The Resolution of Civil Wars: Changing International Norms of Peace-Making and the Academic Consensus

Figures & data

Table 1. Trends in the termination of intrastate conflicts.

Time Period	Number of intra-state conflicts	Share of intra-state conflicts
1946 – 2020
Peace agreement	44	10.11 per cent
Ceasefire	54	12.41 per cent
Victory (government)	94	21.61 per cent
Victory (insurgent)	36	8.28
Low Activity (Less than 25 deaths)	188	43.22 per cent
Actor ceases to exist	19	4.37 per cent
Total	435	100 per cent
1946 – 1989
Peace agreement	10	6.41 per cent
Ceasefire	7	4.49 per cent
Victory (government)	62	39.74 per cent
Victory (insurgent)	23	14.74 per cent
Low Activity (Less than 25 deaths)	50	32.05 per cent
Actor ceases to exist	4	2.56 per cent
Total	156	100 per cent
1990 – 2009
Peace agreement	31	16.58 per cent
Ceasefire	32	17.11 per cent
Victory (government)	28	14.97 per cent
Victory (insurgent)	9	4.81 per cent
Low Activity (Less than 25 deaths)	81	43.32 per cent
Actor ceases to exist	6	3.21 per cent
Total	187	100 per cent
2010 – 2020
Peace agreement	3	3.26 per cent
Ceasefire	15	16.3 per cent
Victory (government)	4	4.35 per cent
Victory (insurgent)	4	4.35 per cent
Low Activity (Less than 25 deaths)	57	61.96 per cent
Actor ceases to exist	9	9.78 per cent
Total	92	100 per cent

Figures compiled by Nila Zarepour-Arizi (Texas Tech University) using the UCDP Conflict Termination dataset (UCDP 2021). Following the UCDP definition, a conflict is defined as a contested incompatibility that concerns government and/or territory where the use of armed force between two parties, of which at least one is the government of a state, results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in one calendar year.

Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) 2021. UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset version 3-2021. Available from: https://ucdp.uu.se/downloads/index.html#termination [Accessed on 18 August]

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