Impacts of Climate Change and Urban Development on Water Resources in the Tualatin River Basin, Oregon

References

• Anderson , J. R. , Hardy , E. E. , Roach , J. T. and Witmer , R. E. 1976 . A land use and land cover classification system for use with remote sensor data. , Washington, DC : U.S. Government Printing Office .
   Google Scholar
• Arheimer , B. , Andréasson , J. , Fogelberg , S. , Johnsson , H. , Pers , C. B. and Perrson , K. 2005 . Climate change impact on water quality: Model results from southern Sweden . Ambio , 34 : 559 – 66 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Arnell , N. W. 2003 . Relative effects of multi-decadal climatic variability and changes in the mean and variability of climate due to global warming: Future streamflows in Britain . Journal of Hydrology , 270 : 195 – 213 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Atasoy , M. , Palmquist , R. B. and Phaneuf , D. J. 2006 . Estimating the effects of urban residential development on water quality using microdata . Journal of Environmental Management , 79 : 399 – 408 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Baker , J. P. , Hulse , D. W. , Gregory , S. V. , White , D. , Van Sickle , J. , Berger , P. A. , Dole , D. and Schumaker , N. H. 2004 . Alternative futures for the Willamette River Basin, Oregon . Ecological Applications , 14 : 313 – 24 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Balling , R. C. 2000 . The geographer's niche in the greenhouse millennium . Annals of the Association of American Geographers , 90 : 114 – 22 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Barlage , M. J. , Richards , P. L. , Sousounis , P. J. and Brenner , A. J. 2002 . Impacts of climate change and land use change on runoff from a Great Lakes watershed . Journal of Great Lakes Research , 28 : 568 – 82 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Barnett , T. P. , Pierce , D. W. , Hidalgo , H. G. , Bonfils , C. , Santer , B. D. , Das , T. Bala , G. 2008 . Human-induced changes in the hydrology of the Western United States . Science , 319 : 1080 – 83 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Bicknell , B. R. , Imhoff , J. C. , Kittle , J. L. , Jobes , T. H. Jr and Donigian , A. S. Jr . 2001 . Hydrological Simulation Program—Fortran: HSPF version 12 user's manual. , Mountain View, CA : Aqua Terra Consultants .
   Google Scholar
• Boeder , M. and Chang , H. 2008 . Multi-scale analysis of oxygen demand trends in an urbanizing Oregon watershed, USA . Journal of Environmental Management , 87 : 567 – 81 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Bouraoui , F. , Grizzetti , B. , Granlund , K. , Rekolainen , S. and Bidoglio , G. 2004 . Impact of climate change on the water cycle and nutrient losses in a Finnish catchment . Climatic Change , 66 : 109 – 26 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Chang , H. 2003 . Basin hydrologic response to changes in climate and land use: The Conestoga River Basin, Pennsylvania . Physical Geography , 24 : 222 – 47 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Chang , H. 2004 . Water quality impacts of climate and land use changes in southeastern Pennsylvania . The Professional Geographer , 56 : 240 – 57 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Chang , H. , Evans , B. M. and Easterling , D. R. 2001 . The effects of climate change on stream flow and nutrient loading . Journal of the American Water Resources Association , 37 : 973 – 86 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Chang , H. and Franczyk , F. 2008 . Climate change, land use change, and floods: Toward an integrated assessment . Geography Compass , 2 : 1549 – 79 .
   Google Scholar
• Chang , H. and Jung , I-W . 2010 . Spatial and temporal changes in runoff caused by climate change in a complex large river basin in Oregon . Journal of Hydrology , 388 : 186 – 207 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Chang , H. , Lafrenz , M. , Jung , I-W , Figliozzi , M. , Platman , D. and Pederson , C. 2010 . Potential impacts of climate change on flood-induced travel disruption: A case study of Portland in Oregon, USA . Annals of the Association of American Geographers , 100 : 938 – 52 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Chen , J. , Li , X. and Zhang , M. 2005 . Simulating the impacts of climate variation and land-cover changes on basin hydrology: A case study of the Suomo Basin . Science in China Series D: Earth Sciences , 48 : 1501 – 09 .
   Google Scholar
• Choi , W. 2008 . Catchment-scale hydrological response to climate-land-use combined scenarios: A case study for the Kishwaukee River Basin, Illinois . Physical Geography , 29 : 79 – 99 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Chung , E. and Lee , K. S. 2009 . Prioritization of water management for sustainability using hydrologic simulation model and multicriteria decision making techniques . Journal of Environmental Management , 90 : 1502 – 11 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Clifford , N. J. 2009 . Globalization: A physical geography perspective . Progress in Physical Geography , 33 : 5 – 16 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Todd , C. , Davis , E. , Goss , A. M. , Tripathy , D. and Harbor , J. M. 2007 . The effects of landscape transformation in a changing climate on local water resources . Physical Geography , 28 : 21 – 36 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Donigian , A. S. , Bicknell , B. R. Jr and Imhoff , J. C. 1995 . “ Hydrological Simulation Program—Fortran ” . In Computer models of watershed hydrology , Edited by: Singh , V. P. 395 – 442 . Littleton, CO : Water Resources Publications .
