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Policing and Society
An International Journal of Research and Policy
Volume 26, 2016 - Issue 3
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ARTICLES

Predictability of gun crimes: a comparison of hot spot and risk terrain modelling techniques

Grant DrawveDepartment of Criminal Justice, University of Arkansas at Little Rock, Little Rock, AR, USACorrespondence[email protected]
,
Stacy C. MoakDepartment of Criminal Justice, University of Arkansas at Little Rock, Little Rock, AR, USA
&
Emily R. BerthelotDepartment of Criminal Justice, University of Arkansas at Little Rock, Little Rock, AR, USA
Pages 312-331 | Received 17 Jan 2014, Accepted 26 Jun 2014, Published online: 05 Aug 2014

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Joel M. Caplan, Leslie W. Kennedy, Grant Drawve & Jonas H. Baughman. (2021) Data-Informed and Place-Based Violent Crime Prevention: The Kansas City, Missouri Risk-Based Policing Initiative. Police Quarterly 24:4, pages 438-464.
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Chaitanya Joshi, Sophie Curtis-Ham, Clayton D’Ath & Deane Searle. (2021) Considerations for Developing Predictive Spatial Models of Crime and New Methods for Measuring Their Accuracy. ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information 10:9, pages 597.
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Christopher R. Herrmann, Andrew R. Maroko & Travis A. Taniguchi. (2021) Subway Station Closures and Robbery Hot Spots in New York City—Understanding Mobility Factors and Crime Reduction. European Journal on Criminal Policy and Research 27:3, pages 415-432.
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Michael S. Barton, Matthew A. Valasik & Elizabeth Brault. (2021) Disorder or Disadvantage: Investigating the Tension Between Neighborhood Social Structure and the Physical Environment on Local Violence. Criminal Justice Review 46:2, pages 134-155.
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Andrew P. Wheeler & Wouter Steenbeek. (2020) Mapping the Risk Terrain for Crime Using Machine Learning. Journal of Quantitative Criminology 37:2, pages 445-480.
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Maria Camacho Doyle, Manne Gerell & Henrik Andershed. (2021) Exploring Violent and Property Crime Geographically. Nordic Journal of Studies in Policing 8:1, pages 1-21.
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Ourania Kounadi, Alina Ristea, Adelson AraujoJr.Jr. & Michael Leitner. (2020) A systematic review on spatial crime forecasting. Crime Science 9:1.
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Marco Dugato, Francesco Calderoni & Giulia Berlusconi. (2017) Forecasting Organized Crime Homicides: Risk Terrain Modeling of Camorra Violence in Naples, Italy. Journal of Interpersonal Violence 35:19-20, pages 4013-4039.
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Zoe Marchment, Paul Gill & John Morrison. (2019) Risk Factors for Violent Dissident Republican Incidents in Belfast: A Comparison of Bombings and Bomb Hoaxes. Journal of Quantitative Criminology 36:3, pages 647-666.
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Joel M. Caplan, Leslie W. Kennedy, Eric L. Piza & Jeremy D. Barnum. (2019) Using Vulnerability and Exposure to Improve Robbery Prediction and Target Area Selection. Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy 13:1, pages 113-136.
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Grant Drawve & Alese Wooditch. (2019) A research note on the methodological and theoretical considerations for assessing crime forecasting accuracy with the predictive accuracy index. Journal of Criminal Justice 64, pages 101625.
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Matthew Valasik, Elizabeth E. Brault & Stephen M. Martinez. (2019) Forecasting homicide in the red stick: Risk terrain modeling and the spatial influence of urban blight on lethal violence in Baton Rouge, Louisiana. Social Science Research 80, pages 186-201.
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Nathan T. Connealy & Eric L. Piza. (2019) Risk factor and high-risk place variations across different robbery targets in Denver, Colorado. Journal of Criminal Justice 60, pages 47-56.
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José A. Escudero & Boris Ramírez. (2018) Risk terrain modeling for monitoring illicit drugs markets across Bogota, Colombia. Crime Science 7:1.
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Marco Dugato, Serena Favarin & Antonio Bosisio. (2018) Isolating Target And Neighbourhood Vulnerabilities In Crime Forecasting. European Journal on Criminal Policy and Research 24:4, pages 393-415.
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Manne Gerell. (2018) Bus Stops and Violence, Are Risky Places Really Risky?. European Journal on Criminal Policy and Research 24:4, pages 351-371.
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Alejandro Giménez-Santana, Joel M. Caplan & Grant Drawve. (2018) Risk Terrain Modeling and Socio-Economic Stratification: Identifying Risky Places for Violent Crime Victimization in Bogotá, Colombia. European Journal on Criminal Policy and Research 24:4, pages 417-431.
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Eric L. Piza, Leslie W. Kennedy & Joel M. Caplan. (2018) Facilitators and Impediments to Designing, Implementing, and Evaluating Risk-Based Policing Strategies Using Risk Terrain Modeling: Insights from a Multi-City Evaluation in the United States. European Journal on Criminal Policy and Research 24:4, pages 489-513.
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Matthew Valasik. (2018) Gang violence predictability: Using risk terrain modeling to study gang homicides and gang assaults in East Los Angeles. Journal of Criminal Justice 58, pages 10-21.
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Vijay F Chillar & Grant Drawve. (2018) Unpacking Spatio-temporal Differences of Risk for Crime: An Analysis in Little Rock, AR. Policing: A Journal of Policy and Practice.
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Jeremy D. Barnum, Walter L. Campbell, Sarah Trocchio, Joel M. Caplan & Leslie W. Kennedy. (2016) Examining the Environmental Characteristics of Drug Dealing Locations. Crime & Delinquency 63:13, pages 1731-1756.
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Grant Drawve, Shaun A. Thomas & Jeffery T. Walker. (2016) Bringing the physical environment back into neighborhood research: The utility of RTM for developing an aggregate neighborhood risk of crime measure. Journal of Criminal Justice 44, pages 21-29.
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