2,610
Views
51
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Articles

Predicting student success by modeling student interaction in asynchronous online courses

, &
Pages 59-69 | Received 27 Sep 2016, Accepted 21 Jan 2017, Published online: 02 Apr 2017

References

  • Abdous, M. H., He, W., & Yen, C. J. (2012). Using data mining for predicting relationships between online question theme and final grade. Journal of Educational Technology & Society, 15, 77–88. Retrieved from http://www.ifets.info/index.php
  • Allen, I. E., & Seaman, J. (2013). Changing course: Ten years of tracking online education in the United States. Babson Park, MA: Babson Survey Research Group and Quahog Research Group. Retrieved from http://www.onlinelearningsurvey.com/reports/changingcourse.pdf
  • Angelino, L. M., Williams, F. K., & Natvig, D. (2007). Strategies to engage online students and reduce attrition rates. Journal of Educators Online, 4. Retrieved from http://www.thejeo.com/
  • Bernard, R. M., Abrami, P. C., Borokhovski, E., Wade, C. A., Tamim, R. M., Surkes, M. A., & Bethel, E. C. (2009). A meta-analysis of three types of interaction treatments in distance education. Review of Educational Research, 79, 1243–1289. doi:10.3102/0034654309333844
  • Bolliger, D. U., & Inan, F. A. (2012). Development and validation of the online student connectedness survey (OSCS). The International Review of Research in Open and Distributed Learning, 13, 41–65. doi:10.19173/irrodl.v13i3.1171
  • Bos, N., & Shami, N. S. (2006). Adapting a face-to-face role-playing simulation for online play. Educational Technology Research and Development, 54, 493–521. doi:10.1007/s11423-006-0130-z
  • Boston, W., Díaz, S. R., Gibson, A. M., Ice, P., Richardson, J., & Swan, K. (2009). An exploration of the relationship between indicators of the community of inquiry framework and retention in online programs. Journal of Asynchronous Learning Networks, 14, 3–19. Retrieved from https://onlinelearningconsortium.org/read/online-learning-journal/
  • Boston, W. E., Ice, P., & Gibson, A. M. (2011). Comprehensive assessment of student retention in online learning environments. Online Journal of Distance Learning Administration, 14. Retrieved from http://www.westga.edu/~distance/ojdla/
  • Boyle, F., Kwon, J., Ross, C., & Simpson, O. (2010). Student–student mentoring for retention and engagement in distance education. Open Learning: The Journal of Open and Distance Learning, 25, 115–130. doi:10.1080/02680511003787370
  • Caspi, A., & Blau, I. (2008). Social presence in online discussion groups: Testing three conceptions and their relations to perceived learning. Social Psychology of Education, 11, 323–346. doi:10.1007/s11218-008-9054-2
  • Cerezo, R., Sánchez-Santillán, M., Paule-Ruiz, M. P., & Núñez, J. C. (2016). Students’ LMS interaction patterns and their relationship with achievement: A case study in higher education. Computers & Education, 96, 42–54. doi:10.1016/j.compedu.2016.02.006
  • Dennen, V. P. (2005). From message posting to learning dialogues: Factors affecting learner participation in asynchronous discussion. Distance Education, 26, 127–148. doi:10.1080/01587910500081376
  • Dennen, V. P. (2007). Presence and positioning as components of online instructor persona. Journal of Research on Technology in Education, 40, 95–108. doi:10.1080/15391523.2007.10782499
  • Dennen, V. P. (2011). Facilitator presence and identity in online discourse: use of positioning theory as an analytic framework. Instructional Science, 39, 527–541. doi:10.1007/s11251-010-9139-0
  • Dennen, V. P., Darabi, A., & Smith, L. J. (2007). Instructor–learner interaction in online courses: The relative perceived importance of particular instructor actions on performance and satisfaction. Distance Education, 28, 65–79. doi:10.1080/01587910701305319
  • Dietz-Uhler, B. & Hurn, J. E. (2013). Using learning analytics to predict (and improve) student success: A faculty perspective. Journal of Interactive Online Learning, 12, 17–26. Retrieved from http://www.ncolr.org/
  • Dunlap, J. C., & Lowenthal, P. R. (2010). December 15). Defeating the Kobayashi Maru: Supporting student retention by balancing the needs of the many and the one. EDUCAUSE Quarterly, 33, 5–8. Retrieved from http://er.educause.edu/articles/2010/12/defeating-the-kobayashi-maru-supporting-student-retention-by-balancing-the-needs-of-the-many-and-the-one
  • Dunlap, J. C., & Lowenthal, P. R. (2014). The power of presence: Our quest for the right mix of social presence in online courses. In A. A. Piña & A. P. Mizell (Eds.), Real life distance education: Case studies in practice (pp. 41–66). Greenwich, CT: Information Age.
  • Ginder, S., & Stearns, C. (2014). Enrollment in distance education courses, by state: Fall 2012. Washington, DC: National Center for Education Statistics, US Department of Education. Retrieved from http://nces.ed.gov/pubs2014/2014023.pdf
  • Groom, J., & Lamb, B. (2014). Reclaiming innovation. EDUCAUSE Review, 49, 29–46. Retrieved from http://er.educause.edu/
  • Gunawardena, C. N., Lowe, C. A., & Anderson, T. (1997). Analysis of a global online debate and the development of an interaction analysis model for examining social construction of knowledge in computer conferencing. Journal of Educational Computing Research, 17, 397–431. doi:10.2190/7MQV-X9UJ-C7Q3-NRAG
  • Gunawardena, C. N., & Zittle, F. J. (1997). Social presence as a predictor of satisfaction within a computer-mediated conferencing environment. American Journal of Distance Education, 11, 8–26. doi:10.1080/08923649709526970
  • Hagedorn, L. S. (2005). How to define retention: A new look at an old problem. In A. Seidman & V. Tinto (Eds.), College student retention (pp. 89–106). Westport, CT: Praeger.
  • Herbert, M. (2006). Staying the course: A study in online student satisfaction and retention. Online Journal of Distance Learning Administration, 9, 300–317. Retrieved from http://www.westga.edu/~distance/ojdla/
  • Heyman, E. (2010). Overcoming student retention issues in higher education online programs. Online Journal of Distance Learning Administration, 13. Retrieved from https://www.westga.edu/~distance/ojdla/
  • Hill, C. (2006). Eleven tips for improving retention of distance learning students. Distance Education Report, 10(16), 1. Retrieved from http://www.magnapubs.com/newsletter/distance-education-report/
  • Hostetter, C., & Busch, M. (2006). Measuring up online: The relationship between social presence and student learning satisfaction. Journal of Scholarship of Teaching and Learning, 6(2), 1–12. Retrieved from http://josotl.indiana.edu/index
  • Hung, J. L., & Crooks, S. M. (2009). Examining online learning patterns with data mining techniques in peer-moderated and teacher-moderated courses. Journal of Educational Computing Research, 40, 183–210. doi:10.2190/EC.40.2.c
  • Hung, J. L., Hsu, Y. C., & Rice, K. (2012). Integrating data mining in program evaluation of k-12 online education. Journal of Educational Technology & Society, 15, 27–41. Retrieved from http://www.ifets.info/index.php
  • Hung, J. L., Rice, K., & Saba, A. (2012). An educational data mining model for online teaching and learning. Journal of Educational Technology Development and Exchange, 5, 77–94. Retrieved from http://jetde.theti.org:85/ojs/index.php/jetde/index
  • Joksimović, S., Gašević, D., Kovanović, V., Riecke, B. E., & Hatala, M. (2015). Social presence in online discussions as a process predictor of academic performance. Journal of Computer Assisted Learning, 31, 638–654.10.1111/jcal.12107
  • Kang, M., & Im, T. (2013). Factors of learner–instructor interaction which predict perceived learning outcomes in online learning environment. Journal of Computer Assisted Learning, 29, 292–301. doi:10.1111/jcal.12005
  • Kanuka, H., & Jugdev, K. (2006). Distance education MBA students: An investigation into the use of an orientation course to address academic and social integration issues. Open Learning, 21, 153–166. doi:10.1080/02680510600715578
  • Lane, L. M. (2009). Insidious pedagogy: How course management systems affect teaching. First Monday, 14(10). Retrieved March 27, 2017, from http://journals.uic.edu/ojs/index.php/fm/article/view/2530
  • Liu, S. Y., Gomez, J., & Yen, C.-J. (2009). Community college online course retention and final grade: Predictability of social presence. Journal of Interactive Online Learning, 8, 165–182. Retrieved form http://www.ncolr.org/
  • Lowenthal, P. R., & Thomas, D. (2010, September 22). Death to the digital dropbox: Rethinking student privacy and public performance. EDUCAUSE Quarterly, 33. Retrieved from http://er.educause.edu/articles/2010/9/death-to-the-digital-dropbox-rethinking-student-privacy-and-public-performance
  • Ludwig-Hardman, S., & Dunlap, J. C. (2003). Learning support services for online students: Scaffolding for success. International Review of Research in Open and Distance Learning, 4. Retrieved from http://www.irrodl.org/index.php/irrodl
  • Lynch, M. M. (2001, November/December). Effective student preparation for online learning. The Technology Source, 7, 5–9. Retrieved from http://www.technologysource.org/article/effective_student_preparation_for_online_learning/
  • Macfadyen, L. P., & Dawson, S. (2010). Mining LMS data to develop an “early warning system” for educators: A proof of concept. Computers & Education, 54, 588–599. doi:10.1016/j.compedu.2009.09.008
  • Moore, M. G. (1989). Editorial: Three types of interaction. American Journal of Distance Education, 3(2), 1–7. doi:10.1080/08923648909526659
  • Oztok, M., & Brett, C. (2011). Social presence and online learning: A review of research. International Journal of E-Learning & Distance Education, 25. Retrieved from http://www.ijede.ca/index.php/jde/index
  • Patterson, B., & McFadden, C. (2009). Attrition in online and campus degree programs. Online Journal of Distance Learning Administration, 12. Retrieved from http://www.westga.edu/~distance/ojdla/
  • Picciano, A. G. (2002). Beyond student perceptions: Issues of interaction, presence, and performance in an online course. Journal of Asynchronous Learning Networks, 6, 21–40. Retrieved from https://olj.onlinelearningconsortium.org/index.php/olj/index
  • Reio, T. G., & Crim, S. J. (2013). Social presence and student satisfaction as predictors of online enrollment intent. American Journal of Distance Education, 27, 122–133. doi:10.1080/08923647.2013.775801
  • Richardson, J. C., & Swan, K. (2003). Examining social presence in online courses in relation to students’ perceived learning and satisfaction. Journal of Asynchronous Learning Networks, 7, 68–88. Retrieved from https://onlinelearningconsortium.org/read/online-learning-journal/
  • Rourke, L., Anderson, T., Garrison, D. R., & Archer, W. (1999). Assessing social presence in asynchronous text-based computer conferencing. International Journal of E-Learning & Distance Education, 14, 50–71. Retrieved from http://www.ijede.ca/index.php/jde/index
  • Rovai, A. P. (2002a). Development of an instrument to measure classroom community. The Internet and Higher Education, 5, 197–211.10.1016/S1096-7516(02)00102-1
  • Rovai, A. P. (2002b). Sense of community, perceived cognitive learning, and persistence in asynchronous learning networks. The Internet and Higher Education, 5, 319–332.10.1016/S1096-7516(02)00130-6
  • Shea, P., & Bidjerano, T. (2008). Measures of quality in online education: An investigation of the community of inquiry model and the net generation. Journal of Educational Computing Research, 39, 339–361. doi:10.2190/EC.39.4.b
  • Shelton, B. E., Hung, J., & Baughman, S. (2015). Online graduate teacher education: Establishing an EKG for student success intervention. Technology, Knowledge and Learning, 21, 21–32. doi:10.1007/s10758-015-9254-8
  • Short, J., Williams, E., & Christie, B. (1976). The social psychology of telecommunications. London: Wiley.
  • Simpson, O. (2004). The impact on retention of interventions to support distance learning students. Open Learning, 19, 79–95. doi:10.1080/0268051042000177863
  • Swan, K. (2002). Building learning communities in online courses: The importance of interaction. Education, Communication & Information, 2, 23–49. doi:10.1080/1463631022000005016
  • Swan, K., & Shih, L. F. (2005). On the nature and development of social presence in online course discussions. Journal of Asynchronous Learning Networks, 9, 115–136. Retrieved from https://onlinelearningconsortium.org/read/online-learning-journal/
  • Tung, L. C. (2012). Proactive intervention strategies for improving online student retention in a Malaysian distance education institution. Journal of Online Learning and Teaching, 8, 312–323. Retrieved from http://jolt.merlot.org/index.html
  • Wagner, E. D. (1994). In support of a functional definition of interaction. American Journal of Distance Education, 8, 6–29. doi:10.1080/08923649409526852
  • Whiteside, A. L. (2015). Introducing the social presence model to explore online and blended learning experiences. Online Learning Journal, 19. Retrieved from https://olj.onlinelearningconsortium.org/index.php/olj/
  • Whiteside, A. L., Garrett Dikkers, A., & Lewis, S. (2014, May 19). The power of social presence for learning. EDUCAUSE Review Online. Retrieved from http://er.educause.edu/
  • Willging, P. A., & Johnson, S. D. (2004). Factors that influence students’ decision to dropout of online courses. Journal of Asynchronous Learning Networks, 8, 105–118. Retrieved from https://onlinelearningconsortium.org/read/online-learning-journal
  • Wolff, A., Zdrahal, Z., Nikolov, A., & Pantucek, M. (2013, April). Improving retention: Predicting at-risk students by analysing clicking behaviour in a virtual learning environment. In D. Suthers, K. Verbert, E. Duval, & X. Ochoa (Eds.), Proceedings of the third international conference on learning analytics and knowledge (pp. 145–149). New York, NY: ACM. Retrieved from http://dl.acm.org/citation.cfm?id=246029610.1145/2460296
  • Yoder, M. B. (2005). Supporting online students: Strategies for 100% retention. In Proceedings of the 19th annual conference on distance teaching and learning. Madison, WI: The Board of Regents of the University of Wisconsin System. Retrieved from http://www.uwex.edu/disted/conference/Resource_library/proceedings/03_87.pdf
  • York, C. S., & Richardson, J. C. (2012). Interpersonal interaction in online learning: Experienced online instructors’ perceptions of influencing factors. Journal of Asynchronous Learning Networks, 16, 83–98. Retrieved from https://onlinelearningconsortium.org/read/online-learning-journal/

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.