Meta-analysis of the climate change-tourism demand relationship

References

• Agnew, M. D., & Palutikof, J. P. (2006). Impacts of short-term climate variability in the UK on demand for domestic and international tourism. Climate Research, 31(1), 109–120. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr031109
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Agulles, M., Melo-Aguilar, C., & Jordà, G. (2022). Risk of loss of tourism attractiveness in the Western Mediterranean under climate change. Frontiers in Climate, 4, 1019892. https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2022.1019892
   Google Scholar
• Alegre, J., & Pou, L. (2006). The length of stay in the demand for tourism. Tourism Management, 27(6), 1343–1355. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tourman.2005.06.012
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Alves, M. W. F. M., & Mariano, E. B. (2018). Climate justice and human development: A systematic literature review. Journal of Cleaner Production, 202, 360–375. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.08.091
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Amelung, B., Nicholls, S., & Viner, D. (2007). Implications of global climate change for tourism flows and seasonality. Journal of Travel Research, 45(3), 285–296. https://doi.org/10.1177/0047287506295937
   Google Scholar
• Arnfield, A. J. (2023). Köppen climate classification. Encyclopedia Britannica. https://www.britannica.com/science/Koppen-climate-classification.
   Google Scholar
• Australian Treasury. (2023). Intergenerational Report 2023-Australia’s future to 2063. https://treasury.gov.au/sites/default/files/2023-08/p2023-435150.pdf
   Google Scholar
• Awaritefe, O. D. (2004). Destination image differences between prospective and actual tourists in Nigeria. Journal of Vacation Marketing, 10(3), 264–281. https://doi.org/10.1177/135676670401000306
   Google Scholar
• Bae, J., & Nam, S. (2020). An analysis of the effect of climate indicators on tourism demand: A case study of Jeju Island. Journal of Policy Research in Tourism, Leisure and Events, 12(2), 185–196. https://doi.org/10.1080/19407963.2019.1585363
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Baig, S., Khan, A. A., & Khan, A. A. (2021). A time series analysis of causality between tourist arrivals and climatic effects for nature-based tourism destinations: Evidence from Gilgit-Baltistan, Pakistan. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 23(4), 5035–5057. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-020-00803-0
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Bausch, T., Gartner, W. C., & Humpe, A. (2021). How weather conditions affect guest arrivals and duration of stay: An alpine destination case. International Journal of Tourism Research, 23(6), 1006–1026. https://doi.org/10.1002/jtr.2459
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Bigano, A., Goria, A., Hamilton, J., & Tol, R. S. J. (2005). The effect of climate change and extreme weather events on tourism. Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis.
   Google Scholar
• Byrne, M. P. (2021). Amplified warming of extreme temperatures over tropical land. Nature Geoscience, 14(11), 837–841. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-021-00828-8
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Cai, M., Nunes, P. A. L. D., Ferrise, R., Moriondo, M., & Bindi, M. (2011). Climate change and tourism in Tuscany, Italy: What if heat becomes unbearable? Climate Change and Sustainable Development.
   Google Scholar
• Camargo, B., Lane, K., & Jamal, T. (2007). Environmental justice and sustainable tourism: The missing cultural link. The George Wright Forum, 24(3), 70–80. http://www.jstor.org/stable/43598052
   Google Scholar
• Chen, C.-M., Lin, Y.-C., Li, E. Y., & Liu, C.-C. (2017). Weather uncertainty effect on tourism demand. Tourism Economics, 23(2), 469–474. https://doi.org/10.5367/te.2015.0513
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Chen, F., Liu, J., & Ge, Q. (2017). Pulling vs. pushing: Effect of climate factors on periodical fluctuation of Russian and South Korean tourist demand in Hainan Island, China. Chinese Geographical Science, 27(4), 648–659. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11769-017-0892-8
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Coombes, E. G., & Jones, A. P. (2010). Assessing the impact of climate change on visitor behaviour and habitat use at the coast: A UK case study. Global Environmental Change, 20(2), 303–313. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2009.12.004
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Copernicus. (2020). European state of the climate: 2020 summary
   Google Scholar
• de Freitas, C. (2019). Tourism, recreation and climate change. Multilingual Matters (pp. 29–43). https://doi.org/10.21832/9781845410056-004
   Google Scholar
• Dellaert, B. G. C., Ettema, D. F., & Lindh, C. (1998). Multi-faceted tourist travel decisions: A constraint-based conceptual framework to describe tourists’ sequential choices of travel components. Tourism Management, 19(4), 313–320. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0261-5177(98)00037-5
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Egger, M., Smith, G. D., Schneider, M., & Minder, C. (1997). Bias in meta-analysis detected by a simple, graphical test. BMJ, 315(7109), 629–634. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.315.7109.629
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• European Commission. (2022). Transition pathway for tourism. Publications Office of the European Union. https://doi.org/10.2873/344425
   Google Scholar
• Falk, M. (2013). Impact of long-term weather on domestic and foreign winter tourism demand. International Journal of Tourism Research, 15(1), 1–17. https://doi.org/10.1002/jtr.865
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Falk, M. (2014). Impact of weather conditions on tourism demand in the peak summer season over the last 50years. Tourism Management Perspectives, 9, 24–35. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tmp.2013.11.001
   Google Scholar
• Fauzel, S. (2020). The impact of changes in temperature and precipitation on tourists arrival: An ARDL analysis for the case of a SIDS. Current Issues in Tourism, 23(19), 2353–2359. https://doi.org/10.1080/13683500.2019.1639639
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• François, H., Samacoïts, R., Bird, D. N., Köberl, J., Prettenthaler, F., & Morin, S. (2023). Climate change exacerbates snow-water-energy challenges for European ski tourism. Nature Climate Change, 13(9), 935–942. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01759-5
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Gössling, S., & Hall, C. M. (2006). Uncertainties in predicting tourist flows under scenarios of climate change. Climatic Change, 79(3-4), 163–173. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-9081-y
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Gössling, S., & Humpe, A. (2020). The global scale, distribution and growth of aviation: Implications for climate change. Global Environmental Change, 65, 102194–102194. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102194
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Gössling, S., Lindén, O., Helmersson, J., Liljenberg, J., & Quarm, S. (2008). Diving and global environmental change: A Mauritius case study. In B. Garrod & S. Gössling (Eds), New frontiers in marine tourism: Diving experiences, sustainability, management (pp. 67–92). Elsevier. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-08-045357-6.50007-3
   Google Scholar
• Gössling, S., Scott, D., Hall, C. M., Ceron, J.-P., & Dubois, G. (2012). Consumer behaviour and demand response of tourists to climate change. Annals of Tourism Research, 39(1), 36–58. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.annals.2011.11.002
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Grillakis, M. G., Koutroulis, A. G., Seiradakis, K. D., & Tsanis, I. K. (2016). Implications of 2 °C global warming in European summer tourism. Climate Services, 1, 30–38. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2016.01.002
   Google Scholar
• Hadwen, W. L., Arthington, A. H., Boon, P. I., Taylor, B., & Fellows, C. S. (2011). Do climatic or institutional factors drive seasonal patterns of tourism visitation to protected areas across diverse climate zones in Eastern Australia? Tourism Geographies, 13(2), 187–208. https://doi.org/10.1080/14616688.2011.569568
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hall, C. M., & Higham, J. (2005). Tourism, recreation, and climate change (1st ed., Vol. 22). Channel View Publications. https://doi.org/10.21832/9781845410056
   Google Scholar
• Hamilton, J. M., Maddison, D. J., & Tol, R. S. J. (2005). Effects of climate change on international tourism. Climate Research, 29(3), 245–254. http://www.jstor.org/stable/24868808 https://doi.org/10.3354/cr029245
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hedges, L. V., Tipton, E., & Johnson, M. C. (2010). Robust variance estimation in meta-regression with dependent effect size estimates. Research Synthesis Methods,.1(1), 39–65. https://doi.org/10.1002/jrsm.5
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hewer, M., Scott, D., & Fenech, A. (2016). Seasonal weather sensitivity, temperature thresholds, and climate change impacts for park visitation. Tourism Geographies, 18(3), 297–321. https://doi.org/10.1080/14616688.2016.1172662
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hicks, J. R. (1986). A revision of demand theory. OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press.
   Google Scholar
• Higgins-Desbiolles, F. (2018). The potential for justice through tourism. Via@, 13(13). https://doi.org/10.4000/viatourism.2469
   Google Scholar
• IPCC. (2007). Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Core Writing Team, R. K. Pachauri & A. Reisinger (Eds)] (pp. 104). IPCC.
