47
Views
3
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Articles

Discharge risk scoring method for predicting mortality in hospitalized chronic heart failure patients with severe systolic dysfunction

, MD, , MD, , MD, , MD, , MD, , MD, , MD, , MD, , MD & , MD show all
Pages 442-449 | Received 23 Jan 2015, Accepted 09 Mar 2015, Published online: 23 May 2017

References

  • Schocken DD, Benjamin EJ, Fonarow GC, Krumholz HM, Levy D, Mensah GA, Narula J, Shor ES, Young JB, Hong Y; American Heart Association Council on Epidemiology and Prevention; American Heart Association Council on Clinical Cardiology; American Heart Association Council on Cardiovascular Nursing; American Heart Association Council on High Blood Pressure Research; Quality of Care and Outcomes Research Interdisciplinary Working Group; Functional Genomics and Translational Biology Interdisciplinary Working Group. Prevention of heart failure: a scientific statement from the American Heart Association Councils on Epidemiology and Prevention, Clinical Cardiology, Cardiovascular Nursing, and High Blood Pressure Research; Quality of Care and Outcomes Research Interdisciplinary Working Group; and Functional Genomics and Translational Biology Interdisciplinary Working Group. Circulation 2008; 117:2544–65.
  • Aaronson KD, Schwartz JS, Chen TM, Wong KL, Goin JE, Mancini DM. Development and prospective validation of a clinical index to predict survival in ambulatory patients referred for cardiac transplant evaluation. Circulation 1997; 95: 2660–7.
  • Haldeman GA, Croft JB, Giles WH, Mensah GA. Hospitalization of patients with HF: National Hospital Discharge Survey, 1985 to 1995. Am HeartJ 1999; 137:352–60.
  • McAlister FA, Ezekowitz J, Tonelli M, Armstrong PW. Renal insufficiency and heart failure. Prognostic and therapeutic implications from a prospective cohort study. Circulation 2004; 109: 1004–9.
  • Pocock SJ, Wang D, Pfeffer MA, Yusuf S, McMurray JJ, Swedberg KB, Ostergren J, Michelson EL, Pieper KS, Granger CB. Predictors of mortality and morbidity in patients with chronic heart failure. Eur Heart J 2006; 27:65–75.
  • Gustafsson F, Torp-Pedersen C, Burchardt H, Buch P. Seibaek M, Kleiner E, Gustafsson I, Kober L; DIAMOND Study Group. Female sex is associated with a better long-term survival in patients hospitalized with congestive heart failure. Eur HeartJ 2004; 25:129–35.
  • Ezekowitz J, McAlister F, Armstrong P. Anemia is common in heart failure and is associated with poor outcomes: insights from a cohort of 12 065 patients with new-onset heart failure. Circulation 2003; 107:223–5.
  • Levy WC, Mozaffarian D, Linker DT, Sutradhar SC, Anker SD, Cropp AB, Anand I, Maggioni A, Burton P. Sullivan MD, Pitt B, Poole-Wilson PA, Mann DL, Packer M. The Seattle Heart Failure Model: prediction of survival in heart failure. Circulation 2006; 113:1424–33.
  • Fonarow GC, Heywood JT, Heidenreich PA, Lopatin M, Yancy CW; ADHERE Scientific Advisory Committee and Investigators. Temporal trends in clinical characteristics, treatments and outcomes for heart failure hospitalizations, 2002 to 2004: findings from Acute Decompensated Heart Failure National Registry (ADHERE). Am HeartJ 2007; 153: 1021–8.
  • O’Connor CM, Hasselblad V, Mehta RH, Tasissa G, Calif RM, Fiuzat M, Rogers JG, Leier CV, Stevenson LW. Triage after hospitalization with advanced heart failure: the ESCAPE (Evaluation Study of Congestive Heart Failure and Pulmonary Artery Catheterization Effectiveness) risk model and discharge score. J Am Coll Cardiol 2010; 55:872–8.
  • Lee DS, Austin PC, Rouleau JL, Liu PP, Naimark D, Tu JV. Predicting mortality among patients hospitalized for heart failure: derivation and validation of a clinical model. JAMA 2003; 290: 2581–7.
  • Goldraich L, Beck-da-Silva L, Clausell N. Are scores useful in advanced heart failure? Expert Rev Cardiovasc Ther 2009; 7: 985–97.
  • Vazquez R, Bayes-Genis A, Cygankiewicz I, Pascual-Figal D, Grigorian-Shamagian L, Pavon R, Gonzalez-Juanatey JR, Cubero JM, Pastor L, Ordonez-Llanos J, Cinca J, de Luna AB; MUSIC Investigators. The MUSIC Risk score: a simple method for predicting mortality in ambulatory patients with chronic heart failure. Eur Heart J 2009; 30: 1088–96.
  • Pocock SJ, Anti CA, McMurray JJ, Maggioni A, Kober L, Squire IB, Swedberg K, Dobson J, Poppe KK, Whalley GA, Doughty RN; Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure. Predicting survival in heart failure: a risk score based on 39 372 patients from 30 studies. Eur Heart J 2013; 34: 1404–13.
  • Levey AS, Bosch JP, Lewis JB, Greene T, Rogers N, Roth D. A more accurate method to estimate glomerular filtration rate from serum creatinine: a new prediction equation. Ann Intern Med 1999; 130:461–70.
  • Steyerberg EW, Eijkemans MJ, Harrell FE Jr, Habbema JD. Prognostic modelling with logistic regression analysis: a comparison of selection and estimation methods in small data sets. Stat Med 2000; 19:1059–79.
  • Hanley JA, McNeil BJ.The meaning and use of the area under a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Radiology 1982; 143:29–36.
  • Harrell FE Jr, Lee KL, Calif RM, Pryor DB, Rosati RA. Regression modelling strategies for improved prognostic prediction. StatMed 1984; 3:143–52.
  • Gonen M, Heller G. Concordance probability and discriminatory power in proportional hazards regression. Biometrika 2005; 92: 965–70.
  • Allen LA, Stevenson LW, Grady KL, Goldstein NE, Matlock DD, Arnold RM, Cook NR, Felker GM, Francis GS, Hauptman PJ, Havranek EP, Krumholz HM, Mancini D, Riegel B, Spertus JA; American Heart Association; Council on Quality of Care and Outcomes Research; Council on Cardiovascular Nursing; Council on Clinical Cardiology; Council on Cardiovascular Radiology and Intervention; Council on Cardiovascular Surgery and Anesthesia. Decision making in advanced heart failure: a scientific statement from the American Heart Association. Circulation 2012; 125: 1928–52.
  • Gradman A, Deedwania P. Cody R, Massie B, Packer M, Pitt B, Goldstein S. Predictors of total mortality and sudden death in mild to moderate heart failure. J Am Coll Cardiol 1989; 14:564–70.
  • Abraham WT, Fonarow GC, Albert NM, Stough WG, Gheorghiade M, Greenberg BH, O’Connor CM, Sun JL, Yancy CW, Young JB; OPTIMIZE-HF Investigators and Coordinators. Predictors of in-hospital mortality in patients hospitalized for heart failure: insights from the Organized Program to Initiate Lifesaving Treatment in Hospitalized Patients with Heart Failure (OPTIMIZE-HF). J Am Coll Cardiol 2008; 52: 347–56.
  • Siiri1O-Waris K, Lassus J, Melin J, Peuhkurinen K, Nieminen MS, Harjola VP; FINN-AKVA Study Group. Characteristics, outcomes, and predictors of 1-year mortality in patients hospitalized for acute heart failure. Eur HeartJ 2006; 27:3011–7.
  • Brophy JM, Dagenais GR, McSherry F, Williford W, Yusuf S. A multivariate model for predicting mortality in patients with heart failure and systolic dysfunction. Am J Med 2004; 116: 300–4.
  • Berger R, Huelsman M, Strecker K, Bojic A, Moser P. Stanek B, Pacher R. B-type natriuretic peptide predicts sudden death in patients with chronic heart failure. Circulation 2002; 105: 2392–7.
  • Sato Y, Kita T, Takatsu Y, Kimura T. Biochemical markers of myocyte injury in heart failure. Heart 2004; 90: 1110–3.
  • Kearney MT, Fox KA, Lee AJ, Prescott RJ, Shah AM, Batin PD, Baig W, Lindsay S, Callahan TS, Shell WE, Eckberg DL, Zaman AG, Williams S, Neilson JM, Nolan J. Predicting death due to progressive heart failure in patients with mild-to-moderate chronic heart failure. J Am Coll Cardiol 2002; 40: 1801–8.
  • Mueller C, Laule-Kilian K, Christ A, Brunner-La Rocca HP, Perruchoud AR Inflammation and long-term mortality in acute congestive heart failure. Am HeartJ 2006; 151:845–50.
  • Bergamini C, Cicoira M, Rossi A, Vassanelli C. Oxidative stress and hyperuricaemia: pathophysiology, clinical relevance, and therapeutic implications in chronic heart failure. Eur J Heart Fail 2009; 11:444–52.
  • Klapholz M. Beta-blocker use for the stages of heart failure. Mayo Clin Proc 2009; 84: 718–29.

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.