NAFTA renegotiations and support for Canada-China FTA

Figures & data

Table 1. Descriptive statistics (survey experiment).

Variable	Obs	Mean	Std. Dev.	Min	Max
Support Canada-China FTA	1,210	0.441	0.776	−1	1
Support New NAFTA	1,210	0.588	0.657	−1	1
Support New FTAs	1,210	0.778	0.496	−1	1
Decrease Import Restrictions	1,208	3.263	1.004	1	5
Liberal Party	1,210	0.307	0.462	0	1
Conservative Party	1,210	0.274	0.446	0	1
NDP	1,210	0.121	0.326	0	1
Right Leaning Ideology	1,175	5.031	2.106	0	10
Follows News	1,209	6.321	2.069	1	8
Follows Politics	1,210	3.594	1.079	1	5
Confidence in Canadian P.M.	1,202	5.878	2.769	0	10
Confidence in US President	1,201	2.057	2.385	0	10
Favour US	1,205	2.291	0.901	1	4
Favour China	1,206	2.259	0.762	1	4
Education Level	1,207	4.332	1.389	1	6
Female	1,205	0.463	0.499	0	1
Age (18–29)	1,226	0.135	0.341	0	1
Age (30–45)	1,208	0.293	0.455	0	1
Age (46–65)	1,208	0.413	0.493	0	1
Age (65+)	1,208	0.160	0.367	0	1
Atlantic Provinces	1,210	0.070	0.256	0	1
Prairie Provinces	1,210	0.201	0.401	0	1
British Columbia	1,210	0.171	0.377	0	1
Quebec	1,210	0.169	0.375	0	1
Ontario	1,210	0.384	0.486	0	1

Table 2. Support for FTAs.

	Canada-China FTA	New NAFTA	New FTAs (in general)
Treatments
US benefits	0.542*	−0.126	0.313
	(0.227)	(0.223)	(0.294)
CAN benefits	0.322	0.493*	0.358
	(0.218)	(0.236)	(0.288)
Protectionism	0.477*	0.199	0.355
	(0.220)	(0.229)	(0.288)
US benefits & protectionism	0.501*	−0.302	0.387
	(0.218)	(0.218)	(0.288)
CAN benefits & protectionism	0.508*	0.149	0.169
	(0.219)	(0.224)	(0.276)
Covariates
Decrease import restrictions	0.441**	0.295**	0.496**
	(0.068)	(0.068)	(0.088)
Liberal party	0.735**	0.550**	0.711**
	(0.183)	(0.181)	(0.237)
Conservative party	0.718**	0.707**	1.248**
	(0.200)	(0.204)	(0.268)
NDP	0.275	0.137	0.631*
	(0.212)	(0.215)	(0.279)
Right leaning ideology	0.106**	0.053	0.034
	(0.040)	(0.039)	(0.053)
Follows news	0.007	0.091*	0.146**
	(0.039)	(0.038)	(0.046)
Follows politics	0.073	0.075	0.322**
	(0.075)	(0.074)	(0.095)
Confidence in Canadian P.M.	0.128**	0.111**	0.162**
	(0.029)	(0.029)	(0.037)
Confidence in U.S. President	−0.128**	−0.010	−0.111*
	(0.035)	(0.036)	(0.046)
Favour US	−0.181^+	0.239*	0.029
	(0.097)	(0.095)	(0.128)
Favour China	1.081**	0.006	0.478**
	(0.100)	(0.091)	(0.122)
Education	−0.083	0.023	0.002
	(0.051)	(0.049)	(0.064)
Female	−0.438**	−0.259^+	−0.513**
	(0.136)	(0.136)	(0.179)
Age (30–45)	−0.303	−0.072	−0.248
	(0.210)	(0.210)	(0.262)
Age (46–65)	0.266	0.136	0.018
	(0.212)	(0.210)	(0.266)
Age (65+)	−0.187	0.085	0.051
	(0.256)	(0.258)	(0.353)
Atlantic Provinces	0.418	−0.480^+	0.307
	(0.277)	(0.258)	(0.360)
Prairie Provinces	0.379*	0.102	0.558*
	(0.182)	(0.190)	(0.256)
British Columbia	0.158	−0.174	−0.006
	(0.189)	(0.192)	(0.245)
Quebec	0.205	−0.113	−0.116
	(0.197)	(0.197)	(0.246)
N	1158	1158	1158
Log-likelihood	−911.428	−868.592	−528.409
Model χ^2	307.786**	142.092**	215.399**
Pseudo R^2 (Nagelkerke)	0.144	0.076	0.169

Entries report the coefficient estimates from ordered-logistic regressions with standard errors (in parentheses). Statistical significance denoted as: ⁺p < 0.10; *p < 0.05; **p < 0.01. Cut points are omitted for space considerations.