   Google Scholar
• IPCC. (2018). Mitigation pathways compatible with 1.5 °C in the context of sustainable development. https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/sites/2/2022/06/SR15_Chapter_2_LR.pdf
   Google Scholar
• IPCC. (2022). Impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability (pp. 3056). Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009325844
   Google Scholar
• Lee, E. S. (1966). A theory of migration. Demography, 3(1), 47–57. https://doi.org/10.2307/2060063
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Lenzen, M., Sun, Y.-Y., Faturay, F., Ting, Y.-P., Geschke, A., & Malik, A. (2018). The carbon footprint of global tourism. Nature Climate Change, 8(6), 522–528. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0141-x
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Liberati, A., Altman, D. G., Tetzlaff, J., Mulrow, C., Gøtzsche, P. C., Ioannidis, J. P. A., Clarke, M., Devereaux, P. J., Kleijnen, J., & Moher, D. (2009). The PRISMA statement for reporting systematic reviews and meta-analyses of studies that evaluate health care interventions: Explanation and elaboration. PLoS Medicine, 6(7), e1000100. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1000100
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Lipsey, M. W., & Wilson, D. B. (2001). Practical meta-analysis. SAGE publications, Inc.
   Google Scholar
• Lise, W., & Tol, R. S. J. (2002). Impact of climate on tourist demand. Climatic Change, 55(4), 429–449. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1020728021446
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Mahlstein, I., Knutti, R., Solomon, S., & Portmann, R. W. (2011). Early onset of significant local warming in low latitude countries. Environmental Research Letters, 6(3), 034009. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/6/3/034009
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Matei, A., García-León, D., Dosio, A., Silva, F., Barranco, R., & Ciscar, J.-C. (2023). Regional impact of climate change on European tourism demand, JRC Research Reports JRC131508. Joint Research Centre. https://doi.org/10.2760/899611
   Google Scholar
• Mayer, M., Demiroglu, O. C., & Ozcelebi, O. (2018). Microclimatic volatility and elasticity of glacier skiing demand. Sustainability, 10(10), 3536. https://doi.org/10.3390/su10103536
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Meredith, M., Sommerkorn, M., Cassotta, S., Derksen, C., Ekaykin, A., Hollowed, A., Kofinas, G., Mackintosh, A., Melbourne-Thomas, J., Muelbert, M. M. C., Ottersen, G., Pritchard, H., & Schuur, E. A. G. (2019). Polar regions. In IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate. https://www.ipcc.ch/srocc/
   Google Scholar
• NASA. (2023). What is climate change? Retrieved February 01 from https://climate.nasa.gov/what-is-climate-change/
   Google Scholar
• Nordhaus, W. D. (2017). Revisiting the social cost of carbon. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 114(7), 1518–1523. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1609244114
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Nunes, P. (2013). An Econometric Analysis of Climate Change Impacts on Tourism Flows: An empirical Evidence from the Region of Tuscany, Italy. International Journal of Ecological Economics and Statistics, 31(4), 1–20.
   Google Scholar
• Rastegar, R., Higgins-Desbiolles, F., & Ruhanen, L. (2023). Tourism, global crises and justice: Rethinking, redefining and reorienting tourism futures. Journal of Sustainable Tourism, 31(12), 2613–2627. https://doi.org/10.1080/09669582.2023.2219037
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Roson, R., & Sartori, M. (2016). Estimation of climate change damage functions for 140 regions in the GTAP9 Database. In Policy Research Working Paper Series 7728. World Bank.
   Google Scholar
• Rutty, M., & Scott, D. (2013). Differential climate preferences of international beach tourists. Climate Research, 57(3), 259–269. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01183
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Rutty, M., & Scott, D. (2016). Comparison of climate preferences for domestic and international beach holidays: A case study of Canadian travelers. Atmosphere, 7(2), 30. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos7020030
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Rutty, M., Scott, D., Johnson, P., Jover, E., Pons, M., & Steiger, R. (2015). The geography of skier adaptation to adverse conditions in the Ontario ski market. Canadian Geographer, 59(4), 391–403. https://doi.org/10.1111/cag.12220
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Saverimuttu, V., & Varua, M. E. (2014). Climate variability in the origin countries as a "push" factor on tourist arrivals in the Philippines. Asia Pacific Journal of Tourism Research, 19(7), 846–857. https://doi.org/10.1080/10941665.2013.806940
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Scott, D., & Gössling, S. (2022). A review of research into tourism and climate change – Launching the annals of tourism research curated collection on tourism and climate change. Annals of Tourism Research, 95, 103409. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.annals.2022.103409
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Scott, D., Gössling, S., & De Freitas, C. (2007). Climate preferences for tourism: An exploratory tri-nation comparison. In A. Matzarakis, C. R. de Freitas, & D. Scott (Eds), Developments in tourism climatology (pp. 18–23). Commission on Climate, Tourism and Recreation.
