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Science & Global Security
The Technical Basis for Arms Control, Disarmament, and Nonproliferation Initiatives
Volume 8, 2000 - Issue 3
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Original Articles

Technical debate over patriot performance in the gulf war: American physical society panel correctly rejects criticisms of analysis showing patriot failed to destroy scud warheads

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Pages 357-398 | Published online: 21 Dec 2007

Notes and references

  • Lewis , George N. and Postol , Theodore A. 1993 . “Video Evidence on the Effectiveness of Patriot during the 1991 Gulf War” . Science & Global Security , 4 : 1 – 63 .
  • Postol , Theodore A. 1991/92 . “Lessons of the Gulf War Experience with Patriot” . International Security , 16 ( 3 ) Winter : 119 – 171 .
  • Postol , Theodore A. 1992 . “Correspondence: Patriot Experience in the Gulf War” . International Security , 17 ( 1 ) Summer : 225 – 240 .
  • Sullivan , Jeremiah , Fenstermacher , Dan , Fisher , Daniel , Howes , Ruth , Judd , O'Dean and Speed , Roger . 6 November 1993 . Report of the POPA Ad Hoc Panel on Patriot and Theater Missile Defenses 6 November , (chair)
  • Sullivan , Jeremiah D. , Fenstermacher , Dan , Fisher , Daniel , Howes , Ruth , Judd , O'Dean and Speed , Roger . 1998 . “Technical Debate over Patriot Performance in the Gulf War” . Science & Global Security , 8 : 39
  • Sullivan . “Technical Debate” . 39
  • Stein , Robert M. , Kantelis , John P. and Zimmerman , Peter D. 1999 . “Response to Science & Global Security Article ‘Technical Debate over Patriot Performance in the Gulf War’ by Jeremiah Sullivan et. al” . Science & Global Security , 8 ( 2 ) : 217 – 259 .
  • Sullivan . “Technical Debate” . 13
  • Stein . “Response to” . 225
  • Sullivan . “Technical Debate” . 16
  • Sullivan . “Report of the POPA Ad Hoc Panel” . 9
  • Sullivan . “Technical Debate” . 16
  • Stein . “Response to” . 225 – 227 .
  • Lewis and Postol . “Video Evidence” . 46 – 57 .
  • Stein . “Responseto” . 225
  • Lovece , Joseph . 1992 . “Electronic Noise from U.S. Gear Prompted Errant Patriots” . Defense Week , 28 September : 1
  • October 1992 . “The Performance of the Patriot Missile System in the Gulf War” . October , 27 – 28 . Staff Report to the Government Operations Subcommittee on Legislation and National Security, U.S. House of Representatives .
  • Conyers , John Jr. 1993 . “The Patriot Debate, Part 2,” . Arms Control Today , January/February : 27 29
  • U.S. General Accounting Office . April 1992 . “Project Manager's Assessment of Patriot Missile's Overall Performance Is Not Supported” . April , 5 GAO/T‐NSIAD‐92–97
  • Stein , Robert . Summer 1992 . “Correspondence: Patriot Experience in the Gulf War” . Vol. 17 , Summer , 211 International Security . No. 1
  • Conyer , John Jr. 1992 . “The Patriot Myth, Caveat Emptor” . Arms Control Today , November : 9
  • U.S. General Accounting Office . “Project Manager's Assessment” . 5
  • Stein . “Response to” . 235 – 240 .
  • Lewis and Postol . “Video Evidence” . 15 17 – 26 . 47 – 49 .
  • Stein . “Response to” . 236
  • Hughes , David . 1991 . “Success of Patriot System Shapes Debate on Future Antimissile Weapons” . Aviation Week , April 22 : 90 – 91 .
  • Kaplan , Fred . 1991 . “Specialists Debate the Value of Patriot” . Boston Globe , May 5 : 1 22
  • Stein . “Correspondence” . 213
  • Carter , James W. April 7 1992 . The Performance of the Patriot Missile in the Gulf War, Hearing before the Legislation and National Security Subcommittee of the Committee on Government Operations, U.S. House of Representatives , April 7 , 251 – 252 . Washington D.C. : U.S. Government Printing Office . 1993
  • Garner , Jay M. “We have an incoming Scud variant travelling at over 5,000 miles per hour. Fired up to meet it is a Patriot interceptor at over 3,000 miles an hour. We have a closing velocity somewhere around 9,000 miles an hour” . 217 – 218 .
  • Zimmerman , Peter . “ (the Z of SKZ): “Since the Scud is still moving at about 5,600 miles per hour...” . 163
  • Carter , James W. “In one second, they move a combined distance of nearly 12,000 feet..” . 253 (Vice‐President, Raytheon Company)
  • Sullivan . “Technical Debate” . 31
  • Stein . “Response to” . 236
  • Lewis and Postol . “Video Evidence” . 15 – 26 . 47 – 49 .
  • Sullivan . “Technical Debate” . 37
  • Stein . “Response to” . 224
  • U.S. Army . 15 July 1992 . “Patriot Performance Assessment in Desert Storm Roadmap (U)” . 15 July , 3
  • Stein . “Response to” . 224
  • Stein , Robert . 1992 . “Correspondence: Patriot Experience in the Gulf War” . International Security , 17 ( 1 ) Summer : 201
  • Staff Report . “The Performance of the Patriot Missile System” . 37
  • U.S. Army . “Roadmap” . 3
  • Sullivan . “Technical Debate” . 36 – 37 .
  • Sulllivan . “Technical Debate” . 36
  • Stein . “Response to” . 223
  • Naylor , Sean . 1991 . “Official Says Glitch Let Scud Bypass Patriot” . Defense News , May 6 : 20
  • Stein . “Responses to” . 219
  • Stein . “Response to” . 245 – 247 .
  • Stein . “Response to” . 28
  • Stein . “Response to” . 234
  • Postol , Theodore A. April 16 1991 . “Lessons for SDI from the Gulf War Experience with Patriot” . April 16 , Testimony delivered before the House Armed Services Committee .
  • Postol . “Lessons of the Gulf War” . 135
  • Fetter , Steve , Lewis , George and Gronlund , Lisbeth . 1993 . “Why Were Scud Casualties So Low?” . Nature , 362 January 26 : 293 – 296 .
  • Bleich , Avi , Dycian , Anat , Koslowsky , Meni , Solomon , Zahava and Wiener , Michael . 1995 . “Psychiatric Implications of Missile Attacks on a Civilian Population” . Journal of the American Medical Association , August : 613 – 615 .
  • Stein . “Response to” . 234
  • U.S. Army . “Roadmap” . 2 – 10 .
  • House Government Operations Committee . “Performance of the Patriot Missile in the Gulf War” . 237
  • U.S. Army . “Roadmap” . 6
  • U.S. Army . “Roadmap” . 5
  • U.S. Army . “Roadmap” . C‐15
  • Stein . “Responses to” . 218 – 219 .
  • Dupont , Daniel G. 1999 . “Army Named Lead Service for Land‐Based NMD System” . Inside Missile Defense , December 1 : 13
  • Sessler , Andrew M. , Cornwall , John M. , Dietz , Bob , Fetter , Steve , Frankel , Sherman , Garwin , Richard L. , Gottfried , Kurt , Gronlund , Lisbeth , Lewis , George N. , Postol , Theodore A. and Wright , David C. April 2000 . “Countermeasures: A Technical Evaluation of the Operational Effectiveness of the Planned U.S. National Missile Defense System” . April , Cambridge, Mass. : Union of Concerned Scientists and M.I.T. Security Studies Program . (Chair)
  • Maass , Peter . 1999 . “Get Ready, Here Comes the Exoatmospheric Kill Vehicle” . New York Times Magazine , September 26 : 58
  • Sirak , Michael C. 1999 . “DoD, Industry: NMD Countermeasures Getting Attention” . Inside Missile Defense , May 19 : 1 17 – 19 .
  • Sirak , Michael C. 1998 . “EKV Prototypes Discriminate ‘Spectacularly Well,’ Boeing NMD Chief Says” . Inside Missile Defense , September 30 : 14 – 15 .
  • Dr. George N. Lewis is Associate Director of the Security Studies Program at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts
  • Theodore A. Postol is Professor of Science Technology and National Security Policy at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts.

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