4,877
Views
12
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Acceptance – Research Paper

Estimating the size of “anti-vax” and vaccine hesitant populations in the US, UK, and Canada: comparative latent class modeling of vaccine attitudes

ORCID Icon, ORCID Icon, ORCID Icon & ORCID Icon
Article: 2008214 | Received 16 Aug 2021, Accepted 16 Nov 2021, Published online: 29 Mar 2022

References

  • WHO. 2019. Ten threats to global health in 2019. [accessed 2021 Aug 11]. https://www.who.int/news-room/spotlight/ten-threats-to-global-health-in-2019 .
  • Salmon DA, Dudley MZ. It is time to get serious about vaccine confidence. Lancet. 2020;396:870–10. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(20)31603-2.
  • Cunningham RM, Minard CG, Guffey D, Swaim LS, Opel DJ, Boom JA. Prevalence of vaccine hesitancy among expectant mothers of Houston, Texas. Acad Pediatr. 2018;18:154–60. doi:10.1016/j.acap.2017.08.003.
  • Zaller JR. The nature and origins of mass opinion. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press; 1992.
  • Bartsch SM, O’Shea KJ, Ferguson MC, Bottazzi ME, Wedlock PT, Strych U, McKinnell JA, Siegmund SS, Cox SN, Hotez PJ, et al. Vaccine efficacy needed for a COVID-19 coronavirus vaccine to prevent or stop an epidemic as the sole intervention. Am J Prev Med. 2020;59:493–503.
  • Shapiro GK, Tatar O, Dube E, Amsel R, Knauper B, Naz A, Perez S, Rosberger Z. The vaccine hesitancy scale: psychometric properties and validation. Vaccine. 2018;36:660–67. doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2017.12.043.
  • Luyten J, Bruyneel L, van Hoek AJ. Assessing vaccine hesitancy in the UK population using a generalized vaccine hesitancy survey instrument. Vaccine. 2019;37:2494–501. doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2019.03.041.
  • Opel DJ, Taylor JA, Mangione-Smith R, Solomon C, Zhao C, Catz S, Martin D. Validity and reliability of a survey to identify vaccine-hesitant parents. Vaccine. 2011;29:6598–605. doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2011.06.115.
  • Opel DJ, Taylor JA, Zhou C, Catz S, Myaing M, Mangione-Smith R. The relationship between parent attitudes about childhood vaccines survey scores and future child immunization status: a validation study. JAMA Pediatr. 2013;167:1065–71. doi:10.1001/jamapediatrics.2013.2483.
  • Amin AB, Bednarczyk RA, Ray CE, Melchiori KJ, Graham J, Huntsinger JR, Omer SB. Association of moral values with vaccine hesitancy. Nat Hum Behav. 2017;1(12):873–80. doi:10.1038/s41562-017-0256-5.
  • Lunz Trujillo K, Motta M. How internet access drives global vaccine skepticism. Int J Public Opin Res. 2021;33(3):551–70. doi:10.1093/ijpor/edab012.
  • Nyhan B, Reifler J, Richey S, Freed GL. Effective messages in vaccine promotion: a randomized trial. Pediatrics. 2014;133:e835–e842. doi:10.1542/peds.2013-2365.
  • Loomba S, de Figueiredo A, Piatek SJ, de Graaf K, Larson HJ. Measuring the impact of COVID-19 vaccine misinformation on vaccination intent in the UK and USA. Nat Hum Behav. 2021;5:337–48. doi:10.1038/s41562-021-01056-1.
  • Stecula DA, Kuru O, Jamieson KH. How trust in experts and media use affect acceptance of common anti-vaccination claims. Harvard Kennedy Sch Misinf Rev. 2020;1:1–11.
  • Kuru O, Stecula D, Lu H, Ophir Y, Chan M, Winneg K, Hall Jamieson K, Albarracín D. The effects of scientific messages and narratives about vaccination. PloS One. 2021;16:e0248328. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0248328.
  • Motta M, Callaghan T, Sylvester S, Lunz-Trujillo K. Identifying the prevalence, correlates, and policy consequences of anti-vaccine social identity. Polit Groups Identities. 2021:1–15. doi:10.1080/21565503.2021.1932528.
  • Dubé E, Laberge C, Guay M, Bramadat P, Roy R, Bettinger JA. Vaccine hesitancy: an overview. Hum Vaccin Immunother. 2013;9:1763–73. doi:10.4161/hv.24657.
  • MacDonald NE and SAGE Working Group. Vaccine hesitancy: definition, scope and determinants. Vaccine. 2015;33:4161–64. doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2015.04.036.
  • Larson HJ, Schulz WS, Tucker JD, Smith DM. Measuring vaccine confidence: introducing a global vaccine confidence index. PLoS Curr. 2015;7. doi:10.1371/currents.outbreaks.ce0f6177bc97332602a8e3fe7d7f7cc4.
  • Larson HJ, Jarrett C, Schulz WS, Chaudhuri M, Zhou Y, Dube E, Schuster M, MacDonald NE, Wilson R. Measuring vaccine hesitancy: the development of a survey tool. Vaccine. 2015;33:4165–75. doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2015.04.037.
  • Larson HJ, De Figueiredo A, Xiahong Z, Schulz WS, Verger P, Johnston IG, Cook AR, Jones NS. The state of vaccine confidence 2016: global insights through a 67-country survey. EBioMedicine. 2016;12:295–301. doi:10.1016/j.ebiom.2016.08.042.
  • Broockman D, Kalla J, Guerrero A, Budolfson M, Eyal N, Jewell NP, Magalhaes M, Sekhon JS. Broad cross-national public support for accelerated COVID-19 vaccine trial designs. Vaccine. 2021;39:309–16. doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2020.11.072.
  • Dudley MZ, Limaye RJ, Omer SB, O’Leary ST, Ellingson MK, Spina CI, Chamberlain AT, Brewer SE, Bednarczyk RA, Malik F, et al. Latent class analysis of maternal vaccine attitudes and beliefs. Health Educ Behav. 2020;47:765–81. doi:10.1177/1090198120939491.
  • Salmon DA, Limaye RJ, Dudley MZ, Oloko OK, Church-Balin C, Ellingson MK, Spina CI, Brewer SE, Orenstein WA, Halsey NA, et al. Momstalkshots: an individually tailored educational application for maternal and infant vaccines. Vaccine. 2019;37:6478–85. doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2019.08.080.
  • Weiss C, Schröpfer D, Merten S. Parental attitudes towards measles vaccination in the canton of Aargau, Switzerland: a latent class analysis. BMC Infect Dis. 2016;16:1–8. doi:10.1186/s12879-016-1747-0.
  • Gilkey MB, Mohan D, Janssen EM, McRee AL, Kornides ML, Bridges JF. Exploring variation in parental worries about HPV vaccination: a latent-class analysis. Hum Vaccin Immunother. 2019;15:1745–51. doi:10.1080/21645515.2019.1574157.
  • Freed GL, Clark SJ, Butchart AT, Singer DC, Davis MM. Parental vaccine safety concerns in 2009. Pediatrics. 2010;125:654–59. doi:10.1542/peds.2009-1962.
  • McCutcheon AL. Latent class analysis. Thousand Oaks (CA): Sage; 1987.
  • Muthén LK, Muthén BO. Mplus user’s guide. 8th ed. Los Angeles (CA): Muthén & Muthén; 2017.
  • Clogg CC, Goodman LA. On scaling models applied to data from several groups. Psychometrika. 1986;51:123–35. doi:10.1007/BF02294005.
  • Clinton J, Cohen J, Lapinski J, Trussler M. Partisan pandemic: how partisanship and public health concerns affect individuals’ social mobility during COVID-19. Sci Adv. 2021;7:eabd7204. doi:10.1126/sciadv.abd7204.
  • Pickup M, Stecula D, van der Linden C. Novel coronavirus, old partisanship: COVID-19 attitudes and behaviours in the United States and Canada. Can J Political Sci. 2020;53:357–64. doi:10.1017/S0008423920000463.
  • Quinn SC, Jamison A, Freimuth VS, An J, Hancock GR, Musa D. Exploring racial influences on flu vaccine attitudes and behavior: results of a national survey of white and African American adults. Vaccine. 2017;35:1167–74. doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2016.12.046.
  • Lindholt MF, Jørgensen F, Bor A, Petersen MB. Public acceptance of COVID-19 vaccines: cross-national evidence on levels and individual-level predictors using observational data. BMJ Open. 2021;11:e048172. doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2020-048172.
  • Martin A, Gravelle T B, Baekkeskov E, Lewis J, Kashima Y. Enlisting the support of trusted sources to tackle policy problems: The case of antimicrobial resistance. PLoS ONE. 2019; 14:e0212993. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0212993
  • Hainmueller J, Mummolo J, Xu Y. How much should we trust estimates from multiplicative interaction models? Simple tools to improve empirical practice. Political Anal. 2019;27:163–92. doi:10.1017/pan.2018.46.