3,388
Views
1
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Articles

Infrastructure investment planning through scenario-based system-of-systems modelling

, &
Pages 527-572 | Received 26 Aug 2022, Accepted 15 Mar 2023, Published online: 17 Apr 2023

References

  • Ambrosini Christian, Jesus Gonzalez-Feliu, and Florence Toilier. 2013. “A Design Methodology for Scenario-Analysis in Urban Freight Modelling.” European Transport/Trasporti Europei 54 (7): 1–21. 〈halshs-00843286〉.
  • Amin Massoud. 2015. “System-of-Systems Approach.” In Intelligent Monitoring, Control, and Security of Critical Infrastructure Systems, 317–354. Springer.
  • Annema Jan Anne, Carl Koopmans, and Bert Van Wee. 2007. “Evaluating Transport Infrastructure Investments: The Dutch Experience with a Standardized Approach.” Transport Reviews 27 (2): 125–150. doi:10.1080/01441640600843237.
  • Asgarpour S., A. Hartmann, K. Gkiotsalitis, and R. Neef. 2023. “Scenario-Based Strategic Modeling of Road Transport Demand and Performance.” Transportation Research Record. https://doi.org/10.1177/03611981221143377.
  • Atilhan Selma, Sunhwa Park, Mahmoud M. El-Halwagi, Mert Atilhan, Margaux Moore, and Rasmus B. Nielsen. 2021. “Green Hydrogen As An Alternative Fuel for the Shipping Industry.” Current Opinion in Chemical Engineering 31: Article ID 100668. doi:10.1016/j.coche.2020.100668.
  • Bellsolà Olba X., Winnie Daamen, Tiedo Vellinga, and Serge P. Hoogendoorn. 2015. “Estimating Port Network Traffic Capacity.” Zeszyty Naukowe Akademii Morskiej w Szczecinie 42 (114).
  • Bellsolà Olba Xavier, Winnie Daamen, Tiedo Vellinga, and Serge P. Hoogendoorn. 2019. “A Method to Estimate the Capacity of An Intersection of Waterways in Ports.” Transportmetrica A: Transport Science 15 (2): 1848–1866. doi:10.1080/23249935.2019.1652866.
  • BIVAS. 2018. “Snelheidsbepaling -- BIVAS.” https://bivas.chartasoftware.com/Home/BIVASApplicatie/Documentatie/Snelheidsbepaling.
  • Blainey Simon P., and John M. Preston. 2019. “Predict or Prophesy? Issues and Trade-Offs in Modelling Long-Term Transport Infrastructure Demand and Capacity.” Transport Policy 74: 165–173. doi:10.1016/j.tranpol.2018.12.001.
  • Bliemer Michiel C. J., Mark P. H. Raadsen, Luuk J. N. Brederode, Michael G. H. Bell, Luc J. J. Wismans, and Mike J. Smith. 2017. “Genetics of Traffic Assignment Models for Strategic Transport Planning.” Transport Reviews 37 (1): 56–78. doi:10.1080/01441647.2016.1207211.
  • Bückmann Ewout, Dries Goffin, Jorrit Harmsen, Tom Scheltjens, and Tessa Sendar. 2009. “Capaciteitsanalyse binnenvaart Scheldegebied.”.
  • Burgschweiger Sandra, Axel Wolfermann, and Gernot Liedtke. 2019. “A Macroscopic Freight Transport Demand Model to Analyze Effects of Transport Planning in Germany.” In Proceedings of the 3rd Interdisciplinary Conference on production. Logistics and Traffic ICPLT, Darmstadt, Germany, 25–26.
  • Camargo Pedro, Jan Zill, and Andrew O'Brien. 2018. “AequilibraE.” http://www.aequilibrae.com/python/latest/index.html.
  • CAT, Climate Action Tracker. 2021a. “Policies & Actions-Transport.” https://climateactiontracker.org/countries/eu/policies-action/.
  • CAT, Climate Action Tracker. 2021b. “Targets.” https://climateactiontracker.org/countries/eu/targets/.
  • CBS. 2013. “Brandstofverbruik en CO2-uitstoot van personenauto's, 2011*.”.
  • CE Delft. 2015. “STREAM personenvervoer 2014.”.
  • CE Delft. 2020. “STREAM Freight transport 2020.”.
  • Chamberlin Graeme. 2010. “Methods Explained: Temporal Disaggregation.” Economic & Labour Market Review 4 (11): 106–121. doi:10.1057/elmr.2010.157.
  • Dahl Alexander, Annette Kindl, and Christoph Walther. 2016. “Methodology Manual for the Federal Transport Infrastructure Plan 2030.”.
  • de Bok Michiel, Gerard De Jong, Jaap Baak, Eveline Helder, Cindy Puttemans, Kurt Verlinden, Dana Borremans, et al. 2015. “A Population Simulator and Disaggregate Transport Demand Models for Flanders.” Transportation Research Procedia 8: 168–180. doi:10.1016/j.trpro.2015.06.052.
  • de Dios Ortúzar Juan, and Luis G. Willumsen. 2011. Modelling Transport. London: John Wiley & Sons.
  • De Jong Gerard, Arnaud Burgess, L. A. Tavasszy, Robbert Versteegh, Michiel de Bok, and Nora Schmorak. 2011. “Distribution and Modal Split Models for Freight Transport in The Netherlands.” In Proceedings of the 2011 European Transport Conference, Association for European Transport. On the Generalized Cost-Demand Elasticity of Intermodal Container Transport.
  • de Jong Gerard C., and Odette van de Riet. 2008. “The Driving Factors of Passenger Transport.” European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research 8 (3): 227–250. https://doi.org/10.18757/ejtir.2008.8.3.3348.
  • Ehrenberger Simone, Stefan Seum, Thomas Pregger, Sonja Simon, Gunnar Knitschky, and Ulrike Kugler. 2021. “Land Transport Development in Three Integrated Scenarios for Germany–Technology Options, Energy Demand and Emissions.” Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment 90: Article ID 102669. doi:10.1016/j.trd.2020.102669.
  • Font Vivanco David, Jaume Freire-González, René Kemp, and Ester van der Voet. 2014. “The Remarkable Environmental Rebound Effect of Electric Cars: A Microeconomic Approach.” Environmental Science & Technology 48 (20): 12063–12072. doi:10.1021/es5038063.
  • Geilenkirchen G. P., K. T. Geurs, H. P. van Essen, A. Schroten, and B. Boon. 2010. “Effecten van prijsbeleid in verkeer en vervoer. Kennisoverzicht.”.
  • Geilenkirchen Gerben, Harm ten Broeke, and Anco Hoen. 2016. “Verkeer en vervoer in de Nationale Energieverkenning 2015.” PBL-Planbureau voor de Leefomgeving, Den Haag.
  • Grant Michael, Janet D'Ignazio, Alexander Bond, and Alanna McKeeman. 2013. “Performance-Based Planning and Programming Guidebook.”.
  • Groen Tsjitske, Jaco van Meijeren, IenW, and DVS. 2010. “Vlootontwikkeling binnenvaart.”.
  • Groot Wim, and Henk van Mourik. 2012. “Over Brandstofprijzen En Automobiliteit.” Tijdschrift Vervoerswetenschap 48 (3)): 68–83.
  • Henning Arne, Martin Plohr, Doruk Özdemir, Michael Hepting, Hermann Keimel, S. Sanok, and Robert Sausen, et al. 2016. “The DLR Transport and the Environment Project-Building Competency for a Sustainable Mobility Future.”.
  • Hilbers H., J. van Meerkerk, D. Snellen, R. Euwals, T. Hendrich, K. van Ruijven, and P. Verstraten. 2020. “ONTWIKKELING MOBILITEIT.”.
  • Huizinga Free, and Bert Smid. 2005. “Four Futures of the Netherlands; Production, Labour and Sectoral Structure in Four Scenarios Until 2040.”.
  • Hymel Kent M., Kenneth A. Small, and Kurt Van Dender. 2010. “Induced Demand and Rebound Effects in Road Transport.” Transportation Research Part B: Methodological 44 (10): 1220–1241. doi:10.1016/j.trb.2010.02.007.
  • IenW. 2020. “Programma Hoogfrequent Spoorvervoer.”.
  • IenW. 2021a. “Integrale Mobiliteitsanalyse 2021, Goederenvervoer Integraal.”.
  • IenW. 2021b. “Integrale Mobiliteitsanalyse 2021, Hoofdrapport.”.
  • IenW. 2021c. “Integrale Mobiliteitsanalyse 2021, Ontwikkeling mobiliteit.”.
  • IenW, BZK, and EZK. 2020. “MIRT Overzicht 2021.”.
  • Ives Christopher D., Cathy Oke, Ailish Hehir, Ascelin Gordon, Yan Wang, and Sarah A. Bekessy. 2017. “Capturing Residents' Values for Urban Green Space: Mapping, Analysis and Guidance for Practice.” Landscape and Urban Planning 161: 32–43. doi:10.1016/j.landurbplan.2016.12.010.
  • Jonsson Daniel, Svante Berglund, Peter Almström, and Staffan Algers. 2011. “The Usefulness of Transport Models in Swedish Planning Practice.” Transport Reviews 31 (2): 251–265. doi:10.1080/01441647.2010.537100.
  • KiM. 2017. “Mobiliteitsbeeld 2017.”.
  • KiM. 2019. “Mobiliteitsbeeld 2019.”.
  • Klein John, and Gerben Geilenkirchen. 2018. “Methods for Calculating the Emissions of Transport in the Netherlands.” Task Force on Transportation of the Dutch Pollutant Release and Transfer Register.
  • Knoope Marlinde, and Jan Francke. 2020. “Verklaring Van De Ontwikkelingen in Het Goederenvervoer in Nederland.” Tijdschrift Vervoerswetenschap 56 (2): 1–26.
  • Koedijk Otto Christiaan. 2020. “Richtlijnen Vaarwegen 2020.” ISBN 978-90-9033423-3 Rijkswaterstaat Water, Verkeer en Leefomgeving (WVL) Afdeling BNSV.
  • Krause Jette, Christian Thiel, Dimitrios Tsokolis, Zissis Samaras, Christian Rota, Andy Ward, Peter Prenninger, et al. 2020. “EU Road Vehicle Energy Consumption and CO2 Emissions by 2050–Expert-based Scenarios.” Energy Policy 138: Article ID 111224. doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2019.111224.
  • Kugler Ulrike, Jens Brokate, Christoph Schimeczek, and Stephan Schmid. 2017. “Powertrain Scenarios for Cars in European Markets to the Year 2040.” In TAE Conference Proceedings-11th International Colloquium Fuels.
  • Kuiper E., and N. E. Ligterink. 2013. “Voertuigcategorieën en gewichten van voertuigcombinaties op de Nederlandse snelweg op basis van assen-combinaties en as-lasten.”.
  • Kupfer Franziska, Hilde Meersman, Evy Onghena, and Eddy Van de Voorde. 2017. “The Underlying Drivers and Future Development of Air Cargo.” Journal of Air Transport Management 61: 6–14. doi:10.1016/j.jairtraman.2016.07.002.
  • Litman Todd. 2019. Understanding Transport Demands and Elasticities.” Victoria Transport Policy Institute.
  • Lovrić Milan, Simon Blainey, and John Preston. 2017. “A Conceptual Design for a National Transport Model with Cross-sectoral Interdependencies.” Transportation Research Procedia 27: 720–727. doi:10.1016/j.trpro.2017.12.150.
  • Maerivoet Sven, and Bart De Moor. 2005. “Transportation Planning and Traffic Flow Models.” arXiv preprint physics/0507127.
  • Maier Holger R., Joseph H. A. Guillaume, Hedwig van Delden, Graeme A. Riddell, Marjolijn Haasnoot, and Jan H. Kwakkel. 2016. “An Uncertain Future, Deep Uncertainty, Scenarios, Robustness and Adaptation: How Do they Fit Together?.” Environmental Modelling & Software 81: 154–164. doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2016.03.014.
  • Manders Antonius Jacobus Gerardus, and Clemens Joannes Maria Kool. 2015. “Toekomstverkenning welvaart en leefomgeving Nederland in 2030 en 2050: twee referentiescenario's.”.
  • Matthias Volker, Johannes Bieser, Tudor Mocanu, Thomas Pregger, Markus Quante, Martin O. P. Ramacher, Stefan Seum, and Christian Winkler. 2020. “Modelling Road Transport Emissions in Germany–Current Day Situation and Scenarios for 2040.” Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment 87: Article ID 102536. doi:10.1016/j.trd.2020.102536.
  • Melian Veronica, and Adrian Zebib. 2020. “How Covid-19 Contributes to a Long-Term Boost in Remote Working.” https://www2.deloitte.com/ch/en/pages/human-capital/articles/how-covid-19-contributes-to-a-long-term-boost-in-remote-working.html.
  • Mitradjieva Maria, and Per Olov Lindberg. 2013. “The Stiff is Moving – conjugate Direction Frank-Wolfe Methods with Applications to Traffic Assignment.” Transportation Science 47 (2): 280–293. doi:10.1287/trsc.1120.0409.
  • Mtoi Enock T., and Ren Moses. 2014. “Calibration and Evaluation of Link Congestion Functions: Applying Intrinsic Sensitivity of Link Speed As a Practical Consideration to Heterogeneous Facility Types Within Urban Network.” Journal of Transportation Technologies 4 (2): 141–149. https://doi.org/10.4236/jtts.2014.42014.
  • MuConsult. 2015. “Literatuurstudie tijd- en conveniencegevoeligheden openbaar vervoer.”.
  • NDW. 2020. “Nationaal Dataportaal Wegverkeer.” https://www.ndw.nu/.
  • Neef Robin, Stefan Verweij, Tim Busscher, and Jos Arts. 2020. “A Common Ground? Constructing and Exploring Scenarios for Infrastructure Network-of-Networks.” Futures 124. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2020.102649.
  • Nijland Hans, Gerben Geilenkirchen, and Hans Hilbers. 2019. “Achtergrondrapport bij effectschattingen mobiliteits-maatregelen klimaatakkoord.”.
  • NS. 2022. “Treinen van NS.” https://www.ns.nl/over-ns/treinen-van-ns.
  • Palkovics László, and Ansgar Fries. 2001. “Intelligent Electronic Systems in Commercial Vehicles for Enhanced Traffic Safety.” Vehicle System Dynamics 35 (4–5): 227–289. doi:10.1076/vesd.35.4.227.2044.
  • PBL, CBS, TNO, and RIVM. 2017. “Klimaat-en Energieverkenning 2017.”.
  • PBL, CBS, TNO, and RIVM. 2020. “Klimaat-en Energieverkenning 2020.”.
  • PDOK. 2020. “PDOK.” https://www.pdok.nl/.
  • Pernestål Anna, and Ida Kristoffersson. 2019. “Effects of Driverless Vehicles: Comparing Simulations to Get a Broader Picture.” European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research 1 (19): 1–23. E-ISSN 1567-7141.
  • Port of Rotterdam. 2021. “Bouwers gekozen voor aanleg kades Amaliahaven.” https://www.portofrotterdam.com/nl/nieuws-en-persberichten/bouwers-gekozen-voor-aanleg-kades-amaliahaven.
  • ProRail. 2021a. “Achtergrond rapport Spoor en BTM.”.
  • ProRail. 2021b. “Integrale Mobiliteitsanalyse 2021 Deelrapportage Spoor en BTMIntegrale Mobiliteitsanalyse 2021 Deelrapportage Spoor en BTM.”.
  • Rahman Md Hasibur, Mohamed Abdel-Aty, Jaeyoung Lee, and Md Sharikur Rahman. 2019. “Enhancing Traffic Safety at School Zones by Operation and Engineering Countermeasures: A Microscopic Simulation Approach.” Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory 94: 334–348. doi:10.1016/j.simpat.2019.04.001.
  • Rijksoverheid. 2020. “Open data van de Overheid.” https://data.overheid.nl/.
  • Santén Vendela. 2017. “Towards More Efficient Logistics: Increasing Load Factor in a Shipper's Road Transport.” The International Journal of Logistics Management 28 (2)): 228–250. ISSN 0957-4093.
  • Seebauer Sebastian. 2018. “The Psychology of Rebound Effects: Explaining Energy Efficiency Rebound Behaviours with Electric Vehicles and Building Insulation in Austria.” Energy Research & Social Science46: 311–320. doi:10.1016/j.erss.2018.08.006.
  • Seum Stefan, Simone Ehrenberger, and Thomas Pregger. 2020. “Extended Emission Factors for Future Automotive Propulsion in Germany Considering Fleet Composition, New Technologies and Emissions From Energy Supplies.” Atmospheric Environment 233: Article ID 117568. doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2020.117568.
  • Snelder Maaike, Isabel Wilmink, Jeroen van der Gun, Hendrik Jan Bergveld, Parvin Hoseini, and Bart van Arem. 2019. “Mobility Impacts of Automated Driving and Shared Mobility.” European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research 19 (4): 291–309. https://doi.org/10.18757/ejtir.2019.19.4.4282.
  • TRANSTOOL. 2017. “TRANSTOOL 3-Final publishable summary.”.
  • TRANSTOOLS. 2014. “TRANSTOOLS3 -- About.” http://www.transportmodel.eu/about.html.
  • U.K. Department for Transport. 2019. “TAG UNIT M4 Forecasting and Uncertainty.”.
  • U.K. Department for Transport. 2022. “TAG unit A1-1 cost-benefit analysis.”.
  • van Dender Kurt, and Martin Clever. 2013. “Recent Trends in Car Usage in Advanced Economies: Slower Growth Ahead?; Summary and Conclusions.” In International transport Forum, International Transport Forum Discussion Paper.
  • van de Riet Odette, Gerard de Jong, and Warren Walker. 2004. “Drivers of Freight Transport Demand Worldwide.” In European Transport Conference,.
  • van der Loop Han. 2018. “Effecten van Het Nieuwe Werken op mobiliteit en congestie 2000–2016.”.
  • van der Loop H., P. Bakker, F. Savelberg, M. Kouwenhoven, and E. Helder. 2018. “Verklaring van de ontwikkeling van het ov-gebruik in Nederland over 2005-2016.”.
  • van der Loop Han, Peter Bakker, Fons Savelberg, M. L. A. Kouwenhoven, and Eveline Helder. 2018. “Explaining the Development of Use of Public Transport in the Netherlands from 2005–2016.” In European Transport Conference 2018, Dublin, October 10–12, 2018, Association for European Transport (AET).
  • van der Loop Han, Jan van der Waard, Rinus Haaijer, and Jasper Willigers. 2016. “Induced Demand: New Empirical Findings and Consequences for Economic Evaluation.”.
  • Voinov Alexey, Nagesh Kolagani, Michael K. McCall, Pierre D. Glynn, Marit E. Kragt, Frank O. Ostermann, Suzanne A. Pierce, and Palaniappan Ramu. 2016. “Modelling with Stakeholders–Next Generation.” Environmental Modelling & Software 77: 196–220. doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.11.016.
  • Wardman Mark, and Paul Murphy. 2015. “Passengers' Valuations of Train Seating Layout, Position and Occupancy.” Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice 74: 222–238. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2015.01.007.
  • Wardman Mark, Jeremy Toner, Nils Fearnley, Stefan Flügel, and Marit Killi. 2018. “Review and Meta-Analysis of Inter-Modal Cross-Elasticity Evidence.” Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice 118: 662–681. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2018.10.002.
  • Wardman M., and G. Whelan. 2011. “Twenty Years of Rail Crowding Valuation Studies: Evidence and Lessons From British Experience.” Transport Reviews 31: 379–398. doi:10.1080/01441647.2010.519127.
  • Winkler Christian, and Tudor Mocanu. 2017. “Methodology and Application of a German National Passenger Transport Model for Future Transport Scenarios.” In Proceedings of the 45th European Transport Conference.
  • Winkler Christian, and Tudor Mocanu. 2020. “Impact of Political Measures on Passenger and Freight Transport Demand in Germany.” Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment 87: Article ID 102476. doi:10.1016/j.trd.2020.102476.
  • Young Kate, and Jim W. Hall. 2015. “Introducing System Interdependency Into Infrastructure Appraisal: From Projects to Portfolios to Pathways.” Infrastructure Complexity 2 (1): 1–18. doi:10.1186/s40551-015-0005-8.
  • Zwaneveld Peter, Sabine Visser, P. Bakker, J. Berveling, and J. A. Korteweg. 2009. “Het belang van openbaar vervoer: de maatschappelijke effecten op een rij.”.