Future urban seismic risk scenarios using a cellular automata model

References

• Alcalá-García, F., Espinosa, J., Navarro, M., & Sánchez, F. (2002). Propuesta de división geológica de la localidad de Adra (provincia de Almería). Aplicación a la zonacion sismica. Revista de la Sociedad Geologica de España, 15, 55–66.
   Google Scholar
• Alguacil, G., Vidal, F., & Aramburu, L. (2014). Empirical relationships between EMS intensity and instrumental ground-motion parameters for the Euro-Mediterranean area. IUGG Conference on Geophysical Risk. IUGG Commission on Geophysical Risk and Sustainability, Madrid.
   Google Scholar
• Arcangelis, L., Godano, C., Grasso, J., & Lippiello, E. (2016). Statistical physics approach to earthquake occurrence and forecasting. Physics Reports, 628, 1–91. doi: 10.1016/j.physrep.2016.03.002
   Google Scholar
• Bak, P., & Tang, C. (1989). Earthquakes as a self-organized critical phenomenon. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 94, 15635–15637. doi: 10.1029/jb094ib11p15635
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Barredo, J., & Engelen, G. (2010). Land use scenario modeling for flood risk mitigation. Sustainability, 2(5), 1327–1344. doi: 10.3390/su2051327
   Google Scholar
• Batty, M. (2005). Cities and complexity: Understanding cities with cellular automata, agent-based models, and fractals. Cambridge: MIT.
   Google Scholar
• Batty, M. (2013). The new science of cities. Cambridge: The MIT Press.
   Google Scholar
• Benito, B., Navarro, M., Vidal, F., Gaspar-Escribano, J., García, M., & Martínez-Solares, J. (2010). A new seismic hazard assessment in the region of Andalusia (Southern Spain). Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, 8, 739–766. doi: 10.1007/s10518-010-9175-9
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Bettencourt, L. (2013). The kind of problem a city is. Santa Fe Institute Working Paper.
   Google Scholar
• Canters, F., Vanderhaegen, S., Khan, A., Engelen, G., & Uljee, I. (2014). Land-use simulation as a supporting tool for flood risk assessment and coastal safety planning: The case of the Belgian coast. Ocean and Coastal Management, 101(B), 102–113. doi: 10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2014.07.018
   Google Scholar
• Coburn, A., & Spence, R. (2002). Earthquake protection. Chichester: Wiley.
   Google Scholar
• Feyen, L., Barredo, J., & Dankers, R. (2009). Implications of global warming and urban land use change on flooding in Europe. In J. Feyen, K. Shannon, & M. Neville (Eds.), Water & urban development paradigms – Towards an integration of engineering, design and management approaches (pp. 217–225). London, UK: CRC Press.
   Google Scholar
• Grekousis, G., Manetos, P., & Photis, Y. (2013). Modeling urban evolution using neural networks, fuzzy logic and GIS: The case of the Athens metropolitan area. Cities, 30, 193–203. doi: 10.1016/j.cities.2012.03.006
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Grünthal, G. (Ed.). (1998). European macroseismic scale 1998. Luxembourg: European Seismological Commission.
   Google Scholar
• He, C., Zhao, Y., Huang, Q., Zhang, Q., & Zhang, D. (2015). Alternative future analysis for assessing the potential impact of climate change on urban landscape dynamics. Science of the Total Environment, 532, 48–60. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2015.05.103
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• INE. (2016). Spanish Statistical Office. Retrieved from https://www.ine.es
   Google Scholar
• Kontou, P., Georgoulas, I., Trunfio, G., & Sirakoulis, G. (2018). Cellular automata modelling of the movement of people with disabilities during building evacuation. Proceedings – 26th Euromicro International Conference on Parallel, Distributed, and Network-based Processing, PDP 2018, Institute of Electrical, Electronics Engineers Inc., Cambridge, UK.
   Google Scholar
• Liu, Y. (2009). Modelling urban development with geographical information systems and cellular automata. Santa Monica, CA: CRC Press.
   Google Scholar
• Lowry, I. (1964). A model of metropolis. Santa Monica, CA: The RAND Corporation.
   Google Scholar
• Malamud, B., & Turcotte, D. (1999). Self-organized criticality applied to natural hazards. Natural Hazards, 20(2), 93–116. doi: 10.1023/A:1008014000515
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Martins, V., Cabral, P., & Sousa E Silva, D. (2012). Urban modelling for seismic prone areas: The case study of Vila Franca do Campo (Azores Archipelago, Portugal). Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 12 (9), 2731–2741. doi: 10.5194/nhess-12-2731-2012
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Martínez-Pagán, P., Navarro, M., Pérez-Cuevas, J., Alcalá, F., García-Jerez, F., & Vidal, F. (2018). Shear-wave velocity structure from MASW and SPAC methods. The case of Adra town, SE Spain. Near Surface Geophysics, 16(3), 356–371. doi: 10.3997/1873-0604.2018012
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Martínez-Pagán, P., Navarro, M., Pérez-Cuevas, J., García-Jerez, A., Alcalá, F., & Vidal, F. (2015). Application of SPAC and MASW techniques to earthquake-shaking scenarios. The case of the 1993–1994 Adra earthquakes. Conference Proceedings, Near Surface Geoscience 2015 – 21st European Meeting of Environmental and Engineering Geophysics (pp. 1–5). European Association of Geoscientists & Engineers. doi: 10.3997/2214-4609.201413738
   Google Scholar
• Molina, S., Navarro, M., Martínez-Pagan, P., Pérez-Cuevas, J., Vidal, F., Navarro, D., & Agea-Medina, N. (2018). Potential damage and losses in a repeat of the 1910 Adra (Southern Spain) earthquake. Natural Hazards, 92(3), 1547–1571. doi: 10.1007/s11069-018-3263-6
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Morales, J., Benito, B., & Lujan, M. (2003). Expected ground motion in the South-east of Spain due to an earthquake in the epicentral area of the 1910 Adra earthquake. Journal of Seismology, 7, 155–174. doi: 10.1023/A:1023506015307
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Navarro, M., Vidal, F., Enomoto, T., Alcalá, F., Sánchez, F., & Abeki, N. (2007). Analysis of site effects weightiness on RC building seismic response. The Adra (SE Spain) example. Earthquake Engineering and Structural Dynamics, 36, 1363–1383. doi: 10.1002/eqe.685
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Portugali, J. (2000). Self-organization and the city. Berlin: Springer.
   Google Scholar
• Salingaros, N. (1998). Theory of the urban web. Journal of Urban Design, 3, 53–71. doi: 10.1080/13574809808724416
   Google Scholar
• SISMOSAN. (2007). Project on ‘Hazard and Seismic Risk in Andalusia’. Internal Report for the Regional Interior Ministry of the Junta de Andalucía. Junta de Andalucía.
   Google Scholar
• Steacy, S., McCloskey, J., Bean, C., & Ren, J. (1996). Heterogeneity in a self-organized critical earthquake model. Geophysical Research Letters, 23(4), 383–386. doi: 10.1029/96GL00257
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Tobler, W. (1970). A computer movie simulation of urban growth in the Detroit region. Economic Geography, 46(2), 234–240. doi: 10.2307/143141
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Vidal, F. (1986). Sismotectónica de la región Béticas-Mar de Alborán (PhD thesis). University of Granada.
   Google Scholar
• Vidal, F., Romacho, M., Feriche, M., Navarro, M., & Abeki, N. (1996). Seismic microzonation in Adra and Berja Towns, Almeria (Spain). Proceedings of 11th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering, Acapulco, Mexico. International Association for Earthquake Engineering.
   Google Scholar
• Votsis, A. (2017). Utilizing a cellular automaton model to explore the influence of coastal flood adaptation strategies on Helsinki’s urbanization patterns. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems, 64, 344–355. doi: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2017.04.005
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• White, R., & Engelen, G. (1993). Cellular automata and fractal urban form: A cellular modelling approach to the evolution of urban land-use patterns. Environment and Planning A: Economy and Space, 25(8), 1175–1199. doi: 10.1068/a251175
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• White, R., Engelen, G., & Uljee, I. (2015). Modeling cities and regions as complex systems: From theory to planning applications. . Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press.
   Google Scholar
• Xiao, M., Chen, Y., Yan, M., Ye, L., & Liu, B. (2016). Simulation of household evacuation in the 2014 Ludian earthquake. Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, 14(6). doi: 10.1007/s10518-016-9887-6
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Zhang, H., Liu, H., Qin, X., & Liu, B. (2018). Modified two-layer social force model for emergency earthquake evacuation. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and Its Applications, 492, 1107–1119. doi: 10.1016/j.physa.2017.11.041
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar