Evaluations and expectations: A Bayesian modelFootnote†

An earlier version of this paper was presented at the Mathematical Sociology Session of the 1974 American Sociological Association Meetings. The first author gratefully acknowledges the financial support received from the Canada Council in the form of a leave fellowship for the 1973–74 academic year.

References

• Aronson , E. and Carlsmith , J. M. 1962 . Performance expectancy as a determinant of actual performance . Journal of Abnormal and Social Psychology , 65 : 178 – 182 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Berger , J. , P , B. , Cohen , T. L. Conner and Zelditch , M. Jr. 1966 . “ Status characteristics and expectation states: A process model ” . In Sociological Theories in Progress I , Edited by: Berger , J. , Zcldifch , M. Jr. and Anderson , B. 47 – 73 . Boston : Houghton Mifflin Co. .
   Google Scholar
• Berger , J. and Conner , T. L. 1969 . Performance expectations and behavior in small groups . Acta Sociologica , 12 : 186 – 198 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Berger , J. , Conner , T. L. and McKcown , W. L. 1969 . Evaluations and the formation and maintenance of performance expectations . Human Relations , 22 : 481 – 502 .
   Google Scholar
• Berger , J. and Snell , J. L. 1961 . A stochastic theory for self‐other expectations , Technical Report No. 1 California : Laboratory for Social Research, Stanford University .
   Google Scholar
• Brickman , P. 1972 . Rational and nonrational elements in reactions to disconfirmation of performance expectancies . Journal of Experimental Social Psychology , 8 : 112 – 123 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Brock , T. C. , K , S. , Edelman , D. C. Edwards and Schuck , J. R. 1965 . Seven studies of performance expectancy as a determinant of actual performance . Journal of Experimental Social Psydiology , 1 : 295 – 310 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Cottrell , N. B. 1965 . Performance expectancy as a determinant of actual performance: A replication with a new design . Journal of Personality and Social Psychology , 2 : 685 – 691 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Edwards , W. 1968 . “ Conservatism in human information processing ” . In Formal Representation of Human Judgement , Edited by: Kleinmuntz , B. 17 – 52 . New York : Wiley .
   Google Scholar
• Foschi , M. 1971 . Contradiction and change of performance expectations . Canadian Review of Sociology and Anthropology , 8 : 205 – 222 .
   Google Scholar
• Foschi , M. 1972a . On the concept of “expectations” . Acta Sociologica , 15 : 124 – 131 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Foschi , M. The formation of performance expectations: A test of a conceptualization . Paper read at the West Coast Conference for Small Group Research . Portland, Oregon.
   Google Scholar
• Lewis , G. H. Performances, evaluations, and expectations . Paper read at the West Coast Conference for Small Group Research . Honolulu, Hawaii.
   Google Scholar
• Mettee , D. R. 1971 . Rejection of unexpected success as a function of the negative consequences of accepting success . Journal of Personality and Social Psychology , 17 : 332 – 341 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Moore , J. C. Jr. 1968 . Status influence in small group interactions . Sociometry , 31 : 47 – 63 .
   PubMedGoogle Scholar
• Moore , J. C. Jr. 1969 . Social status and social influence: Process considerations . Sociometry , 32 : 145 – 158 .
   Google Scholar
• Peterson , C. R. and DuCharme , W. M. 1967 . A primacy effect in subjective probability revision . Journal of Experimental Psychology , 73 : 61 – 65 .
   PubMedGoogle Scholar
• Peterson , C. R. , Schneider , R.J. and Miller , A. J. 1965 . Sample size and the revision of subjective probabilities . Journal of Experimental Psychology , 69 : 522 – 527 .
   PubMedGoogle Scholar
• Phillips , L. D. and Edwards , W. 1966 . Conservatism in a simple probability inference task . Journal of Experimental Psydiology , 72 : 346 – 354 .
   PubMedGoogle Scholar
• Pitz , G. F. , Downing , L. and Reinhold , H. 1967 . Sequential effects in the revision of subjective probabilities . Canadian Journal of Psychology , 21 : 381 – 393 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Silverman , I. and Marcantonio , C. 1965 . Demand characteristics versus dissonance reduction as determinants of failure‐seeking behavior . Journal of Personality and Social Psychology , 2 : 882 – 884 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Sobieszek , B. 1972 . Multiple sources and the formation of performance expectations . Pacific Sociological Review , 15 : 103 – 122 .
   Google Scholar
• Taylor , S. E. and Huesmann , L. R. 1974 . Expectancy confirmed again: A computer investigation of expectancy theory . Journal of Experimental Social Psychology , 10 : 497 – 501 .
   Google Scholar
• Ward , W. D. and Sandvold , K. D. 1963 . Performance expectancy as a determinant of actual performance: A partial replication . Journal of Abnormal and Social Psychology , 67 : 293 – 295 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Waterman , A. S. and Ford , L. H. Jr. 1965 . Performance expectancy as a determinant of actual performance: Dissonance reduction or differential recall? . Journal of Personality and Social Psychology , 2 : 464 – 467 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Webster , M. Jr. 1969 . Source of evaluations and expectations for performance . Sociometry , 32 : 213 – 258 .
   Google Scholar
• An earlier version of this paper was presented at the Mathematical Sociology Session of the 1974 American Sociological Association Meetings. The first author gratefully acknowledges the financial support received from the Canada Council in the form of a leave fellowship for the 1973–74 academic year.
   Google Scholar
• Martha Foschi, Department of Anthropology and Sociology, University of British Columbia Vancouver, B.C., Canada V6T 1W5.
   Google Scholar