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Original Articles

Is America a Declining Power?

Notes

  • For declinist arguments, see “Global Trends 2025: A Transferred World,” National Intelligence Council, November 2, 2008, www://dni.gov/nioNIC_2025_project.htm; National Intelligence Council “Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds,” National Intelligence Council, December 12, 2012, www.dni.gov/NIC_2030_project.htm; Michael Mandelbaum, The Frugal Superpower: Americans Global Leadership in a Cash-Strapped Era (New York, 2010); Fareed Zakaria, The Post American World (New York, 2008).
  • For anti-declinist arguments, see William Wohlforth and Stephen Brooks, “Reshaping the World Order,” Foreign Affairs, March/April 2009; Robert J. Lieber, “Can the US Retain Primacy?” The Israel Journal of Foreign Affairs, V: 3 (2011) and his Power and Will Power in the American Future (Cambridge, 2012 J. Eric Edelman, “Understanding America's Contested Primacy,” Center for Strategic and Budgetary Analysis, 2012; Josef Joffe, The Myth of America's Decline (New York, 2013.
  • According to the US Census Bureau, Americans over sixty-five constituted about 13 percent of the population in 2000 and will constitute about 20 percent of the population by 2030, www.census.gov/hhes/laborfor/washington-beyond-returement-age.pdf.
  • Jonathan Tobin, “American Jewry's New Chance,” Commentary Magazine, January 4, 2014.

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