2,654
Views
3
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Research article

The difficulty of steering settlement development to reduce the loss of ecosystem services: an exploration of different development scenarios in Switzerland using spatially explicit land-use models

, , , , &
Pages 1037-1055 | Received 26 Jul 2018, Accepted 06 Jun 2019, Published online: 17 Jul 2019

References

  • Afifi, A. A., M. A. Elsemary, and M. A. Wahab. 2013. “Urban Sprawl of Greater Cairo and its Impact on the Agricultural Land Using Remote Sensing and Digital Soil Map.” Journal of Applied Sciences Research 9: 5159–5167.
  • Arsanjani, J. J., M. Helbich, W. Kainz, and A. D. Boloorani. 2013. “Integration of Logistic Regression, Markov Chain and Cellular Automata Models to Simulate Urban Expansion.” International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation 21: 265–275. doi: 10.1016/j.jag.2011.12.014.
  • Arsanjani, J. J., M. Helbich, and E. D. Vaz. 2013. “Spatiotemporal Simulation of Urban Growth Patterns Using Agent-Based Modeling: The Case of Tehran.” Cities 32: 33–42. doi: 10.1016/j.cities.2013.01.005.
  • Beatley, T. 2000. Green Urbanism: Learning from European Cities. Washington, DC: Island Press.
  • Bengston, D. N., J. O. Fletcher, and K. C. Nelson. 2004. “Public Policies for Managing Urban Growth and Protecting Open Space: Policy Instruments and Lessons Learned in the United States.” Landscape and Urban Planning 69 (2–3): 271–286. doi: 10.1016/j.landurbplan.2003.08.007.
  • Bivand, R. S., E. J. Pebesma, and V. Gómez-Rubio. 2008. Applied Spatial Data Analysis with R. New York: Springer.
  • Bloetzer, G. 2004. Walderhaltungspolitik: Entwicklung und Urteil der Fachleute - Forest Conservation Policy. Bern, Switzerland: Bundesamt für Umwelt, Wald und Landschaft (BUWAL).
  • Bockstael, N. E. 1996. “Modeling Economics and Ecology: The Importance of a Spatial Perspective.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics 78 (5): 1168–1180. doi: 10.2307/1243487.
  • Chan, E. H. W., and J. Hou. 2015. “Developing a Framework to Appraise the Critical Success Factors of Transfer Development Rights (TDRs) for Built Heritage Conservation.” Habitat International 46: 35–43.
  • Colavitti, A. M., and S. Serra. 2018. “The Transfer of Development Rights as a Tool for the Urban Growth Containment: A Comparison Between the United States and Italy.” Papers in Regional Science 97 (4): 1247–1265. doi: 10.1111/pirs.12295.
  • Dray, S., P. Legendre, and P. R. Peres-Neto. 2006. “Spatial Modelling: A Comprehensive Framework for Principal Coordinate Analysis of Neighbour Matrices (PCNM).” Ecological Modelling 196 (3–4): 483–493. doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2006.02.015.
  • EEA. 2006. Urban Sprawl in Europe: The Ignored Challenge. European Environment Agency Report No 10/2006. European Environment Agency.
  • Elmqvist, T. 2013. Urbanization, Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services: Challenges and Opportunities: A Global Assessment. Dordrecht: Springer Netherlands.
  • Ewing, R., and S. Hamidi. 2015. “Compactness Versus Sprawl: A Review of Recent Evidence from the United States.” Journal of Planning Literature 30 (4): 413–432. doi: 10.1177/0885412215595439.
  • Falco, E., and F. Chiodelli. 2018. “The Transfer of Development Rights in the Midst of the Economic Crisis: Potential, Innovation and Limits in Italy.” Land Use Policy 72: 381–388. doi: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2017.12.069.
  • Filatova, T., D. Parker, and A. Van Der Veen. 2009. “Agent-Based Urban Land Markets: Agent's Pricing Behavior, Land Prices and Urban Land Use Change.” Jasss-the Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation 12 (1–3): 1–30.
  • FSO, Swiss Federal Statistical Office. 2015. Bilanz der ständigen Wohnbevölkerung nach institutionellen Gliederungen, Staatsangehörigkeit (Kategorie), Geschlecht und demographischen Komponenten. Neuchâtel, Switzerland: FSO.
  • Gennaio, M. P., A. M. Hersperger, and M. Burgi. 2009. “Containing Urban Sprawl-Evaluating Effectiveness of Urban Growth Boundaries Set by the Swiss Land Use Plan.” Land Use Policy 26 (2): 224–232. doi: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2008.02.010.
