Desafíos para la investigación sobre el cambio climático en Ecuador

References

• Villar JCE, Ronchail J, Guyot JL, et al. Spatio-temporal rainfall variability in the Amazon basin countries (Brazil, Peru, Bolivia, Colombia, and Ecuador). Int J Climatol. 2009;29(11):1574–1594.10.1002/joc.v29:11
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Vicente-Serrano SM, Aguilar E, Martínez R, et al. The complex influence of ENSO on droughts in Ecuador. Clim Dyn. 2017;48(1–2):405–427.10.1007/s00382-016-3082-y
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Muñoz A. Validación y Análisis de Consenso de Modelos de Escenarios de Cambio Climático para Ecuador. PROYECTO MAE-SCN-PRAA-PACC-INAMHI. Quito, Ecuador: Ministerio del Ambiente; 2010. documento inedito.
   Google Scholar
• Buytaert W, De Bievre B. Water for cities: the impact of climate change and demographic growth in the tropical Andes. Water Resour Res. 2012;48(8):1–13.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Nolivos I, Villacís M, Vázquez RF, et al. Challenges for a sustainable management of Ecuadorian water resources. Sustain Water Qual Ecol [Internet]. 2015 Sep;6:101–106.10.1016/j.swaqe.2015.02.002
   Google Scholar
• Vuille M, Franquist E, Garreaud R, et al. Impact of the global warming hiatus on Andean temperature. J Geophys Res Atmos. 2015;120(9):3745–3757.10.1002/2015JD023126
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Urrutia R, Vuille M. Climate change projections for the tropical Andes using a regional climate model: temperature and precipitation simulations for the end of the 21st century. J Geophys Res Atmos. 2009;114(2).
   Google Scholar
• Armenta G, Villa J, Jacome P. Proyección climática de precipitación y temperatura para Ecuador bajo distintos escenarios de cambio climático. Quito, Ecuador: Ministerio del Ambiente; 2016. documento inedito.
   Google Scholar
• Pineda LE, Willems P. Multisite downscaling of seasonal predictions to daily rainfall characteristics over Pacific–Andean River Basins in Ecuador and Peru Using a nonhomogeneous Hidden Markov model. J Hydrometeorol. 2016;17(2):481–498.10.1175/JHM-D-15-0040.1
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Mora DE, Willems P. Decadal oscillations in rainfall and air temperature in the Paute River Basin-Southern Andes of Ecuador. Theor Appl Climatol. 2012;108(1–2):267–282.10.1007/s00704-011-0527-4
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Sklenáø P, Kuèerová A, Macková J, et al. Temporal variation of climate in the high-elevation páramo of Antisana, Ecuador. Geogr Fis e Din Quat. 2015;38(1):67–78.
   Google Scholar
• Manciati C, Villacís M, Taupin J-D, et al. Empirical mass balance modelling of South American tropical glaciers: case study of Antisana volcano. Ecuador Hydrol Sci J. 2014;59(8):1519–1535.10.1080/02626667.2014.888490
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Federici PR, Rodolfi G. Rapid shoreline retreat along the Esmeraldas coast, Ecuador: natural and man-induced processes. J Coast Conserv. 2001;7(2):163–170.10.1007/BF02742478
   Google Scholar
• Basantes-Serrano R, Rabatel A, Francou B, et al. Slight mass loss revealed by reanalyzing glacier mass-balance observations on Glaciar Antisana 15α (inner tropics) during the 1995–2012 period. J Glaciol. 2016;62(231):124–136.10.1017/jog.2016.17
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Vuille M, Francou B, Wagnon P, et al. Climate change and tropical Andean glaciers: past, present and future. Earth-Science Rev. 2008;89(3–4):79–96.10.1016/j.earscirev.2008.04.002
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Jordan E, Ungerechts L, Cáceres B, et al. Estimation by photogrammetry of the glacier recession on the Cotopaxi Volcano (Ecuador) between 1956 and 1997. Hydrol Sci J. 2005;50(6):949–962.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Rabatel A, Francou B, Soruco A, et al. Current state of glaciers in the tropical Andes: a multi-century perspective on glacier evolution and climate change. Cryosphere. 2013;7(1):81–102.10.5194/tc-7-81-2013
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• La Frenierre J, Mark BG. Detecting patterns of climate change at Volcán Chimborazo, Ecuador, by integrating instrumental data, public observations, and glacier change analysis. Ann Am Assoc Geo. 2017:1–19.
   Google Scholar
• Buytaert W, Cuesta-Camacho F, Tobón C. Potential impacts of climate change on the environmental services of humid tropical alpine regions: climate change and environmental services. Glob Ecol Biogeogr. 2011 Jan;20(1):19–33.10.1111/geb.2011.20.issue-1
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Bradley RS, Vuille M, Diaz HF, et al. Threats to water supplies in the tropical andes. Science. 2006;312(5781):1755–1756.
   Google Scholar
• Viviroli D, Dürr HH, Messerli B, et al. Mountains of the world, water towers for humanity: typology, mapping, and global significance. Water Resour Res. 2007;43(7):1–13.
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Haller A, Herzog SK, Martinez R, et al. Climate change and biodiversity in the tropical Andes. Mt Res Dev. 2012;32(2):258–259.10.1659/mrd.mm097
   Google Scholar
• Balthazar V, Vanacker V, Molina A, et al. Impacts of forest cover change on ecosystem services in high Andean mountains. Ecol Indic. 2015;48:63–75.10.1016/j.ecolind.2014.07.043
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Calles J. Informe de proyecciones climáticas y sus impactos en el ecosistema páramo de Tungurahua. Ecuador: Ecuador. Quito; 2015.
