Can clean energy adoption and international trade contribute to the achievement of India’s 2070 carbon neutrality agenda? Evidence using quantile ARDL measures

ABSTRACT

India is a major developing world economy that has predominantly been highly energy-intensive and fossil fuel dependent. Consequently, this South Asian nation has not been able to safeguard its environment from persistent degradation through the discharge of greenhouse gases. Accordingly, this study tries to reveal the relationships between Carbon Dioxide (CO₂) emissions, renewable energy consumption, international trade, and economic growth in India in order to recommend policies that can help the nation attain carbon neutrality. Both the conventional Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) and the newly developed Quantile ARDL (QARDL) models are used in this study. The ARDL results unveil that 1% increase in renewable energy consumption contributes to 0.8% reduction in CO₂ emissions, while economic growth boosts CO₂ emissions in the long run. Besides, international trade deteriorates the environment by amplifying emissions only in the short run. The QARDL results reveal that economic growth positively and renewable energy consumption negatively affect CO₂ emissions across all quantiles of CO₂ emissions. In contrast, international trade is not found to exert any statistically significant effect on CO₂ emissions. Lastly, the quantile-based causality analysis somewhat supports the regression findings by verifying causal associations between the variables of concern in India’s context. Thus, in light of these findings, several carbon neutrality-related policy insights are put forward.

KEYWORDS:

• Climate change
• carbon neutrality
• CO₂ emissions
• renewable energy transition
• international trade
• quantile ARDL

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).

Data Availability

The data can be acquired from the corresponding author following a reasonable request

Notes

1. See Kim T and White, H. (2003).