   Google Scholar
• Ducharne , A. , Baubion , C. , Beaudoin , N. , Benoit , M. , Billen , G. , Brisson , N. Garnier , J. 2007 . Long-term perspective of the Seine River system: Confronting climatic and direct anthropogenic changes . Science of the Total Environment , 375 : 292 – 311 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Dunne , T. and Leopold , L. 1978 . Water in environmental planning. , New York : Freeman .
   Google Scholar
• Franczyk , J. and Chang , H. 2009 . The effects of climate change and urbanization on the runoff of the Rock Creek basin in the Portland metropolitan area, Oregon, USA . Hydrological Processes , 23 : 805 – 15 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Graham , L. P. , Hagemann , S. , Jaun , S. and Beniston , M. 2007 . On interpreting hydrological change from regional climate models . Climatic Change , 81 : 97 – 122 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hunter , H. M. and Walton , R. S. 2008 . Land-use effects on fluxes of suspended sediment, nitrogen and phosphorus from a river catchment of the Great Barrier Reef, Australia . Journal of Hydrology , 356 : 131 – 46 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Kay , A. L. , Davies , H. N. , Bell , V. A. and Jones , R. G. 2009 . Comparison of uncertainty sources for climate change impacts: Flood frequency in England . Climatic Change , 92 : 41 – 63 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Kundzewicz , Z. W. , Mata , L. J. , Arnell , N. W. , Döll , P. , Kabat , P. , Jiménez , B. , Miller , K. A. , Oki , T. , Shiklomanov , Z. and Sên , I. A. 2007 . “ Freshwater resources and their management ” . In Climate change 2007: Impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change , Edited by: Parry , M. L. , Canziani , O. F. , Palutikof , J. P. , van der Linden , P. J. and Hanson , C. E. 173 – 210 . Cambridge, , UK : Cambridge University Press .
   Google Scholar
• Legates , D. R. and McCabe , G. J. Jr . 1999 . Evaluating the use of “goodness-of-fit” measures in hydrologic and hydroclimatic model validation . Water Resources Research , 35 : 233 – 41 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Loukas , A. , Vasiliades , L. and Dalezios , N. R. 2002 . Climatic impacts on the runoff generation processes in British Columbia, Canada . Hydrology and Earth System Sciences , 6 : 211 – 27 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Milly , P. C. D. , Betancourt , J. , Falkenmark , M. , Hirsch , R. M. , Kundzewicz , Z. W. , Lettenmeier , D. P. and Stouffer , R. J. 2008 . Stationarity is dead: Whither water management? . Science , 319 : 573 – 74 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Milly , P. C. D. , Wetherald , R. T. , Dunne , K. A. and Delworth , T. L. 2002 . Increasing risk of great floods in a changing climate . Nature , 415 : 514 – 17 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Mimikou , M. A. , Baltas , E. , Varanou , E. and Pantazis , K. 2000 . Regional impacts of climate change on water resources quantity and quality indicators . Journal of Hydrology , 234 : 95 – 109 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Mote , P. W. , Parson , E. A. , Hamlet , A. F. , Keeton , W. S. , Lettenmaier , D. , Mantua , N. Miles , E. L. 2003 . Preparing for climatic change: The water, salmon, and forests of the Pacific Northwest . Climatic Change , 61 : 45 – 88 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Murdoch , P. S. , Baron , J. S. and Miller , T. L. 2000 . Potential effects of climate change on surface-water quality in North America . Journal of the American Water Resources Association , 36 : 347 – 66 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Nakićenović , N. , Alcamo , J. , Davis , G. , DeVries , B. , Fenhann , J. , Gaffin , S. Gregory , K. 2000 . Special report on emissions scenarios: A special report of Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. , Cambridge, , UK : Cambridge University Press .
   Google Scholar
• National Resource Conservation Service . 2001 . STATSGO Soils Dataset, Oregon . http://www.brc.tamus.edu/swat/doc_databases-soils.html (last accessed 7 May 2008).
   Google Scholar
• Nelson , D. R. , Adger , W. N. and Brown , K. 2007 . Adaptation to environmental change: Contributions of a resilience framework . Annual Review of Environment and Resources , 32 : 395 – 419 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Oki , T. and Kanae , S. 2006 . Global hydrological cycles and world water resources . Science , 313 : 1068 – 72 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Oregon Climate Service . 2008 . Zone 2—Climate data archives . http://ocs.orst.edu/index.html (last accessed 7 May 2008).
