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Original Articles

Exports, export composition and growth : cointegration and causality evidence for Malaysia

Pages 213-223 | Published online: 01 Oct 2010
 

Abstract

This paper comprehensively tests the export-led growth (ELG) hypothesis for Malaysia for the period 1955 - 90, using cointegration and causality testing based on Hsiao's synthesis of the Granger test and Akaike's minimum final prediction error criterion. The results provide support for the ELG hypothesis; aggregate exports Granger-cause real GDP and non-export GDP. This relationship is found to be driven by manufactured exports rather than by traditional exports.

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