79
Views
5
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Article

A Bayesian Analysis of Biological Uncertainty for a Whole-Lake Fertilization Experiment for Sockeye Salmon in Chilko Lake, British Columbia, and Implications for the Benefit–Cost Ratio

, , &
Pages 418-430 | Received 15 Jan 2005, Accepted 15 Dec 2005, Published online: 09 Jan 2011

References

  • Anderson , D. M. , Burnham , K. P. and Thompson , W. L. 2000 . Null hypothesis testing: problems, prevalence, and an alternative . Journal of Wildlife Management , 64 : 912 – 923 .
  • Anderson , D. M. , Shankle , S. A. , Scott , M. J. , Neitzel , D. A. and Chatters , J. C. 1993 . Valuing effects of climate change and fishery enhancement on Chinook salmon . Contemporary Policy Issues , 11 : 82 – 94 .
  • Box , G. E. P. and Tiao , G. C. 1973 . Bayesian inference in statistical analysis Reading, Massachusetts : Addison-Wesley .
  • Bradford , M. J. , Pyper , B. and Shortreed , K. S. 2000 . Biological responses of sockeye salmon to the fertilization of Chilko Lake, a large lake in the interior of British Columbia . North American Journal of Fisheries Management , 20 : 661 – 671 .
  • Burnham , K. P. and Anderson , D. R. 1998 . Model selection and inference: a practical information-theoretic approach New York : Springer-Verlag .
  • Clark , C. W. 1976 . Mathematical bioeconomics: the optimal management of renewable resources New York : Wiley .
  • Costello , C. J. , Adams , R. M. and Polasky , S. 1998 . The value of El Nino forecasts in the management of salmon: a stochastic dynamic assessment . American Journal of Agricultural Economics , 80 : 765 – 777 .
  • Edmundson , J. A. , Kyle , G. B. , Carlson , S. R. and Shields , P. A. 1997 . Trophic-level responses to nutrient treatment of meromictic and glacially influenced Coghill Lake . Alaska Fishery Research Bulletin , 4 : 136 – 153 .
  • Goicoechea , A. , Krouse , M. R. and Antle , L. G. 1982 . An approach to risk and uncertainty in benefit–cost analysis of water resource projects . Water Resources Research , 18 : 791 – 799 .
  • Guthrie , I. C. and Peterman , R. M. 1988 . Economic evaluation of lake enrichment strategies for British Columbia sockeye salmon . North American Journal of Fisheries Management , 8 : 442 – 454 .
  • Hume , J. M. B. , Shortreed , K. S. and Morton , K. F. 1996 . Juvenile sockeye rearing capacity of three lakes in the Fraser River system . Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences , 53 : 719 – 733 .
  • Hyatt , K. D. and Stockner , J. G. 1985 . Responses of sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka) to fertilization of British Columbia coastal lakes . Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences , 42 : 320 – 331 .
  • Knowler , D. and Barbier , B. 2005 . Managing the Black Sea anchovy fishery with nutrient enrichment and a biological invader . Marine Resource Economics , 20 ( 3 ) : 263 – 285 .
  • Kyle , G. B. 1994a . Assessment of trophic-level responses and coho salmon (Oncorhynchus kisutch) production following nutrient treatment (1981–1986) of Bear Lake, Alaska . Fisheries Research , 20 : 243 – 261 .
  • Kyle , G. B. 1994b . Nutrient treatment of three coastal Alaskan lakes: trophic level responses and sockeye salmon production trends . Alaska Fishery Research Bulletin , 1 : 153 – 167 .
  • LeBrasseur , R. J. , McAllister , C. D. , Barraclough , W. E. , Kennedy , O. D. , Manzer , J. , Robinson , O. and Stephens , K. 1978 . Enhancement of sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka) by lake fertilization in Great Central Lake: summary report . Journal of the Fisheries Research Board of Canada , 35 : 1580 – 1596 .
  • Likens , G. E. , Bormann , F. H. , Pierce , R. S. , Eaton , J. S. and Johnson , N. M. 1977 . Biogeochemistry of a forested ecosystem New York : Springer-Verlag .
  • Luecke , C. , Wurtsbaugh , W. A. , Budy , P. , Gross , H. P. and Steinhart , G. 1996 . Simulated growth and production of endangered Snake River sockeye salmon: assessing management strategies for the nursery lakes . Fisheries , 21 : 18 – 25 .
  • MacGregor , B. W. , Peterman , R. M. , Pyper , B. J. and Bradford , M. J. 2002 . A decision analysis framework for comparing experimental designs of projects to enhance Pacific salmon . North American Journal of Fisheries Management , 22 : 509 – 527 .
  • Mazumder , A. and Edmundson , J. A. 2002 . Impact of fertilization and stocking on trophic interactions and growth of juvenile sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka) . Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences , 59 : 1361 – 1373 .
  • McAllister , M. K. , Pikitch , E. K. , Punt , A. E. and Hilborn , R. 1994 . A Bayesian approach to stock assessment and harvest decisions using the sampling/importance resampling algorithm . Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences , 51 : 2673 – 2687 .
  • Millar , R. B. 2002 . Reference priors for Bayesian fisheries models . Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences , 59 : 1492 – 1502 .
  • Peterman , R. M. 1978 . Testing for density-dependent marine survival in Pacific salmonids . Journal of the Fisheries Research Board of Canada , 35 : 1434 – 1450 .
  • Peterman , R. M. and Anderson , J. L. 1999 . Decision analysis: a method for taking uncertainties into account in risk based decision making . Human and Ecological Risk Assessment , 5 : 231 – 244 .
  • Peterman , R. M. , Peters , C. N. , Robb , C. A. and Frederick , S. W. 1998a . “ Bayesian decision analysis and uncertainty in fisheries management ” . In Reinventing fisheries management Edited by: Pitcher , T. J. , Hart , P. J. B. and Pauly , D. 387 – 398 . London : Kluwer .
  • Peterman , R. M. , Pyper , B. J. , Lapointe , M. F. , Adkison , M. D. and Walters , C. J. 1998b . Patterns of covariation in survival rates of British Columbian and Alaskan sockeye salmon stocks . Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences , 55 : 2503 – 2517 .
  • Press , S. J. 1989 . Bayesian statistics, principles, models, and applications New York : Wiley .
  • Punt , A. E. and Hilborn , R. 1997 . Fisheries stock assessment and decision analysis: the Bayesian approach . Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries , 7 : 35 – 63 .
  • Raffiee , K. , Luo , Y. and Song , S. 1997 . The economic cost of species preservation: the Northwestern Nevada Cui-ui . Review of Regional Studies , 27 : 277 – 295 .
  • Ricker , W. E. 1954 . Stock and recruitment . Journal of the Fisheries Research Board of Canada , 11 : 559 – 623 .
  • Rubin , D. B. 1988 . “ Using the SIR algorithm to simulate posterior distributions ” . In Bayesian statistics 3 Edited by: Bernardo , J. M. , DeGroot , M. H. , Lindley , D. V. and Smith , A. F. M. 395 – 402 . Oxford, , UK : Oxford University Press .
  • Schindler , D. W. , Fee , E. J. and Ruszczynski , T. 1978 . Phosphorus input and its consequences for phytoplankton standing crop and production in the Experimental Lakes area and in similar lakes . Journal of the Fisheries Research Board of Canada , 35 : 190 – 196 .
  • Smith , A. F. M. 1991 . Bayesian computational methods . Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London, Series A , 337 : 369 – 386 .
  • Stockner , J. G. and Shortreed , K. S. 1994 . Autotrophic picoplankton community dynamics in a pre-alpine lake in British Columbia, Canada . Hydrobiologia , 274 : 133 – 142 .
  • Walters , C. J. 1977 . “ Management under uncertainty ” . In Pacific salmon management for people Edited by: Ellis , D. V. 261 – 297 . Victoria, British Columbia : University of Victoria Press .
  • Walters , C. J. 1986 . Adaptive management of renewable resources New York : MacMillan .

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.