Assessing and validating reliable change across ADNI protocols

ABSTRACT

Objective: Reliable change methods can aid in determining whether changes in cognitive performance over time are meaningful. The current study sought to develop and cross-validate 12-month standardized regression-based (SRB) equations for the neuropsychological measures commonly administered in the Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) longitudinal study. Method: Prediction algorithms were developed using baseline score, retest interval, the presence/absence of a 6-month evaluation, age, education, sex, and ethnicity in two different samples (n = 192 each) of robustly cognitively intact community-dwelling older adults from ADNI – matched for demographic and testing factors. The developed formulae for each sample were then applied to one of the samples to determine goodness-of-fit and appropriateness of combining samples for a single set of SRB equations. Results: Minimal differences were seen between Observed 12-month and Predicted 12-month scores on most neuropsychological tests from ADNI, and when compared across samples the resultant Predicted 12-month scores were highly correlated. As a result, samples were combined and SRB prediction equations were successfully developed for each of the measures. Conclusions: Establishing cross-validation for these SRB prediction equations provides initial support of their use to detect meaningful change in the ADNI sample, and provides the basis for future research with clinical samples to evaluate potential clinical utility. While some caution should be considered for measuring true cognitive change over time – particularly in clinical samples – when using these prediction equations given the relatively lower coefficients of stability observed, use of these SRBs reflects an improvement over current practice in ADNI.

KEYWORDS:

• Reliable change
• assessment
• neuropsychology
• practice effects
• memory
• ADNI

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).

Additional information

Funding

Data collection and sharing for this project was funded by the Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) (National Institutes of Health Grant U01 AG024904) and DOD ADNI (Department of Defense award number W81XWH-12-2-0012). ADNI is funded by the National Institute on Aging, the National Institute of Biomedical Imaging and Bioengineering, and through generous contributions from the following: AbbVie, Alzheimer’s Association; Alzheimer’s Drug Discovery Foundation; Araclon Biotech; BioClinica, Inc.; Biogen; Bristol-Myers Squibb Company; CereSpir, Inc.; Cogstate; Eisai Inc.; Elan Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Eli Lilly and Company; EuroImmun; F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd and its affiliated company Genentech, Inc.; Fujirebio; GE Healthcare; IXICO Ltd.; Janssen Alzheimer Immunotherapy Research & Development, LLC.; Johnson & Johnson Pharmaceutical Research & Development LLC.; Lumosity; Lundbeck; Merck & Co., Inc.; Meso Scale Diagnostics, LLC.; NeuroRx Research; Neurotrack Technologies; Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation; Pfizer Inc.; Piramal Imaging; Servier; Takeda Pharmaceutical Company; and Transition Therapeutics. The Canadian Institutes of Health Research is providing funds to support ADNI clinical sites in Canada. Private sector contributions are facilitated by the Foundation for the National Institutes of Health (www.fnih.org). The grantee organization is the Northern California Institute for Research and Education, and the study is coordinated by the Alzheimer’s Therapeutic Research Institute at the University of Southern California. ADNI data are disseminated by the Laboratory for Neuro Imaging at the University of Southern California.