REFERENCES

• Alansi , A.W. 2009 . Validation of SWAT model for stream flow simulation and forecasting in Upper Bernam humid tropical river basin. Malaysia . Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussion , 6 : 7581 – 7609 .
   Google Scholar
• Allen , L.H. , Valle , R.R. , Jones , J.W. and Jones , P.H. 1998 . Soybean leaf water potential responses to carbon dioxide and drought . Agronomy Journal , 90 : 375 – 383 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Allen , R.G. , Gichuki , F.N. and Rosenzweig , C. 1991 . CO2 induced climatic changes and irrigation water requirements . Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management , 117 ( 2 ) : 157 – 178 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Arnell , N.W. 2001 . “ Hydrology and Water Resources ” . In Climate change 2001: Impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability , Edited by: McCarthy , J. J. 191 – 233 . Cambridge : Cambridge University Press . Chapter 4
   Google Scholar
• Arnell , N.W. 2003 . Socio-economic scenarios for climate change impacts assessments: characterising the SRES storylines . Global Environmental Change , 14 : 3 – 20 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Arnold , J.G. , Srinivasan , R. , Muttiah , R.S. and Williams , J.R. 1998 . Large area hydrologic modeling and assessment, Part I: model development . Journal of the American Water Resources Association , 34 ( 1 ) : 73 – 89 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Bondeau , A. 2007 . Modelling the role of agriculture for the 20th century global terrestrial carbon balance . Global Change Biology , 13 : 679 – 706 . doi: doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01305.x
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Buytaert, W., et al., 2010. Uncertainties in climate change projections and regional downscaling: implications for water resources management. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 7, 1821–1848.. http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci-discuss.net/7/1821/2010 (http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci-discuss.net/7/1821/2010)
   Google Scholar
• Cao , W. , Bowden , B.W. and Davie , T. 2006 . Multi-variable and multi-site calibration and validation of SWAT in a large mountainous catchment with high spatial variability . Hydrological Processes , 20 : 1057 – 1073 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Challinor , A.J. , Wheeler , T.R. and Osborne , T.M. 2006 . “ Assessing the vulnerability of crop productivity to climate change thresholds using an integrated crop-climate model ” . In Avoiding dangerous climate change , Edited by: Schellnhuber , H.J. , Cramer , W. and Nakicenovic , N. Cambridge : Cambridge University Press .
   Google Scholar
• Christensen , J. , Boberg , F. , Christensen , O. and Lucas-Picher , P. 2008 . On the need for bias correction of regional climate change projections of temperature and precipitation . Geophysical Research Letters , 35 : L20709 doi: doi:10.1029/2008GL035694
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Chu , T.W. and Shirmohammadi , A. 2004 . Evaluation of the SWAT model's hydrology component in the piedmont physiographic region of Maryland . Transactions of the American Society of Agricultural Engineers , 47 ( 4 ) : 1057 – 1073 .
   Google Scholar
• Cibin , R. , Sudheer , K.P. and Chaubey , I. 2010 . Sensitivity and identifiability of stream flow generation parameters of the SWAT model . Hydrological Processes , doi: doi:10.1002/hyp.7568
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Cramer , W. , Bondeau , A. and Woodward , F.I. 2001 . Global response of terrestrial ecosystem structure and function to CO2 and climate change: results from six dynamic global vegetation models . Global Change Biology , 7 : 357 – 373 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• de Wit , M. , van den Hurk , B. , Warmerdam , P. , Torfs , P. , Roulin , E. and van Deursen , W. 2007 . Impact of climate change on low-flows in the River Meuse . Climatic Change , 82 : 351 – 372 . doi: doi:10.1007/s10584-006-9195-2
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Easterling , W.E. 1992 . Preparing the Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator (EPIC) model to simulate crop response to climate change and the direct effects of CO2 . Agricultural and Forest Meteorology , 59 ( 1–2 ) : 17 – 34 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Frei , C. , Christensen , J.H. , Déqué , M. , Jacob , D. , Jones , R.G. and Vidale , P.L. 2003 . Daily precipitation statistics in regional climate models: evaluation and intercomparison for the European Alps . Journal of Geophysical Research , 108 ( D3 ) : 4124 doi: doi:10.1029/2002JD002287
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Gassman , P.W. , Reyes , M. , Green , C.H. and Arnold , J.G. 2007 . The Soil and Water Assessment Tool: Historical Development, Applications, and Future Directions. Iowa State University: Center for Agricultural and Rural Development . CARD Working Paper 07-WP 443 ,
   Google Scholar
• Ghosh , S. and Mujumdar , P.P. 2008 . Statistical downscaling of GCM simulations to streamflow using relevance vector machine . Advances in Water Resources , 31 : 132 – 146 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Gosain , A.K. , Rao , S. and Basuray , D. 2006 . Climate change impact assessment on hydrology of Indian river basins . Current Science , 90 ( 3 ) : 346 – 353 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Graham , R.L. , Turner , M.G and Dale , V.H. 1990 . How increasing CO, and climate change affect forests . BioScience , 40 ( 8 ) : 575 – 587 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hargreaves , G.L. , Hargreaves , G.H. and Riley , J.P. 1985 . Agricultural benefits for Senegal River Basin . Journal of Irrigation and Drainage Engineering , 111 ( 2 ) : 113 – 124 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hattermann , F.F. 2007 . Impacts of global change on water-related sectors and society in a trans-boundary central European river basin—Part 1: project framework and impacts on agriculture . Advances in Geosciences , 11 : 85 – 92 .
   Google Scholar
• Hay , L.E. 2002 . Use of regional climate model output for hydrologic simulations . Journal of Hydrometeorology , 3 : 571 – 590 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Heuvelmans , G. , Muys , B. and Feyen , J. 2004 . Evaluation of hydrological model parameter transferability for simulating the impact of land use on catchment hydrology . Physics and Chemistry of the Earth , 29 : 739 – 747 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Houghton , R.A. 2003 . Revised estimates of the annual net flux of carbon to the atmosphere from changes in land use and land management 1850–2000 . Tellus Ser. B, Chemical and Physical Meteorology , 55 : 378 – 390 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change), 2007. Climate change 2007: The physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. http://ipcc-wg1.ucar.edu/wg1/wg1-report.html (http://ipcc-wg1.ucar.edu/wg1/wg1-report.html)
   Google Scholar
• Jacob , D. 2001 . A note to the simulation of the annual and inter-annual variability of the water budget over the Baltic Sea drainage basin . Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics , 77 : 61 – 73 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Jones , R.G. 2004 . Generating high resolution climate change scenarios using PRECIS , Exeter : Met Office Hadley Centre .
   Google Scholar
• Kamga , F.M. 2001 . Impact of greenhouse gas induced climate change on the runoff of the upper Benue River (Cameroon) . Journal of Hydrology , 252 : 145 – 156 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• KAU (Kerala Agricultural University) . 2002 . Package of practice recommendations: crops , 12th , Edited by: Jose , A.I. Mannuthy, Trichur, Kerala, , India : Kerala Agricultural University, Directorate of Extension .
   Google Scholar
• Keshta , N. , Elshorbagy , A. and Carey , S. 2009 . A generic system dynamics model for simulating and evaluating the hydrological performance of reconstructed watersheds . Hydrology and Earth System Sciences , 13 : 865 – 881 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Kleinn , J. 2005 . Hydrologic simulations in the Rhine basin driven by a regional climate model . Journal of Geophysical Research , 110 : D04102 doi: doi:10.1029/2004JD005143
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Kundzewicz , Z.W. 2008 . The implications of projected climate change for freshwater resources and their management . Hydrological Sciences Journal , 53 ( 1 ) : 3 – 10 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Leander , R. and Buishand , T. 2007 . Resampling of regional climate model output for the simulation of extreme river flows . Journal of Hydrology , 332 : 487 – 496 . doi: doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2006.08.006
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Legesse , D. , Vallet-Coulomb , C. and Gasse , F. 2003 . Hydrological response of a catchment to climate and land use changes in tropical Africa: case study South Central Ethiopia . Journal of Hydrology , 275 : 67 – 85 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Linsley , R.K. 1960 . “ Computation of a synthetic streamflow record on a digital computer ” . In Surface water, Proceedings of the Helsinki Symposium, 1960 , Vol. 51 , 526 – 538 . Wallingford : IAHS Press, IAHS Publ .
   Google Scholar
• Marengo , J.A. , Jones , R. , Alves , L.M. and Valverde , M.C. 2009 . Future change of temperature and precipitation extremes in South America as derived from the PRECIS regional climate modeling system . International Journal of Climatology , 29 : 2241 – 2255 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Maroco , J.P. , Edwards , G.E. and Ku , M.S.B. 1999 . Photosynthetic acclimation of maize to growth under elevated levels of carbon dioxide . Planta , 210 : 115 – 125 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Maurer , E.P. and Duffy , P.B. 2005 . Uncertainty in projections of streamflow changes due to climate change in California . Geophysical Research Letters , 32 ( 3 ) : L03704 doi: doi:10.1029/2004GL021462
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• McCabe , G.J. and Wolock , D.M. 1992 . Sensitivity of irrigation demand in a humid-temperate region to hypothetical climatic change . Water Resources Bulletin , 28 ( 3 ) : 535 – 543 .
   Google Scholar
• Messager , C. 2006 . Influence of observed and RCM-simulated precipitation on the water discharge over the Sirba basin, Burkina Faso, Niger . Climate Dynamics , 27 ( 2–3 ) : 199 – 214 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Middelkoop , H. 2001 . Impact of climate change on hydrological regimes and water resources management in the Rhine Basin . Climatic Change , 49 : 105 – 128 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Mileham , L.J. , Taylor , R.G. , Thompson , J. , Todd , M. and Tindimugaya , C. 2008 . Impact of rainfall distribution on the parameterisation of a soil-moisture balance model of groundwater recharge in equatorial Africa . Journal of Hydrology , 359 : 46 – 58 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Mileham , L. , Richard , G.T. , Todd , M. , Tindimugaya , C. and Thompson , J. 2009 . The impact of climate change on groundwater recharge and runoff in a humid, equatorial catchment: sensitivity of projections to rainfall intensity . Hydrological Sciences Journal , 54 ( 4 ) : 727 – 738 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Monteith , J.L. 1965 . “ Evaporation and the environment. The state and movement of water in living organisms ” . In 19th Symposium of the Society for Experimental Biology , 205 – 234 . Cambridge : Cambridge Univ. Press .
   Google Scholar
• Monteith , J.L. 1977 . Climate and the efficiency of crop production in Britain . Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society, London , 281 : 277 – 329 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Morison , J.I.L. and Gifford , R.M. 1983 . Stomatal sensitivity to carbon dioxide and humidity . Plant Physiology , 71 : 789 – 796 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Nakicenovic , N. 2000 . IPCC special report on emissions scenarios , Cambridge : Cambridge University Press .
   Google Scholar
• Nash , J.E. and Sutcliffe , J.V. 1970 . River flow forecasting through conceptual models: Part I. A discussion of principles . Journal of Hydrology , 10 ( 3 ) : 282 – 290 .
   Google Scholar
• Neitsch, S.L., Arnold, J.G., Kiniry, J.R. and Williams, J.R., 2001. Soil and Water Assessment Tool theoretical documentation, version 2000. Temple, TX: Blackland Research Center, Texas Agricultural Experiment Station. http://www.brc.tamus.edu/swat/swat2000doc.html (http://www.brc.tamus.edu/swat/swat2000doc.html)
   Google Scholar
• Nemec , J. and Schaake , J.S. 1982 . Sensitivity of water systems to climate variation . Hydrological Sciences Journal , 27 : 327 – 343 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Priestley , C.H.B. and Taylor , R.J. 1972 . On the assessment of surface heat flux and evaporation using large-scale parameters . Monthly Weather Review , 100 : 81 – 92 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Raisanen , J. 2004 . European climate in the late twenty-first century: Regional simulations with two driving global models and two forcing scenarios . Climate Dynamics , 22 ( 1 ) : 13 – 31 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Reilly , J. , Tubiello , F. , McCarl , B. and Melillo , J. 2001 . “ Climate change and agriculture in the United States ” . In Climate change impacts on the United States: The potential consequences of climate variability and change , Edited by: The National Assessment Synthesis Team . Cambridge : Cambridge University Press .
   Google Scholar
• Ritchie , J.T. 1972 . A model for predicting evaporation from a row crop with incomplete cover . Water Resources Research , 8 : 1204 – 1213 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Rupa Kumar , K. 2006 . High-resolution climate change scenarios for India for the 21st century . Current Science , 90 ( 3 ) : 334 – 345 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Salathe , E.P. 2005 . Downscaling simulations of future global climate with application to hydrologic modeling . International Journal of Climatology , 25 ( 4 ) : 419 – 436 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Santhi , C. 2001 . Validation of the SWAT model on a large river basin with point and nonpoint sources . Journal of the American Water Resources Associatino , 37 ( 5 ) : 1169 – 1188 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Schuol , J. and Abbaspour , K.C. 2007 . Using monthly weather statistics to generate daily data in a SWAT model application to West Africa . Ecological Modeling , 201 : 301 – 311 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Shabalova , M. , van Deursen , W. and Buishand , T. 2003 . Assessing future discharge of the River Rhine using regional climate model integrations and a hydrological model . Climate Research , 23 : 233 – 246 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Soares , W.R. and Marengo , J.A. 2009 . Assesments of moisture fluxes east of the Andes in South America in a global warming scenario . International Journal of Climatology , 29 : 1395 – 1414 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Srinivasan , R. , Ramanarayanan , T.S. , Arnold , J.G. and Bednarz , S.T. 1998 . Large area hydrologic modeling and assessment part II: model application . Journal of the American Water Resources Association , 34 ( 1 ) : 91 – 101 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Stockle , C.O. , Williams , J.R. , Rosenberg , N.J. and Jones , C.A. 1992 . A method for estimating the direct and climatic effects of rising atmospheric carbon dioxide on growth and yield of crops: Part I—Modification of the EPIC model for climate change analysis . Agricultural Systems , 38 : 225 – 238 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Thomson , A.M. , Rosenberg , N.J. , Izaurralde , R.C. and Brown , R.A. 2005 . Climate change impacts for the conterminous USA: an integrated assessment: Part 2—Models and validation . Climatic Change , 69 : 27 – 41 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Urrutia , R. and Vuille , M. 2009 . Climate change projections for the tropical Andes using a regional climate model: temperature and precipitation simulations for the end of the 21st century . Journal of Geophysical Research , 114 : D02108 doi: doi:10.1029/2008JD011021
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Van den Hurk , B. 2005 . Soil control on runoff response to climate change in regional climate model simulations . Journal of Climate , 18 ( 17 ) : 3536 – 3551 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Van Vuuren , P.D. and O'Neill , B.C. 2006 . The consistency of IPCC's SRES scenarios to recent literature and recent projections . Climatic Change , 75 : 9 – 46 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Varis , O. , Kajander , T. and Lemmelä , R. 2004 . Climate and water: from climate models to water resources management and vice versa . Climatic Change , 66 ( 3 ) : 321 – 344 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Vörösmarty , C.J. , Douglas , E.M. , Green , P.A. and Revenga , C. 2005 . Geospatial indicators of emerging water stress: an application to Africa . Ambio , 34 : 230 – 236 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Wigley , T.M. and Jones , P.D. 1985 . Influences of precipitation changes and direct CO2 effects on streamflow . Nature , 314 : 149 – 152 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Wilby , R.L. and Harris , I. 2006 . A framework for assessing uncertainties in climate change impacts: low-flow scenarios for the River Thames, UK . Water Resources Research , 42 : W02419 doi: doi:10.1029/2005WR004065
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Wollenweber , B. , Lubberstedt , T. and Porter , J.R. 2005 . Need for multidisciplinary research towards a second green revolution . Current Opinion in Plant Biology , 8 : 337 – 341 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Wolock , D.M. and McCabe , G.J. 1999 . Estimates of runoff using water-balance and atmospheric general circulation models . Journal of the American Water Resources Association , 35 ( 6 ) : 1341 – 1350 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Zierl , B. and Bugmann , H. 2005 . Global change impacts on hydrological processes in Alpine catchments . Water Resources Research , 41 ( 2 ) : 396 – 408 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar