838
Views
14
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Original Articles

Rainfall and streamflow response to El Niño Southern Oscillation: a case study in a semiarid catchment, Australia

Réponse de la pluie et de l'écoulement en cours d'eau à l'Oscillation Australe El Niño: une étude de cas dans un bassin semi-aride d'Australie

, , &
Pages 1006-1020 | Received 11 Apr 2005, Accepted 12 Jun 2006, Published online: 19 Jan 2010

REFERENCES

  • Abawi, G. Y., Dutta, S. C., McClymont, D., Treloar, N. C., Ritchie, J., and Harris, T., 2001. "A decision support tool for managing the impact of climate variability on water resources.". In: Proc. Int. Congress on Modelling and Simulation, MODSIM 2001 (10–13 December 2001), vol. 2: Natural Resources (Part Two). Canberra, Australia: The Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand Inc. and The Australian National University; 2001. pp. 685–690.
  • Abawi, G. Y., Dutta, S., Ritchie, J., Harris, T., McClymont, D., Crane, A., Keogh, D., and Rattray, D., 2001. A decision support system for improving water use efficiency in the northern Murray-Darling Basin. Final report to the Murray- Darling Commission, QNRM01047. Toowoomba, Queensland, Australia: Dept of Natural Resources & Mines; 2001.
  • ABS (Australian Bureau of Statistics), 2004. 2004, http://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/[email protected]/0/ac7d9fa0dfd4f448ca256dea000539d2?OpenDocument.
  • Allan, R. J., 1988. El Niño Southern Oscillation influences in the Australasian region., Progr. Phys. Geogr. 12 (1988), pp. 4–40.
  • Amarasekera, N. A., Lee, R. F., and Eltahir, E. A. B., 1998. ENSO and the natural variability in the flow of tropical rivers., J. Hydrol. 200 (1998), pp. 24–39.
  • ARMCANZ, 1995. "Water Allocations and Entitlements: A National Framework for the Implementation of Property Rights in Water, Policy Position Paper for discussion with stakeholders in developing and implementing systems of water allocations and entitlements.". In: Occasional Paper Number 1, Canberra, Task Force on COAG Water Reform. 1995.
  • BOM, 2005. Australian climate zones—all climate classes. Climate Classification of Australia; 2005, (Bureau of Meteorology), http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/environ/other/kpn_all.shtml.
  • Burnash, R. J. C., Ferral, R. L., and McGuire, R. A., 1973. A generalised streamflow simulation system: conceptual modelling for digital computers. Sacramento, California: Joint Federal-State River Forecast Centre, US National Weather Service and California Department of Water Resources; 1973.
  • Chiew, F. H. S., 2006a. El Niño/Southern Oscillation, Streamflow and Water Resources Management in Australia. 2006a, http://iri.columbia.edu/climate/ENSO/societal/example/Chiew.html.
  • Chiew, F. H. S., 2006b. The influence of hydroclimate on the hydrological impact of bushfires in southeast Australia. 2006b, http://www.catchment.crc.org.au/bushfire/downloads/influence_of_hydroclimate.pdf.
  • Chiew, F. H. S., and McMahon, T. A., 2003. Australian rainfall and streamflow and El Niño/Southern Oscillation., Australian J. Water Resour 6 (2003), pp. 115–129.
  • Chiew, F. H. S., and McMahon, T. A., 1993. Assessing the quality of catchment streamflow yield estimates., Aust. J. Soil Res 31 (1993), pp. 665–680.
  • CPTEC (Centro de Previsão de Tempo e Estudos Climáticos), 2006. "Scoping irrigation practices in the northern Murray-Darling Basin". In: DNR Q980132. 2006, El Niño e La Niña, http://www.cptec.inpe.br/enos/artigos.shtml. Department of Natural Resources1999.
