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ARTICLES

Nuclear Intelligence and North–South Politics

Pages 1-21 | Published online: 04 Dec 2010

REFERENCES

  • “Interview: Mohamed ElBaradei,” Bulletin of Atomic Scientists , Vol. 65 , No. 5 , September/October 2009 .
  • Rolf Mowatt-Larssen , “Preventing Nuclear Terrorism: A Global Intelligence Imperative,” The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, Policy Watch #1511, 30 April 2009 .
  • Elaine M. Grossman , “Boost in IAEA Intelligence Capability Looks Unlikely in Near Term,” Global Security Newswire , 22 June 2009 , at http://gsn.nti.org/gsn/nw_20090622_4368.php
  • Stéphane Lefebvre , “The Difficulties and Dilemmas of International Intelligence Cooperation,” International Journal of Intelligence and CounterIntelligence , Vol. 16 , No. 4 , Winter 2003–2004 , pp. 527 – 542 .
  • The term “white elephant” originates from seventeenth century Southeast Asia, where albino elephants were treasured as sacred possessions, and were lavished with expensive food and lodgings. Although they were coveted, once acquired they served no useful purpose, and often led to the financial ruin of their owners .
  • Simon Chesterman , “Does the UN Have Intelligence?,” Survival , Vol. 48 , No. 3 , Autumn 2006 , pp. 149 – 164 .
  • James M. Acton , “The Problem with Nuclear Mind Reading,” Survival , Vol. 51 , No. 1 , February–March 2009 , p. 124 .
  • Thomas E. Shea , “The International Nonproliferation Regime and IAEA Safeguards,” Pacific Northwest National Laboratory Paper #PNNL-SA-66582, June 2009 .
  • IAEA Department of Safeguards , IAEA Safeguards: Staying Ahead of the Game (IAEA: Vienna, July 2007) , p. 30 .
  • Statement by IAEA Director General Hans Blix on IAEA Inspections in Iraq to the U.S. Senate Foreign Relations Committee, Washington, D.C., 23 October 1991 .
  • These tensions were evident in the discussions of “Committee 25”—a special committee that was created by the Board of Governors in 2005 to look into the issue of strengthening safeguards . John Carlson , “IAEA Safeguards Additional Protocol,” 20 January 2009, at http://www.icnnd.org/research/IAEA_Additional_Protocol.pdf
  • Jack Boureston and Tanya Ogilvie-White , “Seeking Nuclear Security Through Greater International Coordination,” IIGG Working Paper, Council on Foreign Relations, March 2010 .
  • Only a small percentage of safeguards R&D work takes place at the Agency's Safeguards Analytical Laboratory (SAL) in Seibersdorf, outside Vienna—most is conducted in the Agency's Network of Analytical Laboratories (NWAL), nearly all of which are based in Western states (although laboratories in Brazil and China have recently applied to join the network). GC(53)/9, 7 August 2009, p. 7, paragraph 28.
  • J. Whichello , D. Parise , and N. Khlebnikov , “IAEA Project on Novel Techniques,” at http://www.igse.net/typo3conf/ext/naw_securedl/secure.php?u=0&file=fileadmin/documents/inesap_bulletin_27/novel_techniques.pdf&t=1276595101&hash=26e6f85becfa31dc3b2022d4f7b7aa4a
  • There are legitimate reasons for the non-disclosure by the IAEA of certain safeguards-related information, but these are used to justify a more general—some would argue, unnecessary—lack of transparency in the Agency .
  • “Problems to Solve,” Project Description, Independent Group of Scientific Experts (iGSE), at http://www.igse.net/index.php?id=39
  • Since 2005, the IAEA General Council has repeatedly passed resolutions mandating the IAEA to strengthen safeguards—a priority set out in the IAEA Medium Term Strategy (MTS) 2006–2011, at http://www.iaea.org/About/mts2006_2011.pdf
  • GC(53)/RES/14, September 2009 .
  • NPT/CONF.2010/WP.5/Rev.1, 7 May 2010; NPT/CONF.2010/WP.21, 29 March 2010; and NPT/CONF.2010/WP.56, 4 May 2010 .
  • Statements by Ambassador Antonio Guerreiro (Brazil) and Ambassador Maged Abdelaziz (Egypt), 2010 NPT Review Conference, Main Committee II, 10 May 2010 .
  • James Acton and Carter Newman , IAEA Verification of Military Research and Development , Vertic Research Reports, No. 5, July 2006 , p. 52 .
  • Gregory L. Schulte , “North Korea and Syria: A Warning in the Desert,” Yale Global Online , 28 April 2010 , at http://yaleglobal.yale.edu/print/6305
  • Interview with Syria's permanent representative to the IAEA, Dr. Ibrahim Othman, quoted in “Syria Fully Cooperates with IAEA,” Syrian News Station , 24 November 2009 ; Gregory L. Schulte, “Uncovering Syria's Covert Reactor,” Carnegie Policy Outlook, January 2010, p. 3 .
  • GOV/OR.1206, para. 26 and GOV/2008/60, para 16 .
  • GOV/2009/36, para. 14 .
  • GOV/2009/9, para. 7 and GOV/2009/36, para 7 .
  • GOV/2010/11, para. 5–14 .
  • Anne Penketh , “UN Targets U.S. over Delay in Syrian Nuclear Evidence,” The Independent , 26 April 2008 .
  • Under INFCIRC/153, the IAEA can order a special inspection at suspect sites if it considers that information made available is not adequate for the Agency to fulfill its responsibilities for verifying the non-diversion of nuclear material. INFCIRC/153 (corr.), Part II, paragraph 73(b) .
  • James Acton , Mark Fitzpatrick , and Pierre Goldschmidt , “The IAEA Should Call for a Special Inspection in Syria,” Proliferation Analysis , 26 February 2009 .
  • Anne Penketh, “UN Targets U.S. over Delay in Syrian Nuclear Evidence.”
  • “Assad, Gul: Syrian–Turkish Relations on Solid Foundations,” Syrian News Station , 8 May 2010 .
  • For example, see discussions on IAEA handling of the South Korea file following revelations of non-compliance in 2004. Jungmin Kang , Tatsujiro Suzuki , and Peter Hayes , “South Korea's Nuclear Misadventures,” Nautilus Institute Special Report, 10 September 2004.
  • International criticism of U.S. failure to exert pressure on nuclear Israel is long-running and extends to the Obama administration's foreign policy. For background and analysis, see Avner Cohen and George Perkovich , “The Obama–Netanyahu Meeting: Nuclear Issues,” Proliferation Analysis , 14 May 2009 .
  • NPT/CONF.2010/WP.56, 4 May 2010 .
  • “IAEA Chief ElBaradei: Let Syria Have Nuclear Aid,” Reuters, 25 November 2008 .
  • Expanding the Additional Protocol Annex II declaration obligations would improve IAEA ability to find indicators of possible undeclared nuclear activities. Matti Tarvainen , “Unfair Trade,” IAEA Bulletin , Vol. 50 , No. 2 , May 2009 , pp. 61 – 63 .
  • For example, the independent Group of Scientific Experts (iGSE) is a mostly European and U.S. network of academics and analysts engaged in research on new technologies to detect clandestine nuclear activities. For details, see the iGSE Website at http://www.igse.net/

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