1,542
Views
22
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Original Articles

Hydro-meteorological drought assessment under climate change impact over the Vu Gia–Thu Bon river basin, Vietnam

, , , &
Pages 1654-1668 | Received 20 Apr 2016, Accepted 28 Mar 2017, Published online: 17 Jul 2017

References

  • Allen, R.G., 1986. A Penman for all seasons. Journal of Irrigation and Drainage Engineering, 112 (4), 348–368. doi:10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9437(1986)112:4(348)
  • Al-Qinna, M.I., et al., 2011. Drought analysis in Jordan under current and future climates. Climatic Change, 106 (3), 421–440. doi:10.1007/s10584-010-9954-y
  • Begueria, S. and Vicente-Serrano, S., 2013. Package ‘SPEI’, Version 1.6. Available from: https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/SPEI/SPEI.pdf [Accessed March 2017]
  • Butts, M.B., et al., 2004. An evaluation of the impact of model structure on hydrological modelling uncertainty for streamflow simulation”. Journal of Hydrology, 298 (1–4), 242–266. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2004.03.042
  • Chen, F. and Dudhia, J., 2001. Coupling an advanced land surface–hydrology model with the Penn State–NCAR MM5 modeling system. Part I: model implementation and sensitivity. Monthly Weather Review, 129, 569–585. doi:10.1175/1520-0493(2001)129<0569:CAALSH>2.0.CO;2
  • Cunge, J.A., 2003. Of data and models. Journal of Hydroinformatics, 5, 75–98.
  • Dai, A., 2011. Drought under global warming: A review. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 2, 45–65. doi:10.1002/wcc.81
  • Dai, A., 2012. Increasing drought under global warming in observations and models. Nature Climate Change, 3, 52–58. doi:10.1038/nclimate1633
  • Dai, Z., et al., 2010. Bi-criteria evaluation of the MIKE SHE model for a forested watershed on the South Carolina coastal plain. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 14, 1033–1046. doi:10.5194/hess-14-1033-2010
  • Farr, T.G. and Kobrick, M., 2000. Shuttle radar topography mission produces a wealth of data. Eos, Transactions, American Geophysical Union, 81 (48), 583–585. doi:10.1029/EO081i048p00583
  • Fink, M., et al., 2013. Distributed hydrological modeling of a monsoon dominated river system in Central Vietnam. In: 20th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation (Adelaide, Australia), 1826–1832.
  • Grell, G.A., 1993. Prognostic evaluation of assumptions used by cumulus parameterizations. Monthly Weather Review, 121 (3), 764–787. doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1993)121<0764:PEOAUB>2.0.CO;2
  • Guinot, V. and Gourbesville, P., 2003. Calibration of physically based models: back to basics?. Journal of Hydroinformatics, 5, 233–244.
  • Hong, S.-Y. and Pan, H.-L., 1996. Nonlocal boundary layer vertical diffusion in a medium-range forecast model. Monthly Weather Review, 124 (10), 2322–2339. doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1996)124<2322:NBLVDI>2.0.CO;2
  • IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change), 2013. Climate change 2013: the physical science basis. In: T.F. Stocker, et al. eds. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
  • Kharin, V.V., et al., 2007. Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes in the IPCC ensemble of global coupled model simulations. Journal of Climate, 20, 1419–1444. doi:10.1175/JCLI4066.1
  • Khoi, D.N. and Suetsugi, T., 2012. Hydrologic response to climate change: a case study for the Be River Catchment, Vietnam. Journal of Water and Climate Change, 3 (3), 207–224. doi:10.2166/wcc.2012.035
  • Khoi, D.N. and Suetsugi, T., 2014. Impact of climate and land-use changes on hydrological processes and sediment yield—a case study of the Be River catchment, Vietnam. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 59 (5), 1095–1108. doi:10.1080/02626667.2013.819433
  • Krause, P., Boyle, D.P., and Bäse, F., 2005. Comparison of different efficiency criteria for hydrological model assessment. Advanced in Geoscience, 5, 89–97. doi:10.5194/adgeo-5-89-2005