  • Dracup, J. A., and Kahya, E., 1994. The relationship between US streamflow and La Nina events., Water Resour. Res. 30 (1994), pp. 2133–2141.
  • Finlayson, B. L., and McMahon, T. A., 1991. "Runoff variability in Australia: causes and environmental consequences.". In: Proc. Int. Hydrology and Water Resources Symp. (October 1991). National Conference Publication 91/22. Perth, Australia: Institution of Engineers; 1991. pp. 504–511.
  • Franks, S. A., 2003. Multi-decadal climate variability—flood and drought risks, New South Wales. 2003, http://www.siwi.org/waterweek2003/Workshop%203%20Oral(16).htm.
  • Freebairn, D. M., and Wockner, G. H., 1986. A study of soil erosion on vertisols of the eastern Darling Downs, Queensland. I. The effect of surface conditions on soil movement within contour bay catchments., Aust. J. Soil Res. 24 (1986), pp. 135–158.
  • Hamlet, A. F., and Lettenmaier, D. P., 1999. Columbia River streamflow forecasting based on ENSO and PDO climate signals., J. Water Resour. Plan. Manage. 125 (6) (1999), pp. 333–341.
  • Howell, D. C., 1992. Statistical Methods for Psychology. California, USA: third edn. Duxbury Press; 1992.
  • Kharin, V. V., and Francis, Z. W., 2003. Improved seasonal probability forecasts., J. Climate 16 (2003), pp. 1684–1701.
  • Kirtman, B. P., and Shukla, J., 2006. Tropical Pacific SST predictions with a coupled GCM. 2006, http://grads.iges.org/nino/ninomodl.html.
  • Kuhnel, I., McMahon, T. A., Finlayson, B. L., Haines, A., Whetton, P. H., and Gibson, T. T., 1990. Climatic influences on streamflow variability: a comparison between south-eastern Australia and United States of America., Water Resour. Res. 26 (1990), pp. 2483–2496.
  • Latif, M., Barnett, T. P., Cane, M. A., Flugel, M., Graham, N. E., von Storch, H., Xu, J.-S., and Zebiak, S. E., 1994. A review of ENSO prediction studies., Climate Dynamics 9 (1994), pp. 167–179.
  • Lough, J. M., 1991. Rainfall variations in Queensland, Australia 1891–1986., Int. J. Climatol. 11 (1991), pp. 745–768.
  • McBride, J. L., and Nicholls, N., 1983. Seasonal relationships between Australian rainfall and the Southern Oscillation., Mon. Weather Rev. 111 (1983), pp. 1998–2004.
  • McGrath, T., and Schreiber, S., 1995. Streamflow derivation for the Border Rivers System, Draft. Queensland, Australia: Surface Water Assessment Group, Resource Management Institute, Department of Primary Industries; 1995.
  • Murphy, B. F., and Ribbe, J., 2004. Variability of southern Queensland rainfall and climate indices., Int. J. Climatol. 24 (2004), pp. 703–721.
  • Murray-Darling Basin Ministerial Council, 2001. Irrigation. 2001, http://www.mdbc.gov.au/education/Encyclopedia/Irrigation/Irrigation.htm.
  • Murray-Darling Basin Ministerial Council, 1995. An audit of water use in the Murray-Darling Basin. Canberra, Australia: Murray-Darling Basin Commission; 1995, ISBN 1 875209 32 8.
  • National Land & Water Resources Audit, 2005. Australian Natural Resources Atlas—Regional Profiling Tool. 2005, http://audit.deh.gov.au/ANRA/atlas_home.cfm.
  • Nazemosadat, M. J., and Cordery, I., 1997. The influence of geopotential heights on New South Wales rainfall., Meteorol. & Atmos. Phys. 63 (1997), pp. 179–193.
  • New South Wales Department of Land and Water Conservation, 2000. Border Rivers System: IQQM Implementation. Vol. 4 of 7, Validation Report. 2000.
  • New South Wales Department of Land and Water Conservation, 1998. Integrated Quantity-Quality Model (IQQM) Reference Manual.. 1998.
  • New South Wales Government, 2002. Border Rivers (NSW) catchment irrigation profile. 2002, http://www.agric.nsw.gov.au/reader/profiles.
  • Oludhe, C., 2002. Deterministic and probabilistic prediction approaches in seasonal to inter-annual climate forecasting. 2002, http://www.wmo.ch/web/wcp/clips2001/modules/Oludhe.pdf.
  • Pittock, A. B., 1975. Climatic change and patterns of variation in Australian Rainfall., Search 6 (1975), pp. 498–504.
  • Podbury, T., Scheales, T. C., Hussain, I., and Fisher, B. S., 1998. Use of El Niño climate forecasts in Australia., Am. J. Agric. Economics 80 (1998), pp. 1096–1101.
  • Potgieter, A. B., Everingham, Y. L., and Hammaer, G. L., 2003. On measuring quality of a probabilistic commodity forecast for a system that incorporates seasonal climate forecasts., Int. J. Climatol. 23 (2003), pp. 1195–1210.
  • Rosenberg, M. T., 1999. Aristotle's Climate Classification. 1999, http://clem.mscd.edu/∼wagnerri/Climatology/classification.htm.
  • Schwab, G. O., Frevert, R. K., Edminister, T. W., and Barnes, K. K., 1966. Soil and Water Conservation Engineering. New York, USA: second edn. John Wiley & Sons Inc.; 1966.
  • Siegel, S., 1956. Nonparametric Statistics for the Behavioral Sciences. Tokyo, Japan: International Student edn. McGraw-Hill Kogakusha Ltd; 1956.
  • Simpson, H. J., Cane, M. A., Herczeg, A. L., Zebiak, S. E., and Simpson, J. H., 1993. Annual river discharge in southeastern Australia related to El Niño-Southern Oscillation forecasts of sea surface temperatures., Water Resour. Res. 29 (1993), pp. 3671–3680.
  • Stephens, J. C., 1965. Discussion of estimating evaporation from insolation., J. Hydraul. Div. ASCE 91 (HY5) (1965), pp. 171–182.
  • Stone, R., and Auliciems, A., 1992. SOI phase relationships with rainfall in eastern Australia., Int. J. Climatol. 12 (1992), pp. 625–636.
  • Stone, R. C., Hammer, G. L., and Marcussen, T., 1996. Prediction of global rainfall probabilities using phases of the Southern Oscillation Index., Nature 384 (1996), pp. 252–256.
  • Tootle, G. A., and Piechota, T. C., 2004. Suwannee River long range streamflow forecasts based on seasonal climate predictors, J. AWRA 40 (2) (2004), pp. 523–532.
  • Trenberth, K. E., 1984. Signal versus noise in the Southern Oscillation., Mon. Weather Rev. 112 (1984), pp. 326–332.
  • Wang, G., and Eltahir, E. A. B., 1999. Use of ENSO information in medium and long-range forecasting of the Nile floods., J. Climate 12 (1999), pp. 1726–1737.
  • Ward, M. N., and Folland, C. K., 1991. Prediction of seasonal rainfall in the north Nordeste of Brazil using eigenvectors of sea-surface temperature., Int. J. Climatol 11 (1991), pp. 711–743.
  • Wilson, F. W., 2004. "Additional measures of skill for probabilistic forecasts.". In: 84th AMS Annual Meeting. Seattle, USA: Washington State Convention and Trade Centre; 2004, (11–15 January 2004), http://ams.confex.com/ams/annual2002/16ProbStat/index.html..
  • Wooldridge, S. C., Franks, S. W., and Kalma, J. D., 2001. Hydrological implications of the Southern Oscillation: variability of the rainfall runoff relationship., Hydrol. Sci. J. 46 (1) (2001), pp. 73–88.
  • Zubair, L., 2003. El Niño-Southern Oscillation influences on the Mahaweli streamflow in Sri Lanka., Int. J. Climatol. 23 (2003), pp. 91–102.

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.