Is political popularity a random walk?

References

• Beveridge , S. and Nelson , C. R. 1981 . A new approach to decomposition of economic time series into permanent and transitory components with particular attention to measurement of the ‘businesscycle’ . Journal of Monetary Economics , 7 : 151 – 174 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Chrystal , K. A. and Peel , D. A. 1986 . What can economics learn from political science, and vice versa . American Economic Review, Papers & Proceedings , 76 : 62 – 65 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Dickey , D. A. and Fuller , W. A. 1979 . Distribution of estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root . Journal of the American Statistical Association , 74 : 427 – 431 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Dickey , D. A. and Fuller , W. A. 1981 . Likelihood ratio statistics for auto-regressive time series with a unit root . Econometrica , 49 : 1057 – 1072 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Fair , R. 1978 . The effect of economic events on votes for the president . Review of Economics and Statistics , 60 : 159 – 173 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Frey , B. S. and Schneider , F. 1978a . An empirical study of politicoeconomic interaction in the United States . Review of Economics and Statistics , 60 : 174 – 183 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Frey , B. S. and Schneider , F. 1978b . A politico-economic model of the United Kingdom . Economic Journal , 88 : 243 – 253 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Fuller , W. A. 1976 . “ Introduction to Statistical Time Series ” . New York : Wiley .
   Google Scholar
• Goodhart , C. and Bhansali , R. 1970 . Political Economy . Political Studies , 18 : 43 – 106 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hall , A. 1989 . Testing for a unit rot in the presence of moving average errors . Biometrika , 76 : 49 – 56 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hall , R. E. 1978 . Stochastic implicatioons of the life cycle permanent income hypothesis . Journal of Political Economy , 86 : 971 – 987 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Harvey , A. C. 1981 . “ Time Series Models ” . Deddington : Phillip Allen .
   Google Scholar
• Holden , K. and Peel , D. A. 1985 . A new approach to explaining political popularity . Electoral Studies , 4 : 231 – 239 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Perron , P. 1988 . Trends and random walks in macro-economic time series: further evidence from a new approach . Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control , 12 : 297 – 332 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Philips , P. and Perron , P. 1988 . Testing for a unit root in time series regression . Biometrika , 75 : 347 – 353 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Said , S. E. and Dickey , D. 1984 . Testing for a unit roots in autoregressive-moving average models for unknown order . Biometrika , 71 : 599 – 607 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Sims , C. A. 1988 . Bayesian skepticism on unit root econometrics . Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control , 12 : 463 – 474 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Tsay , R. and Taio , G. C. 1984 . Consistent estimates of autoregresive parameters and extended sample auto-correlation function for stationary and nonstationary ARMA models . Journal of the American Statistical Association , 79 : 84 – 96 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Wallis , K. F. 1987 . Time-series analysis of bounded economic variables . Journal of the Time-Series Analysis , 8 : 115 – 123 .
   Google Scholar
• Yantek , T. 1985 . Government popularity in Great Britain under conditions of economic decline . Political Studies , 33 : 467 – 483 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar