Predicting silage maize yield and quality in Sweden as influenced by climate change and variability

References

• AGPM 2000 . Besoins en degrés-jours des variétés de mais. Reactualisation 2000. Info No. 266 . Montardon , , France : Association Générale des Producteurs de Mais .
   Google Scholar
• Angus , J. F. , Kornher , A. , & Torssell , B. W. R. 1980 . A systems approach to estimation of Swedish ley production . XIV International Grassland Congress . Lexington Kentucky , , USA .
   Google Scholar
• Birch , C. J. , Hammer , G. L. and Rickert , K. G. 1998 . Temperature and photoperiod sensitivity of development in five cultivars of maize (Zea mays L.) from emergence to tassel initiation . Field Crops Research , 55 : 93 – 107 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Bleken , M. A. , Herrmann , A. , Haugen , L. E. , Taube , F. and Bakken , L. 2009 . SPN: A model for the study of soil-plant nitrogen fluxes in silage maize cultivation . European Journal of Agronomy , 30 : 283 – 295 .
   Google Scholar
• Bonhomme , R. , Derieux , M. and Edmeades , G. O. 1994 . Flowering of diverse maize cultivars in relation to temperature and photoperiod in multilocation field trials . Crop Science , 34 : 156 – 164 .
   Google Scholar
• Boogard , H. L. , Van Diepen , C. A. , Rötter , R. P. , Cabrera , J. C. M. A. and Van Laar , H. H. 1998 . WOFOST 7.1. user guide for the WOFOST 7.1. crop growth simulation model and WOFOST control centre 5.1. Tech. Doc. 52 , Wageningen : Alterra, WUR .
   Google Scholar
• Bootsma , A. , Gameda , S. and McKenney , D. W. 2005 . Potential impacts of climate change on corn, soybeans and barley yields in Atlantic Canada . Canadian Journal of Soil Science , 85 : 345 – 357 .
   Google Scholar
• Brisson , N. , Mary , B. , Ripoche , D. , Jeuffroy , M. H. , Ruget , F. , Nicoullaud , B. , Gate , P. , Devienne-Barret , F. , Antonioletti , R. , Durr , C. , Richard , G. , Beaudoin , G. , Recous , S. , Tayot , X. , Plenet , D. , Cellier , P. , Machet , J. M. , Meynard , J. M. and Delécolle , R. 1998 . STICS: a generic model for the simulation of crops and their water and nitrogen balance. I. Theory and parameterization applied to wheat and corn . Agronomie , 18 : 311 – 346 .
   Google Scholar
• Challinor , A. J. , Ewert , F. , Arnold , S. , Simelton , E. and Fraser , E. 2009 . Crops and climate change: progress, trends, and challenges in simulating impacts and informing adaptation . Journal of Experimental Botany , 60 : 2775 – 2789 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Chmielewski , F.-M. , Müller , A. and Bruns , E. 2004 . Climate change and trends in phenology of fruit trees and field crops in Germany, 1961–2000 . Agricultural and Forest Meteorology , 121 : 69 – 78 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Cooper , G. , McGechan , M. B. and Vinten , A. J. A. 1997 . The influence of a changed climate on soil workability and available workdays in Scotland . Journal of Agricultural Engineering Research , 68 : 253 – 269 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Davies , A. , Shao , J. , Brignall , P. , Bardgett , R. D. , Parry , M. L. and Pollock , C. J. 1996 . Specification of climatic sensitivity of forage maize to climate change . Grass and Forage Science , 51 : 306 – 317 .
   Google Scholar
• Drury , C. F. and Tau , C. S. 1995 . Long-term (35 years) effects of fertilization, rotation and weather on corn yields . Canadian Journal of Plant Science , 75 : 355 – 362 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Easterling , W. E. 1996 . Adapting North American agriculture to climate change in review . Agricultural and Forest Meteorology , 80 : 1 – 53 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Eckersten , H. , Andersson , L. , Holstein , F. , Mannerstedt Fogelfors , B. , Lewan , E. , Sigvald , R. , Torssell , B. , & Karlsson , S. 2008 . Bedömningar av klimatförändringars effekter på produktion inom jordbruket i Sverige (An evaluation of climate change effects on crop production in Sweden) . Report No. 6, Department of Crop Production Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala, Sweden. 145 pp. http://www2.vpe.slu.se/VPEreport/VPE%20report%20No%206.pdf. (In Swedish with English summary)
   Google Scholar
• Eckersten , H. , Kornher , A. , Bergkvist , G. , Forkman , J. , Sindhoj , E. , Torssell , B. and Nyman , P. 2010 . Crop yield trends in relation to temperature indices and a growth model . Climate Research , 42 : 119 – 131 .
   Google Scholar
• Eckersten , H. , Torssell , B. , Kornher , A. and Boström , U. 2007 . Modelling biomass, water and nitrogen in grass ley: estimation of N uptake parameters . European Journal of Agronomy , 27 : 89 – 101 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Ewert , F. , Rounsevell , M. D. A. , Reginster , I. , Metzger , M. J. and Leemans , R. 2005 . Future scenarios of European agricultural land use. I. Estimating changes in crop productivity. Agriculture . Ecosystems and Environment , 107 : 101 – 116 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Fagerberg , B. and Nyman , P. 1994 . Modeling weather effects on nutritional value of grassland leys. Estimation and validation of parameters in a model for changes in metabolizable energy content . Swedish Journal of Agricultural Research , 24 : 147 – 156 .
   Google Scholar
• Fagerberg , B. and Torssell , B. 1995 . Estimation of variation in growth potential of leys with different red clover contents, nitrogen applications and cutting regimes . Das Wirtschaftseigene Futter , 41 : 145 – 162 .
   Google Scholar
• FFE 2009 . Fältforskningsenheten, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences. www.ffe.slu.se.
   Google Scholar
• Fogelfors H. , Wivstad M. , Eckersten H. , Holstein F. , Johansson S. , & Verwijst T. Strategic analysis of Swedish agriculture – production systems and agricultural landscapes in a time of change . Report 10. Department of Crop Production Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences Uppsala 2009
   Google Scholar
• Gonzalez-Camacho , J. M. , Maillhol , J. C. and Ruget , F. 2008 . Local impact of increasing CO2 in the atmosphere on maize crop water productivity in the Drome valley, France . Irrigation Science , 57 : 229 – 243 .
   Google Scholar
• Gurr , G. M. and Kimber , D. S. 1983 . Ontario units and maize growth in the UK . Journal of the National Institute of Agricultural Botany , 16 : 257 – 265 .
   Google Scholar
• Herrmann , A. , Kelm , M. , Kornher , A. and Taube , F. 2005a . Performance of grassland under different cutting regimes as affected by sward composition, nitrogen input, soil conditions and weather – a simulation study . European Journal of Agronomy , 22 : 141 – 158 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Herrmann , A. , Kornher , A. and Taube , F. 2005b . A new harvest time prognosis tool for forage maize production in Germany . Agricultural and Forest Meteorology , 130 : 95 – 111 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Herrmann , A. , Kornher , A. , Höppner , F. , Greef , J. M. and Taube , F. 2006 . Harvest time prediction, validation, and implementation in practical agriculture . Grassland Science in Europe , 11 : 559 – 651 .
   Google Scholar
• Holden , N. M. and Brereton , A. J. 2003 . “ The impact of climate change on Irish agriculture ” . In Climate change scenarios and impacts for Ireland , Edited by: Sweeney , J. 33 – 79 . Johnstown Castle , Wexford : ERTDI Report Series No. 15. Environmental Protection Agency .
   Google Scholar
• Hushållningssällskapen 2009 Agricultural Extension Services Organisation . http://www.skaneforsoken.nu/. (in Swedish)
   Google Scholar
• IPCC 2000 IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios . http://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/assessments-reports.htm
   Google Scholar
• IPCC 2007 . , in K. L. Parry , O. F. Canziani , J. P. Palutikof , P. J. van der Linden , & C. E. Hanson Climate change 2007: Impacts, adaptation and vulnerability , Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change . Cambridge : Cambridge University Press .
   Google Scholar
• Jones , C. A. and Kiniry , J. R. 1986 . CERES-Maize. A simulation model of growth and development , College Station , TX : Texas A&M University Press .
   Google Scholar
• Jordbruksverket 2010 . Swedish Board of Agriculture http://www.jordbruksverket.se/amnesomraden/odling/andrajordbruksgrodor/majs/skordestatistik.html. (in Swedish)
   Google Scholar
• Kornher , A. and Torssell , B. W. R. 1983 . Estimation of parameters in a yield prediction model for temporary grasslands using regional experimental data . Swedish Journal of Agricultural Research , 13 : 137 – 144 .
   Google Scholar
• Kruse , S. , Herrmann , A. , Kornher , A. and Taube , F. 2008 . Evaluation of genotype and environmental variation in fibre content of silage maize using a model-assisted approach . European Journal of Agronomy , 28 : 210 – 223 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Kucharik , C. J. , & Serbin S. P. 2008 . Impacts of recent climate change on Wisconsin corn and soybean yield trends . Environmental Research Letters , 3 034003 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Lawlor , D. W. and Mitchell , R. A. C. 1991 . The effects of increasing CO2 on crop photosynthesis and productivity: a review of field studies . Plant, Cell and Environment , 14 : 807 – 818 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Leakey , A. D. , Uribelarrea , M. , Ainsworth , E. A. , Naidu , S. L. , Rogers , A. , Ort , D. R. and Long , S. P. 2006 . Photosynthesis, productivity, and yield of maize are not affected by open-air elevation of CO2 concentration in the absence of drought . Plant Physiology , 140 : 779 – 790 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Leipner , J. and Stamp , P. 2009 . “ Chilling stress in maize seedlings ” . In Handbook of maize. Its biology , Edited by: Bennetzen , J. L. and Hake , S. C. 291 – 310 . New York : Springer Sci.+Business Media .
   Google Scholar
• Lobell , D. B. and Field , C. B. 2007 . Global scale climate-crop yield relationship and the impacts of recent warming . Environmental Research Letters , 2 : 014002
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Meza , F. J. and Silva , D. 2009 . Dynamic adaptation of maize and wheat production to climate change . Climatic Change , 94 : 143 – 156 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Miller , T. A. , Muslin , E. H. , Muslin , E. H. and Dorweiler , J. E. 2008 . A maize CONSTANS-like gene, conz1, exhibits distinct diurnal expression patterns in varied photoperiods . Planta , 227 : 1377 – 1388 .
   PubMedGoogle Scholar
• Moriondo , M. , Bindi , M. , Kundzewicz , Z. W. , Szwed , M. , Chorynski , A. , Matczak , P. , Radziejewski , M. , McEvoy , D. and Wreford , A. 2010 . Impact and adaptation opportunities for European agriculture in response to climatic change and variability . Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change , 15 : 657 – 679 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Muchow , R. C. , Sinclair , Y. R. and Bennet , J. M. 1990 . Temperature and solar radiation effects on potential maize yield across location . Agronomy Journal , 82 : 338 – 343 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Olesen , J. E. , Carter , T. R. , Diaz-Ambrona , C. H. , Fronzek , S. , Heidmann , T. , Hickler , T. , Holt , T. , Minguez , M. I. , Morales , P. , Palutikof , J. P. , Quemada , M. , Ruiz-Ramos , M. , Rubaek , G. H. , Sau , F. , Smith , B. and Sykes , M. T. 2007 . Uncertainties in projected impacts of climate change on European agriculture and terrestrial ecosystems based on scenarios from regional climate models . Climatic Change , 81 : 123 – 143 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Pearson , C. J. , Bucknell , D. and Laughlin , G. P. 2008 . Modeling crop productivity and variability for policy and impacts of climate change in eastern Canada . Environmental Modeling and Software , 23 : 1345 – 1355 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Phipps , R. H. , Fulford , R. J. and Crofts , F. C. 1974 . Relationships between the production of forage maize and accumulated temperature, Ontario heat units and solar radiation . Agricultural Meteorology , 14 : 385 – 397 .
   Google Scholar
• Quilbé , R. , Rousseau , A. N. , Moquet , J.-S. , Savary , S. , Ricard , S. and Garbouj , M. S. 2008 . Hydrological responses of a watershed to historical land use evolution and future land use scenarios under climate change conditions . Hydrology and Earth System Sciences , 12 : 101 – 110 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• SAS Institute 2007 . JMP User Guide, Release 7 SAS Institute Inc Cary , N.C
   Google Scholar
• SLU 2009 . Ultuna climate station . Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences. http://grodden.evp.slu.se/slu_klimat/index.html
   Google Scholar
• SMHI 2009 . Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute . http://www.smhi.se/en.
   Google Scholar
• Smith , P. J. , Bootsma , A. and Gates , A. D. 1982 . Heat units in relation to corn maturity in the Atlantic region of Canada . Agricultural Meteorology , 26 : 201 – 213 .
   Google Scholar
• SOU 2007 . Sverige inför klimatförändringarna – hot och möjligheter (Sweden and climate change – threats and opportunities . http://www.regeringen.se/sb/d/8704/a/89334.
   Google Scholar
• Torriani , D. S. , Calanca , P. , Schmid , S. , Beniston , M. and Fuhrer , J. 2007 . Potential effects of changes in mean climate and climate variability on the yield of winter and spring crops in Switzerland . Climate Research , 34 : 59 – 69 .
   Google Scholar
• Torssell , B. W. R. Kornher , A. & Svensson , A. 1982 Optimization of parameters in a yield prediction model for temporary grasslands . Report 112 . Department of Crop Production, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences. Uppsala
   Google Scholar
• Tubiello , F. N. , Soussana , J.-F. and Howden , S. M. 2007 . Crop and pasture response to climate change . Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA , 104 : 19686 – 19690 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Wiklert , P. Andersson , S. Weidow , B. Karlsson , I. & Håkansson , A. 1983 Studier av markprofiler i svenska åkerjordar. En faktasammanställning . Reports from the Department of Soil Sciences, Division of Agricultural Hydrotechnics, SLU.
   Google Scholar
• Wolf , J. and Van Diepen , C. A. 1994 . Effects of climate change on silage production potential in the European Community . Agricultural and Forest Meteorology , 71 : 33 – 60 .
   Google Scholar
• Wösten , J. H. M. Lilly , A. Nemes , A. & Le Bas , C. 1998 . Using existing soil data to derive hydraulic parameters for simulation models in environmental studies and in land use planning . Report 157 DLO Winand Staring Centre. Wageningen
   Google Scholar
• Yang , H. S. , Dobermann , A. , Lindquist , J. L. , Walters , D. T. , Arkebauer , T. J. and Cassman , K. G. 2004 . Hybrid-maize – a maize simulation model that combines two crop modelling approaches . Field Crops Research , 87 : 131 – 154 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Zalud , Z. and Dubrovsky , M. 2002 . Modelling climate change impacts on maize growth and development in the Czech Republic . Theoretical and Applied Climatology , 72 : 85 – 102 .
   Google Scholar