Exports and growth: is the export-led growth hypothesis valid for provincial economies?

References

• Akaike , H. 1969 . Fitting autoregressions for prediction . Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics , 21 : 243 – 247 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Basmann , R. L. 1988 . Causality tests and observational equivalent representations of econometric models . Journal of Econometrics , 39 : 69 – 104 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Beckerman , W. 1965 . Demand, exports and growth, in The Britain Economy in 1975 (Eds) W. Beckerman and Associates , The National Institute of Economic and Social Research, Series 23 44 – 72 . Cambridge, , UK : Cambridge University Press .
   Google Scholar
• Bernanke , B. S. 1986 . Alternative explanations of the moneyincome correlation . Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy , 25 : 49 – 99 .
   Google Scholar
• Blanchard , O. J. and Quah , D. 1989 . The dynamic effects of aggregate demand and supply disturbances . American Economic Review , 79 : 655 – 673 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Chow , P. C. Y. 1987 . Causality between export growth and industrial development empirical evidence from the NICs . Journal of Development Economics , 26 : 55 – 63 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Cooley , T. F. and LeRoy , S. F. 1985 . Atheoretical macroeconomics: a critique . Journal of Monetary Economics , 16 : 283 – 308 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Dickey , S. A. and Fuller , W. A. 1979 . Distribution of the estimators for authoregressive time series with a unit root . Journal of the American Statistical Association , 74 : 427 – 431 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Edwards , S. 1993 . Openness, trade liberalization, and growth in developing countries . Journal of Economic Literature , 31 : 1358 – 1393 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Engle , R. F. and Granger , C. W. J. 1987 . Cointegration and error correction: representation, estimation, and testing . Econometrica , 55 : 251 – 276 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Feige , E. L. and Pearce , D. K. 1979 . The casual causal relationship between money and income: some caveats for time series analysis . Review of Economics and Statistics , 61 : 521 – 533 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Fuller , W. A. 1976 . Introduction to Statistical Time Series , New York : Wiley .
   Google Scholar
• Genberg , H. , Salemi , M. K. and Swoboda , A. 1987 . The relative importance of foreign and domestic disturbances for aggregate fluctuations in the open economy: Switzerland, 1964–1981 . Journal of Monetary Economics , 19 : 45 – 67 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Giles , J. A. and Williams , C. L. 2000 . Export-led Growth: a survey of the empirical literature and some non-causality results . Part 1 : Journal of International Trade and Economic Development , 9 : 261 – 337 .
   Google Scholar
• Gonzalo , J. and Lee , T. H. 1998 . Pitfalls in testing for long run relationships . Journal of Econometrics , 86 : 129 – 154 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Granger , C. W. J. 1969 . Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods . Econometrica , 37 : 424 – 438 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Granger , C. W. J. 1981 . Some properties of time series data and their use in econometric model specification . Journal of Econometrics , 16 : 121 – 130 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Granger , C. W. J. 1988 . Some Recent Developments in a Concept of Causality . Journal of Econometrics , 39 : 199 – 211 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hansen , B. E. 1990 . A powerful Simple Test for Cointegration Using Cochrane-Orcutt Working Paper , University of Rochester .
   Google Scholar
• Helliwell , J. F. 1996 . Convergence and migration among provinces . Canadian Journal of Economics , 29 : S324 – S330 .
   Google Scholar
• Helpman , E. and Krugman , P. 1985 . Market Structure and Foreign Trade , Cambridge : MIT Press .
   Google Scholar
• Henriques , I. and Sadorsky , P. 1996 . Export-led growth or growth-driven exports? The Canadian Case . Canadian Journal of Economics , 96 : 540 – 555 .
   Google Scholar
• Hsiao , C. 1979a . Causality tests in econometrics . Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control , 1 : 321 – 346 .
   Google Scholar
• Hsiao , C. 1979b . Autoregressire modeling of Canadian money and income data . Journal of American Statistical Association , 74 : 553 – 560 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hsiao , C. 1981 . Autoregressire modelling and money-income causality detection . Journal of Monetary Economics , 7 : 85 – 106 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Islam , M. N. 1998 . Export expansion and economic growth: testing for Cointegration and Causality . Applied Economics , 30 : 415 – 425 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Jin , J. C. 1995 . Export-led growth and the four little dragons . Journal of International Trade and Economic Development , 4 : 203 – 215 .
   Google Scholar
• Jin , J. C. and McMillin , W. D. 1994 . Foreign output and price shocks and macroeconomic activity in Korea . International Review of Economics and Finance , 3 : 443 – 455 .
   Google Scholar
• Jin , J. C. and Yu , E. S. H. 1996 . Export-led growth and the U.S. economy: another look . Applied Economics Letters , 3 : 341 – 344 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Johansen , S. 1988 . Statistical analysis of cointegrating vectors . Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control , 12 : 231 – 254 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Judge , G. G. , Griffiths , W. E. , Hill , R. C. , Lutkepohl , H. and Lee , T. C. 1985 . The Theory and Practice of Econometrics , 2nd ed. , New York : Wiley .
   Google Scholar
• Jung , W. S. and Marshall , P. J. 1985 . Exports, growth and causality in developing countries . Journal of Development Economics , 18 : 1 – 12 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Lastrapes , W. D. and Koray , F. 1990 . International transmission of aggregate shocks under fixed and flexible exchange rateregimes: United Kingdom, France, and Germany, 1959 to 1985 . Journal of International Money and Finance , 9 : 402 – 423 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Learner , E. E. Vector autoregressions for causal inference? . Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy . pp. 255 – 303 .
   Google Scholar
• Levin , A. and Raut , L. K. 1997 . Complementarities between exports and human capitcal in economic growth: evidence from the semi-industrialized countries . Economic Development and Cultural Change , 46 : 155 – 174 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Lutkepohl , H. 1982 . Non-causality due to omitted variables . Journal of Econometrics , 19 : 367 – 378 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• MacKinnon , J. G. 1991 . “ Critical values for cointegration tests ” . In Long-run Economic Relationships: Readings in Cointegration , Edited by: Engle , R. F. and Granger , C. W. J. 267 – 276 . Oxford : Oxford University Press .
   Google Scholar
• Marin , D. 1992 . Is the export-led growth hypothesis valid for industrialized Countries? . Review of Economics and Statistics , 74 : 678 – 688 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Nelson , C. R. and Plosser , C. I. 1982 . Trends and random walks in macroeconomic time series: some evidence and implications . Journal of Monetary Economics , 10 : 139 – 162 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Perkins , F. C. 1997 . Export performance and enterprise reform in China's coastal provinces . Economic Development and Cultural Change , 45 : 501 – 539 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Prime , P. B. 1992 . Industry's response to market liberalization in China: evidence from Jiangsu province . Economic Development and Cultural Change , 41 : 27 – 50 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Ram , R. 1985 . Exports and economic growth: some additional evidence . Economic Development and Cultural Change , 33 : 415 – 425 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Riefler , R. F. 1991 . An assessment of economic development policy: Nebraska in the 1980s . Regional Science Perspectives , 21 : 3 – 26 .
   Google Scholar
• Rowlands , D. 1996 . Regional Development in Canada: Problems and Prospects . Canadian Journal of Economics , 29 : S340 – S343 .
   Google Scholar
• Runkle , D. E. 1987 . Vector autoregressions and reality . Journal of Business and Economic Statistics , 5 : 437 – 442 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Schwert , G. W. 1987 . Effects of model specification of tests for unit roots in macroeconomic Data . Journal of Monetary Economics , 20 : 73 – 103 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Shan , J. and Sun , F. 1998a . On the export-led growth hypothesis: the econometric evidence from China . Applied Economics , 30 : 1055 – 1065 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Shan , J. and Sun , F. 1998b . Export-led growth hypothesis for Australia: an empirical re-investigation . Applied Economics Letters , 5 : 423 – 428 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Sharma , S. C. , Morris , M. and Cheung , D. W. W. 1991 . Exports and economic growth in industrialized countries . Applied Economics , 23 : 697 – 708 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Sims , C. A. 1974 . Seasonality in regression . Journal of American Statistical Association , 69 : 618 – 626 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Sims , C. A. 1980 . Macroeconomics and reality . Econometrica , 48 : 1 – 48 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Smith , T. R. 1990 . Regional export growth: lessons from the state-level foreign trade data . Regional Science Perspectives , 20 : 21 – 38 .
   Google Scholar
• Vernon , R. 1966 . International investment and international trade in the product cycle . Quarterly Journal of Economics , 80 : 290 – 307 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Wallis , K. F. 1974 . Sasonal adjustment and relations between variables . Journal of American Statistical Association , 69 : 18 – 34 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar