An adaptive neural network-fuzzy linear regression approach for improved car ownership estimation and forecasting in complex and uncertain environments: the case of Iran

References

• Azadeh , A. , Saberi , M. , and Gitiforouz , A. , 2009 . An integrated simulated-based fuzzy regression algorithm and time series for energy consumption estimation with non-stationary data in Iran , ICIT09, Australia .
   Google Scholar
• Azadeh , A. 2008 . Improved estimation of electricity demand function by integration of fuzzy system and data mining approach . Energy Conversion and Management , 49 ( 8 ) : 2165 – 2177 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Beckman , J.D. and Goulias , K.G. 2008 . Immigration, residential location, car ownership, and commuting behavior: a multivariate latent class analysis from California . Transportation , 35 ( 5 ) : 655 – 671 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Bhat , C. and Pulugurta , V. 1998 . A comparison of two alternative behavioral choice mechanisms for household auto ownership decisions . Transportation Research Part B: Methodological , 32 ( 1 ) : 61 – 75 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Bjørner , T.B. and Leth-Petersen , S. 2005 . Dynamic models of car ownership at the household level . International Journal of Transport Economics , 32 ( 1 ) : 57 – 75 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Bouachera , T. and Mazraati , M. 2007 . Fuel demand and car ownership modeling in India . OPEC Review , 31 ( 1 ) : 27 – 51 .
   Google Scholar
• Broecke , V. 1987 . De mogelijke groei van het personenautobezit tot 2010 . rapport voor PbIVVS , Amsterdam : BSR .
   Google Scholar
• Chamon , M. , Mauro , P. and Okawa , Y. 2008 . Mass car ownership in the emerging market giants . Economic Policy , 23 ( 54 ) : 243 – 296 .
   Google Scholar
• Chiou , Y.-C. 2009 . Integrated modeling of car/motorcycle ownership, type and usage for estimating energy consumption and emissions . Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice , 43 ( 7 ) : 665 – 684 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Clark , S.D. 2004 . Estimating car ownership using geographically weighted regression . Traffic engineering & control , 45 ( 11 ) : 416 – 420 .
   Google Scholar
• Clark , S.D. 2007 . Estimating local car ownership models . Journal of Transport Geography , 15 ( 3 ) : 184 – 197 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Clark , S.D. 2009a . Characterizing and predicting car ownership using rough sets . Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies , 17 ( 4 ) : 381 – 393 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Clark , S.D. 2009b . The determinants of car ownership in England and Wales from anonymous 2001 census data . Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies , 17 ( 5 ) : 526 – 540 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Commins , N. and Nolan , A. 2010 . Car ownership and mode of transportation to work in Ireland . Economic and Social Review , 41 ( 1 ) : 43 – 75 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Cui , B. and Han , R. 2008 . Modeling of dimensional errors in slender bar turning using artificial neural networks . In: Proceedings of the 7th world congress on intelligent control and automation , 25–27 June 2008 , Chongqing , 6053 – 6056 . doi: 10.1109/WCICA.2008.4592861
   Google Scholar
• Dargay , J.M. 2001 . The effect of income on car ownership: evidence of asymmetry . Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice , 35 ( 9 ) : 807 – 821 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• De Jong , G. 2004 . A comparison of car ownership models . Transport Reviews , 24 ( 4 ) : 397 – 408 .
   Google Scholar
• Deaton , A. 1985 . Panel data from time series of cross sections . Journal of Econometrics , 3 : 109 – 126 .
   Google Scholar
• Gakenheimer , R. 1999 . Urban mobility in the developing world . Transportation Research A , 33 ( 2 ) : 119 – 123 .
   Google Scholar
• Giuliano , G. and Dargay , J. 2006 . Car ownership, travel and land use: a comparison of the US and Great Britain . Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice , 40 ( 2 ) : 106 – 124 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Golounov , V. , Dellaert , B. and Timmermans , H. 2001 . A dynamic lifetime utility model of car purchase behavior using revealed preference consumer panel data . Paper submitted for presentation at 81st Annual meeting of the transportation research board . Washington , DC .
   Google Scholar
• Gunn , H.F. , Bates , J.J. , and Roberts , M. , 1978 . A model of household car ownership . Traffic Engineering and Control , 19 , 486 – 491 , 562–566 .
   Google Scholar
• Hensher , D.A. and Ton , T. 2002 . TRESIS: a transportation, land use and environmental strategy impact simulator for urban areas . Transportation , 29 ( 4 ) : 439 – 457 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hirota , K. 2007 . Passenger car ownership estimation toward 2030 in Japan – BAU scenario with socio-economic factors . Studies in Regional Science , 37 ( 1 ) : 25 – 39 .
   Google Scholar
• Hojati , M. , Bector , C.R. and Smimou , K. 2005 . A simple method for computation of fuzzy linear regression . European Journal of Operational Research , 166 ( 1 ) : 172 – 184 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hong , D.H. and Yi , H.C. 2003 . A note on fuzzy regression model with fuzzy input and output data for manpower forecasting . Fuzzy Sets System , 138 ( 2 ) : 301 – 305 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Huang , B. , 2008 . The use of pseudo panel data for forecasting car ownership . Thesis (PhD). Department of Economics, Birkbeck College, University of London, London .
   Google Scholar
• Kelly , J. , 2009 . Application of non-linear regression to car ownership in Johannesburg , In: 28th Annual Southern African transport conference , 6–9 July 2009 , South Africa : SATC , 53 – 64 .
   Google Scholar
• Kitamura , R. 2009 . A dynamic model system of household car ownership, trip generation, and modal split: model development and simulation experiment . Transportation , 36 ( 6 ) : 711 – 732 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Komornicki , T. 2003 . Factors of development of car ownership in Poland . Transport Reviews , 23 ( 4 ) : 413 – 431 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Kumar , M. and Rao , K.V. 2006 . A stated preference study for a car ownership model in the context of developing countries . Transportation Planning and Technology , 29 ( 5 ) : 409 – 425 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Lindgren , E. and Pettersson , T. 2009 . Two sides of the same coin? Private car ownership in Sweden and Norway since 1950 . Scandinavian Economic History Review , 57 ( 2 ) : 172 – 190 .
   Google Scholar
• Matas , A. and Raymond , J. , 2006 . Economic development and changes in car ownership patterns . CREAP2006-01, Working Papers, Xarxa de Referència en Economia Aplicada, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona .
   Google Scholar
• Matas , A. and Raymond , J.L. 2008 . Changes in the structure of car ownership in Spain . Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice , 42 ( 1 ) : 187 – 202 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Matas , A. , Raymond , J. and Roig , J. 2009 . Car ownership and access to jobs in Spain . Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice , 43 ( 6 ) : 607 – 617 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Mokonyama , M. and Venter , C. 2007 . Forecasting household car ownership in South Africa: alternative models and future trends . Journal of the South African Institution of Civil Engineering , 49 ( 3 ) : 2 – 10 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Negnevitsky , M. 2005 . Artificial intelligence: a guide to intelligent systems , 2nd ed , Boston , MA : Addison-Wesley .
   Google Scholar
• Nolan , A. , 2008 . A dynamic analysis of household car ownership in Ireland . ESRI Working Paper 269 , Economic and Social Research Institute , Dublin .
   Google Scholar
• Öğüt , K.S. 2006 . Modeling car ownership in Turkey using Fuzzy Regression . Transportation Planning and Technology , 29 ( 5 ) : 233 – 248 .
   Google Scholar
• Ozelkan , E.C. and Duckstein , L. 2000 . Multi-objective fuzzy regression: a general framework . Computers and Operations Research , 27 ( 3 ) : 635 – 652 .
   Google Scholar
• Peters , G. 1994 . Fuzzy linear regression with fuzzy intervals . Fuzzy Sets and Systems , 63 ( 1 ) : 45 – 55 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Potoglou , D. and Kanaroglou , P.S. 2008 . Modelling car ownership in urban areas: a case study of Hamilton, Canada . Journal of Transport Geography , 16 ( 1 ) : 42 – 54 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Rich , J.H. and Nielsen , O.N. , 2001 . A microeconomic model for car ownership, residence and work location . In: European transport conference 2001, 12–14 September 2001 , Cambridge : PTRC .
   Google Scholar
• Ross , T.J. 1995 . Fuzzy logic with engineering applications , New York : McGraw-Hill .
   Google Scholar
• Rumelhart , J.L. and McClelland , D.E. 1986 . “ A distributed model of human learning and memory ” . In Computational models of cognition , Edited by: Feldman , J. , Hayes , P. and Rumelhart , D. Cambridge , MA : MIT Press .
   Google Scholar
• Sakawa , M. and Yano , H. 1992 . Multi-objective fuzzy linear regression analysis for fuzzy input-output data . Fuzzy Sets and Systems , 47 ( 2 ) : 173 – 181 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Sanko , N. 2009 . Inter-temporal analysis of household car and motorcycle ownership behaviors . IATSS Research , 33 ( 2 ) : 123 – 145 .
   Google Scholar
• Tanaka , H. , Hayashi , I. and Watada , J. 1989 . Possibilistic linear regression analysis for fuzzy data . European Journal of Operational Research , 40 ( 3 ) : 389 – 396 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Tanaka , H. , Uejima , S. and Asia , K. 1982 . Linear regression analysis with fuzzy model . IEEE Transactions: System and Man Cybernetic , 12 : 903 – 907 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Weinberger , R. , Seaman , M. and Johnson , C. 2009 . Residential off-street parking impacts on car ownership, vehicle miles traveled, and related carbon emissions . Transportation Research Record , 21 ( 180 ) : 24 – 30 .
   Google Scholar
• Werbos , P.J. , 1974 . Beyond regression: new tool for prediction and analysis in the behavioral sciences . Thesis (PhD) . Harvard University , Boston , MA .
   Google Scholar
• Whelan , G. , 2001 . Methodological advances in modeling and forecasting car ownership in Great Britain . In: European transport conference 2001, 26–29 December 2001 , Cambridge : PTRC .
   Google Scholar
• Whelan , G. 2007 . Modelling car ownership in Great Britain . Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice , 41 ( 3 ) : 205 – 219 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Woldeamanuel , M.G. 2009 . Variation of households’ car ownership across time: application of a panel data model . Transportation , 36 ( 4 ) : 371 – 387 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Yang , Z. , Chen , G. and Yu , B. 2008 . Car ownership level for a sustainability urban environment . Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment , 13 ( 1 ) : 10 – 18 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Yang , Z. , Miao , G. and Feng , T. 2006 . Forecast on maximum car ownership with constraint of environmental capacity in urban . Zhongguo Gonglu Xuebao (China Journal of Highway and Transport) , 19 ( 6 ) : 92 – 96 .
   Google Scholar
• Yukiya , S. 2000 . Causal relationship between car ownership/usage and social attitude in East Asian countries . Infrastructure Planning Review , 17 : 649 – 654 .
   Google Scholar
• Zhang , G.P. and Qi , M. 2005 . Neural network forecasting for seasonal and trend time series . European Journal Operation Research , 16 ( 2 ) : 501
   Google Scholar