References
- Ahmad, S. (2005). Closing the youth access gap: The projected health benefits and cost savings of a national policy to raise the legal smoking age to 21 in the United States. Health Policy (Amsterdam, Netherlands), 75(1), 74–84. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.healthpol.2005.02.004
- Ahmad, S., & Billimek, J. (2005). Estimating the health impacts of tobacco harm reduction policies: A simulation modelling approach. Risk Analysis, 25(4), 801–812. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2005.00647.x
- Anderson, J. G., & Anderson, M. M. (1998). HIV screeing and treatment of pregnant women and their newborns: A simulation-based analysis. Simulation, 71(4), 276–284. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1177/003754979807100407
- Arthritis Research UK. (2013). Osteoarthritis in general practice. https://healthinnovationnetwork.com/resources/osteoarthritis-in-general-practice-arthritis-research-uk-2013/
- Atun, R. A., Lebcir, R. M., McKee, M., Habicht, J., & Coker, R. J. (2007). Impact of joined-up HIV harm reduction and multidrug resistant tuberculosis control programmes in Estonia: System dynamics simulation model. Health Policy (Amsterdam, Netherlands), 81(2-3), 207–217. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.healthpol.2006.05.021
- Bessette, L., Risebrough, N., Mittmann, N., Roussy, J.-P., Ho, J., & Zlateva, G. (2009). Cost-utility of celecoxib use in different treatment strategies for osteoarthritis and rheumatoid arthritis from the Quebec healthcare system perspective. Journal of Medical Economics, 12(3), 246–258. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.3111/13696990903288970
- Brailsford, S. C., Lattimer, V., Tarnaras, P., & Turnbull, J. C. (2004). Emergency and on-demand health care: Modelling a large complex system. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 55(1), 34–42. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1057/palgrave.jors.2601667
- Chancellor, J. V., Hunsche, E., Cruz, E., & Sarasin, F. P. (2011). Economic evaluation of celecoxib, a new cyclo-oxygenase 2 specific inhibitor, in Switzerland. Pharmacoeconomics, 19(S1), 59–75. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.2165/00019053-200119001-00005
- Coleman, S., Briffa, N. K., Carroll, G., Inderjeeth, C., Cook, N., & McQuade, J. (2012). A randomised controlled trial of a self-management education program for osteoarthritis of the knee delivered by health care professionals. Arthritis Research & Therapy, 14(1), R21. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1186/ar3703
- Dziedzic, K. S., Healey, E. L., Porcheret, M., Afolabi, E. K., Lewis, M., Morden, A., Jinks, C., McHugh, G. A., Ryan, S., Finney, A., Main, C., Edwards, J. J., Paskins, Z., Pushpa-Rajah, A., & Hay, E. M. (2018). Implementing core NICE guidelines for osteoarthritis in primary care with a model consultation (MOSAICS): A cluster randomised controlled trial. Osteoarthritis and Cartilage, 26(1), 43–53. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joca.2017.09.010
- Fortmann-Roe, S. (2014). Insight maker: A general-purpose tool for web-based modelling & simulation. Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory, 47(1), 28–45. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.simpat.2014.03.013
- Hopman-Rock, M., & Westhoff, M. H. (2000). The effects of a health educational and exercise program for older adults with osteoarthritis for the hip or knee. The Journal of Rheumatology, 27(8), 1947–1954.
- Kamath, C. C., Kremers, H. M., Vanness, D. J., O'Fallon, W. M., Cabanela, R. L., & Gabriel, S. E. (2003). The cost-effectiveness of acetaminophen, NSAIDs, and selective cox-2 inhibitors in the treatment of symptomatic knee osteoarthritis. Value in Health : The Journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research, 6(2), 144–157. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1524-4733.2003.00215.x
- Katsaliaki, K., & Mustafee, N. (2011). Applications of simulation within the healthcare context. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 62(8), 1431–1451. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1057/jors.2010.20
- Kennedy, A., Bower, P., Reeves, D., Blakeman, T., Bowen, R., Chew-Graham, C., Eden, M., Fullwood, C., Gaffney, H., Gardner, C., Lee, V., Morris, R., Protheroe, J., Richardson, G., Sanders, C., Swallow, A., Thompson, D., & Rogers, A., Salford National Institute for Health Research Gastrointestinal programme Grant Research Group (2013). Implementation of self management support for long term conditions in routine primary care settings: Cluster randomised controlled trial. BMJ (Clinical Research ed.).), 346, f2882. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.f2882
- Latimer, N., Lord, J., Grant, R. L., O'Mahony, R., Dickson, J., & Conaghan, P. G. (2011). Value of information in the osteoarthritis setting: Cost effectiveness of cox-2 selective inhibitors, traditional NSAIDs and proton pump inhibitors. PharmacoEconomics, 29(3), 225–237. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.2165/11584200-000000000-00000
- Maetzel, A., Krahn, M., & Naglie, G. (2003). The cost effectiveness of rofecoxib and celecoxib in patients with osteoarthritis. Arthritis and Rheumatism, 49(3), 283–292. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1002/art.11121
- Maurer, B. T., Stern, A. G., Kinossian, B., Cook, K. D., & Schumacher, H. R. Jr. (1999). Osteoarthritis of the knee: Isokinetic quadriceps exercise versus and educational intervention. Archives of Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation, 80(10), 1293–1299. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/S0003-9993(99)90032-1
- Mazzuca, S. A., Brandt, K. D., Katz, B. P., Chambers, M., Byr, D., & Hanna, M. (1997). Effects of self-care education on the health status of inner-city patients with osteoarthritis of the knee. Arthritis & Rheumatism, 40(8), 1466–1474. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1002/art.1780400815
- McAlindon, T. E., Bannuru, R. R., Sullivan, M. C., Arden, N. K., Berenbaum, F., Bierma-Zeinstra, S. M., Hawker, G. A., Henrotin, Y., Hunter, D. J., Kawaguchi, H., Kwoh, K., Lohmander, S., Rannou, F., Roos, E. M., & Underwood, M. (2014). OARSI guidelines for the non-surgical management of knee osteoarthritis. Osteoarthritis and Cartilage, 22(3), 363–388. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joca.2014.01.003
- Morilla, F., Abasolo, L., Blanco, M., Mendez, I., Jover, J. Á., & Fernández-Gutiérrez, B. (2014). Work disability related to musculoskeletal pain: A system dynamics approach. Journal of Musculoskeletal Pain, 22(1), 51–11. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.3109/10582452.2014.883007
- National Records of Scotland. (2012). Projected population by Council and NHS Board area (2012-based). https://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/population/population-projections/sub-national-population-projections/2012-based.
- National Records of Scotland. (2014). Population Projections for Scottish Areas (2014-based). https://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/news/2016/population-projections-for-scottish-areas.
- Sterman, J. D. (2000). Business dynamics: Systems thinking and modelling for a complex world. The McGraw-Hill.
- Tako, A. A., Kotiadis, K., Vasilakis, C., Miras, A., & Le Roux, C. W. (2014). Improving patient waiting times: a simulation study of an obesity care service. BMJ Quality & Safety, 23(5), 373–381. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjqs-2013-002107
- Tengs, T., Ahmad, S., Moore, R., & Gage, E. (2004). Federal policy mandating safer cigarettes: A hypothetical simulation of the anticipated population health gains or losses. J Policy Anal Manage], 23(4), 857–872. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1002/pam.20051
- Vanderby, S. A., Carter, M. W., Noseworthy, T., & Marshall, D. A. (2015). Modelling the complete continuum of care using system dynamics: The case of osteoarthritis in Alberta. Journal of Simulation, 9(2), 156–114. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1057/jos.2014.43
- Wang, L., Lee, M., Zhang, Z., Moodie, J., Cheng, D., & Martin, J. (2016). Does preoperative rehabilitation for patients planning to undergo joint replacement surgery improve outcomes? A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials. BMJ Open, 6(2), e009857. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2015-009857