Assessment and forecasting of the subsurface drain of the Aral Sea, Central Asia

References

• Lerman, A., Imboden, D.M. and Gat, J.R., 1995, Physics and Chemistry of Lakes, (Berlin Heidelberg: Springer), p. 334.
   Google Scholar
• Rosenberry, D.O., Lewandowski, J., Meinikmann, K. and Nützmann, G., 2015, Groundwater – the disregarded component in lake water and nutrient budgets. Part 1: effects of groundwater on hydrology. Hydrological Processes, 29, 2895–2921.10.1002/hyp.v29.13
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Toran, L., Nyquist, J., Rosenberry, D., Gagliano, M., Mitchell, N. and Mikochik, J., 2015, Geophysical and hydrologic studies of lake seepage variability. Groundwater, 53, 841–850.10.1111/gwat.2015.53.issue-6
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hrissanthou, V., Mylopoulos, N., Tolikas, D. and Mylopoulos, Y., 2003, Simulation modeling of runoff, groundwater flow and sediment transport into Kastoria Lake, Greece. Water Resources Management, 17, 223–242.10.1023/A:1024125920720
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Sacks, L.A., Herman, J.S., Konikow, L.F. and Vela, A.L., 1992, Seasonal dynamics of groundwater-lake interactions at Donana National-Park, Spain. Journal of Hydrology, 136, 123–154.10.1016/0022-1694(92)90008-J
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Bobba, A.G., 1993, Field validation of ‘SUTRA’ groundwater flow model to Lambton County, Ontario, Canada. Water Resources Management, 7, 289–310.10.1007/BF00872286
   Google Scholar
• Lee, T.M., 2000, Effects of nearshore recharge on groundwater interactions with a lake in mantled karst terrain. Water Resources Research, 36, 2167–2182.10.1029/2000WR900107
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Smerdon, B.D., Mendoza, C.A. and Devito, K.J., 2007, Simulations of fully coupled lake-groundwater exchange in a subhumid climate with an integrated hydrologic model. Water Resources Research, 43. Available online at: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2006WR005137/full
   Google Scholar
• Befus, K.M., Cardenas, M.B., Ong, J.B. and Zlotnik, V.A., 2012, Classification and delineation of groundwater-lake interactions in the Nebraska Sand Hills (USA) using electrical resistivity patterns. Hydrogeology Journal, 20, 1483–1495.10.1007/s10040-012-0891-x
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Moral, F., Rodriguez-Rodriguez, M., Beltrán, M., Benavente, J. and Cifuentes, V., 2013, Water regime of playa lakes from Southern Spain: conditioning factors and hydrological modeling. Water Environment Research, 85, 632–642.10.2175/106143013X13698672321508
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Melesse, A. and Abtew, W., 2016, Landscape Dynamics, Soils and Hydrological Processes in Varied Climates, (London: Springer International Publishing).
   Google Scholar
• Yihdego, Y., Webb, J. and Leahy, P., 2016, Modelling water and salt balances in a deep, groundwater-throughflow lake-Lake Purrumbete, southeastern Australia. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 61, 186–199.10.1080/02626667.2014.975132
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Mylopoulos, N., Mylopoulos, Y., Tolikas, D. and Veranis, N., 2007, Groundwater modeling and management in a complex lake-aquifer system. Water Resources Management, 21, 469–494.10.1007/s11269-006-9025-3
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Soyaslan, I.I., Dogan, A. and Karaguzel, R., 2008, Modelling of lake-groundwater interaction in Turkey. Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers-Water Management, 161, 277–287.10.1680/wama.2008.161.5.277
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Levy, J. and Xu, Y., 2012, Review: Groundwater management and groundwater/surface-water interaction in the context of South African water policy. Hydrogeology Journal, 20, 205–226.10.1007/s10040-011-0776-4
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Nderson, M.P. and Cheng, X.X., 1998, Sensitivity of groundwater/lake systems in the Upper Mississippi River basin, Wisconsin, USA, to possible effects of climate change. Hydrology, Water Resources and Ecology in Headwaters, 248, 3–8.
   Google Scholar
• Ayenew, T., 2002, Recent changes in the level of Lake Abiyata, central main Ethiopian Rift. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 47, 493–503.10.1080/02626660209492949
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Været, L., Kelbe, B., Haldorsen, S. and Taylor, R.H., 2009, A modelling study of the effects of land management and climatic variations on groundwater inflow to Lake St Lucia, South Africa. Hydrogeology Journal, 17, 1949–1967.10.1007/s10040-009-0476-5
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Odriguez-Rodriguez, M., Green, A.J., Lopez, R. and Martos-Rosillo, S., 2012, Changes in water level, land use, and hydrological budget in a semi-permanent playa lake, Southwest Spain. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 184, 797–810.
