Towards multi-system sociotechnical transitions: why simulate

Abstract

A number of research frameworks have been developed for studying sociotechnical transitions. These are complex phenomena, particularly those involving multi-system interactions. Given these characteristics, the paper discusses the challenges in studying transitions solely through inductive inference methods. It argues that transition research has reached a point where taking the next step should include modelling and simulation as part of the standard methodological exploratory toolkit for studying the intensity, nature and timing of system interaction that lead to transitions and for producing timely and robust policy recommendations.

Keywords:

• complexity
• transitions
• simulation
• policy

Acknowledgements

This work has been funded by NWO under grants 434-09-250. The author would like to thank Scott Cunningham for comments on earlier versions of the paper.

Notes on contributor

Dr George Papachristos received M.Eng, Msc in OR and a PhD in supply chain operations strategy and system dynamics. Currently he is working on supply chain and sociotechnical sustainability transitions.