A new prediction model of electricity load based on hybrid forecast engine

References

• Ahmadian, Iraj , Oveis Abedinia , and Noradin Ghadimi . 2014. “Fuzzy Stochastic Long-term Model with Consideration of Uncertainties for Deployment of Distributed Energy Resources using Interactive Honey Bee Mating Optimization.” Frontiers in Energy 8 (4): 412–425. doi: 10.1007/s11708-014-0315-9
   Google Scholar
• Akbary, Paria , Mohammad Ghiasi , Mohammad Reza Rezaie Pourkheranjani , Hamidreza Alipour , Noradin Ghadimi . 2017. “Extracting Appropriate Nodal Marginal Prices for All Types of Committed Reserve.” Computational Economics : 1–26. doi: 10.1007/s10614-017-9716-2.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Amjady, N. , and F. Keynia . 2009. “Short-Term Load Forecasting of Power Systems by Combination of Wavelet Transform and Neuro-Evolutionary Algorithm.” Energy 34 (1): 46–57. doi: 10.1016/j.energy.2008.09.020
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Caciotta, M. , R. Lamedica , V. Orsolini Cencelli , A. Prudenzi , and M. Sforna . 1997. “Application of Artificial Neural Networks to Historical Data Analysis for Short-term Electric Load Forecasting.” International Transactions on Electrical Energy Systems 7 (1): 49–56.
   Google Scholar
• Drucker, H. , C. J. C. Burges , L. Kaufman , A. Smola , and V. Vapnik . 1997. “Support Vector Regression Machines.” Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 9: 155–161.
   Google Scholar
• Eskandari Nasab, Mohammad , Iman Maleksaeedi , Mohsen Mohammadi , and Noradin Ghadimi . 2014. “A New Multiobjective Allocator of Capacitor Banks and Distributed Generations using a New Investigated Differential Evolution.” Complexity 19 (5): 40–54. doi: 10.1002/cplx.21489
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Espinoza, M. , J. A. K. Suykens , R. Belmans , and B. De Moor . 2007. “Electric Load Forecasting – Using Kernel Based Modeling for Nonlinear System Identification.” IEEE Control Systems Magazine 27 (5): 43–57. doi: 10.1109/MCS.2007.904656
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Fan, S. , and Rob J. Hyndman . 2012. “Short-Term Load Forecasting Based on a Semi-Parametric Additive Model.” IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 27 (1): 134–141. doi: 10.1109/TPWRS.2011.2162082
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Fattaheian-Dehkordi, S. , A. Fereidunian , H. Gholami-Dehkordi , and H. Lesani . 2014. “Hour-Ahead Demand Forecasting in Smart Grid using Support Vector Regression (SVR).” International Transactions on Electrical Energy Systems 24 (12): 1650–1663. doi: 10.1002/etep.1791
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Ghadimi, Noradin , and Mansour Hosseini Firouz . 2015. “Short-Term Management of Hydro-Power Systems Based on Uncertainty Model in Electricity Markets.” Journal of Power Technologies 95 (4): 265–272.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Gheydi, Milad , Alireza Nouri , and Noradin Ghadimi . 2016. “Planning in Microgrids with Conservation of Voltage Reduction.” IEEE Systems Journal . doi: 10.1109/JSYST.2016.2633512.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Gordon, N. , I. A. Wagner , and A. M. Bruckstein . 2003. “Discrete Bee Dance Algorithms for Pattern Formation on a Grid.” Proceedings of the IEEE/WIC International Conference on Intelligent Agent Technology (IAT’03), Halifax, NS, Canada.
   Google Scholar
• Hahn, H. , S. Meyer-Nieberg , and S. Pickl . 2009. “Electric Load Forecasting Methods: Tools for Decision Making.” European Journal of Operational Research 199 (3): 902–907. doi: 10.1016/j.ejor.2009.01.062
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Huang, S. J. , and K. R. Shih . 2003. “Short-term Load Forecasting via ARMA Model Identification Including Non-Gaussian Process Considerations.” IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 18: 673–679. doi: 10.1109/TPWRS.2003.811010
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Huck, G. E. , A. A. Mahmoud , R. B. Comerford , J. Adams , and E. Dawson . 1980. “Load Forecasting Bibliography: Phase I.” IEEE Transactions on Power Apparatus and Systems PAS-99 (1): 53–58. doi: 10.1109/TPAS.1980.319608
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Jalili, Aref , and Noradin Ghadimi . 2016. “Hybrid Harmony Search Algorithm and Fuzzy Mechanism for Solving Congestion Management Problem in an Electricity Market.” Complexity 21 (S1): 90–98. doi: 10.1002/cplx.21713
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Kennedy, J. , R. C. Eberhart , and Y. Shi . 2001. Swarm Intelligence . San Francisco : Morgan Kaufmann.
   Google Scholar
• Liu, Yang , Wei Wang , and Noradin Ghadimi . 2017. “Electricity Load Forecasting by an Improved Forecast Engine for Building Level Consumers.” Energy 139: 18–30. doi: 10.1016/j.energy.2017.07.150
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Mahmoud, A. A. , T. H. Ortmeyer , and R. E. Reardon . 1981. “Load Forecasting Bibliography - Phase II.” IEEE Transactions on Power Apparatus and Systems PAS-100 (7): 3217–3220. doi: 10.1109/TPAS.1981.316650
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Moghram, I. , and S. Rahman . 1989. “Analysis and Evaluation of Five Short-term Load Forecasting Techniques.” IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 4 (4): 1484–1491. doi: 10.1109/59.41700
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Noruzi, Alireza , Tohid Banki , Oveis Abedinia , and Noradin Ghadimi . 2015. “A New Method for Probabilistic Assessments in Power Systems, Combining Monte Carlo and Stochastic-Algebraic Methods.” Complexity 21(2): 100–110. doi: 10.1002/cplx.21582
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Pennsylvania State Climatologist . Accessed 5 December 2010. http://climate.met.psu.edu
   Google Scholar
• Pennsylvania-New Jersey-Maryland System Operator . Accessed 1 December 2010. http://www.pjm.com
   Google Scholar
• Reyneau, P. O. 1918. “Predicting Load on Residence Circuits.” Electrical World LXXI (19): 969–971.
   Google Scholar
• Sachdev, M. S. , R. Billinton , and C. A. Peterson . 1977. “Representative Bibliography on Load Forecasting.” IEEE Transactions on Power Apparatus and Systems 96 (2): 697–700. doi: 10.1109/T-PAS.1977.32382
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Sapankevych, N. I. , and R. Sankar . 2009. “Time Series Prediction Using Support Vector Machines: A Survey.” IEEE Computational Intelligence Magazine 4 (2): 24–38. doi: 10.1109/MCI.2009.932254
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• SCOPUS . Accessed 13 June 2012. http://www.scopus.com/
   Google Scholar
• Shahidehpour, M. , H. Yamin , and Z. Li . 2002. Market Operations in Electric Power Systems . New York, NY : Wiley.
   Google Scholar
• Taylor, J. W. 2012. “Short-Term Load Forecasting With Exponentially Weighted Methods.” IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 27 (1): 458–464. doi: 10.1109/TPWRS.2011.2161780
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Tzafestas, S. , and E. Tzafestas . 2001. “Computational Intelligence Techniques for Short-Term Electric Load Forecasting.” Journal of Intelligent and Robotic Systems 31 (13): 7–68. doi: 10.1023/A:1012402930055
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Wang, Y. , Q. Xia , and C. Kang . 2011. “Secondary Forecasting Based on Deviation Analysis for Short-Term Load Forecasting.” IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 26 (2): 500–507. doi: 10.1109/TPWRS.2010.2052638
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar