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Review

Decision analysis and drug development portfolio management: uncovering the real options value of your projects

Pages 179-187 | Published online: 09 Jan 2014

References

  • MacFarlane FG, Walker SR. Portfolio management in the pharmaceutical industry CMR Report No 95-56R (1995).
  • MacFarlane FG, Griffiths SA, McAuslane JAN, Walker SR. Portfolio management by leading pharmaceutical companies: current approaches to decision making CMR Report No 97-84R (1997).
  • CMR. Prioritising projects: current issues in portfolio management. R&D Briefing7 (1997).
  • Bergman SW, Gittins JC. Statistical methods for pharmaceutical research planning. Marcel Dekker, New York, USA (1985).
  • •A bit old, but a comprehensive overview of decision-making in the pharmaceutical industry with thorough presentation of ranking indices.
  • Pearson AW. The use of ranking formulae in R&D projects. R&D Management 2,69–73 (1972).
  • •Seminal paper on ranking indices.
  • Senn SJ. Some statistical issues in project prioritisation in the pharmaceutical industry. Stat. Med. 15,2689–2702 (1996).
  • Senn SJ. Further statistical issues in project prioritisation in the pharmaceutical industry. Drug • Info. 32, 253–259 (1998).
  • Thompson R. A method to update individual pharmaceutical portfolio project values as new information is gained. Amgen, Inc., mimeo (2001).
  • Trigeorgis L. Real options: managerial flexibility and strategy in resource allocation. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA, USA (1996).
  • •Excellent book by one of the 'fathers' of real options.
  • Dixit AK, Pindyck RS. Investment under uncertainty Princeton University Press, Princeton, USA (1994).
  • •A more financial approach to real options.
  • Schwartz ES, Trigeorgis L (Eds.) .Real options and investment under uncertainty: classical readings and recent contributions. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA, USA (2001).
  • ••The most complete and up-to-datecollection of works on real options, with several applications.
  • Howard RA, Matheson JE (Eds.). The principles and applications of decision analysis. SDG (1983).
  • ••Excellent collection of early works ondecision analysis. It is still one of the few clear and comprehensive publications on this subject.
  • Cinergy. Benchmark report on real options. Proceedings of the IQPC Real Options 2001 conference. Scottsdale, USA (2001).

Websites

  • Real Options Group: www.rogroup.com
  • •All the news and references you require for real options, plus proceedings of the annual conference.
  • Strategic Decisions Group: www.sdg.com
  • •Discussion forum for many issues in decision-making.
  • International Quality and Productivity Centre: www.iqpc.co.uk
  • •Excellent conferences.

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