  • Leach, J.A. and Moore, R.D., 2015. Observations and modeling of hillslope throughflow temperatures in a coastal forested catchment. Water Resources Research, 51 (5), 3770–3795. doi:10.1002/2014WR016763
  • Lenderink, G. and van Meijgaard, E., 2008. Increase in hourly precipitation extremes beyond expectations from temperature changes. Nature Geoscience, 1, 511–514. doi:10.1038/ngeo262
  • Liu, L., et al., 2012. Hydro-climatological drought analyses and projections using meteorological and hydrological drought indices: a case study in Blue River Basin, Oklahoma. Water Resources Management, 26 (10), 2761–2779. doi:10.1007/s11269-012-0044-y
  • McKee, T.B., Doesken, N.J., and Kleist, J., 1993. The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales. In: Proceedings of the eighth conference on applied climate. Boston, MA: American Meteorological Society, 179–184.
  • Mitchell, T.D. and Jones, P.D., 2005. An improved method of constructing a database of monthly climate observations and associated highresolution grids. International Journal of Climatology, 25, 693–712. doi:10.1002/(ISSN)1097-0088
  • Monteith, J.L., 1965. Evaporation and the environment. In: The state and movement of water in living organisms. (19th Symposium). Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 205–234.
  • Nam, D.H., Udo, K., and Mano, A., 2014. Future fluvial flood risks in Central Vietnam assessed using global super-high-resolution climate model output. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 8 (3), 276–288. doi:10.1111/jfr3.12096
  • Nash, J.E. and Sutcliffe, J.V., 1970. River flow forecasting through conceptual models part I—A discussion of principles. Journal of Hydrology, 10 (3), 282–290. doi:10.1016/0022-1694(70)90255-6
  • New, M., Hulme, M., and Jones, P.D., 1999. Representing twentieth century space–time climate variability. Part 1: development of a 1961-90 mean monthly terrestrial climatology. Journal of Climate, 12, 829–856. doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1999)012<0829:RTCSTC>2.0.CO;2
  • New, M., Hulme, M., and Jones, P.D., 2000. Representing twentieth century space-time climate variability. Part 2: development of 1901-96 monthly grids of terrestrial surface climate. Journal of Climate, 13, 2217–2238. doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2000)013<2217:RTCSTC>2.0.CO;2
  • Nguyen, Q.K., 2005. Evaluating drought situation and analysis drought events by drought indices. National Project on Drought Research and Forecast for Centre South and Central Highland of Vietnam and constructing prevent solution. 209 pp. (in Vietnamese).
  • Nicolle, P., et al., 2014. Benchmarking hydrological models for low-flow simulation and forecasting on French catchments. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 18, 2829–28570. doi:10.5194/hess-18-2829-2014
  • Ntale, H.K. and Gan, T.Y., 2003. Drought indices and their application to East Africa. International Journal of Climatology, 23 (11), 1335–1357. doi:10.1002/(ISSN)1097-0088
  • Priestley, C.H.B. and Taylor, R.J., 1972. On the assessment of surface heat flux and evaporation using large-scale parameters. Monthly Weather Review, 100 (2), 81–92. doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1972)100<0081:OTAOSH>2.3.CO;2
  • Raghavan, S.V., Vu, M.T., and Liong, S.Y., 2016. Regional climate simulations over Vietnam using the WRF model. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 126 (1–2), 161–182. doi:10.1007/s00704-015-1557-0
  • Sahoo, G.B., Ray, C., and de Carlo, E.H., 2006. Calibration and validation of a physically distributed hydrological model, MIKE SHE, to predict streamflow at high frequency in a flashy mountainous Hawaii stream. Journal of Hydrology, 327 (1–2), 94–109. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2005.11.012
  • Searcy, J.K., 1959. Flow-duration curves. manual of hydrology: part 2. Low-flow techniques. Washington: US Government Printing Office.
  • Shukla, S. and Wood, A.W., 2008. Use of a standardized runoff index for characterizing hydrologic drought. Geophysical Research Letters, 35 (2), 1–7. doi:10.1029/2007GL032487
  • Sienz, F., Bothe, O., and Fraedrich, K., 2012. Monitoring and quantifying future climate projections of dryness and wetness extremes: SPI bias. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 16, 2143–2157. doi:10.5194/hess-16-2143-2012
  • Souvignet, M., et al., 2013. Recent climatic trends and linkages to river discharge in Central Vietnam. Hydrological Processes, 28 (4), 1587–1601. doi:10.1002/hyp.9693
  • Thompson, G., Rasmussen, R.M., and Manning, K., 2004a. Explicit forecasts of winter precipitation using an improved bulk microphysics scheme. Part I: description and sensitivity analysis. Monthly Weather Review, 132 (2), 519–542. doi:10.1175/1520-0493(2004)132<0519:EFOWPU>2.0.CO;2
  • Thompson, J.R., et al., 2004b. Application of the coupled MIKE SHE/MIKE 11 modelling system to a lowland wet grassland in southeast England. Journal of Hydrology, 293 (1–4), 151–179. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2004.01.017
  • Thornthwaite, C.W., 1948. An approach toward a rational classification of climate. Geographical Review, 38 (1), 55–94. doi:10.2307/210739
  • Trenberth, K.E., et al., 2013. Global warming and changes in drought. Nature Climate Change, 4, 17–22. doi:10.1038/nclimate2067
  • van der Schrier, G., Jones, P.D., and Briffa, K.R., 2011. The sensitivity of the PDSI to the Thornthwaite and Penman-Monteith parameterizations for potential evapotranspiration. Journal of Geophysical Research, 116 (D3), D03106. doi:10.1029/2010JD015001
  • Vo, N.D. and Gourbesville, P., 2016a. Application of deterministic distributed hydrological model for large catchment: a case study at Vu Gia Thu Bon catchment, Vietnam. Journal of Hydroinformatics, 19 (2). doi:10.2166/hydro.2016.138
  • Vo, N.D., et al., 2016b. Application of the deterministic hydrological model for large catchment case study at Vu Gia–Thu Bon catchment – Vietnam. Journal of Hydro-Environmental Research, 11, 59–74. doi:10.1016/j.jher.2015.11.001
  • Vu, M.T., Raghavan, S.V., and Liong, S.Y., 2012. SWAT use of gridded observations for simulating runoff – a Vietnam river basin study. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 16, 2801–2811. doi:10.5194/hess-16-2801-2012
  • Vu, M.T., Raghavan, S.V., and Liong, S.-Y., 2016. Use of regional climate models for proxy data over transboundary regions. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 21 (6), 1–10. doi:10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0001342
  • Vu, M.T., et al., 2015. Investigating drought over the Central Highland, Vietnam, using regional climate models. Journal of Hydrology, 526, 265–273. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.11.006
  • Vu, T.H., Ngo, D.T., and Phan, V.T., 2013. Evolution of meteorological drought characteristics in Vietnam during the 1961–2007 period. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 118 (3), 367–375.
  • Vu, V.N., Do, D.D., and Dang, T.L., 2008. Potential evapotranspiration estimation and its effect on hydrological model response at the Nong Son Basin. VNU Journal of Science: Earth Science, 24, 213–223.
  • Wang, D., et al., 2011. Climate change impact on meteorological, agricultural, and hydrological drought in central Illinois. Water Resources Research, 47 (9), W09527, 1–13. doi:10.1029/2010WR009845
  • WMO (World Meteorological Organization), 2009. Experts agree on a universal drought index to cope with climate risks. WMO Press Release no. 872.
  • Xie, P., et al., 2007. A gauge-based analysis of daily precipitation over East Asia. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 8 (3), 607–626. doi:10.1175/JHM583.1
  • Yatagai, A., et al., 2012. APHRODITE: constructing a long-term daily gridded precipitation dataset for Asia based on a dense network of rain gauges. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 93, 1401–1415. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00122.1

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.