References
- Arquilla, J. (1996). From Troy to Entebbe: Special operations in ancient and modern times. Lanham, MD: University Press of America.
- Aspin, L. (Summer 1981). Misreading intelligence. Foreign Policy, 43.
- Banco, E., Graff, G.M, Seligman, L., Toosi, N, & Ward, A. (2023, February 24). ‘Something was badly wrong’: When Washington realized Russia was actually invading Ukraine. Politico.
- Barabanov, M.2011). Russia’s new army. Moscow: CAST.. http://amzn.to/2fCxbc2.
- Barany, Z. (2023). Armies and autocrats: Why Putin’s military failed. Journal of Democracy, 34(1), 80–94. doi:10.1353/jod.2023.0005.
- Benson, K. (2020). Fighting the CENTCOM OIF campaign plan: Lessons for the future Battlefield. Modern War Institute.
- Betts, R. K. (1978). Analysis, war, and decision: Why intelligence failures are inevitable. World Politics, 31(1), 61–89. doi:10.2307/2009967.
- Bremer, M. K., & Grieco, K. A. (2022). In denial about denial: why Ukraine’s air success should worry the West. War on the Rocks.
- Bronk, J. (2022). The mysterious case of the missing Russian Air Force. RUSI.
- Bronk, J., Reynolds, N., & Watling, J. (2022). The Russian air war and Ukrainian requirements for air defence. RUSI.
- Buckel, C. (2021). A new look at operational art: How we view war dictates how we fight it. Joint Force Quarterly, 100(94–100).
- Bury, P., & Chertoff, M. (2020). New intelligence strategies for a new decade. RUSI Journal, 165(4), 42–53.
- Colom-Piella, G. (2023). The bear in the labyrinth. RUSI Journal, 167(6-7), 72–81. doi:10.1080/03071847.2023.2177193
- Cordesman, A. H. (2002). Iraq’s military capabilities in 2002: A dynamic net assessment. Center for Strategic and International Studies.
- Courtney, W., & Wilson, P. A. (2021, December 8). If Russia invaded Ukraine. RANDBLOG.
- Crowther, A. (2022). Russia’s Military: Failure on an Awesome Scale. Center for European Policy Analysis.
- Dahl, E. (2013). Intelligence and surprise attack. Georgetown University Press.
- Dalsjo, R., Jonsson, M., & Norberg, J. (2022). A brutal examination: Russian military capability in light of the Ukraine War. Survival, 64(3), 7–28. doi:10.1080/00396338.2022.2078044
- Davitch, J. M. (2017). Open sources for the information age: Or how I learned to stop worrying and love unclassified data. Joint Force Quarterly, 87, 18–25.
- Davitch, J. M. (2022). Do not trust your gut: How to improve strategists’ decision making. Strategy Bridge.
- Depetris, D. (2018). Despite the bluster, Russia Is Not 10 Feet Tall. The National Interest.
- Depetris, D. (2020). The big hack is damaging. That doesn’t make Russia 10 feet tall. Defense One.
- Dilanian, K., Kube, C., Lee, C.E., & De Luce, D. (2022, April 16). U.S. Intel helped Ukraine protect air defenses, shoot down Russian plane carrying hundreds of troops. NBC News. Retrieved from https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/national-security/us-intel-helped-ukraine-protect-air-defenses-shoot-russian-plane-carry-rcna26015.
- Doane, L. M. (2015, September 24). It’s just tactics: Why the operational level of war is unhelpful fiction and impedes the operational Art. Small Wars Journal.
- Drohan, T. A. (2016). A new strategy for complex warfare. Amherst, NY: Cambria Press.
- Eikmeier, D. C. (2015). Operational Art and the Operational Level of War, are they Synonymous? Well It Depends. Small Wars Journal.
- Facon, I. (2019). Military exercises: The Russian Way. In S. J. Blank (Ed.), The Russian military in contemporary perspective (pp. 219–248). Carlisle, PA: Strategic Studies Institute.
- Fingar, T. (2011). Reducing uncertainty: Intelligence analysis and national security. Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press.
- Freedman, D. H. (2010). Why scientific studies are so often wrong: The streetlight effect. Discover.
- Friedman, B. A. (2021). On operations: Operational Art and military disciplines. Annapolis, MD: Naval Institute Press.
- Gady, F. S., & Kofman, M. (2023). Ukraine’s strategy of attrition. Survival, 65(2), 7–22.
- Giles, K. (2016). Russia’s ‘New’ tools for confronting the West: Continuity and innovation in Moscow’s exercise of power. London: Chatham House: The Royal Institute of International Affairs.
- Giles, K. (2017). Assessing Russia’s reorganized and rearmed military. Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
- Giles, K. (2021). Putin does not need to invade Ukraine to get his way. Chatham House.
- Gill, P., & Phythian, M. (2016). What is intelligence studies? The International Journal of Intelligence, Security, and Public Affairs, 18(1), 5–19. doi:10.1080/23800992.2016.1150679
- Gill, P., & Phythian, M. (2018). Intelligence in an insecure world. Medford, MA: Polity Press.
- Goudsouzian, T. (2022). How Ukraine won the information war. The National Interest.
- Greenberg, A. (2017 June 20). How an entire nation became Russia’s test lab for cyberwar. Wired.
- Greenhill, K. M., & Staniland, P.. (2007). Ten Ways to Lose at Counterinsurgency. Civil Wars, 9(4), 402–419.
- Hammes, T. X. (2021). Guerrilla tactics offer Ukraine’s best deterrent against Putin’s invasion force. Atlantic Council.
- Healey, J. (2022). Preparing for inevitable cyber surprise. War on the Rocks.
- Heuer, R. J. (1999). Psychology of intelligence analysis. Center for the Study of Intelligence.DC: Central Intelligence Agency.
- Howard, M. (1962). The use and abuse of military history. RUSI Journal, 107, 4–10.
- Hudson, J. (2022). Susan rice blames bad Benghazi Intelligence for her misleading version of events. The Atlantic.
- Jervis, R. (2006). Understanding beliefs. Political Psychology, 27, 641–663. doi:10.1111/j.1467-9221.2006.00527.x
- Jones, M. D. (1998). The thinker’s toolkit: 14 powerful techniques for problem solving. New York: Three Rivers Press.
- Jonsson, M., & Norberg, J. (2022). Russia’s war against Ukraine: Military scenarios and outcomes. Survival, 64(6), 91–122. doi:10.1080/00396338.2022.2150429
- Kay, S. (2000). After Kosovo: NATO’s credibility dilemma. Security Dialogue, 31(1), 71–84. doi:10.1177/0967010600031001006
- Keller, W. (1961). Are the Russians ten feet tall? London: Thames and Hudson.
- Kofman, M., & Edmonds, J. (2022, February 22). Russia’s shock and awe: Moscow’s use of overwhelming force against Ukraine. Foreign Affairs.
- Kries, J. F.1996). Piercing the fog of War: Intelligence and Army Air Forces Operations in World War II. Air Force History and Museums Program.
- Lake, D. R. (2009). The limits of coercive airpower: NATO’s ‘victory’ in Kosovo revisited. International Security, 34(1), 83–112. doi:10.1162/isec.2009.34.1.83
- Lee, R. (2022, April 30). Rob Lee on why attrition will be a critical factor in the battle for Donbas. The Economist.
- Lee, R., & Kofman, M. (2022, December 23). How the Battle for the Donbas Shaped Ukraine’s Success. Foreign Policy Research Institute.
- Lowenthal, M. M. (2020). Intelligence: From secrets to policy (8th Ed.). Thousand Oaks, CA: CQ Press.
- Luzin, P. (2022, May 24). Russia’s space satellite problems and the War in Ukraine. Eurasia Daily Monitor, 19.
- Malyasov, D. (2022, February 11). Over a dozen Russian tanks stuck in the mud during military exercise. Defence Blog.
- Maschmeyer, L. & Nadiya Kostyuk, N. (2022, February 8). There is no cyber ‘shock and awe’: plausible threats in the Ukrainian conflict. War on the Rocks.
- Mattis, J., & West, B. (2019). Call Sign Chaos: Learning to lead. New York: Random House.
- May, E., & Neustadt, R. (1986). Thinking in time: The uses of history for decision makers. New York: The Free Press.
- McChrystal, S. (2015). Team of teams: New rules of engagement for a complex world. New York: Penguin`.
- McMaster, H. R. (2008). On War: Lessons to be learned. Survival, 50(1), 19–30. doi:10.1080/00396330801899439.
- Miller, M. (2022, January 28). Russian invasion of Ukraine could redefine cyber warfare. Politico.
- Muskie, E. S. (1981, February 1). Soviets aren’t 10 feet tall. The Washington Post.
- Nuechterlein, D. E. (1976). National Interests and Foreign Policy: A conceptual framework for analysis and decision-making. British Journal of International Studies, 2 (3), 256–259. doi:10.1017/S0260210500116729
- Owen, W. F. (2012). The operational level of war does not exist. The Journal of Military Operations, 1(1), 17–20.
- Peck, M. (2023, March 29). Why Russian space satellites are failing in the Ukraine War. Popular Mechanics.
- Peitrucha, M. W. (2015). Capability-based planning and the death of military strategy. Proceedings.
- Perry, W. L., Darilek, R.E., Rohn, L.L., & Sollinger, J.M. (2015). Operation Iraqi freedom: Decisive war, elusive peace. Santa Monica, CA: RAND.
- Persson, G. (2016). Russian military capability in a ten-year perspective – 2016. Swedish Defence Research Agency.
- Pietrucha, M. (2022, August 11). Amateur hour part II: Failing the air campaign. War on the Rocks.
- Ratcliff, R. A. (2006). Delusions of intelligence: Enigma, ultra, and the end of secure ciphers. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
- Rittel, H., & Webber, M. (1973). Dilemmas in a general theory of planning. Policy Sciences, 4(2), 155–159. doi:10.1007/BF01405730
- Samuels, B. (2022, April 4). White House warns of potential Russian blitz on eastern Ukraine. The Hill.
- Shultz, R.H. & Brimelow, B. (2022). Russia Potemkin army. Modern War Institute.
- Singh, M. (2022, October 19). Looking back at Iraqi air defences during operation desert storm. From Balloons to Drones.
- Speller, I. (2011, February 24). The use and abuse of history by the military, Paper presented at Desmond Tutu Centre for War and Peace Studies at Liverpool Hope University. Retrieved from http://eprints.maynoothuniversity.ie/3843/1/IS_Use_Abuse_History.pdf.
- Stewart, B. (2023, March 24). Comments from the Senior Defense Official to Ukraine, 2021-2022. Presentation at National Character and Leadership Symposium. US Air Force Academy, CO.
- Ullman, H. (2020, February 12). Politics of fear: China and Russia aren’t 10 feet tall. UPI.
- Vershinin, A. (2021). Feeding the bear: A closer look at Russian army logistics and the fait accompli. War on the Rocks.
- Walcott, J. (2023). Why the press failed on Iraq. Foreign Affairs.
- Warner, M. (2002). Wanted: A definition of intelligence. Studies in Intelligence, 46(3).
- Weinbaum, C. (2021, April 12). The Intelligence Community’s Deadly Bias Toward Classified Sources. RAND Blog.
- What They Got. (2017, January 8). Russian defense policy. Retrieved from https://russiandefpolicy.blog/2017/01/08/what-they-got.
- Wheaton, K. J., & Beerbower, M. T. (2006). Toward a new definition of intelligence. Stanford Law & Policy Review, 17, 319–330.
- Wilensky, H. (2015). Organizational intelligence: Knowledge and policy in government and industry. New Orleans, LA: Quid Pro Quo Books.
- Wirtz, J. J., & Rosenwasser, J. J. (2010). From combined arms to combined intelligence: Philosophy, doctrine, and operations. Intelligence and National Security, 25(6), 725–743.
- Wohlstetter, R. (1962). Pearl Harbor: Warning and decision. Stanford: Stanford University Press.
- Woodford, S. (2016, May 17). Assessing the 1990-1991 Gulf war forecasts. The Dupuy Institute.
- Yengoude, E. A. (2017). The enemy achieves surprise: Are intelligence failures avoidable? Journal of Political Sciences and Public Affairs, 5(4), 1–5.
- Zegart, A. B. (2007a). 9/11 and the FBI: The organizational roots of failure. Intelligence and National Security, 22(2), 165–184. doi:10.1080/02684520701415123
- Zegart, A. B. (2007b). Cnn with secrets:’ 9/11, the CIA, and the organizational roots of failure. International Journal of Intelligence and Counterintelligence, 20(1), 18–49. doi:10.1080/08850600600888581