   Google Scholar
• Palmer , R. N. , Clancy , E. , VanRheenen , N. T. and Wiley , M. W. 2004 . The impacts of climate change on the Tualatin River Basin water supply: An investigation into projected hydrologic and management impacts , Hillsboro, OR : Clean Water Services .
   Google Scholar
• Praskievicz , S. and Chang , H. 2009 . A review of hydrologic modeling of basin-scale climate change and urban development impacts . Progress in Physical Geography , 33 : 650 – 71 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Randhir , T. O. and Hawes , A. G. 2009 . Watershed land use and aquatic ecosystem response: Ecohydrologic approach to conservation policy . Journal of Hydrology , 364 : 182 – 99 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Regonda , S. K. , Rajagopalan , B. , Clark , M. and Pitlick , J. 2005 . Seasonal cycle shifts in hydroclimatology over the western United States . Journal of Climate , 18 : 372 – 84 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Ribarova , I. , Ninov , P. and Cooper , D. 2008 . Modeling nutrient pollution during a first flood event using HSPF software: Iskar River case study, Bulgaria . Ecological Modelling , 211 : 241 – 46 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Salathé , E. P. , Mote , P. W. Jr and Wiley , M. W. 2007 . Review of scenario selection and downscaling methods for the assessment of climate change impacts on hydrology in the United States Pacific Northwest . International Journal of Climatology , 27 : 1611 – 21 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Samaniego , L. and Bárdossy , A. 2006 . Simulation of the impacts of land use/cover and climatic changes on the runoff characteristics at the mesoscale . Ecological Modelling , 196 : 45 – 61 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Sharma , U. C. 2003 . Impact of population growth and climate change on the quantity and quality of water resources in the northeast of India . IASH-AISH Publication , 281 : 349 – 57 .
   Google Scholar
• Tang , Z. , Engel , B. A. , Pijanowski , B. C. and Lim , K. J. 2005 . Forecasting land use change and its environmental impact at a watershed scale . Journal of Environmental Management , 76 : 35 – 45 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Council , Tualatin River Watershed . 1999 . Tualatin River watershed action plan. , Hillsboro, OR : Tualatin River Watershed Council .
   Google Scholar
• Turner , B. L. 2002 . Contested identities: Human–environment geography and disciplinary implications in a restructuring academy . Annals of the Association of American Geographers , 92 : 52 – 74 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (U.S. EPA) . 2000 . BASINS technical note 6: Estimating hydrology and hydraulic parameters for HSPF. , Washington, DC : U.S. EPA .
   Google Scholar
• U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (U.S. EPA) . 2001 . Better assessment science integrating point and nonpoint sources: BASINS version 3.0 user's manual. , Washington, DC : U.S. EPA .
   Google Scholar
• U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (U.S. EPA) . 2006 . BASINS technical note 8: Sediment parameter and calibration guidance for HSPF. , Washington, DC : U.S. EPA .
   Google Scholar
• U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (U.S. EPA) . 2008 . Multi-Resolution Land Characteristics Consortium (MRLC) . http://www.epa.gov/mrlc/ (last accessed 5 December 2008)
   Google Scholar
• U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) . 2004 . National Elevation Dataset (NED) 1/3 arc second . http://seamless.usgs.gov/Website/Seamless/products/3arc.asp (last accessed 8 May 2008).
   Google Scholar
• U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) . 2006 . 8-digit hydrologic unit code boundaries . http://water.usgs.gov/GIS/huc.html (last accessed 8 May 2008).
   Google Scholar
• U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) . 2008 . Tualatin River Basin water quality assessment . http://or.water.usgs.gov/tualatin/pn356.html (last accessed 5 December 2008).
   Google Scholar
• Watts , G. 1997 . “ Hydrological modelling in practice ” . In Contemporary hydrology: Towards holistic environmental science , Edited by: Wiley , R. 151 – 93 . Chichester, UK : Wiley .
   Google Scholar
• Weglarczyk , S. 1998 . The interdependence and applicability of some statistical quality measures for hydrological models . Journal of Hydrology , 206 : 98 – 103 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Wilby , R. L. and Harris , I. 2006 . A framework for assessing uncertainties in climate change impacts: Low-flow scenarios for the River Thames, UK . Water Resources Research , 42 : W02419
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Wilby , R. L. , Whitehead , P. G. , Wade , A. J. , Butterfield , D. , Davis , R. J. and Watts , G. 2006 . Integrated modelling of climate change impacts on water resources and quality in a lowland catchment: River Kennet, UK . Journal of Hydrology , 330 : 204 – 20 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Xu , C. 1999 . From GCMs to river flow: A review of downscaling methods and hydrologic modelling approaches . Progress in Physical Geography , 23 : 229 – 49 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar