798
Views
6
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Articles

Late Holocene Climate Change in Central Mexico and the Decline of Teotihuacan

ORCID Icon, &
Pages 104-120 | Received 01 Nov 2017, Accepted 01 May 2018, Published online: 20 Dec 2018

References

  • Alcocer, J., E. Escobar, and A. Lugo. 2000. Water use (and abuse) and its effects on the crater‐lakes of Valle de Santiago, Mexico. Lakes and Reservoirs: Research and Management 5 (3):145–49.
  • Barlow, M., S. Nigam, and E. H. Berbery. 1998. Evolution of the North American monsoon system. Journal of Climate 11 (9):2238–57.
  • Beekman, C. S. 2010. Recent research in western Mexican archaeology. Journal of Archaeological Research 18 (1):41–109.
  • Beekman, C. S., and A. F. Christensen. 2003. Controlling for doubt and uncertainty through multiple lines of evidence: A new look at the Mesoamerican Nahua migrations. Journal of Archaeological Method and Theory 10 (2):111–64.
  • Berbery, E. H. 2001. Mesoscale moisture analysis of the North American monsoon. Journal of Climate 14 (2):121–37.
  • Bernal, J. P., M. Lachniet, M. McCulloch, G. Mortimer, P. Morales, and E. Cienfuegos. 2011. A speleothem record of Holocene climate variability from southwestern Mexico. Quaternary Research 75 (1):104–13.
  • Bhattacharya, T., R. Byrne, H. Böhnel, K. Wogau, U. Kienel, B. L. Ingram, and S. Zimmerman. 2015. Cultural implications of late Holocene climate change in the Cuenca Oriental, Mexico. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 112 (6):1693–98.
  • Blaauw, M., and J. A. Christen. 2011. Flexible paleoclimate age-depth models using an autoregressive gamma process. Bayesian Analysis 6 (3):457–74.
  • Blanton, D. B. 2000. Drought as a factor in the Jamestown colony, 1607–1612. Historical Archaeology 34 (4):74–81.
  • Büntgen, U., W. Tegel, K. Nicolussi, M. McCormick, D. Frank, V. Trouet, J. O. Kaplan, et al. 2011. 2500 years of European climate variability and human susceptibility. Science 331 (6017):578–82.
  • Caballero-Rodríguez, D., A. Correa-Metrio, S. Lozano-García, S. Sosa-Nájera, B. Ortega, Y. Sanchez-Dzib, K. Aguirre-Navarro, and A. Sandoval-Montaño. 2018. Late-Quaternary spatiotemporal dynamics of vegetation in central Mexico. Review of Palaeobotany and Palynology 250:44–52.
  • Cárdenas García, E. 1999. El Bajío en el clásico [The Bajio in the Classic period]. Zamora, Mexico: Colegio de Michoacán.
  • Chambers, K. J., and S. B. Brush. 2010. Geographic influences on maize seed exchange in the Bajio, Mexico. The Professional Geographer 62 (3):305–22.
  • Chiang, J. C., and C. M. Bitz. 2005. Influence of high latitude ice cover on the marine intertropical convergence zone. Climate Dynamics 25 (5):477–96.
  • Clark, R. L. 1982. Point count estimation of charcoal in pollen preparations and thin sections of sediments. Pollen et Spores 25 (3):523–35.
  • Clement, A. C., R. Seager, M. A. Cane, and S. E. Zebiak. 1996. An ocean dynamical thermostat. Journal of Climate 9 (9):2190–96.
  • Conroy, J. L., J. T. Overpeck, J. E. Cole, T. M. Shanahan, and M. Steinitz-Kannan. 2008. Holocene changes in Eastern tropical Pacific climate inferred from a Galápagos lake sediment record. Quaternary Science Reviews 27 (11–12):1166–80.
  • Conserva, M. 2003. Long-term climate and vegetation change on the northern frontier of Mesoamerica, Guanajuato, Mexico. Ph.D. thesis, University of California, Berkeley.
  • Conserva, M. E., and R. Byrne. 2002. Late Holocene vegetation change in the Sierra Madre Oriental of central Mexico. Quaternary Research 58 (2):122–29.
  • Cowgill, G. L. 2013. Possible migrations and shifting identities in the central Mexican Epiclassic. Ancient Mesoamerica 24 (1):131–49.
  • Cowgill, G. L. 2015. Ancient Teotihuacan. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
  • Curtis, J. H., M. Brenner, D. A. Hodell, R. A. Balser, G. A. Islebe, and H. Hooghiemstra. 1998. A multi-proxy study of Holocene environmental change in the Maya lowlands of Peten, Guatemala. Journal of Paleolimnology 19 (2):139–59.
  • Curtis, J. H., D. A. Hodell, and M. Brenner. 1996. Climate variability on the Yucatan Peninsula (Mexico) during the past 3500 years, and implications for Maya cultural evolution. Quaternary Research 46 (1):37–47.
  • Davis, A. M. 1977. The prairie-deciduous forest ecotone in the upper Middle West. Annals of the Association of American Geographers 67 (2):204–13.
  • DeMenocal, P. B. 2001. Cultural responses to climate change during the late Holocene. Science 292 (5517):667–73.
  • Diamond, J. 2005. Collapse: How societies choose to fail or succeed. New York: Penguin.
  • Diaz, H., and V. Trouet. 2014. Some perspectives on societal impacts of past climatic changes. History Compass 12 (2):160–77.
  • Donders, T. H., F. Wagner-Cremer, and H. Visscher. 2008. Integration of proxy data and model scenarios for the mid-Holocene onset of modern ENSO variability. Quaternary Science Reviews 27 (5–6):571–79.
  • Douglas, M. W., R. A. Maddox, K. Howard, and S. Reyes. 1993. The Mexican monsoon. Journal of Climate 6 (8):1665–77.
  • Duan, F., Y. Wang, C.-C. Shen, Y. Wang, H. Cheng, C.-C. Wu, H.-M. Hu, X. Kong, D. Liu, and K. Zhao. 2014. Evidence for solar cycles in a late Holocene speleothem record from Dongge Cave, China. Scientific Reports 4 (1):5159.
  • Dull, R. A. 2007. Evidence for forest clearance, agriculture, and human‐induced erosion in precolumbian El Salvador. Annals of the Association of American Geographers 97 (1):127–41.
  • Englehart, P., and A. Douglas. 2002. Mexico’s summer rainfall patterns: An analysis of regional modes and changes in their teleconnectivity. Atmósfera 15 (3):147–64.
  • Faegri, K., and J. Iversen. 1989. Textbook of pollen analysis. London: Blackwell.
  • Fensterer, C., D. Scholz, D. L. Hoffmann, C. Spötl, A. Schröder-Ritzrau, C. Horn, J. M. Pajón, and A. Mangini. 2013. Millennial-scale climate variability during the last 12.5 ka recorded in a Caribbean speleothem. Earth and Planetary Science Letters 361:143–51.
  • Florance, C. A. 2000. The late and terminal Preclassic in southeastern Guanajuato: Heartland of periphery? In Greater Mesoamerica—The archaeology of west and northwest Mexico, ed. M. S. Foster and S. Gorenstein, 21–33. Salt Lake City: The University of Utah Press.
  • Grinsted, A., J. C. Moore, and S. Jevrejeva. 2004. Application of the cross wavelet transform and wavelet coherence to geophysical time series. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics 11 (5–6):561–66.
  • Haug, G. H., D. Günther, L. C. Peterson, D. M. Sigman, K. A. Hughen, and B. Aeschlimann. 2003. Climate and the collapse of Maya civilization. Science 299 (5613):1731–35.
  • Haug, G. H., K. A. Hughen, D. M. Sigman, L. C. Peterson, and U. Röhl. 2001. Southward migration of the intertropical convergence zone through the Holocene. Science 293 (5533):1304–8.
  • Higgins, R. W., Y. Chen, and A. V. Douglas. 1999. Interannual variability of the North American warm season precipitation regime. Journal of Climate 12 (3):653–80.
  • Higgins, R. W., K. Mo, and Y. Yao. 1998. Interannual variability of the U.S. summer precipitation regime with emphasis on the southwestern monsoon. Journal of Climate 11 (10):2582–2606.
  • Higgins, R. W., and W. Shi. 2000. Dominant factors responsible for interannual variability of the summer monsoon in the southwestern United States. Journal of Climate 13 (4):759–76.
  • Higgins, R. W., Y. Yao, and X. Wang. 1997. Influence of the North American monsoon system on the U.S. summer precipitation regime. Journal of Climate 10 (10):2600–22.
  • Hodell, D. A., M. Brenner, and J. H. Curtis. 2005. Terminal classic drought in the Northern Maya lowlands inferred from multiple sediment cores in Lake Chichancanab (Mexico). Quaternary Science Reviews 24 (12–13):1413–27.
  • Hodell, D. A., M. Brenner, J. H. Curtis, and T. Guilderson. 2001. Solar forcing of drought frequency in the Maya lowlands. Science 292 (5520):1367–70.
  • Hodell, D. A., J. H. Curtis, and M. Brenner. 1995. Possible role of climate in the collapse of classic Maya civilization. Nature 375 (6530):391–94.
  • Huntington, E. 1922. Civilization and climate. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.
  • Institute Nacional de Estadfstica, Geograffa, e Informatica. 1998. Estudio hidrologico del estado de Guanajuato [Hydrological study of the state of Guanajuato]. Mexico City: Institute Nacional deEstadfstica, Geograffa, e Informatica.
  • Jones, M. D., S. E. Metcalfe, S. J. Davies, and A. Noren. 2015. Late Holocene climate reorganisation and the North American monsoon. Quaternary Science Reviews 124:290–95.
  • Judd, W., C. Campbell, E. Kellogg, P. Stevens, and M. Donoghue. 2002. Plant systematics: A phylogenetic approach. 2nd ed. Sunderland: Sinauer Associates.
  • Lachniet, M. S., J. P. Bernal, Y. Asmerom, V. Polyak, and D. Piperno. 2012. A 2400 yr Mesoamerican rainfall reconstruction links climate and cultural change. Geology 40 (3):259–62.
  • Lachniet, M. S., S. J. Burns, D. R. Piperno, Y. Asmerom, V. J. Polyak, C. M. Moy, and K. Christenson. 2004. A 1500‐year El Niño/Southern Oscillation and rainfall history for the isthmus of Panama from speleothem calcite. Journal of Geophysical Research 109:D20117.
  • Leng, M. J., A. L. Lamb, T. H. Heaton, J. D. Marshall, B. B. Wolfe, M. D. Jones, J. A. Holmes, and C. Arrowsmith. 2006. Isotopes in lake sediments. In Isotopes in palaeoenvironmental research, ed. M. Leng, 147–84. Dordrecht, The Netherlands: Springer.
  • Leng, M. J., and J. D. Marshall. 2004. Palaeoclimate interpretation of stable isotope data from lake sediment archives. Quaternary Science Reviews 23 (7–8):811–31.
  • Lozano-Garcı́a, M. S., B. Ortega-Guerrero, M. Caballero-Miranda, and J. Urrutia-Fucugauchi. 1993. Late Pleistocene and Holocene paleoenvironments of Chalco Lake, Central Mexico. Quaternary Research 40 (3):332–42.
  • Lucero, L. J. 2002. The collapse of the classic Maya: A case for the role of water control. American Anthropologist 104 (3):814–26.
  • MacDonald, G. M., and R. A. Case. 2005. Variations in the Pacific Decadal Oscillation over the past millennium. Geophysical Research Letters 32 (8):L08703.
  • Magaña, V. O., J. L. Vázquez, J. L. Pérez, and J. B. Pérez. 2003. Impact of El Niño on precipitation in Mexico. Geofisica Internacional 42 (3):313–30.
  • Mann, M. E., and K. A. Emanuel. 2006. Atlantic hurricane trends linked to climate change. Eos, Transactions of the American Geophysical Union 87 (24):233–41.
  • Mann, M. E., Z. Zhang, S. Rutherford, R. S. Bradley, M. K. Hughes, D. Shindell, C. Ammann, G. Faluvegi, and F. Ni. 2009. Global signatures and dynamical origins of the Little Ice Age and Medieval Climate Anomaly. Science 326 (5957):1256–60.
  • Mantua, N. J., S. R. Hare, Y. Zhang, J. M. Wallace, and R. C. Francis. 1997. A Pacific interdecadal climate oscillation with impacts on salmon production. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 78 (6):1069–79.
  • Manzanilla, L. R. 2015. Cooperation and tensions in multiethnic corporate societies using Teotihuacan, Central Mexico, as a case study. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 112 (30):9210–15.
  • Marchitto, T. M., R. Muscheler, J. D. Ortiz, J. D. Carriquiry, and A. van Geen. 2010. Dynamical response of the tropical Pacific Ocean to solar forcing during the early Holocene. Science 330 (6009):1378–81.
  • Medina-Elizalde, M., S. J. Burns, D. W. Lea, Y. Asmerom, L. von Gunten, V. Polyak, M. Vuille, and A. Karmalkar. 2010. High resolution stalagmite climate record from the Yucatán Peninsula spanning the Maya terminal classic period. Earth and Planetary Science Letters 298 (1–2):255–62.
  • Medina-Elizalde, M., and E. J. Rohling. 2012. Collapse of classic Maya civilization related to modest reduction in precipitation. Science 335 (6071):956–59.
  • Méndez, M., and V. Magaña. 2010. Regional aspects of prolonged meteorological droughts over Mexico and Central America. Journal of Climate 23 (5):1175–88.
  • Metcalfe, S. E., J. A. Barron, and S. J. Davies. 2015. The Holocene history of the North American monsoon: “Known knowns” and “known unknowns” in understanding its spatial and temporal complexity. Quaternary Science Reviews 120:1–27.
  • Metcalfe, S. E., M. D. Jones, S. J. Davies, A. Noren, and A. MacKenzie. 2010. Climate variability over the last two millennia in the North American monsoon region, recorded in laminated lake sediments from Laguna de Juanacatlan, Mexico. Holocene 20 (8):1195–1206.
  • Minobe, S. 1997. A 50-70 year climatic oscillation over the North Pacific and North America. Geophysical Research Letters 24 (6):683–86.
  • Minobe, S. 1999. Resonance in bidecadal and pentadecadal climate oscillations over the North Pacific: Role in climatic regime shifts. Geophysical Research Letters 26 (7):855–58.
  • Mosiño Alemán, P. A., and E. García. 1974. The climate of Mexico. In Climate of North America, world survey of climatology, ed. R. A. Bryson and F. H. Hare, 345–90. Amsterdam: Elsevier.
  • Moy, C. M., G. O. Seltzer, D. T. Rodbell, and D. M. Anderson. 2002. Variability of El Niño/Southern Oscillation activity at millennial timescales during the Holocene epoch. Nature 420 (6912):162–65.
  • Nelson, D. B., M. B. Abbott, B. Steinman, P. J. Polissar, N. D. Stansell, J. D. Ortiz, M. F. Rosenmeier, B. P. Finney, and J. Riedel. 2011. Drought variability in the Pacific Northwest from a 6,000-yr lake sediment record. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 108 (10):3870–75.
  • Ólafsdóttir, K., and M. Mudelsee. 2014. More accurate, calibrated bootstrap confidence intervals for estimating the correlation between two time series. Mathematical Geosciences 46 (4):411–27.
  • Park, J., R. Byrne, and H. Böhnel. 2017. The combined influence of Pacific decadal oscillation and Atlantic multidecadal oscillation on Central Mexico since the early 1600s. Earth and Planetary Science Letters 464:1–9.
  • Park, J., R. Byrne, H. Böhnel, R. M. Garza, and M. Conserva. 2010. Holocene climate change and human impact, Central Mexico: A record based on maar lake pollen and sediment chemistry. Quaternary Science Reviews 29 (5–6):618–32.
  • Rasmusson, E. M., and T. H. Carpenter. 1982. Variations in tropical sea surface temperature and surface wind fields associated with the Southern Oscillation/El Niño. Monthly Weather Review 110 (5):354–84.
  • Reimer, P. J., E. Bard, A. Bayliss, J. W. Beck, P. G. Blackwell, C. B. Ramsey, C. E. Buck, et al. 2013. IntCal13 and Marine13 radiocarbon age calibration curves 0–50,000 years cal BP. Radiocarbon 55(4):1869–87.
  • Reyes, S., and D. L. Cadet. 1988. The southwest branch of the North American monsoon during summer 1979. Monthly Weather Review 116 (5):1175–87.
  • Rosenmeier, M. F., D. A. Hodell, M. Brenner, J. H. Curtis, and T. P. Guilderson. 2002. A 4000-year lacustrine record of environmental change in the Southern Maya lowlands, Peten, Guatemala. Quaternary Research 57 (2):183–90.
  • Rustic, G. T., A. Koutavas, T. M. Marchitto, and B. K. Linsley. 2015. Dynamical excitation of the tropical Pacific Ocean and ENSO variability by Little Ice Age cooling. Science 350 (6267):1537–41.
  • Rzedowski, J., and G. C. de Rzedowski. 1987. El bosque tropical caducifolio de la región mexicana del Bajío [Tropical deciduous forest in the region of Bajio]. TRACE: Travaux et Recherches Dans les Amériques Du Centre 12:12–21.
  • Sauer, C. O. 1924. The survey method in geography and its objectives. Annals of the Association of American Geographers 14 (1):17–33.
  • Schmitz, J. T., and S. L. Mullen. 1996. Water vapor transport associated with the summertime North American monsoon as depicted by ECMWF analyses. Journal of Climate 9 (7):1621–34.
  • Schulz, M., and M. Mudelsee. 2002. REDFIT: Estimating red-noise spectra directly from unevenly spaced paleoclimatic time series. Computers & Geosciences 28 (3):421–26.
  • Seager, R., M. Ting, M. Davis, M. Cane, N. Naik, J. Nakamura, C. Li, E. Cook, and D. W. Stahle. 2009. Mexican drought: An observational modeling and tree ring study of variability and climate change. Atmósfera 22 (1):1–31.
  • Servicio Meteorológico Nacional Climatological information. (n.d.). Climatological information. Accessed November 30, 2016. http://smn.cna.gob.mx/es/informacion-climatologica-ver-estado?estado=gto.
  • Stahle, D. W., D. Burnette, J. V. Diaz, R. Heim, Jr., F. Fye, J. C. Paredes, R. A. Soto, and M. Cleaveland. 2012. Pacific and Atlantic influences on Mesoamerican climate over the past millennium. Climate Dynamics 39 (6):1431–46.
  • Stahle, D. W., J. V. Diaz, D. J. Burnette, J. Paredes, R. Heim, F. K. Fye, R. Acuna Soto, M. D. Therrell, M. K. Cleaveland, and D. K. Stahle. 2011. Major Mesoamerican droughts of the past millennium. Geophysical Research Letters 38 (5):L05703.
  • Steinhilber, F., J. Beer, and C. Fröhlich. 2009. Total solar irradiance during the Holocene. Geophysical Research Letters 36 (19):L19704.
  • Stensrud, D. J., R. L. Gall, S. L. Mullen, and K. W. Howard. 1995. Model climatology of the Mexican monsoon. Journal of Climate 8 (7):1775–94.
  • Stockmarr, J. 1971. Tablets with spores used in absolute pollen analysis. Pollen et Spores 13:614–21.
  • Sutton, R. T., and D. L. Hodson. 2005. Atlantic Ocean forcing of North American and European summer climate. Science 309 (5731):115–18.
  • Therrell, M. D., D. W. Stahle, J. V. Diaz, E. H. C. Oviedo, and M. K. Cleaveland. 2006. Tree-ring reconstructed maize yield in Central Mexico: 1474–2001. Climatic Change 74 (4):493–504.
  • Vecchi, G. A., and D. Harrison. 2006. The termination of the 1997–98 El Niño: Part I. Mechanisms of oceanic change. Journal of Climate 19 (12):2633–46.
  • Versteegh, G. J. 2005. Solar forcing of climate: 2. Evidence from the past. Space Science Reviews 120 (3–4):243–86.
  • Weiss, H., and R. S. Bradley. 2001. Archaeology. What drives societal collapse? Science 291 (5504):609–10.
  • Williams, E. 1999. The ethnoarchaeology of salt production at Lake Cuitzeo, Michoacán, México. Latin American Antiquity 10 (4):400–14.
  • Zhang, Y., J. M. Wallace, and D. S. Battisti. 1997. ENSO-like interdecadal variability: 1900–93. Journal of Climate 10 (5):1004–20.

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.