   Google Scholar
• Scott, D., Gössling, S., & Hall, C. M. (2012). International tourism and climate change. WIREs Climate Change, 3(3), 213–232. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.165
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Scott, D., Hall, C. M., & Gössling, S. (2019). Global tourism vulnerability to climate change. Annals of Tourism Research, 77, 49–61. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.annals.2019.05.007
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Scott, D., & Lemieux, C. (2010). Weather and Climate Information for Tourism. Procedia Environmental Sciences, 1, 146–183. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.proenv.2010.09.011
   Google Scholar
• Scott, D., Rutty, M., Amelung, B., & Tang, M. (2016). An inter-comparison of the Holiday Climate Index (HCI) and the Tourism Climate Index (TCI) in Europe. Atmosphere, 7(6), 80–80. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos7060080
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Seetanah, B., & Fauzel, S. (2019). Investigating the impact of climate change on the tourism sector: Evidence from a sample of island economies. Tourism Review, 74(2), 194–203. https://doi.org/10.1108/TR-12-2017-0204
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Serquet, G., & Rebetez, M. (2011). Relationship between tourism demand in the Swiss Alps and hot summer air temperatures associated with climate change. Climatic Change, 108(1–2), 291–300. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-010-0012-6
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Steiger, R., Knowles, N., Pöll, K., & Rutty, M. (2022). Impacts of climate change on mountain tourism: A review. Journal of Sustainable Tourism (online ahead-of-print), 1–34. https://doi.org/10.1080/09669582.2022.2112204
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Tol, R. S. J. (2011). The social cost of carbon. Annual Review of Resource Economics, 3(1), 419–443. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-resource-083110-120028
   Google Scholar
• TPCC. (2023). Tourism and Climate Change Stocktake. https://tpcc.info/
   Google Scholar
• UN. (2023). What is climate change? United Nations. Retrieved February 01 from https://www.un.org/en/climatechange/what-is-climate-change
   Google Scholar
• Verkoeyen, S., & Nepal, S. K. (2019). Understanding scuba divers’ response to coral bleaching: An application of Protection Motivation Theory. Journal of Environmental Management. 231, 869–877. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2018.10.030
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Vuković Darko, B., Simeunovic, I., Zalesov, S., Yamashkin, A., A., & Shpak, N. (2015). Influence of summer temperatures on basic economic and tourism indicators of the Middle Mediterranean. Thermal Science, 19(Suppl. 2), 361–370. https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI150328086V
   Google Scholar
• Wang, J., Guan, Y., Wu, L., Guan, X., Cai, W., Huang, J., Dong, W., & Zhang, B. (2021). Changing lengths of the four seasons by global warming. Geophysical Research Letters, 48(6), e91753. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL091753
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• World Bank. (2020). Resilient tourism: Competitiveness in the face of disasters. https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/328421604042124972/pdf/Resilient-Tourism-Competitiveness-in-the-Face-of-Disasters.pdf
   Google Scholar
• World Bank Group. (2023). Climate Change Knowledge Portal. https://climateknowledgeportal.worldbank.org/
   Google Scholar
• World Economic Forum. (2008). World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2007. https://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_AnnualReport_2007-08.pdf
   Google Scholar
• WTO. (2017). Tourism for sustainable development in the least developed countries – Leveraging resources for sustainable tourism with the enhanced integrated framework. https://www.e-unwto.org/doi/pdf/10.18111/9789284418848
   Google Scholar
• WTTC. (2015). Travel & Tourism 2015 – Connecting global climate action. https://www.hospitalitynet.org/file/152005907.pdf
   Google Scholar
• Young, S. S., & Young, J. S. (2021). Overall warming with reduced seasonality: Temperature change in New England, USA, 1900–2020. Climate, 9(12), 176. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli9120176
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar