Publication Cover
Representation
Journal of Representative Democracy
Volume 57, 2021 - Issue 1
2,263
Views
2
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Articles

The Conservative Party Leadership Transition from Theresa May to Boris Johnson: Party Popularity and Leadership Satisfaction

&

References

  • Adam, R. (2020). Brexit: Causes and consequences. Basingstoke: Palgrave.
  • Alderman, K. (1996). The Conservative Party Leadership Election of 1995. Parliamentary Affairs, 49(2), 316–32.
  • Alderman, K. (1998). The Conservative Party Leadership Election of 1997. Parliamentary Affairs, 51(1), 1–16.
  • Alderman, K. (1999). Revision of leadership election procedures in the Conservative party. Parliamentary Affairs, 52(2), 260–74.
  • Alderman, K., & Carter, N. (1991). A very Tory Coup: The ousting of Mrs Thatcher. Parliamentary Affairs, 44(2), 125–39.
  • Alderman, K., & Carter, N. (2002). The Conservative Party Leadership Election of 2001. Parliamentary Affairs, 55(4), 569–85.
  • Allen, N., Bara, J., & Bartle, J. (2013). Rules, strategies and words: The content of the 2010 Prime ministerial debates. Political Studies, 61(1), 92–113.
  • Allen, N., Bara, J., & Bartle, J. (2017). ‘Finding a niche? Challenger parties and issue emphasis in the 2015 televised leaders’ debates’. British Journal of Politics and International Relations, 19(4), 807–23.
  • Andrews, J., & Jackman, R. (2008). ‘If winning isn’t everything, why do they keep score? Consequence of electoral performance for party leaders’. British Journal of Political Science, 38(4), 657–75.
  • Barrett, J. (2018). ‘Candidate Brand personality and the 2017 New Zealand General Election’. In J. Lees-Marshment (Ed.), Political Marketing and Management in the 2017 New Zealand General Election (pp. 67–84). Basingstoke: Palgrave.
  • Bittner, A. (2012). Platform or personality? The role of party leaders in elections. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
  • Brown, J. A. (1992). The major effect: Changes in party leadership and party popularity. Parliamentary Affairs, 45(4), 545–64.
  • Bynander, F., & ‘t Hart, P. (2007). The politics of leader survival and succession, Australia in comparative perspective. Australian Journal of Political Science, 42(1), 47–72.
  • Bynander, F., & ‘t Hart, P. (2008). The art of handing over: (Mis)managing party leadership successions. Government and Opposition, 43(3), 385–404.
  • Clarke, H., Goodwin, M., & Whiteley, P. (2017). Brexit: Why Britain voted to leave the European Union. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
  • Clarke, H., Ho, S., & Stewart, M. (2000). ‘Major’s lesser (not minor) effects: Prime ministerial approval and governing party support in Britain since 1979’. Electoral Studies, 19(2-3), 255–73.
  • Clarke, H., Kellner, P., Stewart, M., Twyman, J., & Whiteley, P. (2016). Austerity and political choice in Britain. Basingstoke: Palgrave.
  • Clarke, H., Sanders, D., Stewart, M., & Whiteley, P. (2004). Political choice in Britain. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
  • Clarke, H., Sanders, D., Stewart, M., & Whiteley, P. (2009). Performance politics and the British voter. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
  • Clarke, H., & Stewart, M. (1995). Economic evaluations, prime ministerial approval and governing party support: Rival models reconsidered. British Journal of Political Science, 25(2), 145–70.
  • Costa-Lobo, M., & Curtice, J. (2015). Personality politics? The role of leader evaluations in democratic elections. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
  • Cowley, P., & Bailey, M. (2000). ‘Peasants’ uprising or religious war: Re-examining the 1975 conservative leadership contest’. British Journal of Political Science, 30(4), 599–629.
  • Cowley, P., & Garry, J. (1998). The British Conservative Party and Europe: The choosing of John Major. British Journal of Political Science, 28(3), 473–99.
  • Cowley, P., & Kavanagh, D. (2018). The British General Election of 2017. Basingstoke: Palgrave.
  • Crines, A., Jeffery, D., & Heppell, T. (2018). ‘The British Labour Party and leadership election mandate(s) of Jeremy Corbyn: Patterns of opinion and opposition within the parliamentary Labour Party’. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties, 28(3), 361–379.
  • Cross, W., & Blais, A. (2010)., ‘Who selects the party leader? ’ Party Politics, 18(2), 127–50.
  • Cross, W., & Blais, A. (2012). Politics at the centre: The selection and removal of party leaders in the Anglo parliamentary democracies. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
  • Cutts, D., Goodwin, M., Heath, O., & Milazzo, C. (2019). Resurgent remain and a rebooted revolt on the right: Exploring the 2019 European Parliament elections in the United Kingdom. Political Quarterly, 90(3), 496–514.
  • Cutts, D., Goodwin, M., Heath, O., & Surridge, P. (2020). ‘Brexit, the 2019 general election and the realignment of British politics’. Political Quarterly, 91(1), 7–23.
  • Denham, A., & Dorey, P. (2006). A tale of two speeches: The conservative leadership election. Political Quarterly, 78(1), 35–41.
  • Denham, A., Dorey, P., & Roe-Crines, A. (2020). Choosing party leaders: Britain’s conservatives and labour compared. Manchester: Manchester University Press.
  • Denham, A., & O’Hara, K. (2008). Democratising conservative leadership selection: From grey suits to grass roots. Manchester: Manchester University Press.
  • Denver, D. (2005). Valence politics: How Britain votes now. British Journal of Politics and International Relations, 7(2), 292–9.
  • Denver, D., & Garnett, M. (2012). The popularity of British Prime Ministers. British Journal of Politics and International Relations, 14(1), 57–73.
  • Dorey, P., & Denham, A. (2016). The longest suicide vote in History: The Labour Party leadership election of 2015. British Politics, 11(3), 259–292.
  • Ennser-Jedenastik, L., & Schumacher, G. (2020). What parties want from their leader: How office achievement trumps electoral performance as a driver of party leader survival. European Journal of Political Research. https://doi.org/10.1111/1475-6765.12391.
  • Fernandez-Vasquez, P., & Somer-Topcu, Z. (2019). The informational role of party leader changes on voter perceptions of party positions. British Journal of Political Science, 49(3), 977–96.
  • Goodwin, M., & Milazzo, C. (2015). UKIP: Inside the campaign to redraw the map of British politics. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
  • Heppell, T. (2008a). The degenerative tendencies of long serving governments … .1963 … 1996 … 2008? Parliamentary Affairs, 61(4), 578–96.
  • Heppell, T. (2008b). Choosing the tory leader: Conservative party leadership elections from Heath to Cameron. London: I. B. Tauris.
  • Heppell, T. (2010). Choosing the labour leader: Labour Party leadership elections from Wilson to Brown. London: I. B. Tauris.
  • Heppell, T., & Hill, M. (2008). The conservative party leadership election of 1997: An analysis of the voting motivations of conservative parliamentarians. British Politics, 3(1), 63–91.
  • Heppell, T., & Hill, M. (2009). Transcending Thatcherism? Ideology and the conservative party leadership mandate of David Cameron. Political Quarterly, 80(3), 388–99.
  • Heppell, T., & Hill, M. (2010). The voting Motivations of conservative parliamentarians in the conservative party leadership election of 2001. Politics, 30(1), 36–51.
  • Heppell, T., & McMeeking, T. (2020). ‘The election and re-election of Jeremy Corbyn as leader of the Labour Party’. In A. Crines (Ed.), The Labour Party under Jeremy Corbyn (pp. 18–29). Newcastle: Agenda.
  • Horiuchi, Y., Laing, M., & t’Hart, P. (2015). Hard acts to follow: Predecessor effects on party leader survival. Party Politics, 21(3), 357–66.
  • Ipsos-Mori. (2020a). ‘Voting Intentions Great Britain, 1997–2002’. https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/voting-intentions-great-britain-1997-2002
  • Ipsos-Mori. (2020b). ‘Voting Intentions Great Britain, 2002-2020’. https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/voting-intention-great-britain-recent-trends
  • Ipsos-Mori. (2020c). ‘Satisfaction Ratings 1997 to present’. https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/political-monitor-satisfaction-ratings-1997-present
  • Jeffery, D., Heppell, T., Hayton, R., & Crines, A. (2018). The conservative party leadership election of 2016: An analysis of the voting motivations of conservative parliamentarians. Parliamentary Affairs, 71(2), 263–82.
  • Kenig, O. (2009a). ‘Classifying party leaders’ selection methods in parliamentary democracies. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties, 19(4), 433–47.
  • Kenig, O. (2009b). Democratization of party leadership selection: Do wider selectorates produce more competitive contests? Electoral Studies, 28(2), 240–47.
  • King, A. (2002). Leaders’ personalities and the outcomes of Democratic elections. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
  • King, A., & Wybrow, R. (2001). British political opinion 1937–2000: The gallup polls. London: Politicos.
  • Langer, A. (2011). The personalisation of politics in the UK: Mediated leadership from Attlee to Cameron. Manchester: Manchester University Press.
  • LeDuc, L. (2001). Democratizing party leadership selection. Party Politics, 7(3), 323–41.
  • McAnulla, S. (2010). Forced exits: Accounting for the removal of contemporary party leaders. Political Quarterly, 81(4), 593–601.
  • McSweeney, D. (1999). Changing the rules changed the game: Selecting conservative leaders. Party Politics, 5(4), 471–83.
  • Murr, A. (2015). The party leadership model: An early forecast of the 2015 British General Election. Research and Politics, April-June, 1–9.
  • Opinium. (2020). Political Polling, 15th January. See https://www.opinium.co.uk/political-polling-15th-january-2020/
  • Pedersen, H., & Schumacher, G. (2015). ‘Do leadership changes improve electoral performance?’. In W. Cross & J.-B. Pilet (Eds.), The politics of party leadership: A cross-national perspective (pp. 149–164). Oxford: Oxford University Press.
  • Pilet, J. B., & Cross, W. (2014). The selection of political party leaders in contemporary parliamentary democracies. London: Routledge.
  • Punnett, R. (1992). Selecting the party leader: Britain in comparative perspective. Hemel Hempstead: Harvester Wheatsheaf.
  • Quinn, T. (2005). Leasehold or Freehold? Leader-Eviction rules in the British Conservative and Labour parties. Political Studies, 53(4), 793–815.
  • Quinn, T. (2010). Membership ballots in party leadership elections in Britain. Representation, 46(1), 101–117.
  • Quinn, T. (2012). Electing and ejecting party leaders in Britain. Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan.
  • Quinn, T. (2016). The British Labour Leadership Election of 2015’. British Journal of Politics and International Relations, 18(4), 759–78.
  • Quinn, T. (2019). The Conservative Party's Leadership Election of 2016: Choosing a leader in government. British Politics, 14(1), 63–85.
  • Ridge-Newman, A. (2019). ‘Weak and Wobbly to Get Brexit Done: 2019 and the conservative campaign’. In D. Jackson, E. Thorsen, D. Lilleker, & N. Weidhase (Eds.), UK election analysis 2019: Media, voters and the campaign (pp. 48–49). Poole: Centre for Comparative Politics and Media Research.
  • Seldon, A., & Newell, R. (2019). May at Ten. London: Biteback.
  • Sjoblom, G. (1968). Party Strategies in a Multiparty System. Lund: Studentlitteratur.
  • Somer-Topcu, Z. (2017). ‘Agree or disagree: How do party leader changes affect the distribution of voters’ perceptions’. Party Politics, 23(1), 66–75.
  • Stark, L. (1996). Choosing a leader: Party leadership contests in Britain from Macmillan to Blair. London: Macmillan.
  • Stevens, D., Karp, J., & Hodgson, R. (2011). ‘Party leaders as movers and shakers in British campaigns? Results from the 2010 Election’. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties, 21(2), 125–45.
  • Stewart, M., & Clarke, H. (1992). The (un)importance of party leaders: Leader images and party choice in the 1987 British election. Journal of Politics, 54(2), 447–70.
  • ‘t Hart, P., & Uhr, J. (2011). How power changes hands: Transition and succession in government. Basingstoke: Palgrave.
  • Weller, P. (2012). Fight, flee or fulminate: Prime ministerial challengers, strategic choices and rites of succession. Political Quarterly, 83(1), 152–62.
  • Whiteley, P., Clarke, H., Sanders, D., & Stewart, M. (2013). Affluence, austerity and electoral change in Britain. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
  • Worthy, B. (2016). ‘Ending in failure? The performance of ‘takeover’ Prime Ministers 1916–2016. Political Quarterly, 87(4), 509–17.

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.