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Original Articles

Testing the Martingale Difference Hypothesis

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Pages 351-377 | Published online: 19 Aug 2006

Keep up to date with the latest research on this topic with citation updates for this article.

Read on this site (13)

Carmen López-Martín. (2023) Dynamic analysis of calendar anomalies in cryptocurrency markets: evidences of adaptive market hypothesis. Spanish Journal of Finance and Accounting / Revista Española de Financiación y Contabilidad 52:4, pages 559-592.
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Yuanyuan Zhang, Stephen Chan, Jeffrey Chu & Shou–hsing Shih. (2023) The adaptive market hypothesis of Decentralized finance (DeFi). Applied Economics 55:42, pages 4975-4989.
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Shimeng Shi, Jia Zhai & Yingying Wu. (2023) Informational inefficiency on bitcoin futures. The European Journal of Finance 0:0, pages 1-26.
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George Tweneboah, Michael E. Asamoah & Peterson Owusu Junior. (2022) On Exchange Rate Predictability and Adaptive Market Hypothesis in South Africa. Journal of African Business 23:4, pages 984-1008.
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Akihiko Noda. (2021) On the evolution of cryptocurrency market efficiency. Applied Economics Letters 28:6, pages 433-439.
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Idika E. Okorie, Saralees Nadarajah, Johnson Ohakwe & Chris U. Onyemachi. (2021) Tail risk analysis, evolving efficiency and relative predictability of the African stock markets. Communications in Statistics: Case Studies, Data Analysis and Applications 7:1, pages 15-35.
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Manuel A. Domínguez & Ignacio N. Lobato. (2020) Specification testing with estimated variables. Econometric Reviews 39:5, pages 476-494.
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Ambreen Khursheed, Muhammad Naeem, Sheraz Ahmed & Faisal Mustafa. (2020) Adaptive market hypothesis: An empirical analysis of time –varying market efficiency of cryptocurrencies. Cogent Economics & Finance 8:1.
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Sashikanta Khuntia, J. K. Pattanayak & Gourishankar S. Hiremath. (2018) Is The Foreign Exchange Market Efficiency Adaptive? The Empirical Evidence From India. Journal of Asia-Pacific Business 19:4, pages 261-285.
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Zdeněk Hlávka, Marie Hušková, Claudia Kirch & Simos G. Meintanis. (2017) Fourier–type tests involving martingale difference processes. Econometric Reviews 36:4, pages 468-492.
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Peter C. B. Phillips & Sainan Jin. (2014) Testing the Martingale Hypothesis. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 32:4, pages 537-554.
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Andrés R. Cruz-Hernández & Andrés Mora-Valencia. (2023) Adaptive Market Hypothesis and Predictability: Evidence in Latin American Stock Indices. Latin American Research Review, pages 1-23.
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Jinyuan Chang, Qing Jiang & Xiaofeng Shao. (2023) Testing the martingale difference hypothesis in high dimension. Journal of Econometrics 235:2, pages 972-1000.
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Jacek Karasiński. (2023) The adaptive market hypothesis and the return predictability in the cryptocurrency markets. Economics and Business Review 9:1, pages 94-118.
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Fan Fang, Carmine Ventre, Michail Basios, Leslie Kanthan, David Martinez-Rego, Fan Wu & Lingbo Li. (2022) Cryptocurrency trading: a comprehensive survey. Financial Innovation 8:1.
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Carmen Lopez-Martin. (2022) Ramadan effect in the cryptocurrency markets. Review of Behavioral Finance 14:4, pages 508-532.
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Richa Pandey & V. Mary Jessica. (2021) Evolution of the housing market under the framework of adaptive market hypothesis and martingale difference hypothesis: a case of India. Property Management 40:1, pages 17-28.
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Michael Dowling. (2022) Fertile LAND: Pricing non-fungible tokens. Finance Research Letters 44, pages 102096.
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Eline Van der Auwera, Wim Schoutens, Marco Petracco Giudici & Lucia AlessiEline Van der Auwera, Wim Schoutens, Marco Petracco Giudici & Lucia Alessi. 2020. Financial Risk Management for Cryptocurrencies. Financial Risk Management for Cryptocurrencies 59 84 .
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Afees A. Salisu, Tirimisiyu F. Oloko & Oluwatomisin J. Oyewole. (2016) Testing for martingale difference hypothesis with structural breaks: Evidence from Asia–Pacific foreign exchange markets. Borsa Istanbul Review 16:4, pages 210-218.
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Tingguo Zheng, Han Xiao & Rong Chen. (2015) Generalized ARMA models with martingale difference errors. Journal of Econometrics 189:2, pages 492-506.
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Julio César Alonso & Giselle Torres. (2014) Características estadísticas del índice general de la Bolsa de Valores de Colombia (IGBC) en sus primeros 10 años. Journal of Economics Finance and Administrative Science 19:36, pages 45-54.
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Shih-Hsun Hsu & Chung-Ming Kuan. (2014) Constructing smooth tests without estimating the eigenpairs of the limiting process. Journal of Econometrics 178, pages 71-79.
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Wenceslao González-Manteiga & Rosa M. Crujeiras. (2013) An updated review of Goodness-of-Fit tests for regression models. TEST 22:3, pages 361-411.
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Bin Chen & Zhaogang Song. (2013) Testing whether the underlying continuous-time process follows a diffusion: An infinitesimal operator-based approach. Journal of Econometrics 173:1, pages 83-107.
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Amélie Charles, Olivier Darné & Jae H. Kim. (2012) Exchange-rate return predictability and the adaptive markets hypothesis: Evidence from major foreign exchange rates. Journal of International Money and Finance 31:6, pages 1607-1626.
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Yongmiao Hong, Hai Lin & Chunchi Wu. (2012) Are corporate bond market returns predictable?. Journal of Banking & Finance 36:8, pages 2216-2232.
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Kian-Ping Lim & Robert Brooks. (2011) THE EVOLUTION OF STOCK MARKET EFFICIENCY OVER TIME: A SURVEY OF THE EMPIRICAL LITERATURE. Journal of Economic Surveys 25:1, pages 69-108.
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Amélie Charles, Olivier Darné & Jae H. Kim. (2011) Small sample properties of alternative tests for martingale difference hypothesis. Economics Letters 110:2, pages 151-154.
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Osamah M. Al-Khazali, Guillaume Leduc & Chong Soo Pyun. (2011) Market efficiency of floating exchange rate systems: Some evidence from Pacific-Asian countries. Global Finance Journal 22:2, pages 154-168.
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Amélie Charles, Olivier Darné & Jessica Fouilloux. (2011) Testing the martingale difference hypothesis in CO2 emission allowances. Economic Modelling 28:1-2, pages 27-35.
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Wenceslao González-Manteiga & Rosa M. Crujeiras. 2011. Modern Mathematical Tools and Techniques in Capturing Complexity. Modern Mathematical Tools and Techniques in Capturing Complexity 3 16 .
George Kapetanios & Andrew P. Blake. (2010) TESTS OF THE MARTINGALE DIFFERENCE HYPOTHESIS USING BOOSTING AND RBF NEURAL NETWORK APPROXIMATIONS. Econometric Theory 26:5, pages 1363-1397.
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Juan Carlos Escanciano & Silvia Mayoral. (2010) Data-driven smooth tests for the martingale difference hypothesis. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis 54:8, pages 1983-1998.
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Juan Carlos Escanciano & David T. Jacho-Chávez. (2010) Approximating the critical values of Cramér-von Mises tests in general parametric conditional specifications. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis 54:3, pages 625-636.
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J. Carlos Escanciano. (2009) ON THE LACK OF POWER OF OMNIBUS SPECIFICATION TESTS. Econometric Theory 25:1, pages 162-194.
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J. Carlos Escanciano & Ignacio N. Lobato. 2009. Palgrave Handbook of Econometrics. Palgrave Handbook of Econometrics 972 1003 .
Peter Hall & Yanyuan Ma. (2007) Testing the suitability of polynomial models in errors-in-variables problems. The Annals of Statistics 35:6.
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J. Carlos Escanciano. (2007) Weak convergence of non-stationary multivariate marked processes with applications to martingale testing. Journal of Multivariate Analysis 98:7, pages 1321-1336.
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J. Carlos Escanciano & Carlos Velasco. (2006) Testing the martingale difference hypothesis using integrated regression functions. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis 51:4, pages 2278-2294.
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J. Carlos Escanciano & Carlos Velasco. (2006) Generalized spectral tests for the martingale difference hypothesis. Journal of Econometrics 134:1, pages 151-185.
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Peter Hall & Tapabrata Maiti. (2006) Nonparametric estimation of mean-squared prediction error in nested-error regression models. The Annals of Statistics 34:4.
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W. Stute, M. Presedo Quindimil, W. González Manteiga & H.L. Koul. (2006) Model checks of higher order time series. Statistics & Probability Letters 76:13, pages 1385-1396.
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Roman Kraeussl & Alessandro Tugnetti. (2022) Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs): A Review of Pricing Determinants, Applications and Opportunities. SSRN Electronic Journal.
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Juan Carlos Escanciano. (2016) A Simple and Robust Estimator for Linear Regression Models with Strictly Exogenous Instruments. SSRN Electronic Journal.
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Mehdi Hamidi Sahneh. (2015) Are the Shocks Obtained from SVAR Fundamental?. SSRN Electronic Journal.
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Juan Carlos Escanciano. (2015) Uniformly Consistent Estimation of Linear Regression Models with Strictly Exogenous Instruments. SSRN Electronic Journal.
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Jae H. Kim, Hristos Doucouliagos & T. D. Stanley. (2014) Market Efficiency in Asian and Australasian Stock Markets: A Fresh Look at the Evidence. SSRN Electronic Journal.
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Peter C. B. Phillips & Sainan Jin. (2013) Testing the Martingale Hypothesis. SSRN Electronic Journal.
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Juan Carlos Escanciano. (2010) The Integrated Instrumental Variables Estimator: Exploiting Nonlinearities for Identification of Linear Models. SSRN Electronic Journal.
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