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Original Articles

Is economic policy uncertainty important to forecast the realized volatility of crude oil futures?

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Danyan Wen, Mengxi He, Yudong Wang & Yaojie Zhang. (2023) Forecasting stock market realized volatility: the role of global terrorist attacks. Applied Economics 55:22, pages 2551-2566.
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Zhenhua Liu, Tingting Zhu, Zhaoping Duan, Shanqi Xuan, Zhihua Ding & Shan Wu. (2023) Time-varying impacts of oil price shocks on China’s stock market under economic policy uncertainty. Applied Economics 55:9, pages 963-989.
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Stavroula P. Fameliti & Vasiliki D. Skintzi. (2022) Statistical and economic performance of combination methods for forecasting crude oil price volatility. Applied Economics 54:26, pages 3031-3054.
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Xiong Xiong, Jiakou Liu & Zhifeng Liu. (2022) Can economic policy uncertainty predict financial stress? A MIDAS approach. Applied Economics Letters 29:1, pages 22-29.
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Li Liu, Feng Ma, Qing Zeng & Yaojie Zhang. (2020) Forecasting the aggregate stock market volatility in a data-rich world. Applied Economics 52:32, pages 3448-3463.
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Xiuwen Chen, Xiaolei Sun & Jianping Li. (2020) How does economic policy uncertainty react to oil price shocks? A multi-scale perspective. Applied Economics Letters 27:3, pages 188-193.
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Fenghua Wen, Yupei Zhao, Minzhi Zhang & Chunyan Hu. (2019) Forecasting realized volatility of crude oil futures with equity market uncertainty. Applied Economics 51:59, pages 6411-6427.
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Yu Li, Feng Ma, Yaojie Zhang & Zuoping Xiao. (2019) Economic policy uncertainty and the Chinese stock market volatility: new evidence. Applied Economics 51:49, pages 5398-5410.
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Lili Guo, Xinya Huang, Yanjiao Li & Houjian Li. (2023) Forecasting crude oil futures price using machine learning methods: Evidence from China. Energy Economics 127, pages 107089.
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Yan Cao, Sheng Cheng & Xinran Li. (2023) How economic policy uncertainty affects asymmetric spillovers in food and oil prices: Evidence from wavelet analysis. Resources Policy 86, pages 104086.
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Danyan Wen, Mengxi He, Yudong Wang & Yaojie Zhang. (2023) Forecasting crude oil market volatility: A comprehensive look at uncertainty variables. International Journal of Forecasting.
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Xing Yu, Xilin Shen, Yanyan Li & Xue Gong. (2023) Selective hedging strategies for crude oil futures based on market state expectations. Global Finance Journal 57, pages 100845.
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Yaojie Zhang, Mengxi He, Yudong Wang & Chao Liang. (2023) Global economic policy uncertainty aligned: An informative predictor for crude oil market volatility. International Journal of Forecasting 39:3, pages 1318-1332.
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Tong Fang, Deyu Miao, Zhi Su & Libo Yin. (2022) Uncertainty‐driven oil volatility risk premium and international stock market volatility forecasting. Journal of Forecasting 42:4, pages 872-904.
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Yanran Hong, Jize Yu, Yuquan Su & Lu Wang. (2023) Southern oscillation: Great value of its trends for forecasting crude oil spot price volatility. International Review of Economics & Finance 84, pages 358-368.
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Zibo Niu, Feng Ma & Hongwei Zhang. (2022) The role of uncertainty measures in volatility forecasting of the crude oil futures market before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. Energy Economics 112, pages 106120.
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Min Liu & Chien-Chiang Lee. (2022) Is gold a long-run hedge, diversifier, or safe haven for oil? Empirical evidence based on DCC-MIDAS. Resources Policy 76, pages 102703.
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Xu Gong & Boqiang Lin. (2020) Predicting the volatility of crude oil futures: The roles of leverage effects and structural changes. International Journal of Finance & Economics 27:1, pages 610-640.
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Alexandre R. Scarcioffolo & Xiaoli L. Etienne. (2021) Regime-switching energy price volatility: The role of economic policy uncertainty. International Review of Economics & Finance 76, pages 336-356.
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Nima Nonejad. (2021) Predicting equity premium using news-based economic policy uncertainty: Not all uncertainty changes are equally important. International Review of Financial Analysis 77, pages 101818.
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Fenghua Wen, Keli Zhang & Xu Gong. (2021) The effects of oil price shocks on inflation in the G7 countries. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance 57, pages 101391.
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TOAN LUU DUC HUYNH, MEI WANG & VINH XUAN VO. (2021) ECONOMIC POLICY UNCERTAINTY AND THE BITCOIN MARKET: AN INVESTIGATION IN THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC WITH TRANSFER ENTROPY. The Singapore Economic Review, pages 1-27.
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Xiaoyu Xie & Heliang Zhu. (2021) The role of gold futures in mitigating the impact of economic uncertainty on spot prices: Evidence from China. Research in International Business and Finance 56, pages 101378.
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Kun Yang, Yu Wei, Shouwei Li, Liang Liu & Lei Wang. (2021) Global financial uncertainties and China’s crude oil futures market: Evidence from interday and intraday price dynamics. Energy Economics 96, pages 105149.
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Ruixin Su, Jianguo Du, Fakhar Shahzad & Xingle Long. (2020) Unveiling the Effect of Mean and Volatility Spillover between the United States Economic Policy Uncertainty and WTI Crude Oil Price. Sustainability 12:16, pages 6662.
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Meng Qin, Chi-Wei Su, Lin-Na Hao & Ran Tao. (2020) The stability of U.S. economic policy: Does it really matter for oil price?. Energy 198, pages 117315.
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Tao Li, Feng Ma, Xuehua Zhang & Yaojie Zhang. (2020) Economic policy uncertainty and the Chinese stock market volatility: Novel evidence. Economic Modelling 87, pages 24-33.
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Chi-Wei Su, Meng Qin, Ran Tao, Nicoleta-Claudia Moldovan & Oana-Ramona Lobonţ. (2020) Factors driving oil price —— from the perspective of United States. Energy 197, pages 117219.
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Dexiang Mei, Feng Ma, Yin Liao & Lu Wang. (2020) Geopolitical risk uncertainty and oil future volatility: Evidence from MIDAS models. Energy Economics 86, pages 104624.
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Hui Wang. (2019) VIX and volatility forecasting: A new insight. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 533, pages 121951.
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Jing Liu, Feng Ma, Yingkai Tang & Yaojie Zhang. (2019) Geopolitical risk and oil volatility: A new insight. Energy Economics 84, pages 104548.
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Jing Liu, Feng Ma & Yaojie Zhang. (2019) Forecasting the Chinese stock volatility across global stock markets. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 525, pages 466-477.
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Dexiang Mei, Qing Zeng, Xiang Cao & Xiaohua Diao. (2019) Uncertainty and oil volatility: New evidence. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 525, pages 155-163.
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Robert L. Czudaj. (2019) Crude oil futures trading and uncertainty. Energy Economics 80, pages 793-811.
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Dexiang Mei, Qing Zeng, Yaojie Zhang & Wenjing Hou. (2018) Does US Economic Policy Uncertainty matter for European stock markets volatility?. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 512, pages 215-221.
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Miao Yu & Jinguo Song. (2018) Volatility forecasting: Global economic policy uncertainty and regime switching. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 511, pages 316-323.
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Min Liu & Chien-Chiang Lee. (2022) Is Gold a Long-Run Hedge, Diversifier, or Safe Haven for Oil?  Empirical Evidence Based on Dcc-Midas. SSRN Electronic Journal.
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