  • Gihring, T. A. 1999. “Incentive Property Taxation: A Potential Tool for Urban Growth Management.” Journal of the American Planning Association 65 (1): 62–79. doi: 10.1080/01944369908976034.
  • Gmünder, M., N. Braun, and N. Aeschbacher. 2011. Konzepte Zur Bauzonenverkleinerung: Abklärung Der Monetären Folgen Und Der Wirksamkeit Von Vier Verschiedenen Konzepten. Bern: ARE, S. I. A. D..
  • Gmünder, M. 2010. Raumplanung zwischen Regulierung und Markt: Eine ökonomische Analyse anreizorientierter Instrumente in der Raumplanung. Zürich/Chur: Rüegger Verlag.
  • Griffith, D. A., and P. R. Peres-Neto. 2006. “Spatial Modeling in Ecology: The Flexibility of Eigenfunction Spatial Analyses.” Ecology 87 (10): 2603–2613. doi: 10.1890/0012-9658(2006)87[2603:SMIETF.2.0.CO;2]
  • Grimm, V., and S. F. Railsback. 2012. “Pattern-Oriented Modelling: A ‘Multi-Scope’ for Predictive Systems Ecology.” Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 367 (1586): 298–310. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2011.0180.
  • Haase, D., N. Larondelle, E. Andersson, M. Artmann, S. Borgstrom, J. Breuste, E. Gomez-Baggethun, et al. 2014. “A Quantitative Review of Urban Ecosystem Service Assessments: Concepts, Models, and Implementation.” Ambio 43 (4): 413–433. doi: 10.1007/s13280-014-0504-0.
  • Harman, B., and D. L. Choy. 2011. “Perspectives on Tradable Development Rights for Ecosystem Service Protection: Lessons from an Australian Peri-Urban Region.” Journal of Environmental Planning and Management 54 (5): 617–635. doi: 10.1080/09640568.2010.526405.
  • Harman, B. P., R. Pruetz, and P. Houston. 2015. “Tradeable Development Rights to Protect Peri-Urban Areas: Lessons from the United States and Observations on Australian Practice.” Journal of Environmental Planning and Management 58 (2): 357–381. doi: 10.1080/09640568.2013.859130.
  • Helming, K., K. Diehl, H. Bach, O. Dilly, B. Konig, T. Kuhlman, M. Perez-Soba., et al. 2011. “Ex Ante Impact Assessment of Policies Affecting Land Use, Part A: Analytical Framework.” Ecology and Society 16 (1): 29. http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol16/iss1/art29/
  • Henger, R., and K. Bizer. 2010. “Tradable Planning Permits for Land-Use Control in Germany.” Land Use Policy 27 (3): 843–852. doi: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2009.11.003.
  • Hirt, S. 2007. “The Devil Is in the Definitions: Contrasting American and German Approaches to Zoning.” Journal of the American Planning Association 73 (4): 436–450. doi: 10.1080/01944360708978524.
  • Hoymann, J. 2012. “Quantifying Demand for Built-up Area: A Comparison of Approaches and Application to Regions with Stagnating Population.” Journal of Land Use Science 7 (1): 67–87. doi: 10.1080/1747423X.2010.522600.
  • Hu, Z., and C. P. Lo. 2007. “Modeling Urban Growth in Atlanta Using Logistic Regression.” Computers, Environment and Urban Systems 31 (6): 667–688. doi: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2006.11.001.
  • Humbel, R., A. Beyeler, J. Burkhalter, R. Pfister, J. Sager, H.-U. Zaugg. 2009. Arealstatistik nach Nomenklatur 2004. Neuchâtel, Switzerland: Bundesamt für Statistik BFS.
  • Hyndman, R. J. and Y. Khandakar. 2008. “Automatic Time Series Forecasting: The Forecast Package for R.” Journal of Statistical Software 27: 1–22.
  • Imhoff, M. L., W. T. Lawrence, C. D. Elvidge, T. Paul, E. Levine, and M. V. Privalsky. 1997. “Using Nighttime DMSP/OLS Images of City Lights to Estimate the Impact of Urban Land Use on Soil Resources in the United States.” Remote Sensing of Environment 59: 105–117.
  • Irwin, E. G., and J. Geoghegan. 2001. “Theory, Data, Methods: Developing Spatially Explicit Economic Models of Land Use Change.” Agriculture Ecosystems and Environment 85: 7–23. doi: 10.1016/S0167-8809(01)00200-6.
  • Jaeger, J. A. G., and C. Schwick. 2014. “Improving the Measurement of Urban Sprawl: Weighted Urban Proliferation (WUP) and Its Application to Switzerland.” Ecological Indicators 38: 294–308. doi: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2013.11.022.
  • Janssen-Jansen, L. B. 2008. “Space for Space: A Transferable Development Rights Initiative for Changing the Dutch Landscape.” Landscape and Urban Planning 87 (3): 192–200. doi: 10.1016/j.landurbplan.2008.06.002.
  • Kaplowitz, M. D., P. Machemer, and R. Pruetz. 2008. “Planners’ Experiences in Managing Growth Using Transferable Development Rights (TDR) in the United States.” Land Use Policy 25: 378–387.
  • King, G., and L. Zeng. 2001. “Logistic Regression in Rare Events Data.” Political Analysis 9 (2): 137–163. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.pan.a004868.
  • Koomen, E. 2007. Modelling Land-Use Change: Progress and Applications. Dordrecht: Springer Netherlands.
  • Koomen, E., V. Diogo, J. Dekkers, and P. Rietveld. 2015. “A Utility-Based Suitability Framework for Integrated Local-Scale Land-Use Modelling.” Computers Environment and Urban Systems 50: 1–14. doi: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2014.10.002.
  • Li, J. D., J. S. Deng, Q. Gu, K. Wang, F. J. Ye, Z. H. Xu, and S. Q. Jin. 2015. “The Accelerated Urbanization Process: A Threat to Soil Resources in Eastern China.” Sustainability 7: 7137–7155.
  • Linkous, E. R. 2017. “Transfer of Development Rights and Urban Land Markets.” Environment and Planning A 49 (5): 1122–1145. doi: 10.1177/0308518X16686794.
  • Lubowski, R. N. 2002. “Determinants of Land-Use Transitions in the United States: Econometric Analysis of Changes among the Major Land-Use Categories.” PhD Thesis, Harvard University.
  • Magliocca, N., V. Mcconnell, and M. Walls. 2015. “Exploring Sprawl: Results from an Economic Agent-Based Model of Land and Housing Markets.” Ecological Economics 113: 114–125. doi: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2015.02.020.
  • Martellozzo, F., N. Ramankutty, R. J. Hall, D. T. Price, B. Purdy, and M. A. Friedl. 2015. “Urbanization and the Loss of Prime Farmland: A Case Study in the Calgary-Edmonton Corridor of Alberta.” Regional Environmental Change 15: 881–893.
  • Meentemeyer, R. K., W. W. Tang, M. A. Dorning, J. B. Vogler, N. J. Cunniffe, and D. A. Shoemaker. 2013. “FUTURES: Multilevel Simulations of Emerging Urban-Rural Landscape Structure Using a Stochastic Patch-Growing Algorithm.” Annals of the Association of American Geographers 103 (4): 785–807. doi: 10.1080/00045608.2012.707591.
  • Menghini, G., F. Gemperle, I. Seidl, and K. W. Axhausen. 2015. “Results of an Agent-Based Market Simulation for Transferable Development Rights (TDR) in Switzerland.” Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design 42: 157–183. doi: 10.1068/b120066p.
  • Meub, L., T. Proeger, K. Bizer, and R. Henger. 2016. “Experimental Evidence on the Resilience of a Cap and Trade System for Land Consumption in Germany.” Land Use Policy 51: 95–108. doi: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2015.10.018.
  • Millennium Ecosystem Assessment. 2005. Ecosystems and Human Well-Being: Synthesis. Washington, DC: Island Press.
  • Mosteller, F., and J. W. Tukey. 1977. Data Analysis and Regression: A Second Course in Statistics. Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley.
  • Nelson, A., R. Pruetz, and D. Woodruff. 2012. The TDR Handbook: Designing and Implementing Transfer of Development Rights Programs. Washington, DC: Island Press.
  • Nuissl, H., D. Haase, M. Lanzendorf, and H. Wittmer. 2009. “Environmental Impact Assessment of Urban Land Use Transitions: A Context-Sensitive Approach.” Land Use Policy 26 (2): 414–424. doi: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2008.05.006.
  • Nuissl, H., and C. Schroeter-Schlaack. 2009. “On the Economic Approach to the Containment of Land Consumption.” Environmental Science and Policy 12: 270–280. doi: 10.1016/j.envsci.2009.01.008.
  • Overmars, K. P., P. H. Verburg, and T. A. Veldkamp. 2007. “Comparison of a Deductive and an Inductive Approach to Specify Land Suitability in a Spatially Explicit Land Use Model.” Land Use Policy 24 (3): 584–599. doi: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2005.09.008.
  • Plantinga, A. J., and D. J. Lewis. 2014. Landscape Simulations with Econometric-Based Land Use Models, edited by J. M. Duke and J. Wu, 1–17. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
  • Price, B., F. Kienast, I. Seidl, C. Ginzler, P. H. Verburg, and J. Bolliger. 2015. “Future Landscapes of Switzerland: Risk Areas for Urbanisation and Land Abandonment.” Applied Geography 57: 32–41. doi: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2014.12.009.
  • Proeger, T., L. Meub, and K. Bizer. 2018. “Laboratory Experiments of Tradable Development Rights: A Synthesis of Different Treatments.” Sustainability 10 (6): 1972. doi: 10.3390/su10061972.
  • Pruetz, R., and N. Standridge. 2008. “What Makes Transfer of Development Rights Work?: Success Factors from Research and Practice.” Journal of the American Planning Association 75 (1): 78–87. doi: 10.1080/01944360802565627.
  • Riechers, M., M. Strack, J. Barkmann, and T. Tscharntke. 2019. “Cultural Ecosystem Services Provided by Urban Green Change along an Urban-Periurban Gradient.” Sustainability 11 (3): 645. doi: 10.3390/su11030645.
  • Sager, D. 2014. Inseratedaten Immobilien. Zürich. www.meta-sys.ch.
  • Sakamoto, Y., M. Ishiguro, and G. Kitagawa. 1986. Akaike Information Criterion Statistics. Tokyo/Dordrecht: KTK Scientific Publishers/Reidel.
  • Salvati, L. 2013. “Monitoring High-Quality Soil Consumption Driven by Urban Pressure in a Growing City (Rome, Italy).” Cities 31: 349–356.
  • Schirmer, P. M., M. A. B. van Eggermond, and K. W. Axhausen. 2014. “The Role of Location in Residential Location Choice Models: A Review of Literature.” Journal of Transport and Land Use 7 (2): 3–121.
  • Schuler, M., and D. Joye. 2007. Typologie der Gemeinden der Schweiz: 1980–2000. Neuchâtel, Switzerland: Bundesamt für Statistik.
  • Schwaab, J., K. Deb, E. Goodman, S. Lautenbach, M. van Strien, and A. Grêt-Regamey. 2017. “Reducing the Loss of Agricultural Productivity Due to Compact Urban Development in Municipalities of Switzerland.” Computers, Environment and Urban Systems 65: 162–177. doi: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2017.06.005.
  • Silva, E., and N. Wu. 2012. “Surveying Models in Urban Land Studies.” Journal of Planning Literature 27 (2): 139–152. doi: 10.1177/0885412211430477.
  • TEEB. 2010. The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity: Mainstreaming the Economics of Nature: A Synthesis of the Approach, Conclusions and Recommendations of TEEB. Geneva: TEEB.
  • UVEK. 2014. Technische Richtlinien Bauzonen. Eidgenössisches Departement für Umwelt, Verkehr, Energie und Kommunikation. https://www.are.admin.ch/are/de/home/raumentwicklung-und-raumplanung/strategie-und-planung/kantonale-richtplaene.html
  • Vejchodská, E. 2016. “Tradable Planning Permits Versus Auctioned Tradable Development Rights: Different Trading Agents, Different Policy Outcomes.” Journal of Environmental Planning and Management 59 (8): 1418–1437. doi: 10.1080/09640568.2015.1077105.
  • Verburg, P. H., P. P. Schot, M. J. Dijst, and A. Veldkamp. 2004. “Land Use Change Modelling: Current Practice and Research Priorities.” GeoJournal 61 (4): 309–324. doi: 10.1007/s10708-004-4946-y.
  • Verburg, P. H., W. Soepboer, A. Veldkamp, R. Limpiada, V. Espaldon, and S. S. A. Mastura. 2002. “Modeling the Spatial Dynamics of Regional Land Use: The CLUE-S Model.” Environmental Management 30 (3): 391–405. doi: 10.1007/s00267-002-2630-x.
  • Vimal, R., G. Geniaux, P. Pluvinet, C. Napoleone, and J. Lepart. 2012. “Detecting Threatened Biodiversity by Urbanization at Regional and Local Scales Using an Urban Sprawl Simulation Approach: Application on the French Mediterranean Region.” Landscape and Urban Planning 104 (3–4): 343–355. doi: 10.1016/j.landurbplan.2011.11.003.
  • Wang, H., R. Tao, and J. Tong. 2009. “Trading Land Development Rights under a Planned Land Use System: The “Zhejiang Model.” China and World Economy 17: 66–82. doi: 10.1111/j.1749-124X.2009.01131.x.
  • Wüest and Partner AG. 2014. Immo-Monitoring 2014: Real Estate Monitoring 2014. Zürich: Wüest Partner.
  • Zollinger, F. 2005. “Handelbare Flächenzertifikate Und Die Schweizer Raumplanung.” disP – The Planning Review 41 (160): 67–74. doi: 10.1080/02513625.2005.10556908.

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.