A Growth Prediction System for Local Stand Volume Derived from LIDAR Data

Abstract

Recent advances in light detection and ranging (LIDAR) technology have enabled the estimation of valuable canopy parameters (e.g., crown diameter, leaf area, and canopy structure) that are difficult to obtain through in situ surveys. The objective of this study was to assess the utility of LIDAR-derived measurements of crown and growth parameters to model and predict the growth of sugi (Cryptomeria japonica) stands located in the University of Tokyo Forest, Chiba Prefecture, Japan. Initially, we confirmed that crown lengths and widths of trees in stands of various densities obtained from LIDAR data correlated with those measured in situ. Then, we developed a crown growth model from repeated LIDAR measurements of stands, suggesting that LIDAR data are adequate for this purpose, and indicating that crown surface area and tree volume growth were linearly related (R² = 0.90; p < 0.01; RMSE tree volume < 0.02 m³). The model also provided robust predictions of the volume growth of local forests in 10 × 10 m plots based on LIDAR-derived estimates of crown surface areas. Future work should test the applicability of this growth model to facilitate practical forest management.