.” Ecography 36 (10): 1058–1069. doi:10.1111/j.1600-0587.2013.07872.x.
  • Mittermeier, R. A., W. R. Turner, F. W. Larsen, T. M. Brooks, and C. Gascon. 2011. “Global Biodiversity Conservation: The Critical Role of Hotspots. In Zachos, F. E., Habel, J. C. (Eds.), In Biodiversity Hotspots, 3–22. Berlin: Springer.
  • Møller, A. P., D. Rubolini, and E. Lehikoinen (2008). Populations of Migratory Bird Species That Did Not Show a Phenological Response to Climate Change are Declining. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 105., 16195–16200.
  • Myers, N., R. A. Mittermeier, C. G. Mittermeier, G. A. Da Fonseca, and J. Kent. 2000. “Biodiversity Hotspots for Conservation Priorities.” Nature 403 (6772): 853–858.
  • Na, X., H. Zhou, S. Zang, C. Wu, W. Li, and M. Li. 2018. “Maximum Entropy Modeling for Habitat Suitability Assessment of Red-Crowned Crane.” Ecological Indicators 91: 439–446. doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2018.04.013.
  • Nachtergaele, F., H. Velthuizen, L. Verelst, and D. Wiberg. 2009. Harmonized World Soil Database (HWSD), Rome: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, 2–19.
  • Nagy, L., and G. Grabherr. 2009. The Biology of Alpine Habitats. New York: Oxford University Press, 89–90.
  • O’Neill, B. C., C. Tebaldi, D. P. Van Vuuren, V. Eyring, P. Friedlingstein, G. Hurtt, R. Knutti, E. Kriegler, J.-F. Lamarque, and J. Lowe. 2016. “The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMip) for CMIP6.” Geoscientific Model Development 9 (9): 3461–3482. doi:10.5194/gmd-9-3461-2016.
  • Occdownload, G. O. 2021. “Occurrence Download the Global Biodiversity Information Facility.” doi:10.15468/DL.Z9WN2X.
  • Ouyang, Z., H. Zheng, Y. Xiao, S. Polasky, J. Liu, W. Xu, Q. Wang, L. Zhang, Y. Xiao, and E. Rao. 2016. “Improvements in Ecosystem Services from Investments in Natural Capital.” Science 352 (6292): 1455–1459. doi:10.1126/science.aaf2295.
  • Pearce‐higgins, J. W., S. M. Eglington, B. Martay, and D. E. Chamberlain. 2015. “Drivers of Climate Change Impacts on Bird Communities.” The Journal of Animal Ecology 84 (4): 943–954.
  • Peng, W., D. Kong, C. Wu, A. P. Møller, and T. Longcore. 2020. “Predicted Effects of Chinese National Park Policy on Wildlife Habitat Provisioning: Experience from a Plateau Wetland Ecosystem.” Ecological Indicators 115. doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2020.106346.
  • Phillips, S. J. 2005. “A Brief Tutorial on Maxent.” AT&T Research 190 (4): 231–259.
  • Phillips, S. J., R. P. Anderson, and R. E. Schapire. 2006. “Maximum Entropy Modeling of Species Geographic Distributions.” Ecological Modelling 190 (3–4): 231–259. doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2005.03.026.
  • Qiu, J. 2008. “China: The Third Pole.” Nature News 454 (7203): 393–396. doi:10.1038/454393a.
  • Quan, R.-C., X. Wen, and X. Yang. 2002. “Effects of Human Activities on Migratory Waterbirds at Lashihai Lake, China.” Biological Conservation 108 (3): 273–279. doi:10.1016/S0006-3207(02)00125-8.
  • Robinson, R. A., H. Q. Crick, J. A. Learmonth, I. M. Maclean, C. D. Thomas, F. Bairlein, M. C. Forchhammer, C. M. Francis, J. A. Gill, and B. J. Godley. 2009. “Travelling Through a Warming World: Climate Change and Migratory Species.” Endangered Species Research 7 (2): 87–99. doi:10.3354/esr00095.
  • Rubolini, D., N. Saino, and A. P. Møller. 2010. “Migratory Behaviour Constrains the Phenological Response of Birds to Climate Change.” Climate Research 42 (1): 45–55. doi:10.3354/cr00862.
  • Runge, C. A., J. E. Watson, S. H. Butchart, J. O. Hanson, H. P. Possingham, and R. A. Fuller. 2015. “Protected Areas and Global Conservation of Migratory Birds.” Science 350 (6265): 1255–1258.
  • Ryan Norris, D., and P. P. Marra. 2007. “Seasonal Interactions, Habitat Quality, and Population Dynamics in Migratory Birds.” The Condor 109 (3): 535–547. doi:10.1093/condor/109.3.535.
  • Shen, Y., G. Liu, W. Zhou, Y. Liu, H. Cheng, X. Su, and P. Ericson. 2021. “Protected Areas Have Remarkable Spillover Effects on Forest Conservation on the Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau.” Diversity & Distributions. doi:10.1111/ddi.13466.
  • Song, H., Y. Zhang, H. Gao, Y. Guo, and S. Li. 2014. “Plateau Wetlands, an Indispensible Habitat for the Black-Necked Crane (Grus Nigricollis)-A Review.” Wetlands 34 (4): 629–639.
  • Tolvanen, J., C. Morosinotto, J. T. Forsman, and R. L. Thomson. 2020. “Information Collected During the Post-Breeding Season Guides Future Breeding Decisions in a Migratory Bird.” Oecologia 192 (4): 965–977. doi:10.1007/s00442-020-04629-5.
  • Viana, D. S., L. Santamaria, and J. Figuerola. 2016. “Migratory Birds as Global Dispersal Vectors.” Trends in Ecology & Evolution 31 (10): 763–775. doi:10.1016/j.tree.2016.07.005.
  • Wang, Y., C. Mi, and Y. Guo. 2020. “Satellite Tracking Reveals a New Migration Route of Black-Necked Cranes (Grus Nigricollis) in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.” PeerJ 8: e9715.
  • Warren, D. L., R. E. Glor, and M. Turelli. 2010. “Enmtools: A Toolbox for Comparative Studies of Environmental Niche Models.” Ecography 33 (3): 607–611.
  • Whelan, C. J., D. G. Wenny, and R. J. Marquis. 2008. “Ecosystem Services Provided by Birds.” Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 1134 (1): 25–60. doi:10.1196/annals.1439.003.
  • Wiegand, T., J. Naves, M. F. Garbulsky, and N. Fernández. 2008. “Animal Habitat Quality and Ecosystem Functioning: Exploring Seasonal Patterns Using NDVI.” Ecological Monographs 78 (1): 87–103. doi:10.1890/06-1870.1.
  • Xie, P., and A. Y. Xiong. 2011. ”A Conceptual Model for Constructing High‐resolution Gauge‐satellite Merged Precipitation Analyses.” Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres,116, D21, 1–14.
  • Xin, X., T. Wu, J. Zhang, J. Yao, and Y. Fang. 2020. “Comparison of CMIP6 and CMIP5 Simulations of Precipitation in China and the East Asian Summer Monsoon.” International Journal of Climatology 40 (15): 6423–6440.
  • Xu, W., S. L. Pimm, A. Du, Y. Su, X. Fan, L. An, J. Liu, and Z. Ouyang. 2019. “Transforming Protected Area Management in China.” Trends in Ecology & Evolution 34 (9): 762–766. doi:10.1016/j.tree.2019.05.009.
  • Yao, T., L. G. Thompson, V. Mosbrugger, F. Zhang, Y. Ma, T. Luo, B. Xu, et al. 2012. “Third Pole Environment (TPE).” Environmental Development 3: 52–64. doi:10.1016/j.envdev.2012.04.002.
  • You, Q., Z. Cai, F. Wu, Z. Jiang, N. Pepin, and S. S. P. Shen. 2021. “Temperature Dataset of CMIP6 Models Over China: Evaluation, Trend and Uncertainty.” Climate Dynamics 57 (1–2): 17–35. doi:10.1007/s00382-021-05691-2.
  • Yu, H., D. C. Deane, Y. Zhang, S. Li, S. Miao, G. Xie, X. Yin, and A. Favre. 2021. “Integrating Multiple Indices of Geobiodiversity Reveals a Series of Regional Species-Rich Areas Worthy of Conservation in the Region of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.” Biological Conservation 261. doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2021.109238.
  • Zhang, C., Q. Quan, Y. Wu, Y. Chen, P. He, Y. Qu, and F. Lei. 2017. “Topographic Heterogeneity and Temperature Amplitude Explain Species Richness Patterns of Birds in the Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau.” Current Zoology 63 (2): 131–137.
  • Zhang, K., L. Yao, J. Meng, and J. Tao. 2018. “Maxent Modeling for Predicting the Potential Geographical Distribution of Two Peony Species Under Climate Change.” The Science of the Total Environment 634: 1326–1334. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.04.112.
  • Zhu, Y.-Y., and S. Yang. 2020. “Evaluation of CMIP6 for Historical Temperature and Precipitation Over the Tibetan Plateau and Its Comparison with CMIP5.” Advances in Climate Change Research 11 (3): 239–251. doi:10.1016/j.accre.2020.08.001.
  • Zimmerer, K. S., R. E. Galt, and M. V. Buck. 2004. “Globalization and Multi-Spatial Trends in the Coverage of Protected-Area Conservation (1980–2000).” Ambio: A Journal of the Human Environment 33 (8): 520–529. doi:10.1579/0044-7447-33.8.520.
  • Zurell, D., J. Franklin, C. König, P. J. Bouchet, C. F. Dormann, J. Elith, G. Fandos, X. Feng, G. Guillera‐arroita, and A. Guisan. 2020. “A Standard Protocol for Reporting Species Distribution Models.” Ecography 43 (9): 1261–1277. doi:10.1111/ecog.04960.