214
Views
13
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Research Papers

Predicting the potential distribution of invasive silver carp Hypophthalmichthys molitrix in South Africa

, , &
Pages 157-165 | Received 14 Feb 2014, Accepted 12 May 2014, Published online: 24 Jun 2014

References

  • Anderson RP, Raza A. 2010. The effect of the extent of the study region on GIS models of species geographic distributions and estimates of niche evolution: preliminary tests with montane rodents (genus Nephelomys) in Venezuela. Journal of Biogeography 37: 1378–1393.
  • Austin MP. 2002. Spatial prediction of species distribution: an interface between ecological theory and statistical modelling. Ecological Modelling 157: 101–118.
  • Beaumont LJ, Gallagher RV, Thuiller W, Downey PO, Leishman MR, Hughes L. 2009. Developing climatic envelopes among invasive populations may lead to underestimations of current and future biological invasions. Diversity and Distributions 15: 409–420.
  • Broennimann O, Guisan A. 2008. Predicting current and future biological invasions: both native and invaded ranges matter. Biological Letters 4: 585–589.
  • Brits DL. 2009. Distribution of the silver carp, Hypophthalmichthys molitrix (Valenciennes, 1844), in the Flag Boshielo Dam (Arabie Dam) and its potential influences on the ecology of the dam. PhD thesis, University of Limpopo, South Africa.
  • Buisson L, Thuiller W, Lek S, Lim P, Grenouillet GL. 2008. Climate change hastens the turnover of stream fish assemblages. Global Change Biology 14: 2232–2248.
  • Caissie D, El-Jabi N, Satish MG. 2001. Modelling of maximum daily water temperatures in a small stream using air temperatures. Journal of Hydrology 251: 14–28.
  • Calkins HA, Tripp SJ, Garvey JE. 2012. Linking silver carp habitat selection to flow and phytoplankton in the Mississippi River. Biological Invasions 14: 949–958.
  • Chen P, Wiley EO, McNyset KM. 2007. Ecological niche modelling as a predictive tool: silver and bighead carps in North America. Biological Invasions 9: 43–51.
  • Cooke SL, Hill WR. 2010. Can filter-feeding Asian carp invade the Laurentian Great Lakes? A bioenergetic modelling exercise. Freshwater Biology 55: 2138–2152.
  • Cooke SL, Hill WR, Meyer KP. 2009. Feeding at different plankton densities alters invasive bighead carp (Hypophthalmichthys nobilis) growth and zooplankton species composition. Hydrobiology 625: 185–193.
  • Coulter AA, Keller D, Amberg JJ, Bailey EJ, Goforth RR. 2013. Phenotypic plasticity in the spawning traits of bigheaded carp (Hypophthalmichthys spp.) in novel ecosystems. Freshwater Biology 58: 1029–1037.
  • DeVaney SC, McNyset KM, Williams JB, Peterson AT, Wiley EO. 2009. A tale of four ‘Carp’: invasion potential and ecological niche modelling. PLoS ONE 4: e5451.
  • Elith J, Graham CH. 2009. Do they? How do they? Why do they differ? On finding reasons for differing performances of species distribution models. Ecography 32: 66–77.
  • Elith J, Graham CH, Anderson RP, Dudík M, Ferrier S, Guisan A, Hijmans RJ, Huettmann F, Leathwick JR, Lehmann A, Li J, Lohmann LG, Loiselle BA, Manion G, Moritz C, Nakamura M, Nakazawa Y, Overton JMC, Peterson AT, Phillips SJ, Richardson KS, Scachetti-Pereira R, Schapire RE, Soberón J, Williams S, Wisz MS, Zimmermann NE. 2006. Novel methods improve prediction of species’ distributions from occurrence data. Ecography 29: 129–151.
  • Elith J, Phillips SJ, Hastie T, Dudík M, Chee YE, Yates CJ. 2011. A statistical explanation of MaxEnt for ecologists. Diversity and Distributions 17: 43–57.
  • FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization). 2004. Drought impact mitigation and prevention in the Limpopo River Basin. A situation analysis. Land and water discussion paper No. 4. Rome. FAO Subregional Office for Southern and East Africa, Harare. Available at ftp://ftp.fao.org/agl/aglw/docs/lwdp4_e.pdf [accessed 11 November 2011].
  • Fielding AH, Bell JF. 1997. A review of methods for the assessment of prediction errors in conservation presence/absence models. Environmental Conservation 24: 38–49.
  • Galloway JN, Cowling EB. 1978. The effects of precipitation on aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems: a proposed precipitation chemistry network. Journal of the Air Pollution Control Association 28: 229–235.
  • Gozlan R, Britton JR, Cowx I, Copp GH. 2010. Current knowledge on non-native freshwater fish introductions. Journal of Fish Biology 44: 751–786.
  • Guisan A, Zimmermann NE. 2000. Predictive habitat distribution models in ecology. Ecological Modelling135: 147–186.
  • Herborg L, Mandrak NE, Cudmore BC, MacIsaac HJ. 2007. Comparative distribution and invasive risk of snakeheads (Channidae) and Asian carp (Cyprinidae) species in North America. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 64: 1723–1735.
  • Hijmans RJ, Cameron SE, Parra JL, Jones PG, Jarvis A. 2005. Very high resolution interpolated climate surfaces for global land areas. International Journal of Climatology 25: 1965–1978.
  • Hong-Xia Y, Wen-Qiao T, Si-Fa L. 2010. Morphological changes of silver and bighead carp in the Yangtze River over the past 50 years. Zoological Research 31: 651–656.
  • Hoque MT. 1995. Sustainable agriculture: a perspective on fish culture for the small-scale resource-poor farmers of Bangladesh. Journal of Sustainable Agriculture 5: 97–112.
  • Huchzermeyer KDA, Osthoff G, Hugo A, Govender D. 2013. Comparison of the lipid properties of healthy and pansteatitisaffected African sharptooth catfish, Clarias gariepinus (Burchell), and the role of diet in pansteatitis outbreaks in the Olifants River in the Kruger National Park, South Africa. Journal of Fish Diseases 36: 897–909.
  • Iguchi K, Matsuura K, McNyset KM, Peterson T, Scachetti-Pereira R, Powers KA, Vieglais DA, Wiley EO, Yodo T. 2004. Predicting invasions of North American basses in Japan using native range data and a genetic algorithm. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society 133: 845–854.
  • Irons KS, Sass GG, McCelland MA, Stafford JD. 2007. Reduced condition factor of two native fish species coincident with invasion of non-native Asian carps in the Illinois River, U.S.A. Is this evidence for competition and reduced fitness? Journal of Fish Biology 71: 258–273.
  • Jiménez-Valverde A. 2011. Insights into the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) as a discrimination measure in species distribution modelling. Global Ecology and Biogeography 21: 498–507.
  • Jiménez-Valverde A, Peterson AT, Soberón J, Overton JM, Aragón P, Lobo JM. 2011. Use of niche models in invasive species risk assessment. Biological Invasions 13: 2785–2797.
  • Kearney MR, Wintle BA, Porter WP. 2010. Correlative and mechanistic models of species distribution provide congruent forecasts under climate change. Conservation Letters 3: 203–213.
  • Kolar CS, Chapman DC, Courtenay WR, Housel CM, Williams JD, Jennings DP. 2007. Bigheaded carps: a biological synopsis and environmental risk assessment. American Fisheries Society Special Publication 33. Bethesda, Maryland: American Fisheries Society.
  • Kottek M, Grieser J, Beck C, Rudolf B, Rubel F. 2006. World map of the Köppen-Geiger climate classification updated. Meteorologische Zeitschrift 15: 259–263.
  • Linhart O, Kudob S, Billard R, Slechtad V, Mikodina EV. 1995. Morphology, composition and fertilization of carp eggs: a review. Aquaculture 129: 75–93.
  • Liu C, Berry PM, Dawson TP, Pearson RG. 2005. Selecting thresholds of occurrence in the prediction of species distributions. Ecography 28: 385–393.
  • Liu X, Guo Z, Ke Z, Wang S, Li Y. 2011. Increasing potential risk of a global aquatic invader in Europe in contrast to other continents under future climate change. PLoS ONE 6: e18429.
  • Lu M, Xie P, Tang H, Shao Z, Xie L. 2002. Experimental study of trophic cascade effect of silver carp (Hypophthalmichthys molitrix) in a subtropical lake, Lake Donghu: on plankton community and underlying mechanisms of changes of crustacean community. Hydrobiologia 487: 19–31.
  • Ma H, Cui F, Liu Z, Fan Z, He W, Yin P. 2010. Effect of filterfeeding fish, silver carp, on phytoplankton species and size distribution in surface water: a field study in water works. Journal of Environmental Sciences 22: 161–167.
  • Mas JF, Puig H, Palacio JL, Sosa-López A. 2004. Modelling deforestation using GIS and artificial neural networks. Environmental Modelling and Software 19: 461–471.
  • Milstein A, Hepher B, Teltch B. 1988. The effect of fish species combinations in fishponds on plankton communities. Aquaculture and Fisheries Management 19: 127–137.
  • National Research Council. 2002. Predicting invasions of non-indigenous plants and plant pests. Washington, DC: National Academic Press.
  • Opusynski K, Lirski A, Myszkowski L, Wolnkicki J. 1989. Upper lethal and rearing temperatures for juvenile common carp, Cyprinus carpio L. and silver carp, Hypophthalmichthys molitrix (Valenciennes). Aquaculture and Fish Management 20: 287–294.
  • Pearson RG, Raxworthy CJ, Nakamura M, Peterson AT. 2007. Predicting species distributions from small numbers of occurrence records: a test case using cryptic geckos in Madagascar. Journal of Biogeography 34: 102–117.
  • Peterson AT. 2003. Predicting the geography of species’ invasion via ecological niche modelling. Quarterly Review of Biology 78: 419–433.
  • Peterson AT, Papes M, Eaton M. 2007. Transferability and model evaluation in ecological niche modelling: a comparison of GARP and Maxent. Ecography 30: 550–560.
  • Phillips SJ, Anderson RP, Schapire RE. 2006. Maximum entropy modelling of species geographic distributions. Ecological modelling 190: 231–259.
  • Phillips SJ, Dudik M. 2008. Modelling of species distributions with Maxent: new extensions and a comprehensive evaluation. Ecography 31: 161–175.
  • Phillips SJ, Dudík M, Elith J, Graham CH, Lehmann A, Leathwick J, Ferrier S. 2009. Sample selection bias and presence-only distribution models: implications for background and pseudoabsence data. Ecological Applications 19: 181–197.
  • Poulos HM, Chernoff B, Fuller PL, Butman D. 2012. Ensemble forecasting of potential habitat for three invasive fishes. Aquatic Invasions 7: 59–72.
  • Prinsloo JF, Schoonbee HJ. 1987. Investigations into the feasibility of a duck-fish-vegetable integrated agriculture-aquaculture system for developing areas in South Africa. Water SA 13: 109–118.
  • Rahel FJ. 2013. Intentional fragmentation as a management strategy in aquatic systems. BioScience 63: 362–372.
  • R Development Core Team. 2008. R: a language and environment for statistical computing. Vienna: R Foundation for Statistical Computing.
  • Rosemberg FM, Attayde J, Vasconcelos FR. 2010. Effects of omnivorous filter-feeding fish and nutrient enrichment on the plankton community and water transparency of a tropical reservoir. Freshwater Biology 55: 767–779.
  • RSA (Republic of South Africa). 2004. National Environmental Biodiversity Act (Act No. 10 of 2004). Government Gazette, South Africa 467(26436).
  • Sampson SJ, Chick JH, Pegg MA. 2009. Diet overlap among two Asian carp and three native fishes in backwater lakes on the Illinois and Mississippi rivers. Biological Invasions 11: 483–496.
  • Sass GG, Cook TR, Irons KS, McClelland MA, Michaels NN, O'Hara TM, Stroub MR. 2010. A mark-recapture population estimate for invasive silver carp (Hypophthalmichthys molitrix) in the La Grange Reach, Illinois River. Biological Invasions 12: 433–436.
  • Soberón J, Peterson AT. 2005. Interpretation of models of fundamental ecological niches and species distributional areas. Biodiversity Informatics 2: 1–10.
  • Spataru P, Gophen M. 1985. Feeding behaviour of silver carp Hypophthalmichthys molitrix (Val.) and its impact on the food web in Lake Kinneret, Israel. Hydrobiologia 120: 53–61.
  • Stockwell DRB, Peters DP. 1999. The GARP modelling system: problems and solutions to automated spatial prediction. International Journal of Geographic Information Systems 13: 143–158.
  • Swets JA. 1988. Measuring the accuracy of diagnostic systems. Science 3: 1285–1293.
  • Tan XC, Li XH, Lek S, Li YF, Wang C, Li J, Luo JR. 2010. Annual dynamics of the abundance of fish larvae and its relationship with hydrological variation in the Pearl River. Environmental Biology of Fishes 88: 217–225.
  • Thompson GD, Robertson MP, Webber BL, Richardson DM, le Roux JJ, Wilson JRU. 2011. Predicting the subspecific identity of invasive species using distribution models: Acacia saligna as an example. Diversity and Distributions 17: 1001–1014.
  • Thuiller W, Broennimann O, Hughes G, Alkemades JRM, Midgley G, Corsi F. 2006. Vulnerability of African mammals to anthropogenic climate change under conservative land transformation assumptions. Global Change Biology 12: 424–440.
  • VanDerWal J, Shooa LP, Graham C, Williams SE. 2009. Selecting pseudo-absence data for presence-only distribution modelling: How far should you stray from what you know? Ecological Modelling 220: 589–594.
  • Wiley EO, McNyset KM, Peterson AT, Robins CR, Stewart AM. 2003. Niche modelling and geographic range predictions in the marine environment using a machine-learning algorithm. Oceanography 16: 120–127.
  • Wolmarans R, Robertson MP, van Rensburg BJ. 2010. Predicting invasive alien plant distributions: how geographical bias in occurrence records influences model performance. Journal of Biogeography 37: 1797–1810.
  • Woodborne S, Huchzermeyer KDA, Govender D, Pienaar DJ, Hall G, Myburgh JG, Deacon AR, Venter J, Lübcker N. 2012. Ecosystem change and the Olifants River crocodile mass mortality events. Ecosphere 3: 1–17.
  • Zambrano L, Martinez-Meyer E, Menezes N, Peterson AT. 2006. Invasive potential of common carp (Cyprinus carpio) and Nile tilapia (Oreochromis niloticus) in American freshwater systems. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 63: 1903–1910.
  • Zengeya TA, Booth AJ, Bastos ADS, Chimimba CT. 2011. Trophic interrelationships between exotic Nile tilapia, Oreochromis niloticus, and indigenous tilapiine cichlids in a subtropical African river system (Limpopo River, South Africa). Environmental Biology of Fishes 92: 479–489.
  • Zengeya TA, Robertson MP, Booth AJ, Chimimba CT. 2013. Ecological niche modeling of the invasive potential of Nile tilapia Oreochromis niloticus in African river systems: concerns and implications for the conservation of indigenous congenerics. Biological Invasions 15: 1507–1521.
  • Zhang SM, Deng H, Wang D, Yu LN. 2001. Population structure and gene diversity of silver carp and grass carp from populations of the Yangtze River systems revealed by random amplified polymorphic DNA. Acta Hydrobiologica Sinica 25: 255–330.

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.