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Abstract
In this paper, with eclipse stage in consideration, we propose an HIV-1 infection model with a general incidence rate and CTL immune response. We first study the existence and local stability of equilibria, which is characterized by the basic infection reproduction number and the basic immunity reproduction number
. The local stability analysis indicates the occurrence of transcritical bifurcations of equilibria. We confirm the bifurcations at the disease-free equilibrium and the infected immune-free equilibrium with transmission rate and the decay rate of CTLs as bifurcation parameters, respectively. Then we apply the approach of Lyapunov functions to establish the global stability of the equilibria, which is determined by the two basic reproduction numbers. These theoretical results are supported with numerical simulations. Moreover, we also identify the high sensitivity parameters by carrying out the sensitivity analysis of the two basic reproduction numbers to the model parameters.
1. Introduction
HIV (Human Immunodeficiency Virus) is the pathogen causing AIDS (Acquired ImmunoDeficiency Syndrome). Now, HIV has been a major global public health issue. There were approximately 37.9 million people living with HIV at the end of 2018 with 1.7 million people becoming newly infected in 2018 globally [Citation34]. Though an estimated entry into the human population in the early twentieth century [Citation9], HIV was identified as responsible for AIDS only until 1984 [Citation10]. Since then, HIV infection has been intensively studied and massive drug development efforts have been made. “Yet despite these advances, we still do not have a clear explanation for the pathogenesis of infection nor therapies that can permanently cure the infection” [Citation12]. Mathematical models have played an important role in enhancing understanding of HIV infection dynamics and helping generating ideas on how to treat the infection. Here we only focus on within-host HIV models. We refer to [Citation25] for a recent review for such models.
In the pioneering work [Citation22], Nowak and Bangham proposed some simple models to explore the relation between antiviral immune responses, virus load, and virus diversity. Since then, these models have been modified to reflect the effects of many other factors such as delay, eclipse phase, treatment, drug resistance, nonlinear incidence, transmission modes, multi-strain of viruses, co-infection, super-infection, vaccination, age/stage structure, spatial heterogeneity, and so on. We refer to [Citation1–3, Citation8, Citation14, Citation15, Citation17, Citation19–21, Citation23, Citation24, Citation28, Citation29, Citation32] as samples of works in the last five years to indicate how active the study on HIV-1 infection still is.
In particular, the HIV eclipse phase is the time period from a virus entering a target cell to the infected cell becoming infectious and producing new viruses. Of the four phases of HIV infection (acute, eclipse, chronic, and AIDS), the first three are currently the window of opportunity for viral clearance. There are many ways to describe the eclipse phase, which include delay models and age-structured models (see, for example, the references in [Citation26]). In [Citation26], Rong and his coworkers introduced a stage-structured HIV-1 infection model. Their model is described by the following system of four ordinary differential equations,
(1)
(1) where
,
,
, and
represent the concentrations of uninfected CD4
T cells, infected cells in the eclipse stage, productively infected cells, and free viruses at time t, respectively. One feature of model (Equation1
(1)
(1) ) is that a portion of infected cells in the eclipse phase may revert to the uninfected cells. The biological meanings of the parameters are summarized in Table .
Table 1. The biological meanings of the parameters in model (Equation1(1)
(1) ).
Rong et al. analysed the local stability of the infected equilibrium of (Equation1(1)
(1) ). Later on, Buonomo and Vargas-De-Léon [Citation4] provided some sufficient conditions on its global stability by using the Lyapunov direct method and a geometric method based on compounded matrices.
On the one hand, the incidence in (Equation1(1)
(1) ) is the bilinear one. However, experiments [Citation7] have strongly suggested that the incidence is an increasing function of the parasite dose, and is usually sigmoidal in shape (see, for example, [Citation30]). As a result, Hesaaraki and Sabzevari [Citation11] modified (Equation1
(1)
(1) ) by replacing
with
. Using the same approaches of Buonomo and Vargas-De-Léon [Citation4], they obtained sufficient conditions on the global stability of the equilibria of the resulting system. On the other hand, in most virus infections, cytotoxic T lymphocytes (CTLs) play a critical role in antiviral defence by attacking the productively infected cells. In [Citation18], Lv et al. modified (Equation1
(1)
(1) ) to study the following system with Beddington-DeAngelis incidence and CTL immune response,
(2)
(2) Here z is the concentration of CTLs; p is the rate of productively infected cells removed by CTLs; k is the number of virions produced by a productively infected cell; c is the decay rate of CTLs; and the meanings of the other parameters are the same as those in Table . With the Lyapunov direct method, established are conditions on the global stability of equilibria in terms of the basic reproduction number and the immune response reproduction number. Later on, Maziane et al. [Citation20] considered a variation of (Equation2
(2)
(2) ) by replacing
with
and similar results were derived.
Motivated by the above discussion, in this paper, we investigate the following HIV-1 infection model with eclipse phase and CTL immune response,
(3)
(3) Here the meanings of the parameters are the same as before. The function f in the nonlinear incidence
is continuously differentiable on
and satisfies
;
for
;
f is concave down on
.
Biologically, assumptions (H1)–(H3) mean that the disease transmission rate is monotonically increasing, but subject to saturation effects. Note that (H1) and (H2) combined imply that for v>0. It is clear that incidence functions such as the bilinear incidence with
and the Holling-type II incidence with
satisfy (H1)–(H3).
The main results of this paper are about the global stability of equilibria of (Equation3(3)
(3) ). The paper is organized as follows. In Section 2, we give some preliminary results of (Equation3
(3)
(3) ), which include the boundedness of solutions and the existence of equilibria. The existence of equilibria is characterized by two basic reproduction numbers. Then we discuss the local stability of equilibria. It turns out that transcritical bifurcations of equilibria occur. We confirm them with the transmission rate and decay rate of CTLs as bifurcation parameters. After that, we employ the Lyapunov direction method to establish the global stability of the equilibria. Finally, we illustrate these theoretical results with numerical simulations and carry out the sensitivity analysis of the two basic reproduction numbers to the parameters. The paper ends with a brief summary and discussion.
2. Preliminaries
The initial conditions for system (Equation3(3)
(3) ) are
(4)
(4) With standard arguments, one can easily see that (Equation3
(3)
(3) ) with the initial condition (Equation4
(4)
(4) ) has a unique solution
on
. Moreover, the solution stays nonnegative on
.
For any solution of (Equation3(3)
(3) ), we have
where
. It follows that
(5)
(5) and if
for some
then
for all
. The fourth equation of system (Equation3
(3)
(3) ) together with (Equation5
(5)
(5) ) implies that
Proposition 2.1
The set Γ defined by
is an attracting and positively invariant set of (Equation3
(3)
(3) ).
Proof.
The discussion before the statement of Proposition 2.1 tells us that Γ attracts every solution of (Equation3(3)
(3) ). Now, let
. Then
for every
as mentioned before. We claim that
for
. If this is not true, then there exists
such that
. Let
. It follows that
. Obviously, there exists
such that
. However,
a contradiction. This proves the claim and hence Γ is positively invariant.
Now, we consider the existence of equilibria of (Equation3(3)
(3) ).
System (Equation3(3)
(3) ) always has an infection-free equilibrium
, where
. In fact,
is the only infection-free equilibrium. Employing the next-generation matrix method in van den Driessche and Watmough [Citation33], one can easily get the expression of the basic infection reproduction number
of system (Equation3
(3)
(3) ),
An equilibrium of (Equation3
(3)
(3) ) satisfies kyz−cz = 0 and hence either z = 0 or
.
We first consider the case where z = 0, which gives immune-free equilibria. At an immune-free equilibrium, we have
(6a)
(6a)
(6b)
(6b)
(6c)
(6c)
(6d)
(6d) Adding (Equation6a
(6a)
(6a) ) and (Equation6b
(6b)
(6b) ) yields
which also implies that
. Furthermore, it follows from (Equation6c
(6c)
(6c) ) and (Equation6d
(6d)
(6d) ), respectively that
Substituting the expressions of x and v above into (Equation6b
(6b)
(6b) ), we see that
(7)
(7) Clearly,
, which gives the infection-free equilibrium
. In the following, we consider infected immune-free equilibria. Note that
If
, then
. This, combined with
, implies that
for w>0 sufficiently small. Noting
, we see that g has at least one positive zero in
, which gives an infected immune-free equilibrium. Note that if
is an infected immune-free equilibrium, then
To obtain the last inequality, we have used assumption (H3) that f is concave down. This fact immediately tells us that there can be at most one infected immune-free equilibrium and hence there is a unique infected immune-free equilibrium, denoted by
, when
. Now assume that
. Then
. This, together with
and
tells us that
for w>0 sufficiently small. We claim that g has no zero in
. Otherwise, at the first zero of g, the derivative of g is larger than or equal to zero, a contradiction to the fact that the derivative is less than zero. Therefore, if
, then there is no infected immune-free equilibrium.
Next, we consider the case where and
, that is, infected equilibria with immunity. In this case, an equilibrium satisfies
(8a)
(8a)
(8b)
(8b)
(8c)
(8c)
(8d)
(8d) Clearly, (Equation8d
(8d)
(8d) ) gives
, and as before
from (Equation8a
(8a)
(8a) ) and (Equation8b
(8b)
(8b) ). Substituting both into (Equation8b
(8b)
(8b) ) yields
(9)
(9) and hence
. From (Equation9
(9)
(9) ) and (Equation8c
(8c)
(8c) ), we see that there is an infected equilibrium with immunity (and if exists then there is a unique one) if and only if
, where
In this case,
.
is called the basic immunity reproduction number.
Note that as shown below. From the concavity of f, we know that
for all
. Thus
implies that, for an infected equilibrium with immunity to exist, it is necessary that an infected immunity-free equilibrium exists. This agrees with the biological process. Actually, one can obtain
in the same manner as for
by the next generation matrix method at
.
In summary, we have shown the following result on the existence of equilibria.
Theorem 2.1
If
, then (Equation3
(3)
(3) ) only has the infection-free equilibrium
.
If
, then besides
, (Equation3
(3)
(3) ) also has an infected immune-free equilibrium
, where
,
,
, and
is the unique positive zero of g defined by (Equation7
(7)
(7) ) in
.
If
, then in addition to
and
, there is a unique infected equilibrium with immunity
for (Equation3
(3)
(3) ), where
,
,
,
, and
.
Note that
(10)
(10) According to the proof of Theorem 2.1, we see that
(
,
) if
(
,
, respectively). As
, we easily obtain the following result.
Proposition 2.2
The basic immunity reproduction number (
,
) if
(
,
, respectively).
3. Stability and bifurcation analysis
3.1. Local stability of equilibria
We start with the local stability of equilibria through linearization.
Theorem 3.1
The following statements on the stability of the equilibria ,
, and
of (Equation3
(3)
(3) ) obtained in Theorem 2.1 are true.
The infection-free equilibrium
is locally asymptotically stable if
while unstable if
.
The infected immune-free equilibrium
is locally asymptotically stable if
while unstable if
.
The infected equilibrium with immunity
is locally asymptotically stable when it exists, i.e. when
.
Proof.
(i) The characteristic equation of the Jacobian matrix of (Equation3(3)
(3) ) at
,
is
(11)
(11) where
As
and
are two negative eigenvalues of (Equation11
(11)
(11) ), the local stability of
is determined by the roots of
(12)
(12) First, assume
. Then
and
According to the Routh-Hurwitz criterion, all roots of (Equation12
(12)
(12) ) have negative real parts and hence
is locally asymptotically stable. Now assume that
. Then
. By the Intermediate Value Theorem, (Equation12
(12)
(12) ) has a positive root, which implies that
is unstable if
.
(ii) This time, the Jacobian matrix at is
with the characteristic equation being
(13)
(13) where
By Proposition 2.2,
is an eigenvalue of
when
and hence
is unstable if
. Now assume that
. Then the eigenvalue
and the stability of
is determined by the following equation,
(14)
(14) Using
,
, and the assumption on f, we can obtain
which implies that
and
. Furthermore, a simple calculation gives
. To apply the Routh-Hurwitz criterion, we need to check that
. For simplicity of notation, let
Then
and
By the Routh-Hurwitz criterion, all roots of (Equation14
(14)
(14) ) have negative real parts and hence
is locally asymptotically stable if
.
(iii) The Jacobian matrix at is given by
whose characteristic equation is
(15)
(15) where
For the convenience of notation, denote
According to the concavity assumption on f, we have
. Then it is easy to see that
and
. To apply the Routh-Hurwitz criterion, we need to further check that
,
, and
.
It follows from that
Also note that
. Then
Similarly, we can obtain
. As the writing is long and complex, we omit the detail here. Therefore, by the Routh-Hurwitz criterion, all roots of (Equation15
(15)
(15) ) have negative real parts and hence the infected equilibrium with immunity
is locally asymptotically stable when exists. This completes the proof.
From the proof of Theorem 3.1, we can observe that
for
, when
, besides the simple eigenvalue 0 when
and a positive eigenvalue when
, the other four eigenvalues of (Equation11
(11)
(11) ) all have negative real parts;
for
, when
, in addition to the simple eigenvalue 0 when
and a positive eigenvalue
when
, the other four eigenvalues of (Equation15
(15)
(15) ) all have negative real parts.
This observation means that there is only transcritical bifurcation of equilibria and no Hopf bifurcation can occur. In what follows, we investigate the bifurcation analysis around the equilibria when and
, which is based on the centre manifold theory [Citation5, Citation6] and Sotomayor's theorem [Citation31].
3.2. Transcritical bifurcations
For readers' convenience, we first cite a theoretical result on local dynamics near equilibria.
Consider the following system of autonomous differential equations,
(16)
(16) where θ is a bifurcation parameter and
. Without loss of generality, it is assumed that 0 is an equilibrium of (Equation16
(16)
(16) ) for all values of the parameter θ, that is
for all θ.
Lemma 3.1
Castillo-Chavez and Song [Citation5]
Suppose the Jacobian matrix of (Equation16
(16)
(16) ) at 0 with
satisfies the following two hypotheses.
Zero is a simple eigenvalue of A and all other eigenvalues of A have negative real parts;
A has a nonnegative right eigenvector w and a left eigenvector v corresponding to the zero eigenvalue.
Let be the kth component of f and
Then the local dynamics of (Equation16
(16)
(16) ) around 0 is totally determined by a and b as follows.
Suppose a>0 and b>0. When
with
, 0 is locally asymptotically stable and there exists a positive unstable equilibrium; when
, 0 is unstable and there exists a negative and locally asymptotically stable equilibrium;
Suppose a<0 and b<0. When
with
, 0 is unstable; when
, 0 is locally asymptotically stable and there exists a positive unstable equilibrium;
Suppose a>0 and b<0. When
with
, 0 is unstable and there exists a locally asymptotically stable negative equilibrium; when
, 0 is stable and a positive unstable equilibrium appears;
Suppose a<0 and b>0. When θ changes from negative to positive, 0 changes its stability from stable to unstable. Correspondingly a negative unstable equilibrium becomes positive and locally asymptotically stable.
