References
- Akintoye , A. S. and Skitmore , R. M. 1993 . Macro models of UK construction prices . Civil Engineering Systems , 10 ( 4 ) : 279 – 299 .
- BCIS (1974–1990) Statistics and Economic Indicators.
- BCIS (1987) BCIS - a policy statement, BCIS News.
- Bowerman , B. L. and O'Connel , R. T. 1987 . Time Series Forecasting , Boston : Duxbury Press .
- Dhrymes , P. J. , Howrey , E. P. , Hyams , S. H. , Kmenta , J. , Leamer , E. E. , Quandt , R. E. , Ramsey , H. T. , Shapiro , H. T. and Zarnowitz , V. 1972 . Criteria for evaluation of econometric models . Annals of Economics and Social Measurement , 1 ( 3 ) : 291 – 324 .
- Evans , M. K. , Haitovsky , Y. and Treyz , G. I. 1972 . “ An analysis of the forecasting properties of U.S. economic models ” . In Econometric Models of Cyclical Behaviour , Edited by: Hickman , B. G. 949 – 1139 . National Bureau of Economic Research, Studies in Income and Wealth . No. 36
- Fellows, R. F. (1988) Escalation management, PhD thesis, Department of Construction Management, University of Reading.
- Haitovsky , Y. and Treyz , G. I. 1972 . Forecasts with quarterly macroeconomic models, equation adjustments and bench-mark predictions: The U.S. experience . Review of Economics and Statistics , 54 : 317 – 325 .
- Holden , K. and Peel , D. A. 1988 . A comparison of some inflation growth and unemployment forecast . Journal of Economic Studies , 15 ( 5 ) : 45 – 52 .
- Kahneman , D. and Tversky , A. 1982 . “ Intuitive prediction: biases and corrective procedures ” . In Judgement Under Uncertainity: Heuristics and Biases , Edited by: Kahneman , D. , Slovic , A. and Tversky , A. 414 – 421 . New York : Cambridge University Press .
- Kane , E. J. 1968 . Economic Statistics and Econometrics: An Introduction to Quantitative Economics , London : Harper and Row .
- Lucas , R. E. Jr . 1976 . “ Economic policy evaluation, a critique ” . In The Phillips Curve and Labour Markets , Edited by: Brunner , K. and Meltzler , A. H. 1 Carnegie-Rochester Conference on Public Policy .
- McCaffer , R. , McCaffrey , M. J. and Thorpe , A. 1983 . The disparity between construction cost and tender price movements . Construction Papers , 2 ( 2 ) : 17 – 27 .
- McNees , S. K. 1985 . Which forecast should you use? . New England Economic Review , July/August : 36 – 42 .
- McNees , S. K. 1986 . Estimating GNP: the trade-off between timeliness and accuracy . New England Economic Review , January/February : 3 – 10 .
- McNees , S. K. 1989 . Why do forecasts differ . New England Economic Review , January/February : 42 – 54 .
- McNees , S. K. 1990 . Man vs models? The role of judgement in forecasting . New England Economic Review , July/August : 41 – 52 .
- McNees , S. K. and Ries , J. 1983 . The track record of macroeconomic forecasts . New England Economic Review , November/December : 5 – 18 .
- Makridakis , S. 1984 . “ Forecasting: state of the art ” . In The Forecasting Accuracy of Major Time Series Methods , Edited by: Makridakis , S. 1 – 17 . New York : John Wiley .
- Makridakis , S. and Hibon , M. 1984 . “ Accuracy of forecasting: an empirical investigation ” . In The Forecasting Accuracy of Major Time Series Methods , Edited by: Makridakis , S. 35 – 59 . New York : John Wiley .
- Neal , F. and Shone , R. 1976 . Economic Model Building , London : Macmillan .
- O'Donovan , T. M. 1983 . Short Term Forecasting: An Introduction to the Box-Jenkins Approach , 5 – 7 . New York : John Wiley .
- Pindyck , R. S. and Rubinfeld , D. L. 1976 . Econometric Models and Economic Forecasts , New York : McGraw-Hill .
- Sim , C. A. 1980 . Macroeconomics and reality . Econometrica , 48 : 1 – 48 .
- Skitmore , M. , Stradling , S. , Tuohy , A. and Mkwenzalamba , H. 1990 . Accuracy of Construction Price Forecasts , Salford : The University of Salford .
- Theil . 1966 . Applied Economic Forecasting , Amsterdam : North Holland Publishing Company .
- Trehan , B. 1989 . Forecasting growth in current quarter real GNP . Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco , Winter : 39 – 51 .
- Zarnowitz , V. 1979 . An analysis of annual and multiperiod quarterly forecast of aggregate income, output and price level . Journal of Business , 52 ( 1 ) : 24 – 38 .