206
Views
3
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Original Research Paper

Study on the applicability of a stochastic typhoon model for probabilistic forecasting of storm surge induced by a typhoon

& ORCID Icon
Pages 602-624 | Received 25 Jul 2019, Accepted 19 Sep 2020, Published online: 09 Oct 2020

References

  • Emanuel, K. A., S. Ravela, E. Vivant, and C. Risi. 2006. “A Statistical Deterministic Approach to Hurricane Risk Assessment.” Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 87: 299–314. doi:10.1175/BAMS-87-3-299.
  • Graf, M., K. Nishijima, and M. H. Faber. 2009. “A Probabilistic Typhoon Model for the Northwest Pacific Region.” The Seventh Asia-Pacific Conf. on Wind Engineering, November 8–12. Taipei, Taiwan.
  • Hall, T. M., and S. Jewson. 2007. “Statistical Modelling of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Tracks.” Tellus 59 (4): 486–498. doi:10.3402/tellusa.v59i4.15017.
  • Hattori, N., Y. Tajima, Y. Yamanaka, and K. Kumagai. 2020. “Study on the Influence of Infragravity Waves on Inundation Characteristics at Minami-Ashiyahama in Osaka Bay Induced by the 2018 Typhoon Jebi.” Coastal Engineering Journal, Taylor & Francis 62 (2): 182–197. doi:10.1080/21664250.2020.1724247.
  • Higaki, M., H. Hayashibara, and F. Nozaki. 2009. “Outline of the Storm Surge Prediction Model at the Japan Meteorological Agency.” RSMC Tokyo— Typhoon Center Technical Review, No. 11, 25–38.
  • Huang, Y., R. H. Weisberg, L. Zheng, and M. Zijlema. 2013. “Gulf of Mexico Hurricane Wave Simulations Using SWAN: Bulk Formula-based Drag Coefficient Sensitivity for Hurricane Ike.” Journal of Geophysical Research 118: 3916–3938. doi:10.1002/jgrc.20283.
  • Irish, L. J., Y. K. Song, and K.-A. Chang. 2011. “Probabilistic Hurricane Surge Forecasting Using Parameterized Surge Response Functions.” Gerphysical Research Letters 38. doi:10.1029/2010GL046347.
  • James, M. K., and L. B. Mason. 2005. “Synthetic Tropical Cyclone Database.” Journal of Waterway, Port, Coastal, and Ocean Engineering 131 (4): 181–192. doi:10.1061/(ASCE)0733-950X(2005)131:4(181).
  • Kato, F. 2005. “Study on Risk Assessment of Storm Surge Flood.” Technical Note of National Institute for Land and Infrastructure Management. No.275. (in Japanese). http://www.nilim.go.jp/lab/bcg/siryou/tnn/tnn0275.htm
  • Kawai, H., and N. Hashimoto. 2006. “Evaluation of Occurrence Probability Distribution of Extreme Storm Surges Using Stochastic Typhoon Model.” Technical Note of the Port and Airport Research Institute. No.1122. (in Japanese). https://www.pari.go.jp/en/report_search/detail.php?id=200606112201
  • Kinki Regional Development Bureau. 2018. “Overview of Storm Surge and Heavy Rainfall by 2018 Typhoon No 24 (2nd Announcement).” (in Japanese). https://www.kkr.mlit.go.jp/news/river/disaster/2018/ol9a8v0000016gus-att/ol9a8v0000016gwd.pdf
  • Knutson, T. R., J. L. McBride, J. Chan, K. Emanuel, G. Holland, C. Landsea, I. Held, J. P. Kossin, A. K. Srivastava, and M. Sugi. 2010. “Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change.” Nature Geoscience 3: 157–163. doi:10.1038/ngeo779.
  • McBride, J. L., and G. J. Holland. 1987. “Tropical-Cyclone Forecasting: A Worldwide Summary of Techniques and Verification Statistics.” Bulletin American Meteorological Society 68 (10): 1230–1238. doi:10.1175/1520-0477(1987)068<1230:TCFAWS>2.0.CO;2.
  • Mitsuta, Y., and T. Fujii. 1987. “Analysis and Synthesis of Typhoon Wind Pattern over Japan.” Bulletin of the Disaster Prevention Research Institute 37. Part 4 (329): 169–185.
  • Mori, N., T. Yasuda, T. Arikawa, T. Kataoka, S. Nakajo, K. Suzuki, Y. Yamanaka, and A. Webb. 2019. “2018 Typhoon Jebi Post-event Survey of Coastal Damage in the Kansai Region, Japan.” Coastal Engineering Journal 61 (3): 278–294. doi:10.1080/21664250.2019.1619253.
  • Myers, V. A. 1954. “Characteristics of United States Hurricanes Pertinent to Levee Design for Lake Okeechobee, Florida.” Hydrometeorological Report. No.32.
  • Nakajo, S., N. Mori, T. Yasuda, and H. Mase. 2014. “Global Stochastic Tropical Cyclone Model Based on Principal Component Analysis and Cluster Analysis.” Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 53 (6): 1547–1577. doi:10.1175/JAMC-D-13-08.1.
  • Nakamura, J., U. Lall, Y. Kushnir, and B. Rajagopalan. 2015. “HITS: Hurricane Intensity and Track Simulator with North Atlantic Ocean Applications for Risk Assessment.” Journal of Applied Metheorology and Climatology 54. doi:10.1175/JAMC-D-14-0141.1.
  • Oey, L. Y., T. Ezer, D. P. Wang, S. J. Fan, and X. Q. Yin. 2006. “Loop Current Warming by Hurricane Wilma.” Geophysical Research Letters 33 (8). doi:10.1029/2006GL025873.
  • Powell, M. D., P. J. Vickery, and T. A. Reinhold. 2003. “Reduced Drag Coefficient for High Wind Speeds in Tropical Cyclones.” Nature 422: 279–283. doi:10.1038/nature01481.
  • Rumpf, J., H. Weindl, P. Höppe, E. Rauch, and V. Schmidt. 2007. “Stochastic Modelling of Tropical Cyclone Tracks.” Mathematical Methods of Operations Research 66 (3): 475–490. doi:10.1007/s00186-007-0168-7.
  • Tajima, Y., K. H. Gunasekara, T. Shimozono, and E. C. Cruz. 2016. “Study on Locally Varying Inundation Characteristics Induced by Super Typhoon Haiyan. Part 1: Dynamic Behavior of Storm Surge and Waves around San Pedro Bay.” Coastal Engineering Journal 58 (1). doi:10.1142/S0578563416400039.
  • Vickery, P. J., P. F. Skerlj, and L. A. Twisdale. 2000. “Simulation of Hurricane Risk in the U.S. Using Empirical Track Model.” Journal of Structural Engineering 126 (10): 1222–1237. doi:10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9445(2000)126:10(1222).
  • Yamanaka, Y., Y. Matsuba, Y. Tajima, R. Shibata, N. Hattori, L. Wu, and N. Okami. 2019. “Nearshore Dynamics of Storm Surges and Waves Induced by the 2018 Typhoons Jebi and Trami Based on the Analysis of Video Footage Recorded on the Coasts of Wakayama, Japan.” Journal of Marine Science and Engineering 7 (11): 413. doi:10.3390/jmse7110413.

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.