Recall that
As incidence is a very important factor in infection dynamics, we choose the related transmission rate as the bifurcation parameter to analyse the bifurcation at the infection-free equilibrium
. For this purpose, we rewrite
, where h satisfies the same assumptions on f with
. With
, we get
Theorem 3.2
System (Equation3(3)
(3) ) has a forward transcritical bifurcation at the infection-free equilibrium
when
.
Proof.
To apply the centre manifold theory, let , where
,
,
,
,
, Then (Equation3
(3)
(3) ) can be rewritten as
(17)
(17) where
Now the Jacobian matrix of system (Equation17
(17)
(17) ) evaluated at
and the critical value
is
It is easy to see that
has zero as a simple eigenvalue and the other eigenvalues are real and negative.
A right eigenvector of the Jacobian matrix
associated with the zero eigenvalue satisfies
Letting
, we can get a right eigenvector given by
. Furthermore, let
be the left eigenvector of
associated with the zero eigenvalue satisfying
. Then
It follows that
.
Evaluating the non-zero partial derivatives of at
, we obtain
By Lemma 3.1, the coefficients a and b for system (Equation17
(17)
(17) ) are given by
and
By the assumptions on h, we have a<0 and b>0. Therefore, the system (Equation3
(3)
(3) ) undergoes a transcritical forward bifurcation at the infection-free equilibrium
.
By Proposition 2.2, when
. As a result, with c as a bifurcation parameter, we can get the following result.
Theorem 3.3
System (Equation3(3)
(3) ) undergoes a transcritical bifurcation at the infected immune-free equilibrium
when
.
Proof.
Recall that the Jacobian matrix at when
is
which has a simple eigenvalue zero and the other four eigenvalues all have negative real parts. As in the proof of Theorem 3.2, we can show the right eigenvector
and the left eigenvector
satisfy
. With (Equation17
(17)
(17) ), we have
. Then
, which implies that system (Equation3
(3)
(3) ) has no saddle-node bifurcation at
. Now,
and hence
. Furthermore, we have
Then
. With the help of Sotomayor's theorem[Citation31], we know that system (Equation3
(3)
(3) ) has a transcritical bifurcation near
when
.
3.3. Global stability of equilibria
In this subsection, we study the global stability of equilibria by the Lyapunov direct method. To construct an appropriate Lyapunov function, we need the Volterra-type function . Note that
and
if and only if x = 1.
We first study the global stability of .
Theorem 3.4
Suppose . Then the infection-free equilibrium
is globally attractive in
.
Proof.
First note that for any solution of (Equation3(3)
(3) ), one can easily see that
for t>0. Thus the Lyapunov function
is well defined on solutions of (Equation3
(3)
(3) ) (without loss of generality). Substituting
, we can compute the derivative of
along solutions of (Equation3
(3)
(3) ) to get
Noting
and
for
, we have
Since
, it follows that
. Moreover,
if and only if
and w = z = 0. Then it is easy to see that the largest invariant set in
is the singleton
. By LaSalle's invariance principle [Citation16], the infection-free equilibrium
is globally attractive.
Next, denote
It is easy to see that every solution of (Equation3
(3)
(3) ) with the initial condition in
tends to
as
. Moreover, all the components except z of every solution of (Equation3
(3)
(3) ) with the initial condition in
are positive for all t>0.
Theorem 3.5
Suppose . If
, then the infected immune-free equilibrium
is globally attractive in
.
Proof.
Define the Lyapunov function
As argued before the statement of the theorem, without loss of generality, we can assume that
is well-defined on every solution of (Equation3
(3)
(3) ) with initial condition in
. Note that
Then similarly as for the proof of Theorem 3.4, we can calculate the derivative of
along solutions of (Equation3
(3)
(3) ),
Using
,
, and
, we can obtain
Note that
and the concavity of f implies that
is decreasing. It follows that
By Proposition 2.2 and
, we have
. It is easy to see that
if
,
,
and
. Then the largest invariant set in
is the singleton
. By the LaSalle's invariance principle, the infected immune-free equilibrium
is globally attractive in
.
Theorem 3.1 combined with Theorem 3.4 implies that the infection-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if
while Theorem 3.1 combined with Theorem 3.5 implies that the infected immune-free equilibrium
is globally asymptotically stable if
and
.
Lastly, we consider the stability of the infected equilibrium with immunity . For this purpose, we denote
Theorem 3.6
Suppose and
. Then the infection equilibrium with immunity
is global asymptotically stable in
.
Proof.
We first note that any solution of (Equation3(3)
(3) ) with initial condition in
tends to
or
as
and every component of the solution with the initial condition in
is positive for t>0. Thus we define the Lyapunov function
which, without loss of generality, is assumed to be well-defined on solutions with initial conditions in
. Using
and similar calculations as those in the proof of Theorem 3.5, we can get the derivative of
along solutions of (Equation3
(3)
(3) ),
Moreover, the equality holds if and only if
,
,
, and
. This will immediately imply that the largest invariant set in
is the singleton
. Again, with the help of the LaSalle's invariance principle and Theorem 3.1, we know that
is globally asymptotically stable in
.
We mention that though there is no Hopf bifurcation, we can only establish the global stability of the infected immune-free equilibrium and the infected equilibrium with immunity
under technical conditions
and
, respectively. This is very common in the literature for such similar models. How to relax these constraints to obtain the result that local stability implies global stability is challenging. We are still working on it.
4. Numerical simulations
In this section, we carry out some numerical simulations to demonstrate the stability results obtained in Section 3. For this purpose, we take with
, namely, we consider
(18)
(18) System (Equation18
(18)
(18) ) always has the infection-free equilibrium
. We can easily get the basic infection reproduction number
If
, then, in addition to
, system (Equation18
(18)
(18) ) also has a unique infected immune-free equilibrium
, where
Also one can deduce that
is equivalent to
. Moreover, the basic immune reproduction number is
When
, the unique infected equilibrium with immunity is
, where
One can also deduce that
is equivalent to
.
Firstly, we choose parameter values listed in Table . Then . By Theorem 3.4, the infection-free equilibrium
of (Equation18
(18)
(18) ) is globally asymptotically stable (see Figure ). In the meanwhile, we also observe that
decreases first, then tends to
.
,
, and
start with fluctuations, but in the following trend,
decreases slowly and approaches zero, while
and
are both close to be stable first, then decrease, and finally tend to zero.
decreases rapidly and coincides with the time axis.
Figure 1. The infection-free equilibrium of (Equation18
(18)
(18) ) is globally asymptotically stable when
. See the text for the values of the parameters.
![Figure 1. The infection-free equilibrium E0 of (Equation18(18) {x˙=λ−μx−βxv1+ρv+δw,w˙=βxv1+ρv−(δ+η+q)w,y˙=qw−αy−pyz,v˙=σy−γv,z˙=kyz−cz.(18) ) is globally asymptotically stable when R0<1. See the text for the values of the parameters.](/cms/asset/514f69ad-44cc-43e5-9255-2cd18a6deb01/tjbd_a_1950224_f0001_oc.jpg)
Table 2. Parameters used for simulation purpose.
Secondly, we keep the values of the parameters as Table except that δ is changed to 0.5 and k is changed to . Then
,
, and
. Therefore, all the assumptions of Theorem 3.5 are satisfied and hence the infected immune-free equilibrium
is globally asymptotically stable. Figure strongly supports this. In addition, we note that
,
,
, and
start with severe fluctuations, and finally all tend to the stable values. While
decreases rapidly and is close to zero. This means that when the virus level in the body is low at the beginning, the body continues to carry out normal immune response, and healthy cells will continue to increase. With the increase, more healthy cells will be infected and the virus level will increase, which will lead to the decrease of healthy cells.
Figure 2. The infected immune-free equilibrium of (Equation3
(3)
(3) ) is globally asymptotically stable when
. We refer to the text for details on parameter values and verification of other conditions.
![Figure 2. The infected immune-free equilibrium E1 of (Equation3(3) {x˙(t)=λ−μx(t)−x(t)f(v(t))+δw(t),w˙(t)=x(t)f(v(t))−(δ+η+q)w(t),y˙(t)=qw(t)−αy(t)−py(t)z(t),v˙(t)=σy(t)−γv(t),z˙(t)=ky(t)z(t)−cz(t).(3) ) is globally asymptotically stable when R1<1<R0. We refer to the text for details on parameter values and verification of other conditions.](/cms/asset/f51a32c7-ea2d-4941-9ce1-a9aefa741810/tjbd_a_1950224_f0002_oc.jpg)
Thirdly, we take the parameter values listed in Table . In this case, we have and
. Therefore, Theorem 3.6 is applicable and we see that the infected equilibrium with immunity
is globally asymptotically stable as demonstrated in Figure . Clearly, the values of
,
,
,
, and
are all greater than zero. We notice that
increases first and is close to be stable.
fluctuates obviously at the beginning, and then is stabilized.
and
decrease first, then fluctuate slightly, and tend to respective positive stable values.
increases first, then decreases and is close to the time axis, and finally tends towards the stable value after slight fluctuation. Unlike the previous two scenarios,
no longer coincides with the time axis. It shows that the patient's body produces a lot of CTLs.
Figure 3. With the parameter values in the text, we have and
. Therefore, the infected equilibrium with immunity
of (Equation18
(18)
(18) ) is globally asymptotically stable.
![Figure 3. With the parameter values in the text, we have R1>1 and μx2≥δw2. Therefore, the infected equilibrium with immunity E2 of (Equation18(18) {x˙=λ−μx−βxv1+ρv+δw,w˙=βxv1+ρv−(δ+η+q)w,y˙=qw−αy−pyz,v˙=σy−γv,z˙=kyz−cz.(18) ) is globally asymptotically stable.](/cms/asset/8b097bcc-f4b9-4eb8-abed-f7dac23ff131/tjbd_a_1950224_f0003_oc.jpg)
Table 3. Parameters used for simulation purpose.
Finally, in Figure , we see that the infected immune-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. However, the condition
is not satisfied with
,
and
. Similarly, in Figure , we observe that the infected equilibrium with immunity
is globally asymptotically stable. However, the condition
is not satisfied with
and
. This may suggest that the technical conditions
and
may not be necessary for the global stability of
and
, respectively (Tables and ).
Figure 4. With the parameter values in the Table , it is easy to verify that and
. Therefore, the infected immune-free equilibrium
of (Equation3
(3)
(3) ) is globally asymptotically stable.
![Figure 4. With the parameter values in the Table 4, it is easy to verify that R0=40>1+qμρλσ+αγμ(η+q)μδαγ=3.3 and R1=0.3294<1. Therefore, the infected immune-free equilibrium E1 of (Equation3(3) {x˙(t)=λ−μx(t)−x(t)f(v(t))+δw(t),w˙(t)=x(t)f(v(t))−(δ+η+q)w(t),y˙(t)=qw(t)−αy(t)−py(t)z(t),v˙(t)=σy(t)−γv(t),z˙(t)=ky(t)z(t)−cz(t).(3) ) is globally asymptotically stable.](/cms/asset/a51a0753-337a-4694-88e9-26ae260ce742/tjbd_a_1950224_f0004_oc.jpg)
Figure 5. With the parameter values in the Table , it is easy to check that and the condition
fails to hold.
![Figure 5. With the parameter values in the Table 5, it is easy to check that R1=9.7525>1 and the condition μx2≥δw2 fails to hold.](/cms/asset/827124d4-0435-4ce8-b560-64263b1a837a/tjbd_a_1950224_f0005_oc.jpg)
Table 4. Parameters used for simulation purpose.
Table 5. Parameters used for simulation purpose.
To conclude this section, we investigate the sensitivity of the basic reproduction number and the basic immune reproduction
to all the parameters. The normalized forward sensitivity index of
with respect to a parameter p is defined as
where i = 0, 1. Table summarizes the sensitivity indices of each parameter value. According to these indices, we obtain the relative changes of the basic reproduction numbers when the parameters of the model change, some of which are shown in Figure . For
, the most sensitive parameters are λ, μ, β, α, σ and γ, followed by q, δ, and η, while k, ρ, and c have no effect on
. But for
, things are a little different. This time, all parameters affect
, but only λ and α are the most sensitive parameters. The parameters μ, β, σ, γ, k, and c have almost the same effect. Furthermore,
is least sensitive to ρ.
Figure 6. Variations of the basic reproduction numbers with respect to the crucial parameters. All the parameter values are taken from Table . (a) λ. (b) α. (c) β. (d) σ. (e) η. (f) c
![Figure 6. Variations of the basic reproduction numbers with respect to the crucial parameters. All the parameter values are taken from Table 2. (a) λ. (b) α. (c) β. (d) σ. (e) η. (f) c](/cms/asset/190cda80-eda3-4fe9-a2e3-a2f3b4397b64/tjbd_a_1950224_f0006_oc.jpg)
Table 6. The sensitivity indices of the basic reproduction number to the parameters.
5. Conclusion
With the eclipse stage during HIV infection in consideration, we proposed a within-host HIV-1 infection model with a general incidence rate and CTL immune response, which can also be used to study the efficacy of treatment strategies by changing the corresponding parameters. The model is described by a system of five ordinary differential equations, which includes some in the literature as special cases, for example, those in [Citation13, Citation18]. We found that the local dynamics is completely determined by the values of the two basic reproduction numbers, the basic infection reproduction number and the basic immunity reproduction number
. If
, there is only the infection-free equilibrium
, which is locally asymptotically stable when
; If
, besides
, there is also a unique infected immunity-free equilibrium
, which is locally asymptotically stable when
; if
(in this case, it is necessarily that
), in addition to
and
, there is a unique infection equilibrium with immunity
, which is locally asymptotically stable. Though we believe that the local dynamics also determines the global dynamics, we cannot confirm this so far. With the approach of Lyapunov functions, we have shown the global attractivity of the equilibria. If
then
is globally attractive and hence the infection will be cleared; if
then the infection is persistent; if
then both infection and immunity will persist. Moreover, under some technical assumptions, we established the global stability of
and
. More precisely, if
and
, then
is globally asymptotically stable. In this case, immunity cannot be established. But if
and
, then
is globally asymptotically stable and hence infection and immunity will coexist. We should emphasize that, at that moment, the global stability of
and
are established under the technical conditions
and
, respectively. When δ is very small, these technical conditions are satisfied. We also conducted some experiments without these technical conditions (see Figures and ). The numerical simulations suggest that both equilibria
and
may be globally asymptotically stable without the technical conditions. Unfortunately, we cannot confirm this yet and we leave it for future work.
We mention that some factors are ignored in our model. For example, some CTL populations can also attack infected cells during their eclipse stage [Citation27]. With these factors incorporated, the analysis will be very complicated and so far we have not obtained any practicable theoretical results. This is one of our future works. On the other hand, minimizing the loss due to infections and the cost of treatments is also an important topic in infection dynamics. We shall construct reasonable objective functionals to investigate optimal problems.
Acknowledgments
This work was supported partially by the Funding for Outstanding Doctoral Dissertation in NUAA (No. BCXJ18-09), Postgraduate Research & Practice Innovation Program of Jiangsu Province (No. KYCX18_0234), and NSERC of Canada.
Disclosure statement
No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).
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Funding
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