   Google Scholar
• Guns M, Vanacker V. Shifts in landslide frequency-area distribution after forest conversion in the tropical Andes. Anthropocene. 2014;6:75–85.10.1016/j.ancene.2014.08.001
   Google Scholar
• Molina A, Vanacker V, Brisson E, et al. Multidecadal change in streamflow associated with anthropogenic disturbances in the tropical Andes. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci. 2015;19(10):4201–4213.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Molina A, Vanacker V, Balthazar V, et al. Complex land cover change, water and sediment yield in a degraded Andean environment. J Hydrol. 2012;472–473:25–35.10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.09.012
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Vanacker V, von Blanckenburg F, Govers G, et al. Restoring dense vegetation can slow mountain erosion to near natural benchmark levels. Geology. 2007;35(4):303–306.10.1130/G23109A.1
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Ortega Andrade S, Páez GT, Feria TP, et al. Climate change and the risk of spread of the fungus from the high mortality of Theobroma cocoa in Latin America. Neotrop Biodivers. 2017;3(1):30–40.10.1080/23766808.2016.1266072
   Google Scholar
• Báez S, Jaramillo L, Cuesta F, et al. Effects of climate change on Andean biodiversity: a synthesis of studies published until 2015. Neotrop Biodivers. 2016;2(1):181–194.10.1080/23766808.2016.1248710
   Google Scholar
• Cuesta F, Peralvo M, Merino-Viteri A, et al. Priority areas for biodiversity conservation in mainland Ecuador. Neotrop Biodivers. 2017;3(1):93–106.10.1080/23766808.2017.1295705
   Google Scholar
• Moret P, Aráuz MÁ, Gobbi M, et al. Climate warming effects in the tropical Andes: first evidence for upslope shifts of Carabidae (Coleoptera) in Ecuador. Insect Conserv Divers. 2016;9(4):342–350.10.1111/icad.2016.9.issue-4
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• de Guenni LB, García M, Muñoz ÁG, et al. Predicting monthly precipitation along coastal Ecuador: ENSO and transfer function models. Theor Appl Climatol. 2016:1–15.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• IPCC. Climate change 2013: the Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. New York; 2013.
   Google Scholar
• MAE. Estrategia Nacional de Cambio Climático del Ecuador, 2012–2025. Quito, Ecuador; 2012.
   Google Scholar
• SENPLADES. Plan Nacional del Buen Vivir, 2013–2017. Secretaría Nacional de Planificación y Desarrollo, editor. Quito, Ecuador; 2013.
   Google Scholar
• Senescyt. Convocatoria para la Presentación de Programas y/o Proyectos de Investigación Científica y Desarrollo Tecnológico. Acuerdo Nro. 2014-076. acuerdo disponible en: http://www.educacionsuperior.gob.ec/wp-content/uploads/downloads/2014/05/ACUERDO-2014-076.pdf. Quito; 2014.
   Google Scholar
• PUCE. Acta de constitución del nodo ecuador de universidades para la investigación del cambio climático, miembro de la red andina de universidades en gestión del riesgo y cambio climático. Quito; 2011.
   Google Scholar
• Newell P. Cambio climático y desarrollo en Latinoamérica: tendencias y carencias en la investigación. Red Latinoamericana de Política Comercial. Serie Crecimiento Verde e Inclusivo; 2012.
   Google Scholar
• UNFCC. Compilation and synthesis report of sixth national communications and first biennial reports from Parties included in Annex I to the Convention. Geneva; 2014.
   Google Scholar
• Stewart Ibarra AM, Ryan SJ, Beltrán E, et al. Dengue vector dynamics (Aedes aegypti) influenced by climate and social factors in ecuador: Implications for targeted control. PLoS One. 2013;8(11).
   Google Scholar
• Romero-Lankao P, Qin H, Borbor-Cordova M. Exploration of health risks related to air pollution and temperature in three Latin American cities. Soc Sci Med. 2013;83:110–118.10.1016/j.socscimed.2013.01.009
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hall JM, Van Holt T, Daniels AE, et al. Trade-offs between tree cover, carbon storage and floristic biodiversity in reforesting landscapes. Landsc Ecol. 2012;27(8):1135–1147.10.1007/s10980-012-9755-y
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Aguirre N, Eguiguren P, Maita J, et al. Potential impacts to dry forest species distribution under two climate change scenarios in southern Ecuador. Neotrop Biodivers. 2017;3(1):18–29.10.1080/23766808.2016.1258867
   Google Scholar
• MAE. Repositorio de Conocimiento Ambiental [Conjunto de datos]. 2016 [cited 2017 Mar 20]. Available from: http://conocimientoambiental.ambiente.gob.ec:8090/rca-web/principal.xhtml
   Google Scholar
• Vanacker V, Govers G, Poesen J, et al. The impact of environmental change on the intensity and spatial pattern of water erosion in a semi-arid mountainous Andean environment. Catena. 2003;51(3–4):329–347.10.1016/S0341-8162(02)00172-8
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• MAE. Primer Informe Bienal de Actualización del Ecuador a la Convención Marco de las Naciones Unidas. Quito, Ecuador; 2016.
   Google Scholar
• Molina A, Govers G, Vanacker V, et al. Runoff generation in a degraded Andean ecosystem: Interaction of vegetation cover and land use. Catena. 2007;71(2):357–370.10.1016/j.catena.2007.04.002
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Vanacker V, Bellin N, Molina A, et al. Erosion regulation as a function of human disturbances to vegetation cover: a conceptual model. Landsc Ecol. 2014;29(2):293–309.10.1007/s10980-013-9956-z
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar