Contested overruns and performance of offshore wind power plants

References

• Adams, R. (2009) First German offshore wind farm now operational—1 year late and $85 million over budget, available at http://theenergycollective.com (accessed 3 May 2012).
   Google Scholar
• Atkinson , R. 1999 . Project management: cost, time and quality, two best guesses and a phenomenon, it’s time to accept other success criteria . International Journal of Project Management , 17 ( 6 ) : 337 – 342 .
   Google Scholar
• BERR . 2005 . Annual Reports: Offshore Wind Capital Grants Scheme , London : Department for Business Enterprise and Regulatory Reform (BERR) .
   Google Scholar
• BERR . 2006 . Annual Reports: Offshore Wind Capital Grants Scheme , London : Department for Business Enterprise and Regulatory Reform (BERR) .
   Google Scholar
• BERR . 2007a . Barrow Offshore Wind Farm: 1st Annual Report , London : Department for Business Enterprise and Regulatory Reform (BERR) .
   Google Scholar
• BERR . 2007 . Kentish Flats Offshore Wind Farm: 2nd Annual Report , London : Department for Business Enterprise and Regulatory Reform (BERR) .
   Google Scholar
• BERR . 2007c . Annual Reports: Offshore Wind Capital Grants Scheme , London : Department for Business Enterprise and Regulatory Reform (BERR) .
   Google Scholar
• BEV (2007) Budgetafvigelser på kulturbyggerier i Danmark [Budget divergencies for cultural construction in Denmark], Byggeriets Evalueringscenter (BEV), Copenhagen.
   Google Scholar
• Bryman , A. and Bell , E. 2007 . Business Research Methods , 2nd edn , Oxford : Oxford University Press .
   Google Scholar
• BTM (2010) World Market Update 2010, BTM Consulting, available at http://www.btm.dk (accessed 23 March 2011).
   Google Scholar
• BWEA . 2008 . Annual Review 2008 , London : British Wind Energy Association .
   Google Scholar
• Davies , A. and Hobday , M. 2005 . The Business of Projects: Managing Innovation in Complex Products and Systems , Cambridge : Cambridge University Press .
   Google Scholar
• de Bruijn, H. and Leijten, M. (2008) Megaprojects and contested information, in Priemus, H., Flyvbjerg, B. and van Wee, B. (eds) Decision-Making on Mega-Projects: Cost–Benefit Analysis, Planning and Innovation, Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, pp. 84–101.
   Google Scholar
• DEA (2011) Register of Wind Turbines, Danish Energy Agency, available at www.ens.dk (accessed 3 May 2012).
   Google Scholar
• Deloitte . 2011 . Analysis on the Furthering of Competition in Relation to the Establishment of Large Off-shore Wind Farms in Denmark , Copenhagen : Deloitte and Garrad Hassan .
   Google Scholar
• Feng , Y. , Tavner , P.J. and Long , H. 2010 . Early experiences with UK Round 1 offshore wind farms . Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers: Energy , 163 ( 4 ) : 167 – 181 .
   Google Scholar
• Flyvbjerg , B. 2006 . From Nobel Prize to project management . Project Management Journal , 37 ( 3 ) : 5 – 15 .
   Google Scholar
• Flyvbjerg , B. 2008 . Curbing optimism bias and strategic misrepresentation in planning: reference class forecasting in practice . European Planning Studies , 16 ( 1 ) : 3 – 21 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Flyvbjerg , B. 2009 . Survival of the unfittest: why the worst infrastructure gets built—and what we can do about it . Oxford Review of Economic Policy , 25 ( 3 ) : 344 – 367 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Flyvbjerg , B. 2011 . “ Over budget, over time, over and over again––managing major projects ” . In The Oxford Handbook of Project Management , Edited by: Morris , P. , Pinto , J. and Söderlund , J. 321 – 344 . Oxford : Oxford University Press .
   Google Scholar
• Flyvbjerg , B. and Cowi . 2004 . Procedures for Dealing with Optimism Bias in Transport Planning , London : The British Department for Transport .
   Google Scholar
• Flyvbjerg , B. , Holm , M.S. and Buhl , S. 2002 . Understanding costs in public works projects: error or lie? . American Planning Association , 68 ( 3 ) : 279 – 295 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Flyvbjerg , B. , Bruzelius , N. and Rothengatter , W. 2003 . Megaprojects and Risk: An Anatomy of Ambition , Cambridge : Cambridge University Press .
   Google Scholar
• Gerdes , G. , Tiedemann , A. and Zeelenberg , S. 2005 . Case Study: European Offshore Wind Farms—A Survey for the Analysis of the Experiences and Lessons Learnt by Developers of Offshore Wind Farms , Deutsche WindGuard GmbH, Deutsche Energie-Agentur GmbH, University of Groningen .
   Google Scholar
• Haughton , J. , Glassman , S. and Head , M. 2008 . Free But Still Costly: The Costs and Benefits of Offshore Wind Power in Massachusetts , Boston : Beacon Hill Institute at Suffolk University .
   Google Scholar
• Hughes , T.P. 1983 . Networks of Power: Electrification in Western Society, 1880–1930 , Baltimore , MD : John Hopkins University Press .
   Google Scholar
• IEA . 2005 . Offshore Wind Experiences , Paris : IEA Publications .
   Google Scholar
• Kahneman , D. 1994 . New challenges to the rationality assumption . Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics , 150 : 18 – 36 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Kahneman , D. and Tversky , A. 1979 . Prospect theory: an analysis of decisions under risk . Econometrica , 47 : 313 – 327 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Kaming , P.F. , Olomolaiye , P.O. , Holt , G.D. and Harris , F.C. 1997 . Factors influencing construction time and cost overruns on high-rise projects in Indonesia . Construction Management and Economics , 15 ( 1 ) : 83 – 94 .
   Google Scholar
• Koch, C. and Søndergaard, J. (2010) Don Quichotte reborn? Managing offshore wind turbine projects, in Kocaoglu, D.F., Anderson, T.R. and Daim, T.U. (eds) Proceedings Portland International Conference for Management of Engineering and Technology. PICMET’10. pp. 1562–1570.
   Google Scholar
• Latour , B. 1987 . Science in Action: How to Follow Scientists and Engineers through Society , Cambridge , MA : Harvard University Press .
   Google Scholar
• Latour , B. 2005 . Reassembling the Social: An Introduction to Actor-Network Theory , Oxford : Oxford University Press .
   Google Scholar
• Levitt , A.C. , Kempton , W. , Smith , A.P. , Musial , W. and Firestone , J. 2011 . Pricing offshore wind power . Energy Policy , 39 ( 10 ) : 6408 – 6421 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Liu , L. and Napier , Z. 2010 . The accuracy of risk-based cost estimation for water infrastructure projects: preliminary evidence from Australian projects . Construction Management and Economics , 28 ( 1 ) : 89 – 100 .
   Google Scholar
• Love , P.E.D. 2011 . ‘Plugging the gaps’ between optimum bias and strategic misrepresentation and infrastructure cost overruns . Procedia Engineering , 14 : 1197 – 1204 .
   Google Scholar
• Miller , R. and Hobbs , B. 2005 . Governance regimes for large complex projects . Project Management Journal , 36 ( 3 ) : 42 – 50 .
   Google Scholar
• Miller, R. and Lessard, D.R. (2008) Evolving strategy: risk management and the shaping of mega-projects, in Priemus, H., Flyvbjerg, B. and van Wee, B. (eds) Decision-Making on Mega-Projects: Cost–Benefit Analysis, Planning and Innovation, Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, Chapter 8.
   Google Scholar
• Morthorst, P.E. (2008) Offshore Wind Power: Status and Perspectives, London, available at http://www.futures-e.org/WS%20London/Offshore%20wind-status%20and%20expectations%20(Morthorst,%20Riso%20-%20London%2025-04-2008).pdf (accessed 21 January 2010).
   Google Scholar
• Odeck , J. 2004 . Cost overruns in road construction—what are their sizes and determinants? . Transport Policy , 11 ( 1 ) : 43 – 53 .
   Google Scholar
• Olawale , Y.A. and Sun , M. 2010 . Cost and time control of construction projects: inhibiting factors and mitigating measures in practice . Construction Management and Economics , 28 ( 5 ) : 509 – 526 .
   Google Scholar
• ONS (2011) Construction Statistics Annual 2011, Annual 2011, available at http://www.statistics.gov.uk (accessed 30 November 2011).
   Google Scholar
• Piller, F.T. and Tseng, M.M. (eds) (2010) Handbook of Research in Mass Customization and Personalization, World Scientific Publishing, Singapore.
   Google Scholar
• Priemus , H. , Flyvbjerg , B. and van Wee , B. 2008 . Decision-Making on Mega-Projects: Cost–Benefit Analysis , Edward Elgar, Cheltenham : Planning and Innovation .
   Google Scholar
• Reichelt , K. and Lyneis , J. 1999 . The dynamics of project performance: benchmarking the drivers of cost and schedule overrun . European Management Journal , 17 ( 2 ) : 135 – 150 .
   Google Scholar
• Smith A. (2011) Capacity factors at Danish offshore wind farms. Energy Numbers. http://www.energynumbers.info/capacity-factors-at-danish-offshore-wind-farms (accessed 11 august 2011).
   Google Scholar
• Snyder , B. and Kaiser , M.J. 2009 . A comparison of offshore wind power development in Europe and the US: patterns and drivers of development . Applied Energy , 86 ( 10 ) : 1845 – 1856 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• STV (2011) Delay in Edinburgh trams decision could cost £400,000, available at http://local.stv.tv/edinburgh/news (accessed 14 November 2011).
   Google Scholar
• Vanston , J.H. and Vanston , L.K. 2004 . Testing the tea leaves: evaluating the validity of forecasts . Research-Technology Management , 47 ( 5 ) : 33 – 39 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Zhixin , W. , Chuanwen , J. , Qian , A. and Chengmin , W. 2009 . The key technology of offshore wind farms and its new development in China . Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews , 13 ( 1 ) : 216 – 222 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar