265
Views
5
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Case report

Effects of climate change in winter ice cover and ice thickness in flooding: a case study of Grand River, Ohio, USA

, &
Pages 503-517 | Received 17 Jun 2019, Accepted 22 Jan 2020, Published online: 04 Feb 2020

References

  • ASCE Task Committee on Definition of Criteria for Evaluation of Watershed Models of the Watershed Management Committee, Irrigation and Drainage Division. (1993). “Criteria for evaluation of watershed models.” J. Irrig. Drain. Eng., 119(3), 429–442. doi:https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9437(1993)119:3(429)
  • Ashton, G.D. (1986). River and lake ice engineering, Water Resources Publication, Littleton, Colo., U.S.A.
  • Beltaos, S. (1995). River ice jams, Water Resources Publications, Highlands Ranch, Co., États-Unis.
  • Beltaos, S. (2002). “Effects of climate on mid‐winter ice jams.” Hydrol. Process., 16(4), 789–804. doi:https://doi.org/10.1002/(ISSN)1099-1085
  • Beltaos, S. (2011, September). “Alternative method for synthetic frequency analysis of breakup-jam floods.” 16th Workshop on River Ice organized by CRIPE-Committee on River Ice Processes and the Environment, Winnipeg, Manitoba, 18–22.
  • Beltaos, S., Miller, L., Burrell, B.C., and Sullivan, D. (2007). “Hydraulic effects of ice breakup on bridges.” Can. J. Civ. Eng., 34(4), 539–548. doi:https://doi.org/10.1139/l06-145
  • Beltaos, S., and Tang, P. (2013, July). “Applying HEC-RAS to simulate river ice jams: Snags and practical hints.” Proc. 17th Workshop on River Ice, held at Edmonton, 21–24. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.msec.2013.10.014
  • Beltaos, S., Tang, P., and Rowsell, R. (2012). “Ice jam modelling and field data collection for flood forecasting in the Saint John River, Canada.” Hydrol. Process., 26(17), 2535–2545. doi:https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.v26.17
  • Bilello, M.A. (1980). Maximum thickness and subsequent decay of lake, river, and fast sea ice in Canada and Alaska (Vols. 80, No. 6), US Army, Corps of Engineers, Cold Regions Research and Engineering Laboratory, Hanover, New Hampshire, U.S.A.
  • Brown, R.S., Power, G., and Beltaoa, S. (2001). “Winter movements and habitat use of riverine brown trout, white sucker and common carp in relation to flooding and ice break‐up.” J. Fish Biol., 59(5), 1126–1141. doi:https://doi.org/10.1111/jfb.2001.59.issue-5
  • Brunner, G.W. (2010). “HEC-RAS river analysis system.” Hydraulic reference manual. Version 4.1 (Page 11-2 to 11-7), US Army Coprs of Engineers, Hydrologic engineering center, Davis CA.
  • Carlson, R.F., Zarling, J.P., and Link, L.E. (1989). “Cold regions engineering research—Strategic plan.” J. Cold Reg. Eng., 3(4), 172–190. doi:https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0887-381X(1989)3:4(172)
  • Carr, M.L., and Vuyovich, C.M. (2014). “Investigating the effects of long-term hydro-climatic trends on Midwest ice jam events.” Cold Reg. Sci. Technol., 106, 66–81. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coldregions.2014.06.003
  • Chow, V. T., Maidment, D. R., and Larry, W. (1988). Mays. Applied Hydrology. International edition, MacGraw-Hill, Inc, 149
  • Cook, A., and Merwade, V. (2009). “Effect of topographic data, geometric configuration and modeling approach on flood inundation mapping.” J. Hydrol., 377(1–2), 131–142. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.08.015
  • Das, A., Rokaya, P., and Lindenschmidt, K.E. (2017, July). “Assessing the impacts of climate change on ice jams along the Athabasca River at Fort McMurray, Alberta, Canada.” 19th CRIPE workshop on the Hydraulics of Ice Covered Rivers, Whitehorse, Yukon, Canada.
  • Eliasson, J., and Gröndal, G.O. (2008). “Development of a river ice jam by a combined heat loss and hydraulic model.” Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 5(2), 1021–1042. doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/hessd-5-1021-2008
  • Ferrick, M.G., Weyrick, P.B., and Hunnewell, S.T. (1992). “Analysis of river ice motion near a breaking front.” Can. J. Civ. Eng., 19(1), 105–116. doi:https://doi.org/10.1139/l92-011
  • Gerard, R., and Davar, K.S. (1995). “Chapter 1: Introduction.” River Ice Jams. Spyros Beltaos (pp.1–26), Water Resource Engineering, LLC
  • Goulding, H.L., Prowse, T.D., and Beltaos, S. (2009). “Spatial and temporal patterns of break‐up and ice‐jam flooding in the Mackenzie Delta, NWT.” Hydrol. Process., 23(18), 2654–2670. doi:https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.v23:18
  • Gupta, H.V., Sorooshian, S., and Yapo, P.O. (1999). “Status of automatic calibration for hydrologic models: Comparison with multilevel expert calibration.” J. Hydrol. Eng., 4(2), 135–143. doi:https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)1084-0699(1999)4:2(135)
  • Janowicz, J.R. (2017, July). “Impacts of climate warming on river ice break-up and snowmelt freshet processes on the porcupine river in Northern Yukon.” 19th CRIPE Workshop on the Hydraulics of Ice Covered Rivers, Whitehorse, Yukon, 9–12.
  • Jobe, A., Bhandari, S., Kalra, A., and Ahmad, S. (2017). “Ice-cover and jamming effects on inline structures and upstream water levels.” World Environ. Water Resour. Congr., 2017, 270–279.
  • Lamichhane, N., and Sharma, S. (2017). “Development of flood warning system and flood inundation mapping using field survey and LiDAR data for the Grand River near the city of Painesville, Ohio.” Hydrology, 4(2), 24. doi:https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology4020024
  • Lamichhane, N., and Sharma, S. (2018). Effect of input data in hydraulic modeling for flood warning systems. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 63(6),938–956.
  • Leedal, D., Neal, J., Beven, K., Young, P., and Bates, P. (2010). “Visualization approaches for communicating real‐time flood forecasting level and inundation information.” J. Flood Risk Manag., 3(2), 140–150. doi:https://doi.org/10.1111/jfrm.2010.3.issue-2
  • Lindenschmidt, K.E., Das, A., Rokaya, P., Chun, K.P., and Chu, T. (2015, August). “Ice jam flood hazard assessment and mapping of the Peace River at the Town of Peace River.” 18th Workshop on the Hydraulics of Ice Covered Rivers, Quebec City, QC, Canada, 18–21. doi:https://doi.org/10.3389/fphar.2015.00018
  • Mahabir, C., Hicks, F., and Fayek, A.R. (2006). “Neuro-fuzzy river ice breakup forecasting system.” Cold Reg. Sci. Technol., 46(2), 100–112. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coldregions.2006.08.009
  • Mahabir, C., Hicks, F.E., and Fayek, A.R. (2002, December). “Forecasting ice jam risk at Fort McMurray, AB, using fuzzy logic.” Proc.16th IAHR International Symposium on Ice, 6 (Vol. 2), Dunedin, New Zealand.
  • Massie, D.D., and Kreider, J.F. (2001). “Comparison of and discrepancies between tmy and tmy2s predictions for simple photovoltaic and wind energy simulations.” J. Sol. Energy Eng., 123(1),6–9. doi: https://doi.org/10.1115/1.1345843
  • Massie, D.D., White, K.D., Daly, S.F., and McDonald, R. (2002, January). “Predicting ice jams with neural networks.” ASME 2002 21st International Conference on Offshore Mechanics and Arctic Engineering, American Society of Mechanical Engineers Digital Collection, 669–673.
  • Merz, B., Thieken, A.H., and Gocht, M. (2007). “Flood risk mapping at the local scale: Concepts and challenges.” In: Begum S., Stive M.J.F., Hall J.W. (eds) Flood risk management in Europe. Advances in Natural and Technological Hazards Research, Vol 25. Springer, Dordrecht, 231–251.
  • Moriasi, D.N., Arnold, J.G., Van Liew, M.W., Bingner, R.L., Harmel, R.D., and Veith, T.L. (2007). “Model evaluation guidelines for systematic quantification of accuracy in watershed simulations.” Trans. ASABE, 50(3), 885–900. doi:https://doi.org/10.13031/2013.23153
  • Morse, B., and Hicks, F. (2005). “Advances in river ice hydrology 1999–2003.” Hydrol. Process., 19(1), 247–263. doi:https://doi.org/10.1002/(ISSN)1099-1085
  • Murfitt, J.C., Brown, L.C., and Howell, S.E. (2018). “Estimating lake ice thickness in Central Ontario.” PLoS ONE, 13(12), e0208519. doi:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0208519
  • Nezhikhovskiy, R. A. (1964). Coefficients of roughness of bottom surface of slush-ice cover. In Soviet hydrology (Vol.2, pp. 127–150). Washington, DC.: American Geophysical Union
  • Prowse, T.D., Bonsal, B.R., Duguay, C.R., and Lacroix, M.P. (2007). “River-ice break-up/freeze-up: A review of climatic drivers, historical trends and future predictions.” Ann. Glaciol., 46, 443–451. doi:https://doi.org/10.3189/172756407782871431
  • Shen, H.T. (2010). “Mathematical modeling of river ice processes.” Cold Reg. Sci. Technol., 62(1), 3–13. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coldregions.2010.02.007
  • Shuli︠a︡kovskiĭ, L.G., ed. (1966). Manual of forecasting ice-formation for rivers and inland lakes (Vol. 4), Israel Program for Scientific Translations, Jersualem, Israel.
  • Sui, J. Y., Karney, B. W., and FANG, D. X. (2005). Ice jams in a small river and the hec-ras modeling [j]. journal of hydrodynamics, Ser. B, 17(2),127–133.
  • Tang, P., and Beltaos, S.P.Y.R.O.S. (2008, May). “Modeling of river ice jams for flood forecasting in New Brunswick.” Proceedings, 65th Eastern Snow Conference, Bridgewater State College and ERDC-CRREL, Fairlee (Lake Morey) Vermont, USA, 167–178.
  • Turcotte, B., Burrell, B.C., and Beltaos, S. (2019). “The impact of climate change on breakup ice jams in Canada: State of knowledge and research approaches.” 20th CRIPE Workshop on the Hydraulics of Ice Covered Rivers, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
  • USACE. (2015). “CRREL ice jam database for gage station 04212100 in Grand River, OH.” <http://rsgisias.crrel.usace.army.mil/apex/f?p=524:5:0::NO> (Mar. 2, 2015).
  • White, K.D. (1999). Hydraulic and physical properties affecting ice jams (No. CRREL-99-11), COLD REGIONS RESEARCH AND ENGINEERING LAB, Hanover, New Hamshire, U.S.A.
  • White, K.D. (2003). “Review of prediction methods for breakup ice jams.” Can. J. Civ. Eng., 30(1), 89–100. doi:https://doi.org/10.1139/l02-047
  • White, K.D. (2004). Method to estimate river ice thickness based on meteorological data. ERDC-CRREL Technical Note, 04-3.
  • White, K.D., Tuthill, A.M., and FURMAN, L. (2006). “Studies of ice jam flooding in the United States.” In: Vasiliev O., van Gelder P., Plate E., Bolgov M. (eds) Extreme hydrological events: New concepts for security. NATO Sceince Series, Springer, Dordrecht, 255–268.
  • White, K.D., Tuthill, A.M., Vuyovich, C.M., and Weyrick, P.B. (2007). “Observed climate variability impacts and river ice in the United States.” Proc. 14th Workshop on the Hydraulics of Ice Covered Rivers, Quebec City, Canada. doi:https://doi.org/10.1094/PDIS-91-4-0467B
  • White, K.D., Tuthill, A.M., and Furman, L. (2007a). “Studies of ice jam flooding in the United States.” Extreme hydrological events: New concepts for security, NATO Science Series, vol 78.Springer, Dordrecht, 255–268.
  • White, K.D., Tuthill, A.M., Vuyovich, C.M., and Weyrick, P.B. (2007b). “Observed climate variability impacts and river ice in the United States.” Proc. 14th Workshop on the Hydraulics of Ice Covered Rivers, Quebec City, Canada.
  • Wuebben, J.L., and Gagnon, J.J. (1995). Ice jam flooding on the Missouri River near Williston, North Dakota (No. CRREL-95-19), COLD REGIONS RESEARCH AND ENGINEERING LAB, Hanover, New Hamshire, U.S.A.
  • Zachrisson, G. (1989). “Climate variation and ice conditions in the River Tornealven.” Conference on Climate and Water, Academy of Finland, Helsinki, vol. 1, 353–364

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.