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Yihdego, Y. and Webb, J., 2012, Modelling of seasonal and long-term trends in lake salinity in southwestern Victoria, Australia. Journal of Environmental Management, 112, 149–159.10.1016/j.jenvman.2012.07.002
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Yihdego, Y. and Webb, J.A., 2015, Use of a conceptual hydrogeological model and a time variant water budget analysis to determine controls on salinity in Lake Burrumbeet in southeast Australia. Environmental Earth Sciences, 73, 1587–1600.10.1007/s12665-014-3509-x
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Wollschläger, U., Ilmberger, J., Isenbeck-Schröter, M., Kreuzer, A.M., von Rohden, C., Roth, K. and Schäfer, W., 2007, Coupling of groundwater and surface water at Lake Willersinnweiher: groundwater modeling and tracer studies. Aquatic Sciences, 69, 138–152.10.1007/s00027-006-0825-6
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Castañeda, C. and García-Vera, M., 2008, Water balance in the playa-lakes of an arid environment, Monegros, NE Spain. Hydrogeology Journal, 16, 87–102.10.1007/s10040-007-0230-9
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Yagbasan, O. and Yazicigil, H., 2009, Sustainable management of Mogan and Eymir Lakes in Central Turkey. Environmental Geology, 56, 1029–1040.10.1007/s00254-008-1203-6
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Zhang, Q. and Werner, A.D., 2009, Integrated surface-subsurface modeling of Fuxianhu Lake catchment, Southwest China. Water Resources Management, 23, 2189–2204.10.1007/s11269-008-9377-y
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Ó Dochartaigh, B.E., MacDonald, A.M., Darling, W.G., Hughes, A.G., Li, J.X. and Shi, L.A., 2010, Determining groundwater degradation from irrigation in desert-marginal northern China. Hydrogeology Journal, 18, 1939–1952.10.1007/s10040-010-0644-7
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Roningen, J.M. and Burbey, T.J., 2012, Hydrogeologic controls on lake level: a case study at Mountain Lake, Virginia, USA. Hydrogeology Journal, 20, 1149–1167.10.1007/s10040-012-0859-x
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Rodriguez-Rodriguez, M. and Schilling, M.A., 2014, A hydrological simulation of the water regime in two playa lakes located in southern Spain. Journal of Earth System Science, 123, 1295–1305.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Yihdego, Y. and Webb, J., 2013, An empirical water budget model as a tool to identify the impact of land-use change in stream flow in Southeastern Australia. Water Resources Management, 27, 4941–4958.10.1007/s11269-013-0449-2
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Fredrick, K.C., Becker, M.W., Matott, L.S., Daw, A., Bandilla, K. and Flewelling, D.M., 2007, Development of a numerical groundwater flow model using SRTM elevations. Hydrogeology Journal, 15, 171–181.10.1007/s10040-006-0115-3
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Leblanc, M., Favreau, G., Tweed, S., Leduc, C., Razack, M. and Mofor, L., 2007, Remote sensing for groundwater modelling in large semiarid areas: Lake Chad Basin, Africa. Hydrogeology Journal, 15, 97–100.10.1007/s10040-006-0126-0
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Dinka, M.O., Loiskandl, W. and Ndambuki, J.M., 2014, Hydrologic modelling for Lake Basaka: development and application of a conceptual water budget model. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 186, 5363–5379.10.1007/s10661-014-3785-7
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hogeboom, R.H.J., van Oel, P.R., Krol, M.S. and Booij, M.J., 2015, Modelling the influence of groundwater abstractions on the water level of Lake Naivasha, Kenya under data-scarce conditions. Water Resources Management, 29, 4447–4463.10.1007/s11269-015-1069-9
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Micklin, P. and Williams, W.D., 1996, The Aral Sea Basin, Vol. 12, (Berlin Heidelberg: Springer-Verlag).10.1007/978-3-642-61182-7
   Google Scholar
• Jarsjö, J. and Destouni, G., 2004, Groundwater discharge into the Aral Sea after 1960. Journal of Marine Systems, 47, 109–120.10.1016/j.jmarsys.2003.12.013
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Ostrovsky, V.N., 2007, Comparative analysis of groundwater formation in arid and super-arid deserts (with examples from Central Asia and northeastern Arabian Peninsula). Hydrogeology Journal, 15, 759–771.10.1007/s10040-007-0181-1
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Moerlins, J.E., Khankhasayev, M.K., Leitman, S.F. and Makhmudov, E.J., 2008, Transboundary Water Resources: A Foundation for Regional Stability in Central Asia. (London: Springer).10.1007/978-1-4020-6736-5
   Google Scholar
• Alekseeva, I., Jarsjö, J., Schrum, C. and Destouni, G., 2009, Reproducing the Aral Sea water budget and sea-groundwater dynamics between 1979 and 1993 using a coupled 3-D sea-ice-groundwater model. Journal of Marine Systems, 76, 296–309.10.1016/j.jmarsys.2008.03.018
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Awan, U.K., Tischbein, B., Conrad, C., Martius, C. and Hafeez, M., 2011, Remote sensing and hydrological measurements for irrigation performance assessments in a water user association in the lower amu darya river basin. Water Resources Management, 25, 2467–2485.10.1007/s11269-011-9821-2
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Breckle, S.-W., Wucherer, W., Dimeyeva, L.A. and Ogar, N.P., 2012, Aralkum – A Man-made Desert. The Desiccated Floor of the Aral sea (Central Asia), Vol. 218, (Berlin Heidelberg: Springer).
   Google Scholar
• Alaghmand, S., Beecham, S. and Hassanli, A.A., 2013, A review of the numerical modelling of salt mobilization from groundwater-surface water interactions. Water Resources, 40, 325–341.10.1134/S009780781303010X
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Schettler, G., Oberhänsli, H., Stulina, G., Mavlonov, A.A. and Naumann, R., 2013, Hydrochemical water evolution in the Aral Sea Basin. Part I: unconfined groundwater of the amu darya delta – interactions with surface waters. Journal of Hydrology, 495, 267–284.10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.03.044
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Rafikov, V. and Gulnora, Mamadjanova, 2014, Forecasting changes of hydrological and hydrochemical conditions in the Aral Sea. Geodesy and Geodynamics, 5, 55–58.10.3724/SP.J.1246.2014.03055
   Google Scholar
• Lvov, V.N., 1965, Some data on the underground part of the water and salt balance of the Aral Sea. Proceedings of the State Oceanographic Institute, 83, 207–242.
   Google Scholar
• Chernenko, I.M., 1965, Priaralye groundwater flow and dependence of its discharge from the Aral Sea level. Proceedings of the Dnepropetrovsk Mountain Institute, 46, 318–320.
   Google Scholar
• Pashkovskiy, I.S., 1969, Groundwater flow into the Aral Sea, its present and future. Bulletin of Moscow Society of Naturalists, geology department, 64, 110–119.
   Google Scholar
• Akhmedsafin, U.M., 1951, Sandy Massifs Groundwater of Southern Kazakhstan, (Almaty: Kazakh SSR Academy of Sciences).
   Google Scholar
• Akhmedsafin, U.M., 1973, Artesian Water Formation and Hydrodynamics of Southern Kazakhstan, (Tashkent, Almaty: Nauka).
   Google Scholar
• Zolotarev, V., 1989, Modeling of Underground and Salt Exchange in the Aral Sea Depression at the Present Stage and its Change Projections, (Tashkent: Candidate of Technical Sciences thesis, Institute of Hydrogeology and Engineering Geology of Ministry of Geology of Uzbekistan).
   Google Scholar
• Shapiro, S., Tsay, S., Bochkarev, A., Kalmykova, N., Sydykov, Z., Dzhakelov, A., Smolyar, V., Ibragimov, Y., Vinnikova, T., Zolotarev, V. and Kim, E., 1992, Syrdarya Artesian Basin (Mathematical Modeling of Groundwater Resources in the Conditions of Technogenesis), (Almaty: Gylym).
   Google Scholar
• Veselov, V. and Panichkin, V., 2004, Geoinformation-mathematical Simulation of Hydrogeological Conditions of Eastern Priaralye. (Almaty: Complex).
   Google Scholar
• Panichkin, V. and Miroshnichenko, O., 2014, Mathematical model creation methods of Syrdarinski artesian basin hydrogeological conditions for the solution of groundwater resources conservation tasks. Proceedings of National Academy of Sciences of the Republic of Kazakhstan, Series of Geology and Technical Sciences, 2, 91–97.
   Google Scholar
• Trushel, L., 1993, Modelling of the Hydrogeological Conditions of the Central Kzylkum Artesian Basin for the Assessment Resource and Quality of Groundwater, (Almaty: Candidate of geological-mineralogical sciences thesis, Institute of hydrogeology and hydrophysics of Kazakh Academy of Sciences).
   Google Scholar
• Panichkin, V., Satpaev, A., Miroshnichenko, O., Trushel, L. and Zakharova, N., 2011, Mathematical modeling methods utilization for the groundwater resources estimation of Kyzylzharminski deposit. Geology and Conservation of Mineral resources, 3, 57–62.
   Google Scholar
• MapInfo Professional. Version 10.0. User Guide, 2009. Available online at: http://reference.mapinfo.com/software/mapinfo_pro/english/10/MapInfoProfessionalUserGuide.pdf
   Google Scholar
• ArcGIS tutorials, 2008. Available online at: http://help.arcgis.com/en/arcgisdesktop/10.0/help/index.html#//00v20000000t000000.htm.
   Google Scholar
• GMS 10.0 Tutorials. MODFLOW – MNW2 Package, 2014.Available online at: http://www.aquaveo.com/software/gms-learning-tutorials.
   Google Scholar