2,226
Views
115
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Original Articles

A Review of Ex-Post Evidence for Mode Substitution and Induced Demand Following the Introduction of High-Speed Rail

&
Pages 720-742 | Received 14 Jan 2013, Accepted 07 Oct 2013, Published online: 27 Nov 2013

References

  • Albalate, D., & Bel, G. (2012). High speed rail: Lessons for policy makers from experiences abroad. Public Administration Review, 72(3), 336–349. doi: 10.1111/j.1540-6210.2011.02492.x
  • Behrens, C., & Pels, E. (2009). Intermodal competition in the London–Paris passenger market: High-speed rail and air transport. Amsterdam/Rotterdam: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper TI 2009-051/3.
  • Bonnafous, A. (1987). The regional impact of the TGV. Transportation, 14(2), 127–137. doi: 10.1007/BF00837589
  • Bonsall, P. (1996). Can induced traffic be measured by surveys? Transportation, 23(1), 17–34. doi: 10.1007/BF00166217
  • Bullock, R., Salzberg, A., & Jin, Y. (2012). High-speed rail — The first three years: Taking the pulse of China's emerging program. China Transport Topics, 4, 1–8.
  • Campos, J., & Gagnepain, P. (2009). Measuring the intermodal effects of high speed rail. In G. de Rus (Ed.), Economic analysis of high speed rail in Europe (pp. 71–88). Bilbao: Fundación BBVA.
  • Cascetta, E., Papola, A., Pagliara, F., & Marzano, V. (2011). Analysis of mobility impacts of the high speed Rome–Naples rail link using within day dynamic mode service choice models. Journal of Transport Geography, 19(4), 635–643. doi: 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2010.07.001
  • Commissariat Général au Développement Durable. (2009). Les comptes des transports en 2008, Tome 2 : Les dossiers d'analyse économique des politiques publiques des transports. Paris: Author.
  • Chang, I., & Chang, G.-L. (2004). A network-based model for estimating the market share of a new high-speed rail system. Transportation Planning and Technology, 27(2), 67–90. doi: 10.1080/0308106042000218186
  • Chang, J., & Lee, J.-H. (2008). Accessibility analysis of Korean high-speed rail: A case study of the Seoul metropolitan area. Transport Reviews, 28(1), 87–103. doi: 10.1080/01441640701421495
  • Cheng, Y.-H. (2010). High-speed rail in Taiwan: New experience and issues for future development. Transport Policy, 17(2), 51–63. doi: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2009.10.009
  • Chester, M. V., & Horvath, A. (2009). Environmental assessment of passenger transportation should include infrastructure and supply chains. Environmental Research Letters, 4, 8 pp. 024008. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/4/2/024008
  • Chester, M. V., & Horvath, A. (2010). Life-cycle assessment of high-Speed rail: The case of California. Environmental Research Letters, 5(1), 8 pp. 014003. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/5/1/014003
  • Cho, N.-G., & Chung, J.-K. (2008). High speed rail construction of Korea and its impact (Special Report vol. 12). Anyang: Korea Research Institute for Human Settlements, 44 p.
  • Chou, J.-S., Kim, C., Kuo, Y.-C., & Ou, N.-C. (2011). Deploying effective service strategy in the operations stage of high-speed rail. Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, 47(4), 507–519. doi: 10.1016/j.tre.2010.12.004
  • Clever, R., & Hansen, M. (2008). Interaction of air and high-speed rail in Japan. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 2043, 1–12. doi: 10.3141/2043-01
  • Coto-Millán, P., Inglada, V., & Rey, B. (2007). Effects of network economies in high-speed rail: The Spanish case. The Annals of Regional Science, 41(4), 911–925. doi: 10.1007/s00168-007-0134-6
  • Dobruszkes, F. (2011). High-speed rail and air transport competition in Western Europe: A supply-oriented perspective. Transport Policy, 18(6), 870–879.
  • Dobruszkes, F., Dehon, C., & Givoni, M. (2013). Does European high-speed rail affect the current level of air services? An EU-wide analysis. Paper presented at the 13th WCTR conference, July 15–18, Rio, Brazil.
  • European Commission. (1996). COST 318. Interaction between high speed and air passenger transport (Interim Report). Retrieved from http://cordis.europa.eu/cost-transport/src/pub-318.htm
  • European Commission. (1998). COST 318. Interaction between high speed and air passenger transport (Final Report). Retrieved from http://temis.documentation.equipement.gouv.fr/documents/Temis/0030/Temis-0030323/12414_1.pdf
  • European Commission. (2011a). EU transport in figures — statistical pocketbook 2011. Luxembourg: Publication office of the European Union.
  • European Commission. (2011b). White paper. Roadmap to a single European transport area — Towards a competitive and resource efficient transport system, COM(2011) 144 Final. Brussels: Author. Retrieved from http://ec.europa.eu/transport/index_en.htm
  • Flyvbjerg, B., Skamris Holm, M., & Buhl, S. (2005). How (inaccurate are demand forecasts for public works projects? The case of transportation. Journal of the American Planning Association, 71(2), 131–146. doi: 10.1080/01944360508976688
  • Friebel, G., & Niffka, M. (2009). The functioning of inter-modal competition in the transportation market: Evidence from the entry of low-cost airlines in Germany. Review of Network Economics, 8(2), 189–211. doi: 10.2202/1446-9022.1176
  • Friederiszick, H., Gantumur, T., Jayaraman, R., Röller, L.-H., & Weinmann, J. (2009). Railway alliances in EC long-distance passenger transport: A competitive assessment post-liberalization 2010. ESMT White Paper No. WP-109-01, ESMT European School of Management and Technology.
  • Fu, X., Zhang, A., & Lei, Z. (2012). Will China's airline industry survive the entry of high-speed rail? Research in Transportation Economics, 35(1), 13–25.
  • Givoni, M. (2006). Development and impact of the modern high-speed train: A review. Transport Reviews, 26(5), 593–612. doi: 10.1080/01441640600589319
  • Givoni, M. (2007). Environmental benefits from mode substitution: Comparison of the environmental impact from aircraft and high-speed train operations. International Journal of Sustainable Transportation, 1(4), 209–230. doi: 10.1080/15568310601060044
  • Givoni, M., Brand, C., & Watkiss, P. (2009). Are railways “climate friendly”? Built Environment, 35(1), 70–86. doi: 10.2148/benv.35.1.70
  • González-Savignat, M. (2004a). Competition in air transport. The case of high speed train. Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, 38(1), 77–108.
  • Gonzáles-Savignat, M. (2004b). Will the high-speed train compete against the private vehicle? Transport Reviews, 24(3), 293–316. doi: 10.1080/0144164032000083103
  • Goodwin, P. B. (1996). Empirical evidence on induced traffic: A review and synthesis. Transportation, 23, 35–54. doi: 10.1007/BF00166218
  • Goodwin, P., & Van Dender, K. (2013). “Peak Car” — themes and issues. Transport Reviews, 33(3), 243–254. doi: 10.1080/01441647.2013.804133
  • Gourvish, T. (2010). The high speed rail revolution: History and prospects. London: HS2 Ltd.
  • Greengauge 21. (2009). Fast forward — A high-speed rail strategy for Britain. Kingston-upon-Thames: Author.
  • Groupe Eurotunnel. (2011). 2010 reference document. Paris: Eurotunnel. Retrieved from http://www.eurotunnelgroup.com
  • Hensher, D. (1997). A practical approach to identifying the market potential for high speed rail: A case study in the Sydney–Canberra corridor. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 31(6), 431–446. doi: 10.1016/S0965-8564(97)00001-3
  • Iseki, H., & Taylor, B. (2009). Not all transfers are created equal: Towards a framework relating transfer connectivity to travel behaviour. Transport Reviews, 29(6), 777–800. doi: 10.1080/01441640902811304
  • Ivaldi, M., & Vibes, C. (2005). Intermodal and intramodal competition in passenger rail transport. CEPR Discussion Paper no. 5004.
  • Jiménez, J. L., & Betancor, O. (2012). When trains go faster than planes: The strategic reaction of airlines in Spain. Transport Policy, 23, 34–41. doi: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2012.06.003
  • Kappes, J. W., & Merkert, R. (2013). Barriers to entry into European aviation markets revisited: A review and analysis of managerial perceptions. Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, 57, 58–69. doi: 10.1016/j.tre.2013.01.006
  • Kitamura, R. (2009). The effects of added transportation capacity on travel: A review of theoretical and empirical results. Transportation, 36(6), 745–762. doi: 10.1007/s11116-009-9245-5
  • Klein, O., Claisse, G., & Pochet, P. (1997). Le TGV Atlantique: entre récession et concurrence. Lyons: Laboratoire d'Économie des Transports.
  • Lee, J.-K., Yoo, K. E., & Jung, S.-Y. (2012). A study on the effect of high-speed railway launch to the air passengers' mode choice behaviour. Paper presented at the 16th ATRS World Conference, Tainan, Taiwan, June 2012.
  • López-Pita, A., & Robusté, F. (2005). Impact of high-speed lines in relation to very high frequency air services. Journal of Public Transportation, 8(2), 17–35.
  • Mandel, B., Gaudry, M., & Rothengatter, W. (1997). A disaggregate box-cox logit mode choice model of intercity passenger travel in Germany and its implications for high-speed rail demand forecasts. The Annals of Regional Science, 31(2), 99–120. doi: 10.1007/s001680050041
  • Mao, J. (2010). Air vs rail competition towards the Beijing–Shanghai high-speed railway project in China. Journal of Air Transport Studies, 1(2), 42–58.
  • Martínez Sánchez-Mateos, H., & Givoni, M. (2012). The accessibility impact of a new high-speed rail line in the UK — A preliminary analysis of winners and losers. Journal of Transport Geography, 25, 105–114. doi: 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2011.09.004
  • Menéndez, J. M. (1998). New transport infrastructures in Madrid–Seville corridor. Analysis of some effects regarding induced traffic. European Conference of Ministers of Transport, round table 105 on infrastructure-induced mobility. Paris: OECD, 56–109.
  • Miyoshi, C., & Givoni, M. (2013). The environmental case for high-speed train in the UK: Examining the London-Manchester route. International Journal of Sustainable Transport, 8(2), 107–126. doi: 10.1080/15568318.2011.645124
  • Mokhtarian, P., Samaniego, F., Shumway, R., & Willits, N. (2002). Revisiting the notion of induced traffic through a matched-pairs study. Transportation, 29(2), 193–220. doi: 10.1023/A:1014221024304
  • Nash, C. (2009). When to invest in high-speed rail links and networks? OECD/ITF Discussion Paper 2009-16. Paris: OECD/ITF.
  • Okabe, S. (1979). Impact of the Sanyo Shinkansen on local communities. In A. Straszak & R. Tuch (Eds.), The Shinkansen high-speed rail network of Japan (pp. 105–129). Proceedings of an International Institute of Applied Systems Analysis Conference, Laxenburg, June 1977. Oxford: Pergamon Press.
  • Park, Y., & Ha, H.-K. (2006). Analysis of the impact of high-speed railroad service on air transport demand. Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, 42(2), 95–104. doi: 10.1016/j.tre.2005.09.003
  • Plassard, F. (1998). [Untitled]. In European Conference of Ministers of Transport, Round Table 105 on Infrastructure-induced mobility. Paris: OECD, 111–142.
  • Preston, J. (2010). The case for high speed rail. An update. London: Royal Automobile Club Foundation. Retrieved from http://www.racfoundation.org
  • Preston, J., & Wall, G. (2008). The Ex-ante and Ex-post economic and social impacts of the introduction of high-speed trains in South East England. Planning, Practice & Research, 23(3), 403–422. doi: 10.1080/02697450802423641
  • Réseau ferré de France. (2005). Bilan LOTI de la LGV Nord. Paris: Author.
  • Román, C., Espino, R., & Martín, J. C. (2007). Competition of high-speed train with air transport: The case of Madrid–Barcelona. Journal of Air Transport Management, 13(5), 277–284. doi: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2007.04.009
  • Rothengatter, W. (2011). Competition between low-cost airlines and high-speed rail. In R. Macário & E. Van de Voorde (Eds.), Critical issues in air transport economics and business (pp. 319–342). Abingdon: Routledge.
  • Rail Safety Information System. (2009). Press releases of the fifth anniversary of KTX (Korea Train eXpress). Daejeon: Author (in Korean).
  • de Rus, G. (2011). The BCA of HSR: Should the government invest in high speed rail infrastructure? Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis, 2(1), 1–26.
  • de Rus, G., & Inglada, V. (1997). Cost-benefit analysis of the high-speed train in Spain. The Annals of Regional Science, 31(2), 175–188. doi: 10.1007/s001680050044
  • de Rus, G., & Nombela, G. (2007). Is investment in high speed rail socially profitable? Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, 41(1), 3–23.
  • Rutzen, B., & Walton, M. (2011). High speed rail: A study of international best practices and identification of opportunities in the US. Austin: Southwest Region University Transportation Center, Center for Transportation Research.
  • Sands, B. (1993). The development effects of high-speed rail stations and implications for California, Working Paper, California High Speed Rail Series, University of California at Berkeley, 59 p.
  • Schwanen, T., Banister, D., & Anable, J. (2011). Scientific research about climate change mitigation in transport: A critical review. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Planning, 45(10), 993–1006. doi: 10.1016/j.tra.2011.09.005
  • Segal, J. (2006). High speed rail — The competitive environment. Presentation at the European Transport Conference (MVA Consultancy). Retrieved from http://www.mvaconsultancy.com/publications/High_Speed_Rail.pdf
  • Steer Davies Gleave. (2004). High speed rail: International comparisons. Final report for the Commission for Integrated Transport.
  • Steer Davies Gleave. (2006). Air and rail competition and complementarity. Final report for the European Commission (DG TREN).
  • Suh, S., Yang, K.-Y., Lee, J.-H., & Ahn, B.-M. (2005). Effects of Korean Train Express (KTX) operation on the national transport system. Proceedings of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies, 5, 75–189.
  • Todorovich, P., Schned, D., & Lane, R. (2011). High-speed rail international lessons for U.S. policy Makers. Policy Focus Report PF029. Cambridge MA: Lincoln Institute of Land Policy.
  • UIC. (2011). High speed lines in the world. Retrieved from http://www.uic.org/IMG/pdf/20111101_a1_high_speed_lines_in_the_world.pdf
  • Vickerman, R. (1997). High-speed rail in Europe: Experience and issues for future development. The Annals of Regional Science, 31(1), 21–38. doi: 10.1007/s001680050037
  • Wardman, M. (1998). The value of travel time: A review of British evidence. Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, 32(3), 285–316.
  • Wardman, M. (2001). Public transport values of time. Working Paper 564. Leeds: Institute of Transport Studies, University of Leeds.
  • Zembri, P. (2010). New objectives of the French high-speed rail system within the framework of a highly centralized network: A substitute for the domestic air transport market? ERSA annual conference, NECTAR special session on HSR, Jönköping.

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.