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Original Articles

An unfavourable situation: NATO and the conventional balance

Pages 72-102 | Published online: 02 May 2008

Notes

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  • Hines , John G. and Peterson , Phillip A. 1983 . Soviet Strategy for Peace and War in Europe , Los Angeles, CA : European‐American Institute for Security Research .
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  • Komer , Robert . 1982 . ‘Is Conventional Defense of Europe Feasible?’ . Naval War College Review , September‐October : 80 – 91 .
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  • 1984 . ‘NATO and the Warsaw Pact: Force Comparisons’ . NATO Information Service ,
  • Herspring , Dale R. and Volgyes , Ivan . 1980 . ‘The Political Reliability in the East European Warsaw Pact Armies’ . Armed Forces and Society , 6 ( 2 ) Winter
  • Brzezinski , Zbigniew . 1988 . ‘White House Diary, 1980,’ . Orbis , 32 ( 1 ) Winter
  • Sadykiewicz , Michael . March 1988 . The Warsaw Pact Command Structure in Peace and War , March , Santa Monica, CA : RAND Corporation . R‐3558‐RC
  • Brzezinski , Zbigniew . 1988 . “ ‘Peaceful Change in a Divided Europe’ ” . In Conventional Arms Control and the Security of Europe , Edited by: Nerlich , Uwe and Thomson , James A. 15 – 27 . Boulder, CO : Westview Press .
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  • 1987 . ‘France's commitment would be immediate and unreserved’ . (NATO Report , 21 December
  • Mako , William . 1983 . US Ground Forces in the Defense of Central Europe , Washington DC : Brookings Institution .
  • Posen , Barry R. 1988 . 'Is NATO Decisively Outnumbered?’ . International Security , 12 ( 4 ) Spring : 186 – 202 . Mako's data is based upon somewhat dated (1976) scores
  • 1983 . The Military Balance 1983–1984 , 19 London : IISS .
  • Shilling , David M. 1988 . 'Europe's conventional defence’ . Survival , 30 ( 2 ) March/April : 126 – 7 . and footnote 9
  • 1987 . The Military Balance 1987–1988 , 228 London : IISS .
  • Canby , Steven . 1986 . NATO Defense: What Can be Done (unpublished)
  • Biddle , Stephen D. 1988 . ‘The European Conventional Balance: A Reinterpretation of the Debate’ . Survival , 30 ( 2 ) March/April
  • Epstein , Joshua M. 1988 . ‘Dynamic Analysis and the Conventional Balance in Europe’ . International Security , 12 ( 4 ) Spring : 154 – 65 .
  • Hamilton , Andrew . 1985 . ‘Redressing the Conventional Balance’ . International Security , 10 ( 1 ) Summer : 111 – 36 . especially footnote 7
  • Posen . 1985/1986 . ‘Measuring the European Conventional Balance: Coping with Complexity in Threat Assessment’ . International Security , 9 ( 3 ) Winter : 47 – 88 .
  • Mearsheimer , John . 1988 . ‘Numbers, Strategy and the European Balance’ . International Security , 12 ( 4 ) Spring : 174 – 85 .
  • 1982 . ‘Why the Soviets Can't Win Quickly in Central Europe’ . International Security , 7 ( 1 ) Summer : 3 – 39 .
  • Kaufmann , William W. 1983 . “ ‘Nonnuclear Deterrence’ ” . In Alliance Security and the No‐First‐Use Question , Edited by: Steinbrunner , John D. and Sigal , Leon V. Washington DC : Brookings Institution .
  • Kugler , Richard . 1986 . ‘Warsaw Pact Forces and the Conventional Military Balance in Central Europe’ . Jerusalem Journal of International Relations , 8 ( 2–3 )
  • Davis , Paul K. 1988 . The Role of Uncertainty in Assessing the NATO‐Pact Central Region Balance , P‐7427 Santa Monica, CA : RAND Corporation .
  • Davis , Paul K. 1987 . Analytic War Gaming with the RAND Strategy Assessment System , RB‐7801 Santa Monica, CA : RAND Corporation .
  • Bennett , Bruce W. , Jones , Carl M. , Bullock , Arthur M. and Davis , Paul K. “ ‘Theater Warfare Modeling in the RAND Strategy Assessment System (3.0)’ ” . Santa Monica, CA : RAND Corporation . N‐2743‐NA (forthcoming))
  • Thomson , James A. and Gantz , Nanette C. December 1987 . Conventional Arms Control Revisited: Objectives in the New Phase , December , Santa Monica, CA : RAND Corporation . N‐2697‐AF
  • McDonald , Charles B. 1984 . A Time for Trumpets: The Untold Story of the Battle of the Bulge , New York : Bantam .
  • Epstein , Joshua . “ ‘NATO has the material wherewithal to stalemate the Warsaw Pact’ ” . 163 (op. cit. in note 29
  • The author is indebted to many RAND colleagues whose research and ideas have influenced his, especially Paul Davis, Nanette Gantz, Robert Howe, Richard Kugler, Bruce Nardulli and Kenneth Watman. The contents and the views expressed here are not necessarily endorsed by The RAND Corporation or any of its research sponsors. The research was supported in part by RAND and in part by The Ford Foundation. An earlier version of this Paper will appear in Lawrence Freedman (ed.), Military Power in Europe: Essays in Memory of Jonathan Alford (London: Macmillan, forthcoming).

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